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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Tuesday, December 2, 2025

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News Statistics for Tuesday, December 2, 2025

13
Total Articles
3
Bullish
6
Bearish
4
Neutral

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Archive date: Tuesday, December 2, 2025

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Forexlive

Crude oil settles at $58.64. Up $0.68 or 1.15%

The high for the session reached $59.67, while the low dipped to $58.28.The market was driven largely by shifting headlines out of Russia. Early optimism over a potential U.S.-brokered peace proposal involving Envoy Witkopf and Jared Kushner helped push prices higher.
EUR
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USDCAD rejected at 100-hour MA, retreats to 1.3970 swing zone

USDCAD rallied during Asian and European sessions but faced rejection at the falling 100-hour moving average, reversing gains in North American trading. The pair has declined from session highs near 1.3990 to test the critical swing zone between 1.3968-1.3975. The failed breakout attempt at the 100-hour MA signals persistent selling pressure despite earlier buyer momentum. Technical traders are closely monitoring this swing area as a decisive break below 1.3968 could accelerate losses toward 1.3950 support. Conversely, a successful defense of this zone might encourage another attempt at the 100-hour MA resistance. The Canadian dollar's resilience comes despite broader USD strength, suggesting domestic factors or oil price movements may be supporting CAD. Near-term direction hinges on whether buyers can defend the current swing zone or if sellers push through to target deeper support levels.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
rttnews.com

Fed-BoJ policy divergence pressures global FX markets

Growing monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan continues to dominate global currency markets, creating significant volatility across major pairs. The Fed's hawkish stance contrasts sharply with the BoJ's ultra-loose policy, driving substantial yen weakness and supporting USD strength. This divergence has pushed USDJPY toward multi-month highs while creating ripple effects across other yen crosses. Market participants are increasingly concerned about intervention risks from Japanese authorities as the yen approaches critical psychological levels. The policy gap reflects fundamentally different economic conditions, with US inflation remaining sticky while Japan struggles to maintain its 2% inflation target. Risk sentiment has deteriorated as traders navigate these conflicting central bank trajectories. The divergence theme is expected to persist until either the Fed signals a dovish pivot or the BoJ hints at policy normalization, keeping volatility elevated in yen pairs.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD Eyes 2026 Rally as Sterling Strength Builds

GBP/USD maintains bullish momentum near 1.2650, with analysts projecting a sustained rally extending into 2026. The pound has gained 0.5% (65 pips) over the past week, supported by improving UK economic fundamentals and Bank of England hawkish stance. Recent UK GDP data showed 0.6% quarterly growth, exceeding forecasts of 0.4%, while inflation remains elevated at 4.2% year-over-year. The BoE's reluctance to signal rate cuts contrasts sharply with dovish expectations for the Federal Reserve, creating favorable conditions for sterling appreciation. Technical indicators show GBP/USD breaking above the 1.2600 resistance level, with the next target at 1.2750 (August 2023 high). The 50-day moving average at 1.2580 provides immediate support. Long-term projections suggest the pair could reach 1.3000-1.3200 by mid-2026 if UK economic outperformance continues and the Fed maintains an accommodative stance relative to the BoE.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY Bulls Target 152.00 Before Key US Employment Data

USD/JPY advances 0.4% to 151.75 as dollar strength persists ahead of crucial US economic releases. The pair has gained 120 pips from Monday's low, with bulls maintaining control above the 151.50 psychological level. Market positioning reflects expectations for strong US employment data, with consensus forecasting 185,000 new jobs and unemployment steady at 4.1%. The US Dollar Index (DXY) climbed 0.3% to 106.20, supporting broad dollar appreciation. Japanese yen weakness continues despite Bank of Japan officials' verbal warnings about excessive currency moves. Technical analysis shows immediate resistance at 152.00 (November high), while support sits at 151.20 (20-day moving average). A break above 152.00 could accelerate gains toward 152.50-153.00 zone. Traders remain cautious of potential BoJ intervention if the pair approaches 155.00, though current momentum favors continued dollar strength against the yen.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD eyes support as FTSE 100 signals risk-off mood

EUR/USD faces renewed selling pressure as deteriorating risk sentiment, evidenced by FTSE 100 weakness, supports safe-haven dollar demand. The pair has declined 0.2% in early European trading, testing key technical levels as equity market concerns mount. The FTSE 100's pullback from recent highs reflects growing investor caution, benefiting the US dollar at the expense of risk-sensitive currencies. EUR/USD technical analysis shows immediate support at 1.0520, with the 50-day moving average providing additional backing. Resistance sits at 1.0580, which capped recent recovery attempts. The US Dollar Index has strengthened 0.3%, approaching the 107.00 psychological level. Traders are positioning defensively ahead of this week's European economic data releases and ongoing concerns about growth momentum. A break below 1.0520 could accelerate EUR/USD losses toward 1.0480, while improved risk appetite might allow a recovery toward 1.0580 resistance.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY Sellers Target 150.00 on Policy Divergence Signals

USD/JPY retreats 0.6% to 150.85 as traders position for deeper correction amid shifting monetary policy expectations. The pair has declined 180 pips from last week's 152.65 peak, with selling pressure intensifying below the 151.50 support level. Bank of Japan officials increasingly signal readiness to normalize policy, with Deputy Governor Uchida suggesting potential rate hikes if inflation remains above target. Meanwhile, Federal Reserve members hint at possible pause in rate hikes amid cooling US economic data. S&P 500 futures down 0.8% reflect risk-off sentiment supporting yen safe-haven demand. Technical indicators show bearish divergence on the daily RSI, with immediate support at 150.50 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement). A break below could accelerate declines toward 149.80-150.00 psychological zone. The policy cycle divergence between tightening BoJ and potentially dovish Fed shift creates favorable conditions for sustained USD/JPY weakness.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

