AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

forexlive.com

Sep 18, 2025

USD/JPY isn't ready to give up the bottom of the range just yet

US dollar climbs back into the range

USDJPY

Source: Marketaux

Forexlive

Sep 18, 2025

Oil Price Drop Could Force Russia-Ukraine Peace, Trump Says - WTI Falls

WTI crude oil declined approximately $0.20 following comments from Trump suggesting that lower oil prices could compel Putin to end the Ukraine conflict. The former president has been actively pressuring Europe and India to cease Russian oil purchases, though the distinction between global oil prices and Russian-specific pricing remains unclear given the interconnected nature of energy markets. The Russian oil price cap mechanism implemented by Western nations has shown limited effectiveness in constraining Moscow's energy revenues. This development adds to existing bearish pressure on crude markets amid concerns about global demand growth. Technical traders are watching the $70 support level for WTI, with resistance at $72.50. The geopolitical implications could create additional volatility in commodity-linked currencies, particularly CAD and NOK, while potentially supporting safe-haven flows into USD and JPY.

USDCAD USDNOK USDJPY

Sentiment: Negative

Source: Finnhub

investing.com

Sep 18, 2025

USD weakens as Fed cuts rates, EUR/USD and GBP/USD rise

The US dollar index fell 0.5% following the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut in 9 months, with the central bank reducing rates by 25 basis points to 4.25-4.50%. EUR/USD climbed 0.4% to 1.0975, breaking above the 1.0950 resistance level, while GBP/USD surged 0.6% to 1.3125 on renewed dollar weakness. The Fed's dovish pivot, signaling potential further easing in 2025, has shifted market sentiment decisively against the greenback. Risk assets rallied with the Nasdaq hitting fresh record highs and Intel shares soaring on improved semiconductor outlook. Technical indicators suggest EUR/USD faces next resistance at 1.1000 psychological level, with support now established at 1.0920. The rate cut environment favors continued dollar weakness, particularly if upcoming US economic data disappoints, creating opportunities for long positions in major pairs against USD.

EURUSD GBPUSD

Sentiment: Very Positive

Source: Marketaux

zerohedge.com

Sep 18, 2025

Fed rate cut drives USD lower across majors, risk appetite surges

Major currency pairs strengthened against the US dollar as the Federal Reserve delivered its first rate cut since early 2024, reducing the federal funds rate and hinting at additional easing measures in 2025. The dollar index dropped 0.45% to 103.20, with futures markets jumping to fresh record highs on renewed risk appetite. EUR/USD gained momentum above 1.0950, while commodity currencies like AUD/USD and NZD/USD posted gains exceeding 0.7% as risk-on sentiment dominated. The Fed's policy shift marks a significant turning point after maintaining higher rates for combating inflation throughout 2024. Market participants are now pricing in a 65% probability of another 25bp cut at the next FOMC meeting. Technical analysis shows the DXY breaking below its 50-day moving average at 103.50, suggesting further downside potential toward 102.80 support. Traders should monitor upcoming US inflation data for confirmation of the Fed's dovish trajectory.

EURUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD

Sentiment: Very Positive

Source: Marketaux

forexcrunch.com

Sep 18, 2025

AUD/USD Outlook: RBA in Spotlight After Soft Jobs Data

The AUD/USD outlook points to further weakness in Australia’s labor market that could increase pressure on the RBA to lower borrowing costs.

AUDUSD

Source: Marketaux

rttnews.com

Sep 18, 2025

Fed Rate Cut Sparks Global FX Volatility - USD Shows Mixed Performance

The Federal Reserve's first interest rate reduction in nine months triggered significant movements across major currency pairs, with market participants reassessing positions based on updated 2025 monetary policy projections. The decision, which markets had largely priced in, was accompanied by forward guidance suggesting additional easing measures throughout next year. USD initially weakened against risk-sensitive currencies but later stabilized as traders digested the implications for interest rate differentials. EUR/USD tested 1.1100 resistance before pulling back, while GBP/USD maintained gains above 1.3200. The Japanese yen strengthened modestly as yield differentials narrowed. Emerging market currencies saw mixed reactions, with higher-yielding pairs attracting renewed interest. Technical indicators suggest consolidation phase ahead as markets await further economic data to confirm the Fed's dovish trajectory.

EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY

Sentiment: Neutral

Source: Marketaux

rttnews.com

Sep 18, 2025

Global markets rally on Fed cuts, JPY and CHF weaken vs USD peers

Global financial markets reacted positively to the Federal Reserve's interest rate reduction, with equity indices reaching new highs and significant shifts in forex positioning. The Fed's 25bp cut and forward guidance suggesting further easing in 2025 triggered broad-based USD selling initially, though safe-haven currencies JPY and CHF underperformed as risk appetite improved. USD/JPY held steady near 149.50 despite dollar weakness, as carry trade dynamics favored higher-yielding currencies. EUR/USD extended gains to 1.0980, while GBP/USD tested 1.3150 resistance. The rate differential narrowing between the Fed and other major central banks has altered the forex landscape, with traders repositioning for a potential trend reversal in dollar strength. Key support for the dollar index sits at 103.00, with a break below potentially accelerating the downtrend. Market focus shifts to upcoming central bank meetings from the ECB and BoE for further policy divergence clues.

USDJPY EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF

Sentiment: Positive

Source: Marketaux

Forexlive

Sep 18, 2025

Gold rallies as traders fade overnight Fed-driven moves

Gold has recovered from overnight losses to trade 0.5% higher at $2,650/oz, as European traders fade the initial post-Fed volatility. The Federal Reserve's decision yesterday offered mixed signals, with hawkish dot plot projections balanced against dovish commentary, leaving markets without clear direction. The precious metal initially dropped to $2,635 following the FOMC meeting but has since reclaimed the $2,650 psychological level. Dollar strength has moderated, with DXY pulling back 0.2% from overnight highs, supporting gold's recovery. Technical indicators show immediate resistance at $2,660 (yesterday's pre-Fed high), while support holds at $2,635 (overnight low). The lack of consensus following the Fed meeting suggests continued range-bound trading, with traders awaiting Friday's PCE inflation data for clearer monetary policy signals. Gold's safe-haven appeal remains intact amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and uncertainty about the Fed's future rate trajectory.

XAUUSD

Sentiment: Positive

Source: Finnhub

Forexlive

Sep 18, 2025

USD weakens as Fed's Waller, Bowman vindicated on labor market calls

USD has softened across major pairs following recognition that Federal Reserve governors Waller and Bowman's early rate cut advocacy was based on accurate labor market analysis rather than political motivations. Both Trump-appointed governors began calling for monetary easing before their colleagues, correctly anticipating weakness in employment data that has since materialized. Waller's particularly prescient forecasts about labor market deterioration have proven accurate, supporting the Fed's recent dovish pivot. Markets are reassessing the Fed's policy trajectory, with rate cut expectations firming for upcoming meetings. The dollar index has retreated from recent highs as traders price in a more accommodative Fed stance. This development suggests future Fed decisions will remain data-dependent rather than politically influenced, potentially leading to continued USD weakness if labor market softness persists. Technical indicators show USD losing momentum against major currencies.

EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY AUDUSD NZDUSD USDCHF USDCAD

Sentiment: Negative

Source: Finnhub

investing.com

Sep 18, 2025

GBP/USD holds 1.3150 ahead of crucial BoE rate decision

GBP/USD maintains its position near recent highs at 1.3155, showing minimal movement (-0.05%) as traders position cautiously ahead of today's Bank of England policy decision. The pair has established strong support at 1.3120, with bulls defending this level throughout Asian and early European sessions. Market consensus expects the BoE to hold rates at 5.25%, but focus remains on the voting split and forward guidance amid persistent UK inflation concerns. Recent UK CPI data at 2.2% remains above the 2% target, potentially supporting a hawkish stance. Technical analysis reveals resistance at 1.3180 (weekly high), with a break above potentially targeting 1.3200. The 50-day moving average at 1.3090 provides additional support. Today's BoE decision could trigger significant volatility, with hawkish surprises likely to propel sterling toward 1.3200, while dovish commentary might test support at 1.3120.

GBPUSD

Sentiment: Neutral

Source: Marketaux

investing.com

Sep 18, 2025

Gold Pulls Back as Fed Cut Expectations Boost USD - XAU/USD Under Pressure

Gold prices retreated from recent highs as recalibrated Federal Reserve rate cut expectations provided support for the US dollar, with XAU/USD declining 0.8% to $2,015 per ounce. The precious metal faced selling pressure after the Fed's latest projections suggested a more measured approach to monetary easing than previously anticipated by markets. Dollar index futures climbed 0.4% to 103.20, creating headwinds for dollar-denominated commodities. EUR/USD fell 0.35% to 1.0920, while USD/CAD advanced 0.25% to 1.3450 amid the broader dollar strength. Technical analysis shows gold testing support at the 50-day moving average near $2,010, with resistance now established at $2,035. The shift in rate expectations has reduced gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset, though geopolitical tensions continue to provide underlying support for safe-haven demand.

