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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Tuesday, September 23, 2025

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September 2025

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News Statistics for Tuesday, September 23, 2025

14
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4
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4
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6
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Archive date: Tuesday, September 23, 2025

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Forexlive

Economic calendar in Asia Wednesday, September 24, 2025 - Australian inflation data

Treat today's inflation data from Australia as a guide only. Monthly readings are not as reliable as quarterly readings. Indeed, Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock earlier this week:Will still rely very heavily on the quarterly Australian CPI reportThe monthly CPI data from Australia does not show all components of the CPI, that'll have to wait for the quarterly data release .
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD/CHF sellers dominate as pair holds below 200-hour MA at 0.7920

USD/CHF continues to face selling pressure, trading below the crucial 200-hour moving average at 0.7920, which has become a key resistance level keeping bears in control. The pair attempted to break lower during Asian trading, testing the swing area support zone between 0.79104-0.79209, where buyers emerged to defend the level. This technical battleground has seen multiple tests, with sellers maintaining the upper hand as long as price remains below the 200-hour MA. The pair's inability to reclaim this moving average signals persistent dollar weakness against the Swiss franc, likely influenced by safe-haven flows amid broader market uncertainty. Traders are closely monitoring whether support at 0.79104 holds; a break below could accelerate losses toward 0.7900 psychological support. Conversely, a sustained break above the 200-hour MA at 0.7920 would shift near-term momentum back to buyers, potentially targeting resistance at 0.7940-0.7950.
USDCHF
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

Nasdaq Steady as Markets Await Fed Powell Speech on Rate Outlook

Major US indices showed consolidation Monday with the Nasdaq 100 holding steady after Nvidia's recent rally, as traders positioned ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Powell's upcoming speech. EUR/USD remained range-bound near 1.1050, showing minimal movement as markets digested mixed signals from both regions. GBP/USD maintained its position around 1.3300, with traders cautious about taking directional bets before Powell's remarks. The FTSE 100 tracked sideways alongside European peers. Market participants are focused on Powell's speech for clues about the Fed's rate trajectory following last week's 50 basis point cut. Technical indicators suggest a wait-and-see approach across major pairs, with implied volatility remaining subdued. The dollar index held near 101.00 as traders balanced expectations for further Fed easing against concerns about the pace of cuts.
EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD Forms Bullish Flag at 1.3520 with Higher Targets in Focus

GBP/USD consolidated near 1.3520 Monday, forming a bullish flag pattern that suggests potential for further upside momentum. The pair has gained approximately 0.2% (26 pips) in early trading, supported by technical buying interest and a softer dollar index trading at 100.85. The bullish flag formation, a continuation pattern following the recent rally from 1.3400, points to possible targets at 1.3600 and 1.3650 if the pattern completes successfully. Immediate support lies at 1.3480, coinciding with the flag's lower boundary and the 20-period moving average. The dollar index futures showed weakness, down 0.15%, providing additional tailwind for sterling. Technical momentum indicators including RSI at 58 remain constructive without being overbought. A decisive break above 1.3550 would confirm the bullish continuation, while failure to hold above 1.3480 could negate the positive setup.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
zerohedge.com

Gold Hits Record Highs as Markets Pause Before Powell Speech

Risk assets consolidated Monday with major equity indices pausing their recent rally ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Powell's anticipated speech on monetary policy outlook. Gold surged to fresh all-time highs above $2,650 per ounce, gaining 0.8% as investors sought safe-haven assets amid policy uncertainty. The dollar remained largely unchanged against major peers, with EUR/USD holding near 1.1050 and GBP/USD steady around 1.3300. Market participants are positioning cautiously, awaiting clarity on the Fed's rate path following last week's aggressive 50 basis point cut. The pause in risk appetite reflected across forex markets, with implied volatilities declining as traders avoided taking significant directional bets. Gold's record rally underscores persistent concerns about monetary policy normalization and geopolitical tensions, supporting demand for traditional safe havens despite the broader risk-on environment.
EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD Holds 1.1100 as Euro PMIs Beat but Lack Breakout Momentum

