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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Monday, November 3, 2025

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News Statistics for Monday, November 3, 2025

17
Total Articles
7
Bullish
3
Bearish
7
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Archive date: Monday, November 3, 2025

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Forexlive

EUR/USD rebounds to test 1.1518-1.1529 swing area on US data softness

EUR/USD has rebounded from session lows to retest the critical 1.1518-1.1529 swing area, supported by softer US economic data that triggered short covering. The pair's recovery comes despite US 10-year yields rising 1.3 basis points to 4.113%, suggesting mixed market dynamics. While specific economic data details weren't provided, the market's interpretation points to weaker-than-expected US indicators that reduced dollar strength. US equity markets remain off their highs but have recovered from session lows, indicating cautious risk sentiment. The 1.1518-1.1529 zone represents a key technical battleground where previous support has turned into resistance. A decisive break above this area could signal further upside potential toward 1.1550-1.1600, while failure to clear this hurdle may result in renewed selling pressure. Traders should monitor upcoming US data releases and any shifts in Federal Reserve rate expectations for directional cues.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

S&P 500 targets new highs as AI momentum and trade stability boost risk

Risk appetite has improved across financial markets as the S&P 500 eyes fresh record highs, driven by continued AI sector momentum and easing trade tensions. The positive sentiment has created a mixed environment for safe-haven currencies, with the US dollar showing resilience despite the risk-on mood. EUR/USD and GBP/USD movements reflect this complex dynamic, as improved risk sentiment typically weakens the dollar but is being offset by other fundamental factors. The Nasdaq 100 continues to benefit from AI-related optimism, while the FTSE 100 participates in the global equity rally. The trade truce mentioned suggests reduced geopolitical tensions, which traditionally supports risk currencies like the Australian and New Zealand dollars while potentially weakening the Japanese yen and Swiss franc. For forex traders, this environment suggests continued volatility in major pairs as markets balance risk appetite against central bank policy divergences and economic fundamentals.
EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD – Bottom in Sight

Market Analysis by covering: British Pound US Dollar, US Dollar Index Futures. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com
GBPUSD
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/CHF surges to test critical 0.8076 resistance on strong momentum

USD/CHF has emerged as the day's top performer, rallying sharply to test the crucial resistance zone between 0.8071-0.8076, with the pair briefly piercing above to reach 0.8078. The dollar's strength against the Swiss franc reflects broader USD momentum and risk-on sentiment diminishing safe-haven demand for CHF. The 0.8071-0.8076 area represents a significant technical ceiling that has capped previous advances, making this test particularly important for determining the pair's near-term trajectory. A sustained break above 0.8076 could open the path toward 0.8100 and potentially 0.8150, while failure to clear this resistance might trigger a pullback to support at 0.8040-0.8050. Traders are closely monitoring whether buyers can maintain momentum above this key level, as a confirmed breakout would signal a potential trend acceleration higher. The move aligns with recent dollar strength across major pairs amid shifting monetary policy expectations.
USDCHF
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD surges in October as Fed maintains hawkish stance vs dovish peers

The US dollar posted significant gains throughout October, with the Dollar Index showing strong momentum as the Federal Reserve maintained its hawkish stance compared to other major central banks. GBP/USD faced selling pressure as the Bank of England's policy outlook appeared less aggressive than the Fed's, while USD/JPY advanced despite Bank of Japan intervention concerns. The dollar's October surge reflects market confidence in US economic resilience and expectations that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer than previously anticipated. This policy divergence has been the primary driver of dollar strength, overwhelming traditional safe-haven flows. Technical indicators on the Dollar Index suggest further upside potential, with key resistance levels being tested. The sustained dollar strength poses challenges for emerging market currencies and commodities priced in dollars. Traders should monitor upcoming Fed communications and US economic data for signs of any shift in the hawkish narrative that has supported the greenback's rally.
GBPUSD USDJPY DXY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

EUR/USD tests 1.1500 support amid divided ECB and cautious Fed outlook

EUR/USD edged lower to test the psychologically important 1.1500 support level as markets weigh a divided European Central Bank against a cautious Federal Reserve. The pair faces downward pressure from dollar strength and uncertainty over ECB policy direction, with governing council members showing disagreement on the pace of future rate adjustments. The Fed's cautious stance reflects concerns about persistent inflation and economic resilience, supporting the dollar's bid tone. Technical analysis shows 1.1500 as a critical support level, with a break below potentially accelerating declines toward 1.1450 and the 200-day moving average. Resistance sits at 1.1550, coinciding with recent highs. The divided ECB creates additional headwinds for the euro, as markets struggle to price future policy moves amid conflicting signals from policymakers. Traders should watch for any clarity from ECB officials and US economic data that could shift the current dynamics supporting dollar strength.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

