AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

nasdaq.com

Sep 16, 2025

USD Index Falls to 2-Month Low as Gold Hits Record on Fed Rate Cut Bets

The US Dollar Index declined 0.42% to reach a 2.25-month low as markets price in a 25 basis point rate cut at Wednesday's FOMC meeting conclusion. Gold surged to fresh record highs, capitalizing on dollar weakness and increased Fed easing expectations through year-end. Market positioning suggests traders anticipate an aggressive easing cycle, with futures markets pricing in multiple rate cuts before 2025. The dovish Fed pivot comes amid cooling inflation data and softening labor market conditions. Technical indicators show the dollar index breaking below key support at 101.50, with next targets at 100.80. Gold's momentum remains strong above $2,580/oz, with immediate resistance at $2,600. The bearish dollar outlook could accelerate if the Fed signals a more accommodative stance than currently priced in, potentially benefiting commodity currencies and risk assets.

DXY

Sentiment: Very Negative

Source: Marketaux

Forexlive

Sep 16, 2025

Gold breaks $2,700 to all-time high ahead of Fed decision

Gold prices surged above $2,700 per ounce to reach a new all-time high, gaining over 1.2% as traders position ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve policy decision. Strong US retail sales data and higher import prices initially supported the dollar, but persistent labor market weakness has solidified expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut - the first since December. Markets are pricing in additional easing through 2025 and into 2026, weakening the dollar and boosting gold's appeal. Technical analysis shows the August lows found strong support above the 100-day moving average at $2,650, reinforcing the bullish trend. The precious metal's rally reflects both safe-haven demand and expectations of lower real yields. Immediate resistance sits at the psychological $2,750 level, while support has formed at $2,680. Traders await the Fed's dot plot projections, which could trigger further volatility in both gold and currency markets.

XAUUSD

Sentiment: Very Positive

Source: Finnhub

investing.com

Sep 16, 2025

Nasdaq 100 Trading at Record Level as US Retail Sales Jump

Market Analysis by covering: Euro US Dollar, British Pound US Dollar, Nasdaq 100, FTSE 100. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com

GBPUSD

Source: Marketaux

rttnews.com

Sep 16, 2025

Markets pause ahead of Fed rate decision and dot plot projections

Global financial markets entered a holding pattern Monday as traders await the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and updated economic projections scheduled for Wednesday afternoon. Currency markets showed mixed movements with the dollar index trading flat near 100.50 as investors weighed conflicting economic signals. Recent US data presented a mixed picture: retail sales and import prices exceeded expectations, suggesting economic resilience, while labor market indicators continue showing weakness. Markets have fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut, marking the Fed's first easing since December. The focus extends beyond the immediate decision to the Fed's dot plot projections for 2025-2026, which could significantly impact dollar positioning. Major forex pairs traded in tight ranges, with EUR/USD hovering near 1.1050 and GBP/USD at 1.3150. Implied volatility measures suggest traders expect significant moves post-announcement, particularly in USD crosses.

EURUSD GBPUSD DXY

Sentiment: Positive

Source: Marketaux

Forexlive

Sep 16, 2025

USD under pressure as Bessent hints at rate hikes amid Trump inflation concerns

The US dollar faces downward pressure as Treasury Secretary nominee Bessent indicated Trump would support rate hikes if inflation persists, contradicting market expectations of policy easing. Bessent noted Trump believes the Fed is "behind the curve" on inflation, suggesting a more hawkish stance than anticipated. He expressed confidence that inflation will start declining, citing the inverted front end of the yield curve while noting the long end remains well-anchored. Regarding tariffs, Bessent confirmed the administration expects Supreme Court backing and plans to use tariffs to help pay down debt. The comments signal potential policy divergence between the administration and Fed, with Bessent waiting to see if the Fed remains neutral or accommodative. These hawkish signals contrast with market positioning for rate cuts, potentially supporting dollar strength if inflation concerns materialize into actual policy tightening.

EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY

Sentiment: Neutral

Source: Finnhub

forexcrunch.com

Sep 16, 2025

USD/CAD Drops as CAD Gains on Strong Factory Sales, Fed Decision Awaited

USD/CAD declined as the Canadian dollar strengthened following robust domestic manufacturing data, with factory sales showing unexpected resilience despite ongoing tariff uncertainties. The loonie's bullish momentum reflects Canada's manufacturing sector outperforming expectations, contrasting with softer US economic indicators. Markets are positioning ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve decision, where a 25 basis point rate cut is widely anticipated. The diverging economic performance between the US and Canada supports CAD strength, with Canadian manufacturing demonstrating adaptability to trade challenges. Technical analysis shows USD/CAD testing support near 1.3550, with a break below potentially accelerating losses toward 1.3500. Resistance remains at 1.3620 (50-day moving average). The pair's direction will largely depend on the Fed's forward guidance and any surprises in the dot plot projections, with a dovish tilt likely pressuring USD/CAD further lower.

USDCAD

Sentiment: Negative

Source: Marketaux

investing.com

Sep 16, 2025

GBP/USD, DAX Forecast: 2 Trades to Watch

Market Analysis by covering: British Pound US Dollar, DAX, US Dollar Index Futures. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com

GBPUSD

Source: Marketaux

investing.com

Sep 16, 2025

EUR/USD eyes July highs above 1.1800 ahead of critical Fed decision

EUR/USD has broken above 1.1800 for the first time since early July, gaining 0.5% in Monday's session as traders position ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision. The pair's rally reflects growing expectations for a dovish Fed pivot, with markets pricing in potential rate cuts amid cooling US economic indicators. Technical analysis shows EUR/USD targeting the significant July highs near 1.1850, with momentum indicators supporting further upside potential. The break above 1.1800 represents a key psychological and technical milestone, opening the path toward the 1.1900-1.2000 resistance zone. Immediate support has formed at 1.1750, with the 50-day moving average providing additional backing at 1.1720. Traders are closely monitoring Fed communication for any shift in monetary policy stance, which could either accelerate euro gains or trigger profit-taking if the Fed maintains its hawkish rhetoric.

EURUSD

Sentiment: Very Positive

Source: Marketaux

thestockmarketwatch.com

Sep 16, 2025

EUR/USD targets $1.20 for potential four-year high on Fed dovishness

EUR/USD is mounting a significant rally toward the crucial $1.20 level, which would mark a four-year high for the currency pair. The euro's strength stems from diverging monetary policy expectations, with markets anticipating a more dovish Federal Reserve stance while the European Central Bank maintains relative hawkishness. European economic data has shown surprising resilience, supporting the euro's appreciation against the dollar. The psychological $1.20 level represents a major resistance point not seen since 2021, with technical indicators suggesting strong bullish momentum. A successful break above this level could trigger accelerated gains toward $1.22-$1.25 range, attracting trend-following traders and potentially shifting long-term market dynamics. However, traders should monitor any shifts in Fed communication or unexpected European economic weakness that could derail the upward trajectory. Near-term support sits at $1.18, providing a cushion for any temporary pullbacks.

EURUSD

Sentiment: Very Positive

Source: Marketaux

forexlive.com

Sep 16, 2025

EUR/USD breaks above 1.1800 reaching highest levels since early July

EUR/USD surged 0.5% to 1.1814 on Monday, breaching the psychologically important 1.1800 level for the first time since early July. The pair's strength reflects broad-based dollar weakness as traders reassess Federal Reserve rate expectations ahead of upcoming policy decisions. The break above 1.1800 confirms a bullish technical setup, with the pair clearing multiple resistance levels that had capped gains for several months. Momentum indicators suggest further upside potential, with the next major resistance at July's peak near 1.1850. The move aligns with shifting market sentiment favoring the euro amid improving European economic fundamentals and questions about US monetary policy direction. Traders are now eyeing the 1.1850-1.1900 zone as the next upside target, while support has formed at the former resistance of 1.1800. A sustained break above current levels could signal a longer-term trend reversal in favor of the euro.