EUR/USD traded sideways near 1.1100 Monday despite Euro area PMI data exceeding expectations, as the improvements proved insufficient to spark a decisive breakout. The Eurozone Composite PMI rose to 49.6 from 48.9, beating forecasts of 49.1, while Manufacturing PMI improved to 45.2 versus 45.0 expected. Despite the positive surprise, readings below 50 still indicate economic contraction, limiting euro upside potential. The pair gained a modest 0.1% (11 pips) to 1.1105 but remained capped by resistance at 1.1120. EUR/GBP edged lower to 0.8480 as sterling showed relative strength. Technical indicators suggest consolidation continues, with the 50-day moving average at 1.1090 providing near-term support. Traders await Tuesday's German IFO business climate data and Fed commentary for clearer directional signals, with the euro requiring more substantial economic improvements to sustain moves above 1.1150.
EURUSD EURGBP
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
rttnews.com

USD weakens as Fed officials signal caution on future rate cuts

The US dollar faced broad selling pressure as Federal Reserve officials expressed caution regarding the pace of future rate cuts, creating uncertainty in global markets. Several Fed policymakers suggested a more gradual approach to monetary easing, tempering market expectations for aggressive rate reductions in 2024. This hawkish tilt initially supported the dollar but ultimately led to position unwinding as traders reassessed the Fed's commitment to supporting economic growth. The shift in Fed communication has rippled through forex markets, with major pairs showing increased volatility as investors adjust their rate differential calculations. The dollar index retreated from recent highs, while risk-sensitive currencies found support. Market participants are now closely watching upcoming Fed speeches and economic data releases for clearer guidance on the monetary policy trajectory. The cautious Fed stance suggests a data-dependent approach, keeping traders on edge ahead of key inflation and employment reports.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY AUDUSD NZDUSD USDCAD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

GBP Faces Pressure as BoE's Pill Warns of Persistent UK Inflation

GBP/USD remains under pressure near 1.3150 as Bank of England MPC member Huw Pill highlighted concerns about stubbornly high UK inflation and wage pressures. Pill noted that domestic inflation is falling at a slow pace, with underlying price pressures not yet aligned with targets. He specifically pointed to Brexit-related labor market changes and reduced workforce participation as factors enabling larger wage markups that could sustain inflationary pressures. The recent UK budget's tax changes have also directly impacted inflation expectations. Despite these concerns, Pill expressed increased comfort with the balance of inflation risks compared to 6-12 months ago. Technical analysis shows GBP/USD facing resistance at 1.3200, with support at 1.3100. The pound's outlook remains clouded by the BoE's challenge of balancing persistent inflation against growth concerns.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD/JPY faces pressure as BoJ policy speculation intensifies

USD/JPY momentum has stalled as market attention shifts to potential Bank of Japan policy adjustments, creating uncertainty for the currency pair. The dollar's recent advance against the yen has lost steam amid speculation that the BoJ might signal a shift away from its ultra-loose monetary policy stance. Japanese officials have hinted at reviewing yield curve control measures, sparking yen buying interest and capping USD/JPY gains. The pair faces a critical juncture as traders weigh diverging monetary policies between the Fed and BoJ. Technical indicators suggest waning bullish momentum for USD/JPY, with the pair struggling to maintain gains above key resistance levels. Market positioning data shows reduced long dollar positions against the yen, reflecting growing caution. Traders await the next BoJ meeting for clarity on policy direction, which could trigger significant volatility in USD/JPY. Near-term support lies at 147.50, while resistance emerges at 149.00.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/CAD Strength Expected as Loonie Remains G10 Underperformer