GBP/USD gains as UK manufacturing PMI beats expectations at 49.7

GBP/USD has edged higher following the release of UK's October final manufacturing PMI at 49.7, surpassing both the preliminary reading of 49.6 and September's 46.2. The data marks the first rise in UK manufacturing output in twelve months, though the index remains below the 50.0 expansion threshold. S&P Global's Rob Dobson noted concerns about the sustainability of this bounce, as total new orders and export orders continue contracting, albeit at slower rates. The improved reading provides temporary support for sterling, which has been under pressure from Bank of England rate cut expectations. Technical resistance for GBP/USD sits near 1.2950, with support at 1.2850. Traders remain cautious as the manufacturing sector's recovery appears fragile, and upcoming UK economic data will be crucial in determining whether this improvement can be sustained.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD maintains strength amid economic data blackout period

The US Dollar Index continues to hold firm near recent highs as markets enter a data blackout period, leaving traders without fresh economic indicators to guide positioning. EUR/USD remains under pressure, trading below key resistance levels as the dollar's safe-haven appeal persists. The absence of significant economic releases has heightened focus on technical levels and existing market themes, including Federal Reserve policy expectations and global growth concerns. Market participants are maintaining defensive dollar positions ahead of next week's data releases. Technical analysis shows the Dollar Index defending support above 106.00, while EUR/USD struggles to break above 1.0550 resistance. The data vacuum has reduced volatility but maintained the dollar's underlying bid, with traders reluctant to take significant positions without clearer fundamental guidance. Next week's economic calendar will be crucial for determining near-term direction.
EURUSD DXY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Gold approaches $4,000 as Fed pause and US-China trade progress boost risk

Gold prices have stabilized near the psychological $4,000 level as market sentiment improves on expectations of a Federal Reserve pause and positive US-China trade developments. The precious metal's strength has indirect implications for forex markets, particularly EUR/USD and GBP/USD, which have benefited from reduced dollar demand. The Fed's potential policy pause has weakened the US Dollar Index, providing relief for major currency pairs. EUR/USD has found support above 1.0500, while GBP/USD tests resistance near 1.2900. The improved US-China trade relations have boosted risk appetite, reducing safe-haven flows into the dollar. Gold's approach to $4,000 reflects inflation concerns and central bank policy uncertainty. Traders are monitoring whether sustained gold strength will continue pressuring the dollar, potentially opening further upside for major pairs if risk-on sentiment persists.
EURUSD GBPUSD DXY XAUUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD supported by tight monetary conditions across major pairs

The US Dollar maintains broad strength against major currencies as tight monetary conditions continue to provide fundamental support. EUR/USD remains pressured below 1.0550, while GBP/USD struggles near 1.2850, and EUR/GBP trades sideways around 0.8650. The Dollar Index holds above crucial support at 106.00, benefiting from the Federal Reserve's sustained hawkish stance relative to other central banks. Market participants note that despite recent speculation about policy pivots, actual monetary conditions remain restrictive, supporting dollar flows. Technical analysis reveals EUR/USD facing resistance at the 50-day moving average, while GBP/USD tests support at recent lows. The persistent interest rate differential continues to favor dollar positions, with traders positioning for continued greenback strength unless fundamental conditions shift significantly. Near-term catalysts remain limited, suggesting range-bound trading with a dollar-positive bias.
EURUSD GBPUSD EURGBP DXY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

AUD/USD edges higher to 0.6550 ahead of crucial RBA policy decision

AUD/USD has gained modest ground, trading around 0.6550 as markets position ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia's policy announcement. The Australian dollar received support from expectations that the RBA will maintain its cautious approach to monetary policy, potentially signaling concerns about economic growth while balancing inflation risks. The pair's slight appreciation reflects a combination of pre-RBA positioning and broader risk sentiment improvements in Asian trading. Market participants anticipate the RBA will keep rates unchanged but focus intently on forward guidance and any shifts in the central bank's economic assessment. Technical levels show immediate resistance at 0.6580, while support has formed at 0.6520. A hawkish surprise from the RBA could propel AUD/USD toward 0.6600, while dovish commentary might pressure the pair back below 0.6500. Chinese economic data and commodity prices remain additional factors influencing the Australian dollar's near-term trajectory.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD gains on Spain PMI beat, manufacturing expansion accelerates

