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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Friday, September 19, 2025

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News Statistics for Friday, September 19, 2025

15
Total Articles
4
Bullish
6
Bearish
5
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Archive date: Friday, September 19, 2025

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Forexlive

investingLive Americas news wrap: SEC to propose rule to end quarterly reporting

SEC to propose rule change to end quarterly earnings reportsCanada July retail sales -0.8% vs versus 1.5% expectedFed's Kashkari: Becoming more confidence that tariff impact on inflation will be temporaryFed's Daly: Rate cut was to try to support the labor marketFed's Miran: Falling home prices will drive disinflationBaker Hughes US oil rig count +2New York Fed GDP Nowcast edges higher to 2.1%Trump: We made progress with China on several important issuesXi: Talks with Trump were positive and...
USD GBP JPY CAD
Source: Finnhub
forexlive.com

USD/CAD falls as Canada-US trade deal talks resume

USD/CAD dropped 0.4% to 1.3580 as the Canadian dollar strengthened on renewed optimism for bilateral trade negotiations. Canada's Trade Minister announced plans to visit Washington within the next two weeks, signaling progress in resolving ongoing trade disputes between the two nations. The loonie gained support as markets interpreted this development as potentially reducing trade-related uncertainties that have weighed on the currency. The move also coincided with WTI crude oil holding above $71 per barrel, providing additional support for the commodity-linked Canadian dollar. Technical indicators show USD/CAD breaking below the 1.3600 psychological level, with immediate support at 1.3550 (50-day moving average). Resistance now stands at 1.3620. Traders are monitoring developments closely, as successful trade negotiations could further boost CAD strength and potentially push USD/CAD toward the 1.3500 handle in the near term.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD weakens as Fed's Kashkari signals two more rate cuts in 2025

The US dollar index declined 0.2% following Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari's comments supporting two additional quarter-point rate cuts this year. Kashkari endorsed this week's rate reduction, citing unemployment risks that warrant Fed action. He noted the neutral rate has likely risen to 3.1%, suggesting Fed policy hasn't been as restrictive as previously thought. The Fed official remains open to accelerating cuts if labor market conditions deteriorate faster than expected, though he would pause if resilience continues or inflation rises. Regarding tariff impacts, Kashkari sees limited inflation risk, estimating increases unlikely to push inflation beyond 3%. His flexibility on future policy adjustments, including potential rate hikes if warranted, reinforces the data-dependent approach. For traders, this dovish stance supports continued dollar weakness against major currencies, with focus shifting to upcoming employment data.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY AUDUSD USDCAD NZDUSD USDCHF
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
rttnews.com

USD Weakens as Fed Rate Cut Rally Fades on Limited Easing Concerns

The US dollar has strengthened across major pairs as initial optimism from the Federal Reserve's first rate cut of 2025 quickly dissipated. Markets are reassessing the Fed's capacity for further easing, with traders scaling back expectations for aggressive rate reductions throughout the year. The dollar index (DXY) recovered 0.4% from post-Fed lows, climbing back above 103.50 as risk sentiment deteriorated. Fed officials' recent comments suggest a cautious approach to additional cuts, citing persistent inflation concerns and resilient labor market data. Technical indicators show the dollar testing resistance at 104.00, with support established at 103.20. Currency pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD have retreated from recent highs, declining 0.5% and 0.6% respectively. Traders are now focusing on upcoming US economic data, particularly inflation metrics and employment figures, which could determine the Fed's next policy moves and dollar trajectory.
EURUSD GBPUSD DXY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

