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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Thursday, June 19, 2025

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News Statistics for Thursday, June 19, 2025

22
Total Articles
4
Bullish
9
Bearish
9
Neutral

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Archive date: Thursday, June 19, 2025

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Forexlive

WTI crude oil rises to $75 as Iran launches fresh missiles

The Israeli army says air raid sirens have been activated in northern Israel and the air force is working to intercept Iranian missiles. Some reports suggest 10-15 have been fired.WTI crude oil is up $1.50 to just over $75 per barrel on the August contract. It spiked as high as $75.50 as the fighting kicked off last week but this would be the highest close since January.
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
rttnews.com

War Worries Weigh On CAC 40

Mounting geopolitical tensions in the Middle East weighed heavily on market sentiment dragging the CAC 40 benchmark lower in the day's trade..
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD Steady as Fed Holds Rates; Major Pairs Await Summer Data

Following this week's central bank meetings, the US Dollar Index has stabilized near 104.50 as the Federal Reserve maintained its neutral stance. Markets are pricing in 47 basis points of Fed rate cuts by year-end, compared to 49 bps for the BoE and 70 bps for the RBA. The ECB and BoC show modest 25 bps cut expectations, while the BoJ remains the outlier with 14 bps of hikes anticipated. The SNB's surprise cut to 0% has raised deflation concerns, pressuring CHF pairs. Major currency pairs remain range-bound with EUR/USD holding near 1.0800 and GBP/USD testing 1.3400 resistance. Traders are positioning cautiously ahead of summer economic data releases that could shift central bank policies. Technical indicators suggest consolidation patterns across major pairs, with breakouts likely dependent on upcoming inflation and employment reports from key economies.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCAD AUDUSD NZDUSD USDCHF
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

GBP/USD, Crude Oil Forecast: Two Trades to Watch

Market Analysis by covering: British Pound US Dollar, US Dollar Index Futures, Crude Oil WTI Futures. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
gurufocus.com

USD/CHF Jumps as SNB Cuts to 0%, Sparking Deflation Fears

USD/CHF has surged 0.8% to 0.8950 after the Swiss National Bank unexpectedly cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 0%, raising concerns about potential negative rates. The move reflects the SNB's growing anxiety over deflationary pressures in the Swiss economy, with CPI running well below the 2% target. Market participants are now pricing in the possibility of negative rates returning to Switzerland, which historically weakened the franc significantly. The pair has broken above the key 0.8900 resistance level, with momentum indicators suggesting further upside potential toward 0.9000-0.9050. EUR/CHF and GBP/CHF have also gained sharply, rising 0.6% and 0.7% respectively. Traders should monitor Swiss inflation data closely, as any further deterioration could prompt additional SNB action, potentially pushing the franc lower across all major pairs.
USDCHF EURCHF GBPCHF
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Gold/USD Falls to $2,320 as Fed Signals Tariff-Related Inflation Risks

Gold prices have declined 1.2% to $2,320 per ounce following the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates while warning about potential inflationary pressures from tariffs. The Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts, with only 47 basis points priced in by year-end, has strengthened the dollar and increased the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Fed officials highlighted concerns that trade tensions could reignite inflation, potentially delaying any monetary policy easing. Technical analysis shows gold breaking below the crucial $2,340 support level, with the next target at $2,300. The relative strength index (RSI) has dropped to 42, suggesting bearish momentum but not yet oversold conditions. Traders are closely watching US trade policy developments and upcoming CPI data, which could either accelerate gold's decline toward $2,280 or trigger a relief rally back above $2,350.
XAUUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

USD/CHF surges as SNB cuts to 0%, signals negative rates possible

USD/CHF jumped 0.8% to 0.9125 following the Swiss National Bank's 25 basis point rate cut to 0%, as expected by markets. SNB Chairman Thomas Schlegel's warning that Switzerland is "on the verge of negative interest rate territory" sparked immediate franc weakness across all major pairs. The central bank cited persistent deflationary pressures and franc strength as key concerns, leaving the door open for further easing. Markets are now pricing in a 65% probability of negative rates by September's meeting. Technical indicators show USD/CHF breaking above the 0.9100 resistance level, with next targets at 0.9175 and 0.9200. EUR/CHF also surged 0.6% to 0.9875. The dovish stance contrasts sharply with other major central banks, potentially establishing a new carry trade dynamic favoring USD longs against CHF.
USDCHF EURCHF
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD strengthens on China rare earth export uncertainty

The US dollar gained 0.2% against major currencies amid ongoing uncertainty over China's rare earth export policies. China's commerce ministry confirmed approving "a certain number" of rare earth export licenses but provided no details on quantities or recipient countries, particularly regarding US firms. This ambiguity has heightened supply chain concerns for critical technology sectors, supporting safe-haven dollar demand. AUD/USD fell 0.35% to 0.6480 as risk sentiment deteriorated, while USD/CNH edged up 0.1% to 7.2850. The lack of transparency suggests potential trade tensions could escalate, with implications for global supply chains and currency markets. Technical analysis shows AUD/USD testing support at 0.6475, with a break potentially targeting 0.6450. Traders are monitoring US-China trade relations closely as any restrictions could trigger broader risk-off flows benefiting the dollar.
AUDUSD USDCNH
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
forexlive.com