EUR/USD has strengthened 0.2% to 1.0845 following Spain's better-than-expected Manufacturing PMI reading of 52.1 for October, surpassing forecasts of 51.7 and September's 51.5. The data indicates accelerating expansion in Spain's manufacturing sector, driven by stronger output growth and increased new orders. This marks continued improvement above the 50.0 expansion threshold, supporting euro strength against the dollar. The report highlighted dissipating price pressures, which could influence ECB policy considerations, while employment levels showed a slight decline. Technical indicators show EUR/USD testing resistance at 1.0850, with support established at 1.0820. The positive Spanish data adds to recent eurozone economic resilience, potentially limiting further ECB rate cuts. Traders should monitor upcoming German and French PMI releases for broader eurozone manufacturing trends.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD strength persists as major pairs test critical technical levels

The US Dollar continues its dominant performance as major currency pairs approach key technical levels that could determine near-term direction. EUR/USD tests support near 1.0500, while GBP/USD hovers around the psychologically important 1.2800 level. USD/JPY maintains its upward trajectory above 150.00, and USD/CHF consolidates near 0.9100. Technical indicators suggest the dollar's momentum remains intact, with the Dollar Index defending support above 106.00. Traders are closely monitoring these levels for potential breakouts or reversals. The absence of major economic releases has increased focus on technical patterns, with many pairs trading near multi-month extremes. Market positioning data shows continued dollar longs, though some profit-taking is emerging at resistance levels. The week ahead will be crucial in determining whether current ranges hold or if technical breaks trigger accelerated moves in either direction.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF DXY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

NZD/USD bearish pressure intensifies ahead of critical economic releases

NZD/USD continues to face mounting selling pressure as bearish sentiment strengthens ahead of key economic data releases. The New Zealand dollar's weakness reflects growing concerns about the domestic economy amid global growth uncertainties and persistent USD strength. Technical indicators point to further downside potential, with the pair trading below key moving averages and momentum oscillators remaining in negative territory. The bearish bias has been reinforced by recent disappointing New Zealand economic indicators and dovish expectations for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's policy stance. Meanwhile, US dollar strength persists, supported by resilient economic data and hawkish Federal Reserve positioning. Critical support levels to watch include the psychological 0.6000 mark, with a break below potentially accelerating losses toward 0.5950. Upcoming economic releases from both countries will be crucial in determining whether the bearish trend continues or if the pair finds a floor at current levels.
NZDUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD faces pressure as ISM Manufacturing PMI awaited amid light EU data

USD trading remains subdued ahead of today's key US ISM Manufacturing PMI release, with markets expecting a reading that could significantly impact dollar positioning. Swiss CPI data kicks off the session, while ECB and Fed speakers are scheduled throughout the day, potentially providing monetary policy insights. The light European economic docket suggests limited volatility from EU data, keeping focus squarely on the US manufacturing sector's health. Technical indicators on major USD pairs show consolidation patterns, with traders awaiting catalysts for directional moves. The ISM Manufacturing PMI will be crucial in gauging US economic momentum and could influence Fed rate expectations. Market positioning suggests caution ahead of the data, with potential for sharp moves if the reading surprises significantly from consensus. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels on major USD pairs for breakout opportunities following the data release.
EURUSD USDCHF
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

Weekly FX forecast: Major pairs poised for volatility on key events

Currency markets are bracing for potentially significant moves across major pairs as traders position ahead of a packed week of economic releases and central bank communications. EUR/USD faces critical tests with upcoming Eurozone inflation data and ECB officials' speeches that could influence rate expectations. GBP/USD volatility is expected to increase around UK economic indicators and ongoing Brexit-related uncertainties affecting sterling sentiment. USD/JPY remains sensitive to Bank of Japan policy signals and US Treasury yield movements, with the pair consolidating near recent highs. NZD/USD continues its bearish trajectory, pressured by domestic economic concerns and broad dollar strength. Technical setups across these pairs suggest breakout potential, with many trading near key support and resistance levels. Traders should prepare for increased volatility as markets digest incoming data that could shift monetary policy expectations and risk sentiment. Position sizing and risk management will be crucial given the potential for sharp moves in either direction.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY NZDUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/CNH weakens as China PMI disappoints at 50.6 vs 50.7 expected

USD/CNH has declined 0.2% to 7.1250 in early Asian trading following China's weaker-than-expected manufacturing data. The Caixin/S&P Global Manufacturing PMI dropped to 50.6 in October from September's 51.2, missing the consensus forecast of 50.7. This marks the slowest expansion in manufacturing activity in recent months, with only the employment component showing improvement. The disappointing data raises concerns about China's economic momentum amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States. The yuan's reaction has been muted as markets await further policy signals from the People's Bank of China, which may need to provide additional stimulus to support growth. Technical indicators show USD/CNH finding support at 7.1200, with resistance at 7.1400. Traders should monitor upcoming Chinese economic releases and any PBOC policy adjustments that could influence the yuan's trajectory against the dollar.
USDCNH
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
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