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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Wednesday, September 3, 2025

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News Statistics for Wednesday, September 3, 2025

16
Total Articles
2
Bullish
6
Bearish
8
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Archive date: Wednesday, September 3, 2025

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Forexlive

investingLive Americas FX news wrap: JOLTS and the Beige Book paint a slowering picture

US July JOLTS job openings 7.181m vs 7.378m expectedBeige Book: Most districts reported little or no change in economic activityFed's Waller: When the labor market turns, it usually turns fastFed's Kashkari: Fed is not done with work to bring inflation back to 2%Fed's Musalem: Current restrictive policy is in the right place given dataOPEC pumped more in August and could be on track to announce another boostCarney: Canada's upcoming budget will focus on austerity as well as investmentFed's...
USD EUR GBP JPY
Source: Finnhub
nasdaq.com

Dollar Falls as Weak JOLTS Report Boosts Fed Rate Cut Chances

The dollar index today is down by -0.35%. Today's rebound in equity markets has curbed liquidity demand for the dollar. Losses in the dollar accelerated as the chances for a Fed rate cut later this month increased after the Jul JOLTS job openings fell more than expected to...
USDJPY
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD weakens as oil prices surge on OPEC production reports

WTI crude oil surged $0.80 in volatile trading following conflicting OPEC+ production reports, impacting commodity-linked currencies and the US dollar. Initial weakness came after Reuters reported OPEC+ was considering fresh output increases this weekend, causing oil to decline sharply. However, Bloomberg subsequently confirmed OPEC pumped an additional 400k barrels per day in August, aligning with planned production targets. The rapid oil price recovery strengthened commodity currencies like CAD and NOK against the USD. Technical indicators show WTI testing resistance at $71.50, with support at $69.80. The uncertainty around OPEC's weekend meeting continues to drive volatility in energy markets. Traders should monitor USD/CAD closely, as the pair typically shows inverse correlation with oil prices. Further OPEC production decisions could significantly impact dollar crosses, particularly against commodity-exporting currencies.
USDCAD USDNOK
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
rttnews.com

Risk appetite improves as bond market turmoil eases globally

Global markets attempted a rebound Wednesday as fiscal concerns that triggered recent bond market turmoil showed signs of easing. Risk-sensitive currencies gained ground against safe havens, with AUD/USD rising 0.4% to 0.6580 and NZD/USD advancing 0.35% to 0.5920. The improved sentiment followed a stabilization in government bond yields after sharp selloffs earlier in the week driven by fiscal sustainability worries. EUR/USD recovered to 1.0845, while USD/JPY held steady near 149.50 as the yen's safe-haven appeal diminished. Market participants remain cautious despite the rebound, monitoring bond yield movements closely. The VIX index declined 8% to 16.2, suggesting reduced market stress. However, underlying fiscal concerns persist, keeping traders alert for potential volatility resurgence. Support for risk currencies depends on continued bond market stability through the week's remaining sessions.
AUDUSD NZDUSD EURUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY bearish as pair tests critical support near 149.00

USD/JPY faces intensified selling pressure as the pair approaches crucial support at 149.00, with technical indicators signaling further downside potential. The pair has declined 0.6% (90 pips) to 149.20 in Tuesday's session, breaking below the 50-day moving average at 149.85. Average True Range (ATR) analysis indicates elevated volatility at 1.2%, suggesting potential for sharp movements. The Dollar Index futures weakened to 101.50, adding pressure on USD/JPY. Japanese officials' verbal intervention warnings near 150.00 continue capping upside attempts. Technical analysis reveals immediate support at 148.80 (August low), with resistance now at 149.85. A decisive break below 148.80 could accelerate losses toward 147.50. Traders are positioning for potential Bank of Japan policy shifts, while monitoring US economic data releases that could influence Federal Reserve expectations and dollar direction.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

