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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Wednesday, November 5, 2025

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News Statistics for Wednesday, November 5, 2025

15
Total Articles
2
Bullish
10
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3
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Archive date: Wednesday, November 5, 2025

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Forexlive

USD/CAD retreats as the Trump admin tests the Supreme Court

Trump's tariff agenda is on trial at the Supreme Court, with arguments taking place today.In today's session, several judges questioned the arguments of Trump's team, suggesting that broad and national security tariffs overstep the language of the law he used; one that cites the 'regulation' of foreign trade.On that, North American automaker shares gained 3-4%. That sector is one under particularly high stakes for Canada in the tariff battle.
USD CAD
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

EUR/USD Tests Critical Support as Bearish Channel Approaches Decision Point

EUR/USD is consolidating near major support levels as the pair tests the boundaries of its established bearish channel formation. The currency pair has been trading in a descending channel pattern for several weeks, with current price action coiling near the lower boundary around 1.0500-1.0520 support zone. Technical indicators suggest a make-or-break moment as momentum oscillators show oversold conditions while the pair struggles to break above the channel's resistance. The dollar index remains elevated near 106.50, maintaining pressure on the euro despite recent consolidation. Traders are closely monitoring whether EUR/USD can hold above psychological support at 1.0500, as a break below could accelerate selling toward 1.0450. Conversely, a successful defense of support combined with a channel breakout above 1.0580 would signal potential trend reversal. The upcoming ECB and Fed policy decisions add fundamental catalysts that could determine the channel's resolution.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
rttnews.com

Tech Valuations and Mixed Earnings Drive Global Market Caution

Global markets are experiencing heightened caution as concerns over stretched technology sector valuations combine with mixed corporate earnings results to dampen risk appetite. Major equity indices have pulled back 0.5-1.2% as investors reassess growth expectations amid disappointing guidance from several tech giants. The risk-off sentiment has bolstered safe-haven currencies, with the Japanese yen gaining 0.4% against the dollar to 149.20 and the Swiss franc advancing to 0.8650. The dollar index holds steady near 106.00 as traders balance equity market concerns against expectations for continued Fed hawkishness. Corporate earnings have delivered mixed signals, with approximately 65% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates but forward guidance remaining cautious. This uncertainty is increasing demand for traditional safe havens while pressuring risk-sensitive currencies like the Australian and New Zealand dollars. Traders should monitor upcoming tech earnings releases as key catalysts for broader market sentiment shifts.
USDJPY USDCHF AUDUSD NZDUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
europeanbusinessreview.com

BYD Surpasses Tesla in European EV Market with 244% Sales Surge

Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer BYD has overtaken Tesla in European sales, achieving a remarkable 244% year-over-year growth in deliveries across the region. This dramatic market share shift reflects BYD's aggressive pricing strategy and expanding dealer network, which has resonated with cost-conscious European consumers amid high inflation. The development carries forex implications as increased Chinese automotive exports to Europe could influence the EUR/CNH exchange rate dynamics and potentially impact European trade balances. BYD's competitive pricing, averaging 15-20% below Tesla's comparable models, has accelerated market penetration in key markets including Germany, France, and the Netherlands. The surge in Chinese EV imports may prompt European policymakers to consider protective measures, potentially affecting trade relations and currency flows. For forex traders, this trend suggests monitoring EUR/CNH for potential weakness as trade imbalances widen, while also watching for any policy responses that could create volatility in euro crosses.
EURCNH
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD Weakens as US Shutdown Ends and Rate Cut Expectations Rise

The US dollar has retreated 0.4% across major pairs as the resolution of government shutdown concerns combines with growing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2024. The dollar index dropped to 105.80 from recent highs near 106.50, with GBP/USD advancing to 1.2680 and USD/JPY declining to 149.50. Market pricing now reflects a 65% probability of a March rate cut, up from 45% last week, following softer inflation components in recent economic data. The Swiss franc strengthened to 0.8640 against the dollar as safe-haven flows reversed with shutdown risks eliminated. Treasury yields fell 8 basis points to 4.52% on the 10-year, further pressuring the greenback. Technical analysis shows the dollar index approaching key support at 105.50, which if broken could accelerate the decline toward 105.00. Traders are positioning for continued dollar weakness unless upcoming economic data significantly exceeds expectations.
GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

