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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Monday, September 22, 2025

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September 2025

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News Statistics for Monday, September 22, 2025

17
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5
Bullish
4
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8
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Archive date: Monday, September 22, 2025

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investing.com

GBP/USD – Bounces Off the Bottom

Market Analysis by covering: British Pound US Dollar, US Dollar Index Futures. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com
GBPUSD
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

Gold reaches record highs as safe-haven demand surges

Gold has surged to new all-time highs during the European morning session, breaking above $2,650 per ounce as safe-haven demand intensifies amid global economic uncertainties. The precious metal's rally has pressured the US dollar, with the DXY index declining 0.2% to 103.45. European equities showed mixed performance, with the DAX30 down 0.3% while the FTSE100 gained 0.1%. The sustained gold rally reflects growing concerns about global economic stability and expectations of continued monetary easing by major central banks. Technical indicators suggest strong momentum, with RSI readings in overbought territory above 70. Immediate resistance lies at $2,675, while support has formed at the previous high of $2,625. The gold surge typically correlates with dollar weakness, potentially benefiting EUR/USD and other major pairs against the greenback in upcoming sessions.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD faces pressure as ECB's Makhlouf warns on demographic risks

EUR/USD remains under pressure near 1.0620, down 0.15% in early Monday trading, as ECB Governing Council member Gabriel Makhlouf highlighted long-term demographic challenges facing the Eurozone. The Irish central banker warned that aging populations threaten job growth and could create segmented inflation dynamics, complicating the ECB's price stability mandate. While migration might partially offset these effects, Makhlouf emphasized it cannot fully counter demographic headwinds. The euro's weakness comes as markets digest the implications for future ECB policy, with demographic shifts potentially constraining growth and limiting the central bank's ability to normalize rates. Technical indicators show EUR/USD testing support at 1.0600, with resistance at 1.0650. Traders are positioning for potential further downside if demographic concerns weigh on long-term growth expectations, though near-term support could emerge from any positive Eurozone data releases this week.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
forexcrunch.com

AUD/USD rises 0.4% as RBA maintains hawkish stance

AUD/USD has climbed 0.4% (28 pips) to 0.6875 following upbeat comments from RBA Governor Michele Bullock, who stated the Australian economy remains 'in a good place' despite global headwinds. The governor's remarks reinforced the RBA's relatively hawkish position compared to other major central banks, supporting the Australian dollar. Australia's unemployment rate remains low at 3.7%, while inflation, though moderating, stays above the RBA's 2-3% target range at 4.1%. The central bank maintained its cash rate at 4.35% at the last meeting, signaling no immediate plans for rate cuts. Technical analysis shows AUD/USD breaking above the 50-day moving average at 0.6850, with next resistance at 0.6900. Support levels are identified at 0.6840 and 0.6820. The positive RBA tone contrasts with dovish expectations for the Fed, potentially driving further AUD/USD appreciation.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

USD/CHF steady as SNB expected to avoid negative rates at Thursday meeting

USD/CHF trades flat around 0.8450 ahead of Thursday's Swiss National Bank policy decision, the only major central bank meeting scheduled this week. Market consensus strongly expects the SNB to maintain its current 1.50% policy rate, steering clear of negative territory despite persistent Swiss franc strength. The SNB has been navigating between supporting exports through a weaker franc and controlling imported inflation. Recent Swiss CPI data showing inflation at 1.1% year-over-year provides the central bank room to hold steady without immediate pressure for aggressive action. Currency strategists note the SNB's reluctance to return to negative rates reflects confidence in current monetary settings. Technical analysis shows USD/CHF consolidating between 0.8420 support and 0.8480 resistance. A hawkish surprise could push the pair toward 0.8500, while any dovish tilt might test support levels. Traders are positioning defensively ahead of the announcement, with implied volatility remaining subdued.
USDCHF
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
financefeeds.com

