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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Monday, September 15, 2025

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News Statistics for Monday, September 15, 2025

17
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4
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7
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Archive date: Monday, September 15, 2025

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Forexlive

investingLive Americas FX news wrap: The melt up continues

September US Empire Fed -8.7 vs +5.0 expectedCanada manufacturing sales for July 2.5% versus 1.8% estimateCanada's Carney threatened to block Teck Resources merger if HQ not in CanadaThe US is hiring staff to fix CPI reportingCameco shares hit a record as US looks to boost national uranium stockpileGreer says US open to considering further action on tariff pause if talks are positiveBessent announces the US has reached a framework with China on TikTokBessent says US won't impose tariffs on...
USD EUR CAD
Source: Finnhub
nasdaq.com

Dollar Weighed Down by Fed Rate Cut Expectations

The dollar index today is down by -0.11%. The dollar is under pressure today as the Fed is expected to cut the fed funds target range by -25 bp at the conclusion of the Tue/Wed FOMC meeting. Also, today's rally in the S&P to a new record high...
USDJPY
Source: Marketaux
rttnews.com

USD Weakens as Major Central Bank Decisions Loom This Week

Global forex markets are exhibiting heightened caution as traders position ahead of critical interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and Bank of Japan scheduled for this week. The US dollar has shown notable weakness, with the DXY index declining approximately 0.5% as market participants increasingly price in a potential 25 basis point rate cut from the Fed on September 17. Current Fed funds futures indicate a 75% probability of easing, up from 60% last week. The anticipated policy divergence between central banks is creating volatility across major pairs, with EUR/USD testing 1.1100 resistance and GBP/USD approaching 1.3200. USD/JPY has retreated to 147.50 as BoJ rate hike speculation intensifies. Traders should monitor upcoming central bank communications closely, as any surprises could trigger significant market repositioning across all major currency pairs.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
rttnews.com

USD Weakens as Major Central Bank Decisions Loom This Week

Global forex markets are exhibiting heightened caution as traders position ahead of critical interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and Bank of Japan scheduled for this week. The US dollar has shown notable weakness, with the DXY index declining approximately 0.5% as market participants increasingly price in a potential 25 basis point rate cut from the Fed on September 17. Current Fed funds futures indicate a 75% probability of easing, up from 60% last week. The anticipated policy divergence between central banks is creating volatility across major pairs, with EUR/USD testing 1.1100 resistance and GBP/USD approaching 1.3200. USD/JPY has retreated to 147.50 as BoJ rate hike speculation intensifies. Traders should monitor upcoming central bank communications closely, as any surprises could trigger significant market repositioning across all major currency pairs.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD and GBP/USD Eye Key Resistance as Dow Targets 47,000

Technical analysis reveals bullish setups across major forex pairs and equity indices, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average showing potential for a rally to 47,000 if current support levels hold. EUR/USD is consolidating near 1.1080, with bulls targeting the 1.1150 resistance level amid dollar weakness. The pair has formed a bullish flag pattern on the 4-hour chart, suggesting continuation higher if 1.1050 support maintains. GBP/USD is testing the 1.3180 resistance zone, with momentum indicators showing room for further upside toward 1.3250. The FTSE 100 has broken above 8,350, confirming a bullish breakout pattern. Technical traders are watching the 200-day moving averages across these pairs as key dynamic support levels. Risk-on sentiment could accelerate if equity markets continue their upward trajectory, potentially weakening the dollar further against major currencies.
EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
rttnews.com

USD Drops 0.8% Weekly as Fed Rate Cut Expectations Surge

The US dollar experienced its sharpest weekly decline in six weeks, falling 0.8% against a basket of major currencies as market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut on September 17 intensified. The DXY index closed the week at 100.85, down from 101.70, marking a break below key technical support. Fed funds futures now price in an 85% probability of a 25 basis point cut, with some traders betting on a more aggressive 50 basis point reduction. EUR/USD surged 120 pips to 1.1090, while GBP/USD gained 95 pips to 1.3175. USD/JPY retreated to 147.20 as safe-haven flows benefited the yen. Recent US economic data, including softer inflation readings and cooling labor market conditions, has reinforced dovish Fed expectations. Traders should prepare for continued dollar weakness if the Fed signals an easing cycle at next week's FOMC meeting.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD: Dip Buyers Target Upside as Dollar Weakness Persists