DAX and USD/JPY Present Key Trading Opportunities Amid Market Shifts

Technical analysis reveals compelling setups in both the German DAX index and USD/JPY currency pair as markets navigate shifting sentiment. The DAX has pulled back to test crucial support at 18,250 points after failing to break above resistance at 18,500, presenting a potential buying opportunity for range traders. Meanwhile, USD/JPY exhibits a bearish flag pattern near 150.00, suggesting further downside potential toward 148.50 support if the psychological level breaks. The dollar index consolidation near 106.00 adds context to the USD/JPY setup, with yen strength reflecting both safe-haven flows and speculation about potential Bank of Japan policy adjustments. For the DAX, earnings season results and ECB policy expectations are key fundamental drivers. Traders should monitor the 149.80 level on USD/JPY for confirmation of the bearish continuation, while DAX buyers might consider entries near 18,200 with stops below 18,100.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD Falls as UK Budget Uncertainty Weighs on Sterling

GBP/USD has declined amid growing investor concerns over the upcoming UK budget announcement, with sterling facing increased selling pressure. The currency pair has weakened as markets price in potential fiscal policy changes that could impact UK economic growth and inflation dynamics. Traders are particularly wary of possible tax increases and spending cuts that Chancellor Rachel Reeves may introduce to address the UK's fiscal challenges. The uncertainty has prompted a risk-off sentiment toward the pound, with investors seeking safer havens ahead of the budget reveal. Technical indicators suggest GBP/USD is testing key support levels, with the pair vulnerable to further downside if budget measures disappoint market expectations. The combination of fiscal uncertainty and broader dollar strength has created a challenging environment for sterling bulls. Traders should monitor upcoming UK economic data releases and any pre-budget commentary from government officials for potential volatility triggers.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Gold/USD hovers at 6-week lows as Fed rate cut expectations diminish

Gold/USD is consolidating near 6-week lows around $1,965 as diminishing Federal Reserve rate cut expectations bolster dollar strength. Markets have significantly repriced rate cut probabilities for 2025, with futures now indicating only a 35% chance of easing by June, down from 65% last month. The shift follows robust US economic data, including stronger-than-expected Q3 GDP growth at 5.2% annualized. EUR/USD has slipped 0.2% to 1.0780 while USD/JPY advanced 0.4% to 150.20, reflecting broad dollar strength. Technical indicators suggest gold faces immediate resistance at $1,985 (50-day moving average), with support at the psychological $1,950 level. A sustained break below $1,950 could accelerate declines toward $1,920. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming US inflation data and Fed officials' speeches for further directional cues on monetary policy trajectory.
XAUUSD EURUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD gains as Spain PMI surge signals robust Eurozone recovery

EUR/USD has strengthened to 1.0925, gaining 0.4% (45 pips) following Spain's impressive October Services PMI reading of 56.6, significantly beating expectations of 54.8. The data marks Spain's fastest services sector growth in 10 months, with the Composite PMI jumping to 56.0 from 53.8, indicating accelerating economic expansion across both manufacturing and services. The robust figures suggest broader Eurozone economic resilience, potentially supporting the European Central Bank's current monetary stance. Business confidence reached a seven-month high, though elevated input costs remain a concern for policymakers. Technical indicators show EUR/USD breaking above the 1.0900 resistance level, with momentum targeting 1.0950 as the next key level. Support has formed at 1.0885, coinciding with the daily pivot point. Traders are positioning for potential euro strength ahead of Thursday's ECB rate decision, where officials may acknowledge improving economic conditions while maintaining their cautious approach to policy normalization.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD weakens as global equity correction triggers risk-off sentiment