FX volatility patterns shift between low and high interest rate environments

Foreign exchange volatility exhibits distinct patterns across different interest rate environments, with implications for trading strategies and risk management. Historical analysis shows that low-rate environments, characterized by compressed yield differentials, often feature range-bound currency movements and profitable carry trades. During these periods, bid-ask spreads typically tighten as market makers face lower funding costs. Conversely, high-rate environments tend to generate increased FX volatility as divergent monetary policies create sharper currency movements. The current transition from ultra-low to normalized rates has already impacted volatility patterns, with implied volatilities rising across major pairs. Traders adapting to this shift are adjusting position sizes and implementing more dynamic hedging strategies. The analysis suggests that as central banks maintain varied policy stances, cross-currency volatility could remain elevated, particularly in pairs involving currencies with significant rate differentials. This environment favors momentum-based strategies over traditional carry trades.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

XAU/USD approaches record highs above $2,650 on Fed rate cut expectations

Gold prices surge toward record territory, with XAU/USD climbing 1.2% to $2,652 per ounce as aggressive Federal Reserve rate cut expectations drive renewed buying interest. Markets are pricing in a 65% probability of a 50 basis point cut at the November FOMC meeting, following recent softer US economic data. The dollar index has weakened 0.8% to 100.20, providing additional tailwind for the precious metal. EUR/USD benefits from dollar weakness, advancing to 1.0680, while GBP/USD pushes above 1.3150. Technical indicators show gold testing resistance at the all-time high of $2,658, with momentum oscillators in overbought territory. Support has formed at $2,635, coinciding with the previous week's high. Traders are monitoring upcoming US GDP and PCE inflation data for further directional cues. The sustained rally in gold reflects persistent concerns about monetary policy divergence and ongoing geopolitical tensions supporting safe-haven demand.
XAUUSD EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY rallies to 144.50 as BoJ policy uncertainty weakens yen

USD/JPY has surged 0.9% to 144.50, marking the pair's strongest level in two weeks as concerns over Bank of Japan policy normalization weigh on the yen. Market participants are reassessing the BoJ's commitment to tightening after recent comments from board members suggesting patience in removing accommodation. The move accelerated after breaking above key resistance at 143.80, with momentum indicators turning bullish. Japanese 10-year yields remain anchored near 0.65%, failing to provide support for the currency despite the BoJ's policy adjustments. Technical analysis reveals next resistance at 145.00, a psychologically important level that coincides with the 50-day moving average. Support has shifted to 143.50, the former resistance level. Traders are positioning for potential further yen weakness ahead of Friday's Japanese CPI data, which could influence the BoJ's policy trajectory. The divergence between Fed and BoJ policies continues to favor USD/JPY upside in the near term.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY technical setup suggests selling opportunities near 150.00

USD/JPY technical analysis indicates potential selling opportunities as the pair approaches the psychologically significant 150.00 level, which has acted as strong resistance in recent sessions. The pair currently trades at 149.75, up 0.1% on the day, but momentum indicators suggest waning bullish strength. The RSI at 68 approaches overbought territory, while the MACD shows early signs of bearish divergence. Key resistance levels are identified at 150.00 and 150.50, coinciding with the September high. Support zones lie at 149.20 (20-day moving average) and 148.50 (50-day moving average). The Bank of Japan's recent policy normalization hints and verbal intervention warnings from Japanese officials add fundamental pressure to the technical setup. Traders are advised to watch for rejection patterns near 150.00, with potential downside targets at 148.50-149.00 range.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD, EUR/GBP focus shifts to central bank speakers