EUR/USD is showing bullish momentum as dip buyers emerge amid persistent dollar weakness ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve decision. The pair has found solid support above 1.0500, with buyers stepping in on every minor pullback. The US Dollar Index has retreated from recent highs, pressured by growing expectations of a Fed rate cut this week, with markets pricing in a 95% probability of a 25 basis point reduction. Technical indicators suggest the pair could extend gains toward 1.0650 resistance if the current support holds. The 50-day moving average at 1.0580 is providing dynamic resistance, while the 1.0500 psychological level acts as key support. Traders are positioning for potential dollar weakness post-Fed, though any hawkish surprise could quickly reverse the current bullish setup. The overall market structure favors EUR/USD buyers as long as the pair maintains above the 1.0480 support zone.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD, USD/CAD Technical Outlook: Key Levels for Fed Week

Technical analysis reveals critical levels for major pairs ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision. GBP/USD is consolidating near 1.3100, with resistance at 1.3150 and support at 1.3050, as traders await both Fed and Bank of England policy signals. The pair's 20-day moving average at 1.3080 is acting as a pivot point, with momentum indicators showing neutral bias. USD/CAD has broken below 1.3600 support, now turned resistance, as oil prices remain elevated and Fed cut expectations weigh on the dollar. The pair is targeting 1.3520 support, with the 200-day moving average at 1.3650 capping any upside attempts. S&P 500 futures are holding above 5,600, suggesting risk-on sentiment that typically favors commodity currencies like CAD. Both currency pairs are likely to see increased volatility around the Fed announcement, with technical levels providing clear risk/reward setups for traders positioning ahead of the event.
GBPUSD USDCAD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

USD/CAD Forecast: Dollar Vulnerable Below 1.3600 on Fed Cut Bets

USD/CAD has declined 0.4% to 1.3550 as the dollar remains under pressure from heightened Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. Markets are fully pricing in a 25 basis point cut at this week's FOMC meeting, with some traders speculating on a potential 50 basis point reduction. The Canadian dollar is finding additional support from crude oil holding above $70 per barrel, benefiting Canada's export revenues. Technical analysis shows the pair has broken below the key 1.3600 support level, opening the path toward 1.3500 psychological support. The 50-day moving average at 1.3620 is now acting as dynamic resistance. Bank of Canada's relatively hawkish stance compared to the Fed's expected dovish pivot is creating a favorable environment for CAD strength. Traders should watch for any Fed communication regarding the pace of future cuts, as a more aggressive easing cycle could push USD/CAD toward the 1.3450 support zone.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Gold Prices Retreat from Highs as Traders Await Fed Decision

Gold prices have pulled back 0.8% to $2,575 per ounce as traders take profits ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision. The precious metal had surged to record highs above $2,600 last week on Fed rate cut expectations and geopolitical concerns. EUR/USD is trading steady near 1.0550, finding support from dollar weakness, while GBP/USD hovers around 1.3100 ahead of both Fed and Bank of England meetings this week. The US Dollar Index has declined to 100.50, its lowest level in two weeks, as markets position for monetary easing. Technical indicators suggest gold may find support at $2,560, with resistance at $2,590. The correlation between gold and major currency pairs remains strong, with dollar weakness typically supporting both gold and European currencies. Traders are cautious about taking large positions before the Fed announcement, leading to reduced volatility across forex and commodity markets.
EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD Resilient Despite France Credit Rating Downgrade