USD/CAD continues to trade firmly above 1.3500 as analysts project the Canadian dollar will remain the weakest performer among G10 currencies. The loonie faces multiple headwinds including diverging monetary policy expectations between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada, with the BoC expected to maintain a more dovish stance amid cooling domestic economic conditions. Oil price volatility and concerns about Canadian housing market stability add further pressure on CAD. Technical indicators suggest USD/CAD could test resistance at 1.3600 in the near term, with solid support established at 1.3450. The pair's upward trajectory is reinforced by relative USD strength and persistent concerns about Canada's economic outlook. Traders are positioning for continued CAD weakness, particularly if upcoming Canadian GDP data disappoints expectations.
USDCAD EURUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Gold Hits New Record High Above $2,650 on Fed Rate Cut Bets

Gold prices surged to a fresh all-time high of $2,652 per ounce, gaining 1.2% as markets increasingly price in Federal Reserve rate cuts for the coming meetings. The precious metal's rally reflects growing expectations that the Fed will need to ease monetary policy amid signs of economic slowdown. This development has weakened the US dollar index by 0.4% to 102.50, providing additional support for gold. The inverse correlation between gold and USD continues to influence forex markets, with EUR/USD advancing to 1.0920 and AUD/USD climbing above 0.6850. Technical analysis shows gold facing minimal resistance with next psychological target at $2,700. The sustained bullish momentum in gold suggests continued dollar weakness ahead, potentially benefiting major currency pairs against the greenback. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming Fed communications for confirmation of the dovish policy shift.
EURUSD AUDUSD XAUUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD Eyes 1.1900 as Bulls Target Mid-September Highs

EUR/USD has advanced to 1.1820, approaching the critical 1.1840 supply zone that has capped recent rallies. The pair has gained 0.5% (60 pips) in early trading as euro strength combines with broad dollar weakness. Technical analysis indicates that a decisive break above 1.1840 would clear the path toward mid-September highs near 1.1900, representing a potential 80-pip move from current levels. The bullish momentum is supported by improving risk sentiment and expectations of diverging monetary policies between the ECB and Fed. Key support has formed at 1.1780, coinciding with the 20-day moving average. Volume patterns suggest increasing buyer interest above 1.1800. Traders are positioning for a potential breakout, with stop-losses clustered below 1.1780. A successful breach of 1.1840 resistance could trigger accelerated buying toward the psychologically important 1.1900 level.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD, GBP/USD await key PMI data from Europe and UK sessions

EUR/USD trades sideways near 1.0500 ahead of crucial flash PMI releases from France, Germany, and the Eurozone during Tuesday's European session. Markets are closely monitoring these indicators following the ECB's completion of its easing cycle, as the central bank shifts to observing economic developments through year-end. GBP/USD remains rangebound around 1.3200 as traders await UK PMI data, with the Bank of England maintaining a hawkish pause while seeking additional data before considering policy adjustments. The manufacturing and services PMI readings will provide insights into economic momentum across major European economies. Strong PMI figures could support the euro and pound against the dollar, while disappointing data might pressure both pairs lower. Technical levels show EUR/USD facing resistance at 1.0550 and support at 1.0450, while GBP/USD encounters resistance near 1.3250.
EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD softens ahead of European PMI releases, majors consolidate

The dollar index declined modestly in Monday's trading, with major currency pairs showing limited directional conviction as markets await fresh catalysts. EUR/USD holds near 1.0850 while GBP/USD trades around 1.3150, both gaining marginally against the greenback. Market participants are positioning cautiously ahead of today's European PMI data releases, which could provide direction for the euro and sterling. The preliminary September manufacturing and services PMI figures from Germany, France, and the broader Eurozone are expected to show continued economic challenges, potentially limiting euro upside. Technical indicators suggest major pairs remain range-bound, with EUR/USD facing resistance at 1.0880 and support at 1.0820. The overall forex market exhibits a tentative tone, reflecting uncertainty about global growth prospects and central bank policy trajectories. Traders should monitor the PMI releases closely as significant deviations from consensus could trigger breakouts from current ranges.
EURUSD GBPUSD DXY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub

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