Currency markets await key central bank communications this week, with multiple Fed, ECB, and BoE officials scheduled to speak, potentially impacting EUR/USD and EUR/GBP trajectories. EUR/USD currently trades at 1.0625, maintaining a neutral stance after last week's 0.2% decline. EUR/GBP holds steady at 0.8435, consolidating within a tight range. The Dollar Index futures hover near 104.20, reflecting market uncertainty ahead of the speeches. Fed officials are expected to clarify the path forward after their recent cautious rate cut, while ECB members may address persistent eurozone inflation concerns. Technical setups show EUR/USD trapped between 1.0600 support and 1.0650 resistance, while EUR/GBP faces resistance at 0.8450. Market positioning remains balanced, with traders awaiting fresh directional catalysts from policymaker guidance on monetary policy trajectories.
EURUSD EURGBP
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
rttnews.com

Dollar gains 0.3% on Fed's cautious rate cut approach

The Dollar Index advanced 0.3% over the past week to 104.15, supported by the Federal Reserve's cautious approach to rate cuts despite reducing rates by 25 basis points to 5.00%. The Fed's dot plot revealed a more gradual easing path than markets anticipated, with only two additional cuts projected for 2025. The Bank of England and Bank of Japan maintained their current policy stances, providing no surprises to currency markets. Against major peers, the dollar gained 0.4% versus the euro (EUR/USD at 1.0615) and 0.2% against sterling (GBP/USD at 1.2480), while remaining flat against the yen (USD/JPY at 149.80). The dollar's resilience reflects market repricing of rate expectations and continued US economic outperformance. Near-term dollar support appears solid, with resistance for the index at 104.50.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

USD/JPY extends gains as yen weakness persists in Asia-Pacific trading

The Japanese yen continued its decline during Monday's Asia-Pacific session, with USD/JPY advancing 0.4% to trade near 151.20, marking its fourth consecutive day of losses. The yen's weakness stems from persistent divergence between the Bank of Japan's ultra-dovish stance and tightening monetary policies elsewhere, particularly as the Federal Reserve maintains its hawkish rhetoric. Market participants remain skeptical about any immediate BOJ policy shifts despite growing inflation pressures. Technical indicators suggest USD/JPY has broken above the key 151.00 resistance level, opening the path toward 152.00. The 150.50 zone now acts as immediate support. Traders are closely monitoring Japanese officials' verbal intervention attempts, though actual currency intervention seems unlikely unless the pair approaches the politically sensitive 155.00 level. The yen's broad-based weakness extends to crosses, with EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY also posting notable gains.
USDJPY EURJPY GBPJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

USD/JPY forecast raised to 143 as yen faces political headwinds

USD/JPY trading expectations have been revised higher by UBS, with new targets set at 143 by end-2025 and 140 by end-2026, up from previous forecasts. The yen faces multiple headwinds including Japanese political uncertainty following upcoming leadership changes, continued dovish stance from the Bank of Japan, and strong equity market performance drawing capital away from the safe-haven currency. Despite market pricing in another BoJ rate hike, UBS analysts expect the pair to remain largely range-bound between 140-150. The forecast revision reflects persistent yen weakness amid domestic challenges, though potential US labor market deterioration could limit dollar strength. Technical traders should monitor the 140 level as key psychological support and 150 as resistance, with political developments potentially triggering volatility within this range.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

Japan PM candidate Hayashi: Weak yen fueling cost-push inflation

Japanese Prime Minister candidate Hayashi highlighted the weak yen's contribution to inflation pressures, citing currency depreciation combined with rising oil costs from the Ukraine conflict as drivers of cost-push inflation. Speaking as Chief Cabinet Secretary, Hayashi noted that Japan's historical preference for a weaker yen has diminished, acknowledging risks that Federal Reserve rate cuts could strengthen the yen and impact Japan's export-dependent economy. He confirmed the Bank of Japan's monetary policy alignment with government thinking while promising economic stimulus measures to address rising living costs if elected. The comments signal potential policy shifts that could support yen appreciation, as political leadership candidates increasingly recognize the negative effects of excessive currency weakness on domestic purchasing power. Markets are closely watching the leadership race for signals on future fiscal and monetary policy coordination.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub

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