EURUSD USDCAD XAUUSD

Sentiment: Negative

Source: Marketaux

investing.com

Sep 18, 2025

USD bearish outlook persists despite volatile Fed reaction

The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains under pressure at 100.45, down 0.3% despite an initial spike following yesterday's Fed decision. EUR/USD has climbed to 1.1120 (+0.4%), while GBP/USD holds steady at 1.3155. The Fed's mixed messaging - combining a 25bp rate cut with hawkish dot plot projections - created whipsaw price action overnight. However, the broader dollar downtrend remains intact as markets focus on the start of the easing cycle. EUR/GBP trades flat at 0.8450, suggesting balanced flows between European currencies. Technical indicators point to further dollar weakness, with DXY support at 100.20 and resistance at 100.80. The divergence between Fed actions and projections has increased market uncertainty, but traders appear to be favoring the dovish interpretation. Near-term dollar direction depends on upcoming US economic data, particularly Friday's PCE inflation figures.

EURUSD GBPUSD EURGBP DXY

Sentiment: Negative

Source: Marketaux

investing.com

Sep 18, 2025

S&P 500 rises but bond yields surge post-Fed, impacting USD/JPY

S&P 500 futures gain 0.6% to 5,650 following the Fed's rate cut, but rising long-term Treasury yields create market divergence. The 10-year yield has jumped 8 basis points to 3.73%, its highest level in two weeks, as traders reassess the Fed's longer-term rate trajectory. USD/JPY has surged 0.7% to 142.50, benefiting from the widening US-Japan yield differential. NVIDIA leads tech gains (+2.1%), supporting risk sentiment despite bond market concerns. The disconnect between equity optimism and bond pessimism reflects uncertainty about the Fed's easing pace. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY resistance at 143.00, with support at 141.80. The 3-month Treasury yield remains elevated at 4.95%, suggesting limited near-term rate cut expectations. This stocks-bonds divergence could signal upcoming volatility, with implications for carry trades and risk assets.

USDJPY

Sentiment: Neutral

Source: Marketaux

investing.com

Sep 18, 2025

USD/CAD finds support at 1.3580 after BoC delivers first cut

USD/CAD has stabilized at 1.3585 (+0.1%) after the Bank of Canada delivered its first rate cut in six months, reducing the overnight rate by 25 basis points to 4.50%. The Canadian dollar showed resilience despite the dovish move, with strong support emerging at 1.3560. The BoC cited easing inflation pressures and slowing economic growth as justification for the cut, with Canadian CPI now at 2.7%. Oil prices have provided additional CAD support, with WTI crude rising 1.2% to $71.50/barrel. Technical indicators show immediate resistance at 1.3620, while the 200-day moving average at 1.3550 offers strong support. The divergence between Fed and BoC policy paths suggests potential range-bound trading near-term. Traders are monitoring upcoming Canadian employment data for further directional cues, with a break below 1.3560 potentially targeting 1.3500.

USDCAD

Sentiment: Neutral

Source: Marketaux

investing.com

Sep 18, 2025

NZD/USD Plunges on Weak GDP - RBNZ Rate Cut Expectations Surge

NZD/USD tumbled 1.2% to 0.6080 following shocking GDP data that significantly increased pressure on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to implement more aggressive rate cuts. New Zealand's economy contracted more than expected, prompting markets to price in a 75% probability of a 50 basis point cut at the next RBNZ meeting. The kiwi dollar's weakness extended against other majors, with AUD/NZD surging 0.9% to 1.0950 as relative economic performance favored the Australian dollar. Technical indicators show NZD/USD breaking below crucial support at 0.6100, with the next target at 0.6050. The 200-day moving average at 0.6150 now acts as resistance. Currency strategists warn that continued economic weakness could push the pair toward 0.6000 psychological support, particularly if the RBNZ signals an accelerated easing cycle in upcoming communications.

NZDUSD AUDNZD

Sentiment: Very Negative

Source: Marketaux

forexlive.com

Sep 18, 2025

AUD/NZD volatility spikes on diverging economic data from both nations

AUD/NZD experienced heightened volatility during Thursday's Asian session as contrasting economic releases from Australia and New Zealand triggered significant price swings. The pair initially surged 0.4% to 1.1085 following stronger-than-expected Australian employment data, with job additions reaching 42.3K versus 25.0K forecast. However, New Zealand's Q2 GDP growth of 0.8% quarter-on-quarter, beating expectations of 0.5%, prompted a sharp reversal, pulling the cross back to 1.1045. The diverging data highlights the relative strength of both economies, though Australia's labor market resilience suggests potential RBA hawkishness ahead. Technical indicators show the pair testing resistance at 1.1100, with support established at 1.1020. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming retail sales figures from both countries, which could determine whether AUD/NZD breaks above the current range or consolidates further.