European markets stabilize despite ongoing bond market concerns

European currency pairs showed relative stability during Tuesday's morning session despite lingering concerns from the bond market selloff. EUR/USD consolidated near 1.0830, recovering from overnight lows of 1.0805 as European equities opened with modest gains. GBP/USD traded sideways around 1.2650, finding support despite UK gilt yields remaining elevated at 4.25%. The calmer mood contrasts with Monday's sharp risk-off moves, though traders remain cautious about fiscal sustainability issues across major economies. EUR/GBP held steady at 0.8565 as both currencies faced similar headwinds. Market participants await ECB officials' comments scheduled later today for monetary policy clues. Technical levels show EUR/USD resistance at 1.0860 and support at 1.0800. The subdued volatility suggests markets are pausing before the next directional catalyst, with bond yields remaining the key driver for currency movements.
EURUSD GBPUSD EURGBP
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD: Mortgage Applications Fall 1.2% as Rates Ease to 6.64%

US mortgage applications declined 1.2% for the week ending August 29, reversing the previous week's 0.5% drop, despite a modest decline in the 30-year mortgage rate to 6.64% from 6.69%. The market index fell to 272.5 from 275.8, with the purchase index dropping notably to 158.7 from 163.8, indicating weaker homebuying activity. The refinance index showed resilience, rising to 902.5 from 894.1, as some borrowers took advantage of the slightly lower rates. While this data rarely moves forex markets directly, persistent housing market weakness could influence Federal Reserve policy considerations. The continued high mortgage rates above 6.5% maintain pressure on the US housing sector, potentially contributing to broader economic slowdown concerns that could weigh on USD strength in the medium term.
USD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

GBP/USD: Pound Plunges on UK Fiscal Sustainability Concerns

GBP/USD has tumbled sharply as investor confidence in UK fiscal sustainability deteriorates, triggering a broad-based sterling selloff. The pound's weakness reflects growing market anxiety about the UK government's fiscal position and debt sustainability, reminiscent of the 2022 mini-budget crisis. Bond yields have surged as investors demand higher premiums for holding UK government debt, further pressuring the currency. The fiscal concerns overshadow any potential support from Bank of England rate expectations, as markets prioritize sovereign risk over monetary policy considerations. Technical indicators suggest GBP/USD could test key support levels around 1.2600-1.2650, with further downside possible if fiscal concerns intensify. Traders should monitor UK government bond yields and any policy responses from the Treasury, as these will likely determine near-term sterling direction. The current environment suggests continued pound vulnerability until concrete fiscal measures restore market confidence.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD edges lower as Eurozone services PMI misses expectations

EUR/USD has slipped 0.15% to 1.0845 following disappointing Eurozone services data. The final services PMI for August came in at 50.5, below the preliminary reading of 50.7 and down from July's 51.0, marking a 2-month low. Despite the services sector weakness, the composite PMI held at 51.0, supported by manufacturing sector improvements, reaching a 12-month high. The marginal growth indicated by the composite reading suggests the Eurozone economy remains in a fragile state. Market participants are now focusing on upcoming ECB policy decisions, with the weak services data potentially supporting arguments for continued accommodative monetary policy. Technical indicators show immediate support at 1.0830, with resistance at 1.0870. The mixed PMI data creates uncertainty for EUR/USD direction, though persistent services weakness could cap any euro strength in the near term.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD: Global Bond Selloff Unlikely to Sustain Dollar Strength

The US dollar's recent gains amid a global bond market selloff may prove temporary, as underlying forex fundamentals suggest limited sustainable support for greenback strength. While rising yields typically favor the dollar, the current bond rout reflects broader concerns about global fiscal sustainability rather than US economic outperformance. EUR/USD and GBP/USD have both come under pressure, with the pound particularly vulnerable due to UK-specific fiscal concerns. However, EUR/GBP dynamics show the euro gaining against sterling, indicating selective currency weakness rather than broad dollar dominance. The US Dollar Index has rallied but faces resistance near recent highs, with traders questioning whether bond-driven moves can persist without corresponding economic data support. Near-term dollar strength may continue if the bond selloff accelerates, but medium-term prospects depend more on Federal Reserve policy trajectory and relative economic performance. Traders should focus on individual pair dynamics rather than assuming uniform dollar strength.
EURUSD GBPUSD EURGBP DXY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

