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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Thursday, September 11, 2025

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News Statistics for Thursday, September 11, 2025

14
Total Articles
3
Bullish
4
Bearish
7
Neutral

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Archive date: Thursday, September 11, 2025

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nasdaq.com

Dollar Undercut by Fed Rate Cut Expectations and Euro Strength

The dollar index today gave up overnight gains and is down by -0.24%. The dollar retreated today after US weekly jobless claims unexpectedly rose to a 3.75-year high and Aug CPI was right on expectations, cementing expectations for at least a 25 bp rate cut by the Fed...
USDJPY
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD breaks above 1.1722 on ECB's hawkish shift and falling US yields

EUR/USD has surged above 1.1722, breaching the 100-hour moving average as markets respond to ECB President Christine Lagarde's notably hawkish comments. Lagarde stated that the disinflationary process is complete and trade uncertainties have diminished, signaling potential policy tightening ahead. The euro's strength is amplified by a significant decline in US Treasury yields, with the 10-year rate dropping below 4% for the first time since April 7, weakening dollar appeal. Technical momentum remains bullish with the pair clearing the key 100-hour moving average at 1.1722, opening the path toward 1.1750 resistance. The shift in ECB rhetoric contrasts sharply with market expectations for continued Fed easing, creating a favorable interest rate differential for the euro. Traders should monitor the 1.1722 level as new support, with sustained trading above this threshold potentially accelerating gains toward the 1.1800 psychological barrier.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD/JPY bearish as market uncertainty drives yen safe-haven demand

USD/JPY has declined 0.5% (75 pips) to 149.25 as heightened market uncertainty triggers safe-haven flows into the Japanese yen. The pair faces sustained selling pressure amid growing concerns about global economic stability and geopolitical tensions. The US Dollar Index has retreated from recent highs, falling 0.3% to 104.50, while Japanese government bond yields remain compressed, supporting the yen's defensive appeal. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum is intensifying, with the pair breaking below the key 150.00 psychological support level. The 50-day moving average at 149.80 now acts as immediate resistance, while further support lies at 148.50 (August low). Traders are closely monitoring upcoming US inflation data and any potential Bank of Japan policy shifts. A sustained break below 148.50 could accelerate the downtrend toward 147.00, particularly if risk-off sentiment persists in global markets.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

EUR/USD steady as ECB holds rates unchanged in September decision

EUR/USD trades sideways at 1.0920 following the European Central Bank's decision to maintain interest rates unchanged at its September monetary policy meeting, in line with market expectations. The ECB kept its deposit facility rate at 3.75%, refinancing rate at 4.25%, and marginal lending facility at 4.50%. President Christine Lagarde's accompanying statement suggested the central bank remains data-dependent, with inflation showing signs of moderating toward the 2% target. Market reaction was muted as traders had fully priced in the pause following recent economic data showing eurozone growth concerns. The pair found support at 1.0900 during the session, with resistance capped at 1.0945. Focus now shifts to upcoming US inflation data, which could provide directional clarity for the pair. A break above 1.0950 would target 1.1000, while failure to hold 1.0900 support could see a retest of 1.0850.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

USD/CAD advances to 1.3650 ahead of crucial US inflation report

USD/CAD has strengthened 0.4% (55 pips) to 1.3650 as the US dollar gains traction ahead of Wednesday's critical Consumer Price Index release. The pair's advance reflects renewed dollar buying amid heightened geopolitical tensions and expectations for sticky US inflation. Oil prices have stabilized near $78 per barrel, providing limited support for the commodity-linked Canadian dollar. Markets are pricing in a 70% probability that US core CPI will remain elevated at 3.2% year-over-year, potentially reinforcing the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance. Technical analysis shows USD/CAD breaking above the 1.3620 resistance level, with momentum indicators signaling further upside potential. Next resistance targets 1.3680 (September high), while support has formed at 1.3600. A stronger-than-expected inflation reading could propel the pair toward 1.3700, particularly if oil prices fail to recover and risk sentiment remains fragile.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EU prepares new Russia sanctions targeting oil and payment systems

EUR/USD remains stable near 1.0950 as the European Commission works on a new sanctions package against Russia, though President von der Leyen stated it's premature to provide exact timing or details. The proposed measures could target Russian payment and credit card systems, cryptocurrency exchanges, and oil-related sectors, potentially affecting European energy markets and the euro's stability. Markets are cautiously monitoring the situation as previous sanctions rounds have created volatility in EUR pairs due to energy price spikes and economic uncertainty. The lack of concrete details keeps traders in wait-and-see mode, with the euro showing resilience despite geopolitical headwinds. Technical levels show EUR/USD holding above the 1.0920 support, with resistance at 1.0980. The sanctions' final scope and timing will be crucial for determining their impact on European growth prospects and ECB policy considerations.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

GBP/USD consolidates near 1.3100 ahead of Fed and BoE decisions

GBP/USD is trading sideways around 1.3100, showing minimal movement as traders position cautiously before critical central bank decisions. The pair has entered a consolidation phase after last week's 0.5% decline, with markets awaiting clarity on monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of England. The Fed is expected to begin its rate-cutting cycle at next week's meeting, with markets pricing in a 70% chance of a 25bps cut, while the BoE remains more hawkish due to persistent UK inflation above 2.5%. Technical indicators suggest range-bound trading between 1.3050 support and 1.3150 resistance. The upcoming US CPI data will be crucial for Fed expectations, while UK employment data could influence BoE's stance. A break above 1.3150 could target 1.3200, while failure to hold 1.3050 might accelerate declines toward 1.3000 psychological support.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

