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Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Wednesday, August 26, 2026

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Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at a glance

5
Total Articles
2
Bullish
0
Bearish
3
Neutral

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Archive date: Wednesday, August 26, 2026

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Forexlive

USDCHF extends up to the 200 hour MA and broken retracement target. Can the buyer break through?

In a post yesterday, I highlighted the importance of the USDCHF swing area extending down to 0.8009, along with the rising 100-hour moving average and the 50% retracement near 0.8000.The low today reached 0.8007—between those key levels and just above the 100-hour moving average. Buyers leaned against that support cluster and have since pushed the price steadily higher.The rebound has now taken the USDCHF toward the next key resistance cluster near 0.8050.
USD CHF
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD/CHF steady as Swiss UBS investor sentiment improves to +12.1 in August

The Swiss franc holds a firm footing after UBS investor sentiment for August printed at +12.1, up from +10.0 in July, marking a second straight month in positive territory following the sharp rebound from June's negative reading. The improvement signals that domestic investors have grown more constructive on Switzerland's economic outlook despite the ongoing US-Iran conflict and elevated crude prices, which typically weigh on the energy-importing Swiss economy. Importantly, the survey is unlikely to shift the Swiss National Bank's stance: markets continue to price the SNB on hold at current ultra-low settings at least until the second half of 2027, leaving CHF driven primarily by risk sentiment and safe-haven demand rather than rate expectations. For traders, this keeps USD/CHF and EUR/CHF sensitive to geopolitical headlines, with any de-escalation in the Middle East likely to trim franc haven bids. Sentiment surveys of this type rarely move spot materially, so the franc's near-term direction should remain tied to global risk appetite and dollar flows rather than Swiss domestic data.
USDCHF EURCHF
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
seekingalpha.com

EUR/USD eyes July US PCE inflation print as Fed policy signal looms

EUR/USD is consolidating ahead of Wednesday's July PCE price index release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge and the key input for the next policy decision. A softer core PCE reading would reinforce expectations for continued Fed easing, undermining the dollar and opening room for the euro to extend higher, while an upside surprise would revive the case for a patient Fed and prompt a corrective pullback in the pair. Positioning has been supportive for EUR/USD, with the single currency benefiting from a firmer eurozone rate outlook, but the market has largely priced a benign inflation path, leaving asymmetric risk around a hot print. Technically, the pair remains in an established uptrend, with buyers defending trendline and moving-average support on dips and resistance sitting at the recent range highs. Traders should expect an initial volatility spike on the headline, then watch whether spot closes above prior resistance to confirm continuation. Failure to hold support would signal a deeper consolidation phase before the trend resumes.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

AUD/USD firms as Australian July CPI beats at 3.5% y/y, RBA cuts doubted

The Australian dollar caught a bid after July monthly CPI came in hotter than forecast at 3.5% year-on-year, above the 3.2% consensus though down from June's 3.8%. The monthly pace jumped 1.0% versus 0.8% expected and -0.1% prior, while the RBA's preferred trimmed mean core measure printed 3.6% y/y against 3.5% expected and unchanged from the previous month. On a monthly basis, trimmed mean accelerated to 0.5% from 0.3%, a clear upside surprise that keeps core inflation above the top of the RBA's 2-3% target band. The data materially reduces the scope for near-term RBA easing and should keep the front end of the Australian curve supported, a positive input for AUD/USD and a headwind for AUD/JPY shorts. Traders will watch whether AUD/USD can convert the initial data-driven pop into a sustained break of recent range resistance; failure to hold gains would suggest the market still views the monthly series as noisy. Broader direction remains contingent on Wednesday's US PCE inflation report and global risk sentiment.
AUDUSD AUDJPY AUDNZD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
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