EURUSD

Sentiment: Positive

Source: Marketaux

investing.com

Sep 16, 2025

GBP/USD approaches 4-year high as UK jobs data shows cooling labor market

GBP/USD is testing multi-year highs despite UK employment data revealing a cooling labor market, highlighting the complex dynamics driving sterling strength. The latest UK jobs report showed signs of labor market softening, with unemployment ticking higher and wage growth moderating from previous elevated levels. However, the pound continues to benefit from broad dollar weakness and expectations that the Bank of England will maintain relatively higher interest rates compared to other major central banks. The approach to four-year highs near 1.3500 represents a significant technical milestone, with traders watching for either a breakout or resistance-driven reversal. The cooling labor market data may actually support further GBP gains by reducing pressure on the BoE to hike rates aggressively while maintaining the UK's yield advantage. Key support levels sit at 1.3400 and 1.3350, while a break above 1.3500 could accelerate gains toward 1.3600.

GBPUSD

Sentiment: Positive

Source: Marketaux

investing.com

Sep 16, 2025

AUD/USD reaches 10-month high at 0.6850 but RSI warns of reversal

AUD/USD climbed to a 10-month high of 0.6850, gaining 0.4% (28 pips) during Monday's session as the Australian dollar benefited from broad-based USD weakness and positive risk sentiment. The pair has rallied over 5% from August lows, supported by resilient Australian employment data and China's recent stimulus measures boosting commodity demand. However, technical indicators flash warning signals with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reaching overbought territory above 70, suggesting potential exhaustion in the upward momentum. The 14-day RSI at 72.5 marks the highest reading since January, historically preceding pullbacks. Immediate resistance lies at 0.6875 (November 2023 high), while the first support level sits at 0.6800 (psychological level) followed by 0.6750 (50-day moving average). Traders should monitor Wednesday's Fed decision and Australian employment data Thursday for directional catalysts, with overbought conditions favoring profit-taking on rallies.

AUDUSD

Sentiment: Positive

Source: Marketaux

Forexlive

Sep 16, 2025

EUR/USD faces pressure as EU Commission prioritizes AI competitiveness

EUR/USD is trading near 1.0820, showing mild weakness as European Commission President von der Leyen unveiled ambitious AI and competitiveness initiatives. The announcement of AI gigafactory pilot projects signals the EU's push to compete with global tech leaders, requiring massive public and private investment. Von der Leyen emphasized translating Mario Draghi's competitiveness report into actionable policies, highlighting concerns about job losses to non-market economies. The three pillars - closing innovation gaps, joint decarbonization plans, and defense urgency for competitiveness - suggest significant capital allocation shifts ahead. While these long-term structural reforms could strengthen the eurozone economy, immediate market reaction reflects concerns about required investment outlays. Technical indicators show EUR/USD testing support at 1.0815, with resistance at 1.0845. Traders should monitor European equity flows and any ECB commentary on financing these initiatives.

EURUSD

Sentiment: Neutral

Source: Finnhub

investing.com

Sep 16, 2025

USD/JPY drops to 141.20 as yen gains safe-haven bid before Fed

USD/JPY declined 0.6% (85 pips) to 141.20 as the Japanese yen attracted safe-haven flows ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve policy decision. The pair extended losses from Friday's 142.50 high as markets increasingly price in a dovish Fed pivot with a 25 basis point rate cut fully expected. The yen's strength reflects both risk-off positioning and narrowing US-Japan yield differentials, with the 10-year spread compressing to 350 basis points from recent 380bp highs. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY broke below the key 142.00 support level, opening the path toward 140.50 (August low). The 200-day moving average at 141.80 now acts as immediate resistance. Bank of Japan officials' recent hawkish comments about potential rate normalization provide additional yen support. Traders watch for potential intervention risks if USD/JPY approaches 140.00, while Wednesday's Fed guidance could accelerate the dollar's decline against the yen.