EUR/USD demonstrated remarkable stability following S&P's downgrade of France's credit rating from AA to AA-, trading near 1.1100 levels with minimal reaction to the negative news. The euro's resilience suggests markets had already priced in France's fiscal challenges, with the country's budget deficit expected to exceed 6% of GDP this year. The currency pair found support from broader dollar weakness, as traders await key US economic data releases this week. Technical indicators show EUR/USD holding above the crucial 1.1050 support level, with resistance at 1.1150. The muted response reflects growing market focus on ECB monetary policy rather than individual member state ratings. Traders should monitor upcoming Eurozone inflation data and any ECB commentary for near-term direction, as the pair consolidates within a tight range ahead of potential volatility catalysts.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDKRW
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD pairs range-bound ahead of crucial Fed decision this week

Major USD pairs are trading in tight 15-pip ranges during early Monday trading, with EURUSD holding steady at 1.0845, GBPUSD at 1.3120, and USDJPY at 149.50. Market participants are exercising extreme caution ahead of this week's FOMC meeting, which is expected to provide crucial guidance on the Fed's monetary policy trajectory for Q4 2025. The subdued volatility reflects traders' reluctance to establish significant positions before the central bank announces its decision on Wednesday. European markets opened with minimal movement, as investors await Tuesday's Eurozone inflation data and Wednesday's UK employment figures. Technical indicators suggest consolidation patterns across major pairs, with EURUSD respecting the 1.0830-1.0860 range. The upcoming Fed decision could trigger substantial volatility, particularly if the central bank signals any shift in its current hawkish stance or adjusts its dot plot projections for 2026.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD Focus: Fed Meeting Headlines Busy Central Bank Week

The Federal Reserve takes center stage this week with its highly anticipated policy meeting, likely to impact all major USD pairs including EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY. Markets are pricing in a 65% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, with the remaining 35% expecting rates to hold steady at 5.25-5.50%. The decision comes amid mixed economic signals, with inflation showing signs of moderating while labor markets remain resilient. Other major central banks including the Bank of England and Bank of Japan will also announce policy decisions, though market impact is expected to be more subdued. Technical levels show EUR/USD testing resistance at 1.1100, while USD/JPY finds support near 147.50. The Fed's forward guidance and dot plot projections will be crucial for determining near-term dollar direction, with any hawkish surprise likely to strengthen the greenback across the board.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
forexlive.com

AUDUSD drops 0.4% as weak China data dampens risk sentiment

AUDUSD declined 0.4% to 0.6420 during Asian trading following disappointing Chinese economic data that heightened concerns about Australia's largest trading partner. China's industrial production grew only 3.8% year-over-year in August, missing the 4.5% forecast, while retail sales increased 2.1% versus expectations of 2.5%. The weak data pressured commodity currencies, with AUDUSD breaking below the key 0.6450 support level. NZDUSD also fell 0.3% to 0.5880, reflecting broader risk-off sentiment in Asian markets. The disappointing figures raise questions about China's economic recovery trajectory and potential stimulus measures. Technical analysis shows AUDUSD approaching the 0.6400 psychological support, with momentum indicators turning bearish. Further downside toward 0.6380 appears likely if China's growth concerns persist, while any recovery faces resistance at 0.6450. Traders are monitoring US-China trade discussions for potential market impact.
AUDUSD NZDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
thestockmarketwatch.com

USDJPY consolidates near 149.80 ahead of BoJ and Fed meetings

USDJPY is trading in a narrow range around 149.80, showing limited movement as traders await key central bank decisions from both the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve this week. The pair has been confined to a 30-pip range (149.65-149.95) during Monday's Asian session, reflecting market uncertainty about potential policy divergence. Japan's economic stabilization policies have shown early signs of success, with recent inflation data meeting BoJ targets. However, geopolitical tensions and ongoing US-China trade negotiations continue to influence yen flows. Technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, with the pair respecting the 150.00 psychological resistance and finding support at 149.50. The upcoming BoJ meeting on Tuesday could provide direction, particularly if officials signal any shift in their ultra-accommodative stance. Wednesday's Fed decision remains the week's main event, potentially triggering significant USDJPY volatility depending on rate guidance.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux

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