CHF plunges across board as SNB returns to zero interest rates

The Swiss franc depreciated sharply against all major currencies after the SNB cut its key policy rate by 25 basis points to 0%, marking Switzerland's return to zero interest rates. EUR/CHF surged 0.6% to 0.9875, while GBP/CHF climbed 0.7% to 1.1520. The central bank cited below-target inflation projections and excessive franc strength as justification for the move. SNB officials indicated readiness to implement negative rates if needed, significantly altering the franc's appeal as a safe haven. Market positioning data showed heavy long CHF positions being unwound, accelerating the selloff. Technical analysis reveals EUR/CHF breaking above the 0.9850 resistance, targeting 0.9900-0.9950. The policy divergence between the SNB and other major central banks suggests continued CHF weakness, with traders eyeing carry trade opportunities in higher-yielding currencies against the franc.
EURCHF GBPCHF USDCHF
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD Rebounds Across Majors as Fed Maintains Hawkish Hold

The US Dollar has found support across major pairs following the Federal Reserve's decision to keep rates unchanged at 5.25-5.50%. EUR/USD retreated 0.4% to 1.0780, while GBP/USD dropped 0.5% to 1.3350 despite UK inflation holding steady. AUD/USD fell sharply by 0.7% to 0.6620 as rate cut expectations for the RBA increased to 70 basis points by year-end. USD/CAD advanced 0.3% to 1.3680, supported by diverging monetary policy outlooks between the Fed and BoC. The Dollar Index climbed back above 104.50, recovering from recent lows. Technical indicators suggest the dollar's rebound has room to extend, with the RSI on DXY rising from oversold levels. Traders are positioning for continued dollar strength unless upcoming US economic data significantly disappoints, particularly next week's PCE inflation figures.
EURUSD GBPUSD AUDUSD USDCAD DXY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD holds steady as US core inflation meets 2% Fed target

EUR/USD traded in a tight range around 1.0745, showing minimal reaction to US core inflation hitting the Fed's 2% target. Despite achieving the inflation goal, Federal Reserve officials remain cautious about rate cuts, citing labor market strength and potential inflation persistence. The pair found support at 1.0730 after briefly dipping on dollar strength. European Central Bank officials have signaled potential rate cuts ahead of the Fed, creating policy divergence concerns. USD/JPY remained elevated at 157.20, while USD/CHF jumped to 0.9125 following SNB easing. Technical indicators suggest EUR/USD consolidation between 1.0720-1.0770, with a breakout needed for directional clarity. Traders await Friday's US retail sales data and next week's Fed minutes for clearer policy signals. The inflation milestone hasn't triggered immediate Fed dovishness, keeping dollar supported.
EURUSD USDJPY USDCHF AUDUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD Fails at 1.34 Despite Sticky UK Inflation at 2.3%

GBP/USD has retreated 0.3% to 1.3365 after failing to break above the psychological 1.3400 resistance level, despite UK inflation remaining elevated at 2.3% year-over-year. The sticky inflation data, while above the BoE's 2% target, failed to alter market expectations for 49 basis points of rate cuts by year-end. Sterling's weakness reflects concerns over UK economic growth rather than inflation dynamics, with recent GDP data showing sluggish expansion. Technical analysis reveals strong resistance at 1.3400-1.3420, coinciding with the 50-day moving average. Support has formed at 1.3320, with a break below targeting 1.3280. The pair's inability to capitalize on inflation data suggests underlying bearish sentiment toward the pound. Traders await Thursday's BoE decision for clearer guidance on the monetary policy trajectory, though no immediate action is expected.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
bloombergquint.com

USD/INR advances to 86.53 as rupee weakens on risk-off sentiment

USD/INR opened 6 paise higher at 86.53, extending gains from Wednesday's close of 86.47 as the Indian rupee faced pressure from broad market uncertainty and geopolitical tensions. The dollar's strength against emerging market currencies accelerated amid risk-off flows, with foreign institutional investors pulling funds from Indian equities. The Reserve Bank of India's intervention near 86.60 provided temporary support, but underlying pressure persists. Oil prices rising 0.5% to $82.30/barrel added import cost concerns for the rupee. Technical analysis shows immediate resistance at 86.65 (monthly high), while support lies at 86.40. Market participants await India's trade balance data due Friday, which could influence RBI's stance. The rupee's weakness reflects broader emerging market vulnerabilities, with traders monitoring global risk sentiment and dollar index movements near 106.50.
USDINR
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD pairs face thin liquidity as US markets close for Juneteenth

Trading conditions for USD pairs are expected to remain subdued throughout Wednesday as US financial markets observe the Juneteenth federal holiday. With the NYSE, Nasdaq, and bond markets closed, liquidity in major pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY will be significantly reduced during North American trading hours. The absence of US institutional traders typically results in wider spreads and potential for erratic price movements on lower volumes. European and Asian sessions may see normal activity, but momentum often fades as the day progresses without US participation. Traders should exercise caution with position sizing and be aware of potential slippage in thin market conditions. Technical levels may be less reliable, and any significant price moves could reverse quickly when US markets reopen Thursday. The holiday also means no US economic data releases, leaving markets to focus on external factors and positioning ahead of regular trading resumption.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

AUD/USD faces pressure as Australian employment misses expectations

AUD/USD weakened following disappointing Australian employment data, with May jobs declining by 2,500 versus expectations of a 22,500 increase. This unexpected contraction marks a significant miss from market forecasts and raises concerns about the resilience of Australia's labor market. The Australian dollar initially dropped 0.2% against the US dollar as traders reassessed the Reserve Bank of Australia's potential rate trajectory. Despite the headline miss, underlying employment conditions remain relatively stable, with the unemployment rate holding steady. The RBA has maintained a hawkish stance on inflation, but weaker employment data could complicate their policy decisions. Technical indicators show AUD/USD testing support near 0.6650, with resistance at 0.6720. Further weakness could see the pair targeting 0.6600, while any positive surprises in upcoming data releases might help the Aussie recover toward 0.6750.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
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