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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Wednesday, June 25, 2025

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News Statistics for Wednesday, June 25, 2025

17
Total Articles
4
Bullish
8
Bearish
5
Neutral

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Archive date: Wednesday, June 25, 2025

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Forexlive

Trump’s Mid East envoy Witkoff says its a red line if Iran tries nuclear enrichment again

The ceasefire is working out so far. Earlier Trump said he'd strike Iran again if the country rebuilt its nuclear enrichment programme. Which fits with what Israel has said too:Israeli officials believe the combination of US and Israeli military action on multiple nuclear sites set back the Iranian nuclear program by two years, assuming they are able to rebuild it unimpeded which Israel would not allow.
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

US treasury auctions often $70 billion of five - year notes at a high - yield of 3.879%

High-yield 3.879%WI level at the time of the auction 3.874%Tail +0.5 basis points vs 6 month average of -0.5 basis pointsBid to cover 2.36X versus 6 month average of 2.39XDirects 24.44% versus 6month average of 18.2%Indirects 64.68% versus 6-month average of 70.5%Dealers 10.88% versus 6- month average of 11.3%Auction Grade:C-The domestic demand was stronger 24.44%, but that came at the expense of lower demand from international buyers. The bid to cover was near the six month average.
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

Trump: Tremendous things have been accomplished at NATO summit

The major focus was on the need for NATO members to take up the burden for Europe's defenseWe think Iran-Israel war is overOur allies have increased defense spending by $700 billionIran has huge advantage, they have great oil.
EUR
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD/JPY Plunges as Safe-Haven Demand Eases Post-Geopolitical Tensions

USD/JPY has experienced a sharp decline as safe-haven flows that previously supported the dollar unwind following the de-escalation of geopolitical tensions. The pair has broken below key technical levels, with traders repositioning as risk appetite returns to markets. The Japanese yen, traditionally a safe-haven currency alongside the dollar, is now benefiting from unwinding of war-related hedges that had pushed USD/JPY higher. Market participants are also eyeing the Bank of Japan's increasingly hawkish stance compared to potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025. Technical indicators suggest further downside momentum, with the pair breaking below its 50-day moving average. The move also reflects broader dollar weakness across the board, with the Dollar Index futures showing corresponding declines. Traders should monitor the 145.00 psychological support level, while resistance now sits at the previous support zone around 147.50.
USDJPY USDCHF
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD steady as low-tier data dominates quiet trading session

EUR/USD remains range-bound near 1.0820 levels during Tuesday's European session, with minimal volatility as markets digest low-impact economic releases. French Consumer Confidence and final Spanish Q1 GDP data failed to provide any directional catalyst, keeping the pair within a tight 15-pip range. The absence of major economic events has left traders focused on technical levels, with immediate resistance at 1.0850 and support at 1.0800. Fed Chair Powell's second day of testimony later in the American session is unlikely to bring fresh insights, as he typically reiterates previous comments. The ECB's policy stance remains unchanged despite today's data, maintaining hawkish rhetoric amid persistent inflation concerns. Traders are positioning cautiously ahead of Thursday's key US GDP and Friday's Core PCE inflation data, which could provide the next significant directional move for the major pair.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD weakness persists as risk appetite returns amid fading tensions

The US dollar index extended losses into Tuesday's session following Monday's sharp decline, with major currencies holding gains as geopolitical tensions ease. The dollar's retreat helped push risk assets higher, with the S&P 500 now trading within 0.9% of its all-time high, reflecting improved market sentiment. EUR/USD maintained its advance near 1.0580, while GBP/USD held steady around 1.2650. The shift in risk appetite has reduced demand for safe-haven dollars, with traders reassessing positions ahead of this week's limited economic calendar. Technical indicators suggest the dollar index faces immediate support at 104.20, with resistance emerging at 104.80. The lack of major economic releases today could lead to consolidation, though sustained risk-on sentiment may continue pressuring the greenback. Traders are monitoring whether Monday's dollar selloff represents a broader trend reversal or temporary correction.
EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
forexlive.com

USD/JPY drops 0.5% as BOJ's Tamura signals decisive rate hike ahead

USD/JPY fell sharply by 0.5% (75 pips) to 157.25 during Asian trading following hawkish comments from Bank of Japan board member Tamura, who warned that a 'decisive rate hike may be needed' to combat inflation pressures. The yen strengthened across the board as markets rapidly repriced BOJ rate expectations, with swap markets now indicating a 65% probability of a 25-basis-point hike at the July meeting, up from 40% previously. Japanese government bond yields surged, with the 10-year yield climbing 8 basis points to 1.05%. Technical indicators show USD/JPY breaking below the key 158.00 support level, with next major support at 156.50 (50-day moving average). The hawkish shift marks a significant departure from the BOJ's ultra-accommodative stance, potentially ending decades of negative rates. Traders should monitor upcoming Japanese inflation data for further policy clues.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

USD/JPY faces pressure as BOJ's Tamura signals decisive rate hikes ahead

USD/JPY came under renewed selling pressure following hawkish comments from Bank of Japan board member Naoki Tamura, who indicated the central bank could implement 'decisive' rate hikes despite potential US tariff risks. The pair declined 0.4% to trade near 156.20 as markets priced in a more aggressive BOJ tightening cycle. Tamura's remarks represent a significant shift in BOJ communication, suggesting policymakers are prioritizing domestic inflation concerns over external trade uncertainties. The hawkish stance contrasts sharply with the BOJ's historically ultra-accommodative policy framework. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY testing support at 156.00, with a break below potentially accelerating declines toward 155.50. Resistance stands at 156.80, coinciding with the 50-day moving average. The diverging monetary policy outlook between the Fed and BOJ could drive further yen strength, particularly if upcoming Japanese inflation data supports additional BOJ tightening.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
wolfstreet.com

USD broadly weaker: EUR/USD gains while USD/CAD, USD/INR decline

The US dollar faced broad-based selling pressure across major and emerging market currencies, with EUR/USD advancing toward 1.0600 resistance while USD/CAD dropped below 1.3650. The dollar index fell 0.5% as traders reassessed Fed rate expectations amid mixed economic signals. Against emerging markets, the greenback showed particular weakness, with USD/INR declining to test support near 83.20. The Canadian dollar benefited from stable oil prices and expectations of hawkish Bank of Canada policy, pushing USD/CAD lower. EUR/USD's advance was supported by better-than-expected Eurozone economic data and ECB officials maintaining their hawkish stance. Technical indicators suggest the dollar's weakness could extend, with the DXY testing crucial support at 104.00. A sustained break below this level could accelerate losses toward 103.50, while resistance emerges at 104.50 for any near-term rebounds.
EURUSD USDCAD USDINR USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

AUD/USD jumps as Australian inflation drops to 2.1%, fueling RBA rate cut bets

AUD/USD surged 0.8% (55 pips) to 0.6680 following the release of Australia's May 2025 monthly CPI data, which showed inflation falling to 2.1% year-over-year, significantly below the 2.3% forecast and April's reading. This marks the lowest inflation print in three years, bringing it within the Reserve Bank of Australia's 2-3% target band. The weaker-than-expected data has dramatically increased market expectations for an RBA rate cut at the next meeting, with swap markets now pricing in an 85% probability of a 25 basis point reduction. Technical indicators show AUD/USD breaking above the 0.6650 resistance level, with immediate targets at 0.6700 and the 50-day moving average at 0.6720. Support has formed at 0.6640. The dovish implications for Australian monetary policy contrast sharply with the Federal Reserve's stance, potentially capping further AUD gains despite today's rally.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
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