AUD/USD retreats from recent highs as correction phase begins

AUD/USD has entered a short-term correction phase after posting significant gains in recent sessions. The pair is experiencing profit-taking pressure as traders lock in gains from the previous upward momentum. Market dynamics suggest the Australian dollar's recent strength may have been overextended, prompting this technical pullback. The correction appears to be a healthy consolidation rather than a trend reversal, with underlying fundamentals still supportive of the Aussie dollar. Key factors include China's economic recovery prospects and commodity price strength, particularly in iron ore and energy sectors. Technical analysis indicates initial support at 0.6450, with stronger backing at the 0.6420 level. Resistance is now established at recent highs near 0.6500. Traders should watch for any shifts in risk sentiment or commodity market movements that could influence the pair's direction. The correction may provide buying opportunities for those bullish on AUD/USD's medium-term prospects.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD plummets as UK gilt yields surge amid fiscal concerns

GBP/USD has tumbled sharply as UK government bond yields spike, creating significant pressure on sterling. The gilt market turmoil reflects growing investor concerns about UK fiscal sustainability and potential inflationary pressures. UK 2-year yields have surged above 4.5%, while 30-year yields approached multi-year highs, signaling deteriorating confidence in UK debt markets. The pound's weakness extended across other pairs, with GBP/CHF also declining notably as traders seek safe-haven currencies. Market participants fear the Bank of England may face a difficult balancing act between supporting growth and containing inflation expectations. Technical analysis shows GBP/USD has broken below key support at 1.2650, with next major support at 1.2600. Resistance now sits at 1.2700. The gilt market stress could persist, keeping pressure on sterling until fiscal clarity emerges or the BoE provides reassurance about monetary policy stability.
GBPUSD GBPCHF
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
thestockmarketwatch.com

Global forex markets volatile amid geopolitical tensions

Foreign exchange markets are experiencing heightened volatility as escalating geopolitical tensions drive significant currency fluctuations. Safe-haven currencies including USD, CHF, and JPY are seeing increased demand as risk sentiment deteriorates across global markets. The uncertainty has triggered sharp moves in major currency pairs, with emerging market currencies particularly vulnerable to the risk-off environment. Commodity-linked currencies are showing mixed performance, with some benefiting from a notable rally in energy and precious metals prices. Gold's surge above key resistance levels reflects growing hedge demand against geopolitical risks. Market participants are closely monitoring developments in various global hotspots that could further impact currency valuations. Technical indicators suggest increased volatility ahead, with traditional correlations between risk assets and currencies being tested. Traders should prepare for continued choppy conditions and consider adjusting position sizes to account for wider-than-normal price swings in the current environment.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

XAU/USD surges as global bond yields spike, dollar strengthens

Gold (XAU/USD) has emerged as the standout performer this week, gaining significant ground as surging long-end yields globally trigger a broad market selloff. The precious metal's safe-haven appeal intensified as bond yields continued their relentless climb, particularly in longer maturities, creating a 'straw that broke the camel's back' scenario for risk assets. The initial market reaction saw a sharp rally in the US dollar as investors liquidated positions across various asset classes. This yield-driven market turbulence reflects growing concerns about persistent inflation and the potential for higher-for-longer interest rates. Technical indicators suggest XAU/USD could test recent highs if bond market volatility persists. The combination of risk-off sentiment and yield concerns positions gold favorably for near-term gains, despite traditional headwinds from rising real yields. Traders should monitor bond market developments closely as continued yield spikes could accelerate precious metals' outperformance.
XAUUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
forexlive.com

USD/JPY rises as JGB yields climb, yen weakens across the board

USD/JPY advanced during Asian trading Wednesday as Japanese government bond (JGB) yields continued their upward trajectory, weakening the yen across major pairs. The 10-year JGB yield's persistent rise reflects growing speculation about potential Bank of Japan policy normalization, though paradoxically, this is currently pressuring the yen as yield differentials with other majors remain wide. The dollar-yen pair found support from both rising JGB yields and continued US dollar strength from the previous session. Asian equity markets showed mixed performance amid the yield volatility, with Japanese stocks benefiting from the weaker yen. Currency traders are closely watching for any BOJ intervention signals as USD/JPY approaches psychologically important levels. The technical picture shows momentum favoring further yen weakness unless Japanese authorities step in. Near-term resistance lies at recent highs, while support has shifted higher, suggesting the uptrend remains intact for USD/JPY.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
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