Major FX pairs range-bound as markets await crucial US CPI data

Foreign exchange markets are experiencing subdued volatility with major currency pairs trading in tight ranges ahead of today's pivotal US CPI release. EUR/USD hovers near 1.0950, USD/JPY consolidates around 142.50, and GBP/USD remains anchored at 1.3100 levels. The Consumer Price Index data, expected to show headline inflation at 2.6% YoY (down from 2.9%), will significantly influence Federal Reserve rate cut expectations for September. Core inflation is forecast to remain sticky at 3.2% YoY. Asian and European sessions saw minimal price action as traders reduced positions before the high-impact release. A softer-than-expected reading could weaken the dollar across the board and potentially put a 50bps Fed cut in play, while hot inflation might strengthen USD and reduce rate cut bets. Implied volatility indicators suggest potential for sharp moves post-release.
EURUSD USDJPY GBPUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD pairs face pressure as IEA forecasts oil oversupply for 2025

Oil-sensitive currency pairs are experiencing volatility following the International Energy Agency's revised 2025 global oil supply forecast. The IEA now expects world oil supply to surge by 2.7 million barrels per day in 2025, significantly outpacing demand growth of just 740,000 bpd. This widening supply-demand gap, driven by OPEC+'s decision to increase production, is pressuring oil prices and impacting commodity-linked currencies. CAD/USD has weakened 0.2% as Canada's oil-dependent economy faces headwinds, while USD/NOK gained 0.4% with the Norwegian krone under pressure. The IEA warns of 'increasingly bloated oil balances' despite potential supply disruptions from Russia and Iran sanctions. For 2026, demand growth remains subdued at 700,000 bpd. Traders should monitor support levels at 1.3580 for USD/CAD and resistance at 11.20 for USD/NOK, as oversupply concerns could drive further commodity currency weakness through Q1 2025.
USDCAD USDNOK CADUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD faces pressure as markets eye potential 50bps Fed cut on cool CPI

The US dollar index (DXY) is trading defensively near 101.50 as markets position for potentially dovish CPI data that could trigger aggressive Federal Reserve easing. AUD/USD has climbed 0.2% to 0.6680, benefiting from USD weakness and improved risk sentiment. Markets are increasingly pricing the possibility of a 50bps rate cut at the September FOMC meeting if inflation shows meaningful deceleration toward the Fed's 2% target. Current Fed funds futures indicate a 35% probability of a larger cut, up from 20% last week. The Australian dollar gains additional support from firm commodity prices and China's latest stimulus measures. Technical analysis shows AUD/USD eyeing resistance at 0.6700, with momentum indicators turning bullish. A CPI reading below 2.5% YoY could accelerate USD selling and push AUD/USD toward 0.6750, while an upside surprise might trigger a relief rally in the greenback.
AUDUSD USDX
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD eyes ECB decision; AUD/USD and GBP/JPY show key sentiment shifts

Major forex pairs are experiencing notable sentiment shifts ahead of today's ECB meeting and US CPI release. EUR/USD trades at 1.0955, with markets expecting the ECB to cut rates by 25bps to 3.25%, potentially weighing on the euro. AUD/USD has gained 0.4% to 0.6685, supported by positive risk sentiment and expectations of dovish US inflation data. GBP/JPY surged 0.6% to 186.50, benefiting from yen weakness as BoJ officials signaled no rush to raise rates further. The Nasdaq 100's 1.2% overnight rally improved risk appetite, supporting high-beta currencies. Technical patterns suggest EUR/USD faces resistance at 1.0980, while a break below 1.0930 could accelerate declines. AUD/USD shows bullish momentum targeting 0.6700, and GBP/JPY eyes the 187.00 level. Today's ECB decision and US CPI will likely determine whether these sentiment shifts persist.
EURUSD AUDUSD GBPJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Asian FX faces uncertainty amid geopolitical tensions and mixed indicators

Asian currency markets are experiencing heightened volatility as geopolitical tensions clash with mixed economic indicators across the region. USD/JPY remains under pressure as safe-haven yen demand persists amid escalating regional uncertainties, while risk-sensitive pairs AUD/USD and NZD/USD struggle to find clear direction. The Australian dollar faces headwinds from concerns over Chinese economic growth, a key driver for commodity demand, while the New Zealand dollar awaits domestic data releases. EUR/USD continues to consolidate within recent ranges as traders balance ECB policy expectations against broader dollar dynamics. Market participants are adopting a cautious stance, with reduced position sizes reflecting the uncertain environment. Technical levels remain crucial, with USD/JPY testing support near recent lows, while AUD/USD and NZD/USD trade within established ranges. The conflicting signals between geopolitical risks and economic fundamentals suggest continued choppy trading conditions in the near term.
EURUSD USDJPY AUDUSD NZDUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/JPY under pressure as Nikkei hits record, yen strengthens

USD/JPY declined 0.4% to 142.85 during Asian trading as Japan's Nikkei 225 index reached another all-time high, boosting investor confidence in Japanese assets and strengthening the yen. The record equity performance reflects growing optimism about Japan's economic recovery and corporate earnings outlook, attracting foreign capital inflows that support yen demand. Mixed performance across other Asian equity markets highlighted Japan's relative outperformance, with Shanghai Composite down 0.2% while Korea's KOSPI gained 0.3%. The yen's strength extended against other major currencies, with EUR/JPY falling to 158.20 and GBP/JPY dropping to 181.45. Technical indicators show USD/JPY testing support at 142.80, with a break below potentially opening the path to 142.00. Resistance sits at 143.50, coinciding with the 50-day moving average. Traders are monitoring upcoming BOJ policy signals for further yen direction.
USDJPY EURJPY GBPJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
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