GBP/USD Drops 0.8% as UK Borrowing Surge Sparks Fiscal Concerns

GBP/USD has declined sharply by 0.8% to 1.2650, pressured by alarming UK fiscal data showing public sector borrowing exceeded forecasts. August borrowing reached £13.7 billion, significantly above the £11.2 billion expected, marking the third-highest August figure on record. The overshoot raises concerns about the UK government's ability to meet fiscal targets while maintaining planned spending commitments. Year-to-date borrowing stands at £64.1 billion, £3.3 billion above last year's pace, threatening Chancellor's budget headroom. Market participants are pricing in potential tax increases or spending cuts in the upcoming Autumn Statement. Technical analysis shows GBP/USD breaking below the 1.2700 support level, with next support at 1.2600. Resistance now sits at 1.2720 (former support turned resistance). The pound's weakness could accelerate if UK gilt yields continue rising, reflecting growing investor concerns about the UK's fiscal sustainability and debt trajectory.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD Retreats to 1.1050 Following Fed-Induced Volatility

EUR/USD has corrected lower by 0.6% to 1.1050 in the aftermath of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, reversing earlier gains that pushed the pair above 1.1100. The initial surge following the Fed's rate cut proved unsustainable as traders reassessed the central bank's forward guidance and limited scope for aggressive easing. European economic concerns also weigh on the euro, with manufacturing PMI data continuing to show contraction across major economies. The pair found resistance at 1.1120 (September high) and has broken below the 1.1080 support level. Next support lies at 1.1030 (50-day moving average), while resistance has formed at 1.1100 psychological level. Trading volumes remain elevated as market participants position for potential ECB policy divergence and upcoming eurozone inflation data. The technical picture suggests further consolidation between 1.1030-1.1100 range, with downside risks prevailing if US economic data surprises to the upside.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

USD/JPY rebounds to flat after BOJ Governor Ueda's press conference

USD/JPY erased earlier losses to trade unchanged near 142.50 following Bank of Japan Governor Ueda's post-meeting press conference. The pair had declined 0.3% in Asian trading but recovered during European morning hours, supported by modest dollar strength across the board. Ueda's comments offered no surprises regarding Japan's monetary policy trajectory, maintaining the BOJ's cautious stance on policy normalization. The neutral tone disappointed yen bulls expecting more hawkish signals about potential rate adjustments. Technical indicators show immediate resistance at 143.00 (daily high), while support holds at 142.20 (Asian session low). The pair's reversal reflects broader dollar dynamics rather than Japan-specific factors. Traders await Friday's US economic releases and any further BOJ official commentary that could influence the yen's direction against the greenback.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

Central Banks' 2026 Rate Cut Expectations Show Divergent Policy Paths

Market pricing reveals significant divergence in central bank rate expectations through 2026, with the Federal Reserve leading anticipated easing at 113 basis points cumulative cuts. Current year-end expectations show Fed cuts of 44 bps despite slightly hawkish repricing this week, indicating persistent disagreement with FOMC projections. The Bank of England expects 40 bps of cuts by 2026, while the RBA and RBNZ anticipate 52 bps and 70 bps respectively. Notably, the ECB and SNB show minimal easing expectations with only 10 bps and 8 bps through 2026. The Bank of Japan remains the outlier, with markets pricing 53 bps of rate hikes by 2026. This divergence suggests varying economic pressures across regions, with implications for major currency pairs. USD pairs may face headwinds as aggressive Fed easing expectations persist, while JPY could strengthen on BOJ tightening prospects.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCAD AUDUSD NZDUSD USDCHF
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

Gold drops 0.8% post-Fed cut as traders reassess inflation outlook

Gold spot prices retreated 0.8% to $2,645 per ounce following the Federal Reserve's rate decision, as traders weigh persistent inflation risks against monetary easing. Despite the Fed delivering an expected rate cut, gold's typical inverse correlation with real yields broke down amid concerns about sticky inflation. The dollar index gained 0.3%, adding pressure on the precious metal. Market participants are recalibrating expectations for the Fed's easing cycle, with inflation concerns tempering rate cut enthusiasm. Technical analysis shows gold breaking below the $2,650 support level, targeting $2,630 as the next key support. Bitcoin also declined 1.2% to $62,500, reflecting broader risk-off sentiment in alternative assets. For forex traders, gold's weakness supports dollar strength against commodity-linked currencies like AUD and NZD, while safe-haven demand shifts toward USD and JPY.
XAUUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD USDCAD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD holds 1.1120 as positive US jobs data supports dollar