AUDNZD AUDUSD NZDUSD

Sentiment: Neutral

Source: Marketaux

seekingalpha.com

Sep 18, 2025

USD/CAD forms head-and-shoulders pattern amid conflicting fundamentals

USD/CAD is displaying a classic head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily chart, currently trading at 1.3580 with the neckline positioned at 1.3520. The technical formation suggests potential downside to 1.3400 if broken, representing a 1.3% decline from current levels. Fundamental factors present a complex picture: while the Federal Reserve maintains its hawkish stance supporting USD strength, recent Canadian inflation data surprised to the upside at 2.7% year-on-year, increasing Bank of Canada rate hike probabilities. Oil prices hovering near $85/barrel provide additional CAD support given Canada's energy exports. The pair faces immediate resistance at 1.3620 (right shoulder high) and crucial support at the neckline. A decisive break below 1.3520 would confirm the bearish pattern, while failure to break could see a retest of 1.3700. Traders should monitor upcoming US retail sales and Canadian housing data for directional catalysts.

USDCAD

Sentiment: Negative

Source: Marketaux

forexlive.com

Sep 18, 2025

AUD/USD drops on surprise August job losses of 5.4K vs 22K expected

AUD/USD has declined sharply following Australia's unexpected employment contraction in August, with the pair dropping 0.5% to test 0.6420 support levels. The Australian economy shed 5,400 jobs compared to forecasts of 22,000 gains, marking a significant deterioration from July's 24,500 increase. The breakdown reveals concerning weakness with full-time employment plunging by 40,900 positions, only partially offset by 35,500 part-time job gains. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.2% solely due to a drop in participation to 66.8% from 67.0%, masking underlying labor market weakness. This disappointing data reinforces expectations for a dovish Reserve Bank of Australia stance, with markets now pricing increased odds of rate cuts in coming months. Technical indicators show AUD/USD breaking below its 50-day moving average at 0.6450, with next support at 0.6400. Traders should monitor upcoming Chinese economic data for additional directional cues.

AUDUSD

Sentiment: Very Negative

Source: Marketaux

Forexlive

Sep 18, 2025

AUD/USD falls as Australia posts 5.4K job losses, unemployment steady at 4.2%

AUD/USD has weakened following Australia's disappointing August labor market report, with employment contracting by 5,400 positions against expectations of a 22,000 increase. Despite the job losses, the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.2% due to a decline in the participation rate to 66.8% from the anticipated 67.0%. The composition of employment changes reveals severe weakness, with full-time positions plummeting by 40,900 while part-time employment rose by 35,500. This marks a sharp reversal from July's robust 60,500 full-time job gains. The soft labor data increases pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia to consider monetary easing, particularly as the participation rate decline prevented a spike in unemployment. Market participants are reassessing RBA rate expectations, with the Australian dollar vulnerable to further losses. Immediate support for AUD/USD lies at 0.6400, while resistance emerges at 0.6480. The pair's outlook remains bearish pending stabilization in employment trends.

AUDUSD

Sentiment: Negative

Source: Finnhub

forexlive.com

Sep 18, 2025

NZD extends losses after weak GDP data, RBNZ rate cut forecasts mount

The New Zealand dollar has extended its decline across major pairs following disappointing GDP data and increasing expectations for aggressive Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate cuts. NZD/USD has dropped 0.7% to 0.5980, approaching key psychological support at 0.5950, while NZD/JPY fell 1.2% as risk-off sentiment intensified. The catalyst was weaker-than-expected GDP figures showing the New Zealand economy continues to struggle with recessionary pressures. Market analysts now forecast the RBNZ will accelerate its easing cycle, with some predicting cuts totaling 75-100 basis points over the next six months. This dovish repricing reflects concerns about economic stagnation and the need for monetary stimulus. Technical indicators show NZD/USD has broken below its 200-day moving average, signaling potential for further downside toward 0.5900. The kiwi remains vulnerable to additional selling pressure, particularly if upcoming inflation data confirms disinflationary trends that would support aggressive RBNZ action.

NZDUSD NZDJPY

Sentiment: Very Negative

Source: Marketaux