USDJPY

Sentiment: Negative

Source: Marketaux

forexlive.com

Sep 16, 2025

Dollar weakens across the board as European session opens

The US dollar extended overnight losses as European markets opened Monday, with the Dollar Index (DXY) falling 0.3% to 100.45 amid growing expectations for a dovish Federal Reserve stance at Wednesday's policy meeting. EUR/USD advanced 0.25% to 1.1065, while GBP/USD gained 0.2% to 1.3170 as traders continued positioning for Fed easing. The dollar's weakness reflects market conviction that the Fed will deliver a 25 basis point rate cut and signal further easing through 2025. Asian session data showed continued dollar selling pressure with USD/JPY dropping to 141.30 and AUD/USD reaching 10-month highs. European economic calendars remain light, keeping focus on Fed expectations. Technical indicators suggest the DXY could test 100.00 psychological support if current momentum persists. Major resistance for dollar pairs sits at recent highs: EUR/USD at 1.1100, GBP/USD at 1.3200. The dovish Fed narrative continues dominating forex flows ahead of Wednesday's announcement.

EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY AUDUSD DXY

Sentiment: Negative

Source: Marketaux

investing.com

Sep 16, 2025

Gold Approaches Record High as Markets Position for Fed Rate Cut

Gold prices surge near all-time highs as traders position for an expected Federal Reserve rate cut at this week's FOMC meeting. The precious metal benefits from broad dollar weakness and shifting monetary policy expectations, with markets pricing in a 25 basis point reduction. EUR/USD shows resilience above 1.0900, while GBP/USD maintains gains near 1.3150 ahead of the Fed decision. AUD/USD also advances, supported by risk-on sentiment and commodity strength. Technical indicators suggest gold's momentum remains intact above $2,575/oz, with record highs at $2,589 providing immediate resistance. A break above could trigger acceleration toward $2,600 psychological level. The dovish Fed pivot represents a significant shift in monetary policy stance, potentially marking the beginning of an easing cycle that could further pressure the dollar and boost gold's appeal as an inflation hedge and safe-haven asset.

EURUSD GBPUSD AUDUSD XAUUSD

Sentiment: Positive

Source: Marketaux

Forexlive

Sep 16, 2025

GBP/USD awaits UK jobs data as pound consolidates near 1.3150

GBP/USD is trading flat at 1.3150 ahead of Tuesday's UK labour market report, which includes August payrolls data and July unemployment and wage figures. The pound has maintained a cautious tone as UK labour conditions continue their gradual slowdown, with markets expecting the unemployment rate to edge higher from 4.2% to 4.3%. Average earnings growth is forecast to moderate to 5.1% from 5.4% previously, potentially supporting the Bank of England's case for maintaining its current policy stance. Sterling has found support at 1.3120 (Monday's low) while resistance sits at 1.3185 (Friday's high). The data release could provide fresh directional momentum for the pair, with stronger-than-expected wage growth likely to support GBP buyers. However, a sharp deterioration in employment conditions might trigger pound selling, especially with the Fed decision looming on Wednesday.

GBPUSD

Sentiment: Neutral

Source: Finnhub

investing.com

Sep 16, 2025

USD/CHF consolidates as Fed rate cut expectations cap franc weakness

USD/CHF is maintaining a narrow range around 0.8450, with the Swiss franc's bearish bias limited by evolving Federal Reserve policy expectations. The pair has struggled to sustain upward momentum despite underlying franc weakness, as markets price in potential Fed rate cuts later this year. Technical analysis reveals immediate resistance at 0.8480, coinciding with the 50-day moving average, while support holds at 0.8420. The correlation with US 2-year Treasury yields remains strong, with any decline in yields likely to pressure USD/CHF lower. Safe-haven flows continue to provide intermittent support for the franc during risk-off episodes. The Swiss National Bank's dovish stance contrasts with the Fed's data-dependent approach, creating a complex dynamic for the pair. Traders should watch upcoming US inflation data and Fed communications for directional catalysts, with a break above 0.8480 potentially opening the path to 0.8520.

USDCHF

Sentiment: Neutral

Source: Marketaux

investing.com

Sep 16, 2025

USD/JPY Consolidates in Tight Range as Volatility Pressures Build

USD/JPY remains confined within a narrow trading range as market participants await clarity on monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan. The pair shows signs of consolidation with building volatility pressures, suggesting a potential breakout ahead of key risk events. Technical indicators point to compression between 147.50 support and 148.20 resistance, with decreasing trading volumes indicating market indecision. Options positioning reveals elevated implied volatility for the week, reflecting uncertainty around the Fed's rate decision and potential BoJ intervention risks. The yen's safe-haven status could reassert if global risk sentiment deteriorates or if the Fed delivers a more aggressive easing message. Traders should monitor the 147.00 level as a key support threshold, while a break above 148.50 could signal renewed dollar strength. Near-term direction likely depends on relative central bank policy shifts.