EUR/USD maintained levels near 1.1120, down 0.15% intraday, as unexpectedly positive US employment indicators provided dollar support. The latest jobless claims fell to 218,000, below forecasts of 225,000, marking rare positive news for the US labor market. USD/JPY advanced 0.4% to 142.80, while AUD/USD slipped 0.2% to 0.6880 amid dollar strength. NZD/USD similarly declined 0.25% to 0.6250. The improved jobs data reduces immediate pressure on the Fed for aggressive rate cuts, supporting dollar bulls. Technical resistance for EUR/USD sits at 1.1150 (weekly high), with support at 1.1080 (50-day moving average). Traders now await Friday's comprehensive Non-Farm Payrolls report, which could either reinforce or reverse current dollar momentum. The positive employment trend, if sustained, may prompt Fed officials to maintain a measured approach to future rate adjustments.
EURUSD USDJPY AUDUSD NZDUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/JPY surges as JGB yields hit 16-year highs on BOJ rate hike expectations

USD/JPY has jumped 0.8% to 157.20 as Japanese government bond yields surged following the Bank of Japan's policy meeting. The 2-year JGB yield spiked to 0.91%, its highest level since 2008, while 5-year yields reached 1.20%, also a 16-year high. The sharp move reflects market positioning for an imminent BOJ rate hike after board members Takata and Tamura dissented in favor of a 25 basis point increase, though the majority voted 7-2 to maintain current rates. The widening Japan-US yield differential continues to pressure the yen, with the 10-year spread now exceeding 350 basis points. Technical indicators show USD/JPY breaking above the 157.00 resistance level, with next targets at 157.50 and 158.00. The dramatic shift in JGB yields suggests traders are pricing in multiple rate hikes over coming quarters, potentially marking a significant policy shift for the BOJ after years of ultra-loose monetary policy.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
forexlive.com

USD/JPY Falls as BOJ Hawks Takata and Tamura Push for 75bps Rate Target

USD/JPY declined sharply following the Bank of Japan's latest policy decision, where board members Takata and Tamura dissented by voting to raise the short-term interest rate target to 0.75% from the current 0.50%. This hawkish stance from two influential policymakers signals growing momentum within the BOJ for more aggressive tightening, contrasting with the dovish expectations from other major central banks. The dissent suggests the BOJ may accelerate its normalization path in upcoming meetings, particularly if inflation remains elevated above target. Market participants are reassessing yen positioning, with the currency gaining strength across the board. Technical levels show USD/JPY breaking below key support, with immediate focus on the next support zone. The hawkish dissents reinforce Japan's divergent monetary policy trajectory, potentially establishing a sustained bullish trend for the yen against currencies facing easing cycles.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

CNY strengthens as China unveils urban consumption boost plan for 2030

The Chinese yuan has gained 0.2% against the dollar to 7.2450 as China's Ministry of Commerce and eight other departments announced an ambitious plan to create 10,000 '15-minute convenience living circles' across 100 cities by 2030. This policy aims to boost domestic consumption by developing neighborhood hubs that provide essential services within walking distance, addressing China's slowing retail sales growth which stood at 2.7% year-on-year in August. The initiative follows a series of stimulus measures aimed at reviving consumer spending amid property sector concerns and weak economic momentum. USD/CNY faces immediate support at 7.2400, with resistance at 7.2600. The announcement signals Beijing's commitment to structural economic reforms focused on domestic demand, potentially reducing reliance on exports. Traders should monitor upcoming Chinese retail sales and GDP data for confirmation of policy effectiveness, with further yuan appreciation likely if consumption metrics improve.
USDCNY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
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