The US dollar is losing ground against major peers as a broad equity market correction shifts investor sentiment toward risk-off positioning. EUR/USD has climbed 0.4% to 1.0825, while GBP/USD advanced 0.3% to 1.2680. The S&P 500's 2.5% decline over the past week has prompted safe-haven flows, with AUD/JPY dropping 1.2% to 96.50 as yen strength emerges. EUR/SEK shows unusual volatility, trading 0.8% higher at 11.45 amid thin liquidity conditions. Dollar positioning data reveals a significant reduction in net long positions, falling to $12.3 billion from last week's $15.8 billion peak. Technical analysis indicates USD index support at 103.20, with resistance at 104.00. The shift in market dynamics suggests potential for continued dollar weakness if risk aversion persists, particularly against traditional safe havens like JPY and CHF.
EURUSD GBPUSD AUDJPY EURSEK
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

AUD/USD pressured as RBA holds rates at 3.60% despite inflation surge

AUD/USD has declined 0.5% to 0.6420 following the Reserve Bank of Australia's decision to maintain interest rates at 3.60%, despite inflation accelerating to 5.4% year-over-year and property prices surging 8.2% quarterly. The RBA's dovish hold surprised markets expecting a 25 basis point hike, citing concerns over household debt levels and global growth uncertainties. AUD/CAD fell 0.7% to 0.8750 as commodity currencies broadly weakened. Governor Michele Bullock emphasized the central bank's patient approach, noting inflation remains within the 2-6% target band's upper range. Technical indicators show AUD/USD testing critical support at 0.6400, with next levels at 0.6350. Resistance stands at 0.6480 (200-day moving average). The decision raises questions about RBA's inflation-fighting credibility, potentially keeping AUD under pressure until clearer hawkish signals emerge.
AUDUSD AUDCAD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY retreats as bullish dollar positioning unwinds in FX markets

USD/JPY has declined 0.6% to 149.50 as excessive bullish dollar positioning begins unwinding across foreign exchange markets. Commitment of Traders data shows speculative long positions in USD reached 18-month highs last week, triggering profit-taking activity. The Nasdaq 100's 1.8% decline and S&P 500's 1.2% drop have accelerated safe-haven yen buying. Gold/USD remains subdued near $1,968, failing to benefit from risk-off sentiment due to persistent dollar strength in other pairs. Technical analysis reveals USD/JPY broke below the key 150.00 psychological level and 20-day moving average at 149.80. Next support lies at 148.50 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement), while resistance has formed at 150.50. Market positioning suggests further unwinding possible, particularly if upcoming US economic data disappoints or global risk sentiment deteriorates further.
USDJPY XAUUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

NZD/USD plunges to 0.5880 as New Zealand unemployment jumps to 4.8%

NZD/USD has tumbled 1.2% to 0.5880, marking its steepest daily decline in three months after New Zealand's unemployment rate surged to 4.8% from 4.0% in Q3, significantly exceeding the 4.3% forecast. Employment contracted by 0.5% quarter-over-quarter, the first decline since 2020, while wage growth slowed to 3.8% annually. AUD/NZD surged 0.9% to 1.0920 as relative economic performance diverged. The deteriorating labor market data reinforces expectations the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will pause its tightening cycle, with markets now pricing a 70% probability of no change at the November meeting. Technical indicators show NZD/USD breaking below crucial 0.5900 support, targeting 0.5850 (October low). Resistance has formed at 0.5950. The employment weakness suggests RBNZ may need to balance inflation concerns against growth risks, keeping NZD vulnerable.
NZDUSD AUDNZD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/JPY plunges as Asian equity rout triggers safe-haven flows to yen

USD/JPY has tumbled sharply during the Asian session as a widespread equity market selloff drives investors toward safe-haven assets. Asian stock markets are experiencing their worst losses in six months, with major indices down 3-5% across the region. The risk-off sentiment has been amplified by geopolitical tensions, including reports of potential US military action in Venezuela and warnings from South Korean intelligence about an imminent North Korean nuclear test. China's announcement to suspend 24% US tariffs from November 10 while maintaining 10% rates provides limited relief to market anxiety. The yen's traditional safe-haven status is reasserting itself amid the turmoil, with USD/JPY breaking below key support levels. Technical indicators suggest further downside potential if the 148.50 support fails, with the next target at 147.80. Traders should monitor developments in geopolitical tensions and any potential Bank of Japan intervention signals.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Finnhub

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