USDJPY

Sentiment: Positive

Source: Marketaux

thestockmarketwatch.com

Sep 16, 2025

EUR strengthens as Japan LDP race uncertainty weighs on risk sentiment

The euro has gained 0.2% against major peers, with EUR/JPY rising to 157.80 and EUR/USD advancing to 1.0835 amid shifting global market dynamics. Japan's Liberal Democratic Party leadership race is creating political uncertainty, weakening the yen as candidates debate monetary policy directions. Meanwhile, Trump's $15 billion lawsuit against the New York Times adds to US political noise, though direct forex impact remains limited. The euro's strength reflects relative stability compared to political uncertainties elsewhere, with European bonds maintaining steady yields. India's bond market stability, despite global volatility, suggests emerging market resilience isn't pressuring major pairs. Technical analysis shows EUR/JPY facing resistance at 158.00, while EUR/USD targets 1.0850. Risk sentiment remains fragile, with any escalation in political tensions likely to benefit traditional safe havens. Traders should monitor Japanese political developments for potential BOJ policy shifts.

EURJPY EURUSD USDJPY

Sentiment: Positive

Source: Marketaux

forexlive.com

Sep 16, 2025

USD index drops to 100.50 as Fed rate cut expectations intensify

The US dollar index has declined 0.5% to 100.50, hitting its lowest level in two weeks as traders position for Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting. Markets are pricing in an 85% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut, up from 65% last week, following recent softer US economic data. The greenback has weakened against all major counterparts, with EUR/USD climbing above 1.1100 and GBP/USD holding above 1.3150. Technical indicators show the dollar index breaking below its 50-day moving average at 100.85, with next support at 100.20 (August low). The Fed's dot plot and Powell's press conference will be crucial for dollar direction, as any dovish surprise could accelerate the current selloff. Conversely, a hawkish hold or smaller-than-expected cut might trigger a sharp dollar recovery from oversold conditions.

EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY

Sentiment: Very Negative

Source: Marketaux

forexlive.com

Sep 16, 2025

AUD/USD gains 0.4% as Asia FX strengthens ahead of FOMC meeting

AUD/USD has advanced 0.4% to 0.6750 during Asian trading, supported by broad US dollar weakness and positive risk sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting. The Australian dollar is benefiting from a general rally in Asia-Pacific currencies, with USD/JPY dropping below 141.00 and NZD/USD climbing above 0.6200. Fed officials Cook and Miran's attendance at Wednesday's FOMC meeting has heightened expectations for policy accommodation, with markets now fully pricing in at least one rate cut. The Aussie has broken above resistance at 0.6730 (20-day moving average), targeting the 0.6780 level next. Chinese economic data due later this week could provide additional catalysts for AUD movement. Traders remain cautiously optimistic, though any hawkish Fed surprise could quickly reverse recent gains in commodity currencies.

AUDUSD USDJPY NZDUSD

Sentiment: Positive

Source: Marketaux

Forexlive

Sep 16, 2025

USD/JPY faces pressure as Japan confirms smooth US trade agreement

USD/JPY is experiencing downward pressure following Japan's Foreign Minister Hayashi's confirmation that the US-Japan tariff agreement is being implemented smoothly by both parties. The statement reinforces bilateral trade stability and reduces uncertainty around potential trade frictions that could impact currency flows. Japan's satisfaction with the agreement suggests continued cooperation in trade policy, which traditionally supports yen strength through stable export conditions. The development comes amid heightened global trade tensions, particularly in strategic industries, making this bilateral stability more significant for market participants. While specific price levels weren't mentioned, the positive trade relationship typically reduces safe-haven demand for the dollar against the yen. Traders should monitor upcoming Japanese trade balance data and any US response to gauge further directional bias. The confirmed trade harmony may limit USD/JPY upside potential in the near term, especially if risk-on sentiment improves globally.

USDJPY

Sentiment: Negative

Source: Finnhub