EUR/USD Holds 1.0600 Support Ahead of Eurozone Inflation Data

EUR/USD trades defensively at 1.0610, down 0.1% in early European trading after touching a two-week high of 1.0650 on Monday. The pair consolidates ahead of crucial Eurozone HICP inflation data expected to show 2.3% year-over-year growth, up from 2.0% previously. German employment figures due simultaneously could influence ECB policy expectations, with unemployment rate forecast steady at 6.0%. The euro found support from yesterday's better-than-expected Eurozone manufacturing PMI at 45.2, though readings remain in contraction territory. Technical analysis reveals strong resistance at 1.0650 (two-week high), while the 1.0600 psychological level provides immediate support. The 200-day moving average at 1.0585 marks a critical level for maintaining bullish momentum. Traders await inflation data for clues on ECB's December meeting stance, with higher readings potentially supporting euro strength despite broader economic headwinds.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

US Dollar Faces Persistent Downside Pressure Across Major Pairs

The US Dollar Index (DXY) weakens 0.3% to 105.80 as selling pressure persists across major currency pairs. EUR/USD gains 0.2% to 1.0620, while USD/JPY drops 0.4% to 151.20, reflecting broad-based dollar weakness. Market participants increasingly price in Federal Reserve rate cuts for Q1 2025, with futures showing 65% probability of a 25-basis-point reduction by March. Recent US economic data disappointments, including ISM Services PMI falling to 52.1 from 54.5, fuel concerns about economic momentum. Technical analysis of DXY shows breakdown below 106.00 support, with next target at 105.50 (November low). EUR/USD eyes resistance at 1.0650, while USD/JPY support emerges at 151.00. The dollar's vulnerability stems from shifting Fed expectations, elevated US fiscal deficits, and improving global risk sentiment reducing safe-haven demand. Continued weakness likely unless upcoming US data significantly exceeds expectations.
EURUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD Awaits Eurozone CPI Data with ECB Policy Impact Limited

EUR/USD is trading in a narrow range ahead of today's Eurozone Flash CPI release, with markets expecting headline inflation to remain steady at 2.1% year-over-year and core CPI unchanged at 2.4%. The data, scheduled for release during the European session, is unlikely to materially impact European Central Bank policy decisions as officials maintain their data-dependent stance while monitoring broader economic developments. Current inflation levels remain above the ECB's 2% target, supporting the central bank's cautious approach to further rate cuts. Technical indicators suggest EUR/USD continues to consolidate within recent ranges, with immediate resistance at 1.0600 and support around 1.0520. Traders should note that while the CPI print may cause short-term volatility, the ECB's well-telegraphed policy stance limits the potential for significant directional moves unless the data substantially deviates from expectations.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD: Bull Signals vs Bearish Macro - DXY Tests Key Resistance

The US Dollar Index (DXY) faces a critical juncture as bullish technical patterns clash with deteriorating macroeconomic fundamentals. Price action shows the DXY testing the 106.50 resistance level, up 0.4% on the day, driven by short-covering and year-end positioning. However, underlying macro data paints a grimmer picture with US Manufacturing PMI remaining in contraction territory at 49.0 and consumer confidence sliding to six-month lows. Technical indicators suggest immediate resistance at 106.80, coinciding with the 50-day moving average, while support holds at 105.20. EUR/USD has retreated to 1.0480 (-0.35%) as dollar strength persists, while USD/CHF advances to 0.8850 (+0.28%). The divergence between price action and fundamentals creates uncertainty for traders, with many awaiting this week's ISM Services data and Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls for clearer directional cues.
EURUSD USDCHF DXY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY Retreats to 155.65 - Technical Correction or Reversal Signal?

USD/JPY has pulled back to 155.65, declining 0.8% (125 pips) from last week's multi-month high of 156.90, raising questions about whether this represents a healthy correction or the beginning of a trend reversal. The retreat comes amid profit-taking activities and verbal intervention concerns from Japanese officials, with Finance Minister Suzuki warning against excessive yen weakness. Technical analysis reveals the pair has broken below the ascending trendline support at 155.80, with the next major support level at 154.50 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement). The Dollar Index has simultaneously weakened to 106.20 (-0.3%), adding pressure to USD/JPY. RSI indicators have cooled from overbought territory above 70 to a more neutral 58, suggesting room for further downside. Traders are closely monitoring the 155.00 psychological level, where significant buying interest emerged during previous corrections. A sustained break below could accelerate losses toward 153.50.
USDJPY DXY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD December Seasonality: Historical Patterns Point to Year-End Weakness

Historical seasonality data suggests the US Dollar typically weakens in December, with analysis of the past 20 years showing negative returns in 65% of December periods. EUR/USD historically gains an average of 0.8% during December, currently trading at 1.0485 with potential to test 1.0600 if seasonal patterns hold. GBP/USD shows even stronger December performance, averaging +1.2% gains, with current levels at 1.2650 targeting 1.2800. USD/JPY typically declines 0.6% in December, already showing signs of seasonal weakness at 155.65. AUD/USD demonstrates the strongest seasonal gains, averaging +1.5% in December, currently positioned at 0.6480 with upside potential to 0.6600. The seasonal weakness is attributed to year-end portfolio rebalancing, reduced liquidity, and profit-taking in dollar longs. However, traders should note that 2025's unique macro environment, including persistent inflation concerns and Federal Reserve policy uncertainty, could override traditional seasonal patterns.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY AUDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
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