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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Friday, June 27, 2025

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News Statistics for Friday, June 27, 2025

13
Total Articles
1
Bullish
3
Bearish
9
Neutral

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Archive date: Friday, June 27, 2025

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Forexlive

Bessent: I'm not sure why the US dollar moves would bother me

Bessent indicates that the US dollar drop this year is normal variance.The US still has a strong dollar policyCurrencies move up and downMore fiscal spending in Europe tells you that the euro should appreciateI don't think anyone is necessarily talking about a shadow FedOne spot on the Fed will open up early in the year when Kugler leavesA group of trade deals will be wrapped up by thenApprox 20 other nations will either see reciprocal rates kick in, or will see 10% baseline if they're...
USD EUR
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

Trump: I've ended sanctions relief for Iran because the Ayatollah didn't say thank - you

Trump -- evidently -- is so offended that Iran's supreme leader didn't say 'thank you' to Trump and instead claimed he won the war that he's "immediately dropped all work on sanction relief, and more".Here is Trump's post:Why would the so-called “Supreme Leader,” Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, of the war torn Country of Iran, say so blatantly and foolishly that he won the War with Israel, when he knows his statement is a lie, it is not so. As a man of great faith, he is not supposed to lie.
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD steady as UMich sentiment beats expectations at 60.7

The US Dollar Index remained stable following the release of final University of Michigan consumer sentiment data for June, which came in at 60.7, slightly above the expected 60.5. The reading marks a significant recovery from April's low of 52.2, though it remains well below late 2024 levels. Current conditions improved to 64.8 from the preliminary 63.7, while expectations declined marginally to 58.1 from 58.4. Notably, one-year inflation expectations eased to 5.0% from 5.1%, with five-year expectations also declining to 4.0% from 4.1%. The minimal market reaction suggests traders had already priced in the modest improvement. Major USD pairs including EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY showed little movement post-release. The data reinforces the view that while consumer confidence is recovering, persistent inflation concerns continue to weigh on sentiment, potentially supporting the Fed's cautious approach to monetary policy adjustments.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
financefeeds.com

EUR/USD Breaks Above 1.1700 to Hit Multi-Year Peak

EUR/USD surged to 1.1720, marking a 0.8% gain (95 pips) and reaching its highest level since autumn 2019. The euro's strength reflects growing optimism about the Eurozone economic recovery and expectations of continued ECB policy support, while the dollar faces pressure from dovish Fed signals. The breakthrough above the psychologically important 1.1700 level triggered additional buying momentum, with technical indicators suggesting further upside potential. The pair has now gained over 450 pips from its yearly low, supported by improving European vaccination rates and stronger-than-expected PMI data across major economies. Immediate resistance lies at 1.1750 (2019 high), while 1.1700 should now act as initial support. Traders are positioning for a potential test of 1.1800 if current momentum persists, particularly ahead of next week's ECB policy meeting.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD Weakens Across Board as Markets Price Aggressive Fed Easing

The US dollar index dropped 0.6% to 91.20 as traders increasingly bet on more aggressive Federal Reserve easing, with futures markets now pricing in 75 basis points of rate cuts by year-end. EUR/USD climbed 0.7% to 1.1715, while GBP/USD advanced 0.5% to 1.3920, both benefiting from broad dollar weakness. USD/JPY fell sharply by 0.8% to 108.50 as risk-off sentiment drove flows into the safe-haven yen, while USD/CHF declined 0.4% to 0.9080. The shift in market expectations follows softer US economic data and dovish Fed commentary suggesting patience on policy normalization. Technical analysis shows the dollar index breaking below key support at 91.50, opening the path toward 90.80. Stock markets rallied on the prospect of continued monetary accommodation, with the S&P 500 gaining 1.2%. Traders should monitor upcoming Fed speeches for any pushback against current market pricing.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/CNY falls as China-US talks ease trade tensions on rare earth exports

USD/CNY declined 0.2% to 7.2850 following positive developments from China-US talks in London, where both nations agreed to ease trade restrictions. China confirmed it will approve export applications for controlled items, particularly rare earth minerals crucial for technology manufacturing, while the US will lift corresponding restrictive measures against Chinese entities. The agreement represents a significant de-escalation in trade tensions that have pressured the yuan throughout 2025. Market participants view this as a gesture of goodwill that could stabilize bilateral trade flows and reduce supply chain disruptions. The yuan's appreciation accelerated during Asian trading hours as investors priced in improved trade relations. Technical indicators show USD/CNY facing immediate support at 7.2800, with potential for further declines toward 7.2500 if positive momentum continues. Traders should monitor upcoming trade data and any additional policy announcements from both nations for directional cues.
USDCNY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

EUR/USD awaits French, Spanish CPI data amid ECB rate cut speculation

EUR/USD trades near 1.0720 ahead of crucial French and Spanish inflation data releases scheduled for today's European session. Markets are pricing in an 85% probability that the ECB will maintain current rates at their July meeting, with approximately 52% odds of a 25 basis point cut in September. Today's inflation figures from two of the eurozone's largest economies will provide key insights into the ECB's policy trajectory through summer. Unless the data significantly deviates from expectations, the immediate impact on EUR/USD is likely to be limited. The pair has been consolidating in a tight range between 1.0700 support and 1.0750 resistance as traders await clearer signals on monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Federal Reserve. A surprise uptick in inflation could strengthen the euro and reduce September rate cut expectations, while softer readings might accelerate EUR/USD's decline toward the 1.0680 level.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
forexlive.com

USD/JPY holds steady near 157.50 as Tokyo inflation moderates but stays high

USD/JPY traded sideways around 157.50 during Asian trading as Tokyo's June inflation data showed mixed signals for Bank of Japan policy. Tokyo CPI decelerated to 2.3% year-over-year from 2.5% in May, while core CPI eased to 2.1% from 2.2%, though both measures remain well above the BOJ's 2% target. The persistent inflation keeps alive expectations for potential BOJ policy normalization, limiting yen weakness despite the moderation. Asian equity markets showed resilience with modest gains, reducing demand for the safe-haven yen. The pair found support at 157.20 overnight and faces resistance at 157.80, the week's high. Market focus shifts to next week's BOJ meeting minutes and US PCE inflation data, which could provide clearer direction. Traders remain cautious as the BOJ's gradual shift away from ultra-loose policy continues to support the yen's medium-term outlook.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/JPY rises on Iran nuclear concerns amid geopolitical tensions

USD/JPY has gained momentum in early Asian trading, climbing 0.2% to test the 151.80 level as safe-haven flows emerge following reports about Iran's nuclear program. Israeli intelligence officials revealed that Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile is secured in underground tunnels at Fordow and Isfahan facilities, effectively sealed from external access after recent bombing incidents. The revelation has heightened Middle East geopolitical tensions, traditionally supporting the yen as a safe-haven asset, though dollar strength from risk-off sentiment is currently dominating. Markets are monitoring potential escalation risks that could trigger more significant yen buying if diplomatic tensions intensify. Technical indicators show USD/JPY facing immediate resistance at 152.00, with support established at 151.50. Traders should watch for any further developments in the Iran situation, as significant escalation could quickly reverse current dollar strength and push the pair toward the 150.00 psychological support level.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
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