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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Friday, September 26, 2025

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News Statistics for Friday, September 26, 2025

10
Total Articles
1
Bullish
5
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4
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Archive date: Friday, September 26, 2025

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rttnews.com

USD Weakens as Markets Await Crucial PCE Inflation Data

The US Dollar has come under pressure across major pairs as traders position ahead of Friday's critical PCE inflation release, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. USD/JPY has declined 0.5% to 143.20, while EUR/USD gained 0.3% to 1.0630 as markets reassess the Fed's rate cut trajectory. Current market pricing shows reduced expectations for aggressive Fed easing, with only 50 basis points of cuts priced in through year-end, down from 75 basis points last week. The upcoming PCE data will be pivotal in determining whether the Fed maintains its current pace of monetary policy normalization. Analysts expect core PCE to show a 0.2% monthly increase, which would keep annual inflation at 2.6%. Technical indicators suggest USD/JPY faces strong resistance at 144.50, while support emerges at 142.80. A softer-than-expected PCE reading could accelerate dollar weakness and reignite rate cut speculation.
USDJPY EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD Hits 7-Week Low as Fed Rate Cut Expectations Diminish

GBP/USD has declined sharply to a 7-week low near 1.3320, dropping 0.8% (110 pips) as reduced Federal Reserve rate cut expectations bolster the US dollar. Markets have significantly repriced Fed policy expectations following robust US economic data, with the probability of a 50-basis-point cut in November falling from 65% to just 35%. The pound faces additional pressure from ongoing UK economic uncertainties and diverging monetary policy outlooks between the Bank of England and Fed. Technical indicators show GBP/USD breaking below the crucial 1.3350 support level, opening the path toward 1.3300 psychological support. Immediate resistance now stands at 1.3380, coinciding with the 50-day moving average. Traders should monitor upcoming US PCE inflation data and UK GDP revisions, which could either accelerate the bearish momentum or provide temporary relief for sterling buyers.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD Strengthens on Strong Q2 GDP Data, PCE Inflation Data Awaited

The US dollar index has surged 0.5% to 101.85, propelled by stronger-than-expected Q2 GDP data showing 3.0% annualized growth versus 2.8% forecast. EUR/USD retreated 0.4% to 1.1120, while USD/JPY advanced 0.6% to 144.50 as the greenback gained across the board. The robust economic performance reinforces expectations for a more gradual Fed easing cycle, supporting dollar bulls. However, traders remain cautious ahead of Friday's core PCE inflation data, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, which could temper the rally if it shows continued disinflation. Technical analysis reveals the dollar index approaching resistance at 102.00, a break above which could trigger further gains toward 102.50. Support for EUR/USD sits at 1.1100, while USD/JPY faces resistance at 145.00. The dollar's near-term trajectory will largely depend on whether upcoming inflation data confirms the Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts.
EURUSD USDJPY DXY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD Rebound Expected to Lose Momentum Despite Recent Gains

Despite the US dollar index climbing 0.4% to 101.75, analysts suggest the current rebound lacks sustainable momentum. EUR/USD has pulled back to 1.1125 from recent highs, while USD/JPY trades at 144.30, but underlying fundamentals point to limited upside for the greenback. The Fed's dovish pivot remains intact with markets still pricing in 75 basis points of cuts by year-end, despite recent strong data. European and Japanese economic indicators show improvement, potentially limiting dollar strength against major peers. Technical patterns suggest the dollar index faces strong resistance at 102.20, with failure to break above likely triggering renewed selling pressure. EUR/USD maintains bullish structure above 1.1100 support, targeting 1.1200 on any dollar weakness. Traders should view current dollar strength as a correction within a broader downtrend, with selling opportunities emerging near resistance levels across major pairs.
EURUSD USDJPY DXY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/CAD Falls as Canadian Dollar Hits 2-Month High Below 1.3500

USD/CAD has declined 0.7% to 1.3480, marking the Canadian dollar's strongest level in two months as oil prices surge and BoC rate cut expectations moderate. WTI crude oil's rally above $71 per barrel provides significant support for the commodity-linked loonie, while recent Canadian inflation data at 2.5% suggests the Bank of Canada may pause its easing cycle. The pair broke below the psychologically important 1.3500 level and the 200-day moving average at 1.3510, signaling bearish momentum. Technical indicators point to further downside with immediate support at 1.3450, followed by 1.3400. Resistance now stands at 1.3520-1.3540 zone. The Canadian dollar's strength could accelerate if oil prices maintain upward trajectory and upcoming Canadian employment data surprises to the upside. Traders should monitor crude oil movements and relative central bank policies for directional cues.
USDCAD DXY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD Uptrend Stalls at 1.1200 Resistance, Pullback Develops

EUR/USD has retreated 0.3% from intraday highs to 1.1140 as the recent uptrend encounters strong resistance at the 1.1200 psychological level. The pair's impressive 2.5% rally over the past two weeks appears overextended, prompting profit-taking ahead of key risk events. US dollar index has stabilized around 101.60, finding support as traders reassess aggressive Fed easing expectations. Technical indicators suggest the pullback could extend toward 1.1100 initial support, where the 20-day moving average converges with horizontal support. A break below would target 1.1050, while bulls need to clear 1.1200 convincingly to resume the uptrend toward 1.1275. The correction appears healthy within the broader bullish structure, offering better entry levels for euro bulls. Key catalysts include Friday's US PCE data and next week's ECB meeting minutes, which could provide fresh directional momentum.
EURUSD DXY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY Plunges Below 144 as Fed Rate Cut Expectations Diminish

USD/JPY has tumbled 0.8% to 143.50 in early Asian trading, marking its sharpest daily decline in two weeks as the Japanese Yen strengthens amid shifting Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. The pair's weakness reflects growing market skepticism about aggressive Fed easing, with futures markets now pricing just a 35% probability of a 50-basis-point cut in December, down from 60% earlier this month. The Yen's rally has been further supported by rising Japanese government bond yields, with the 10-year JGB yield climbing to 0.85%, its highest level since July. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY has broken below the critical 144.00 support level, opening the path toward 142.50. The 21-day moving average at 144.80 now acts as immediate resistance. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming US PCE inflation data and any signals from Bank of Japan officials regarding potential policy normalization, which could further strengthen the Yen.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
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