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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Tuesday, November 4, 2025

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News Statistics for Tuesday, November 4, 2025

15
Total Articles
6
Bullish
7
Bearish
2
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Archive date: Tuesday, November 4, 2025

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Forexlive

Crude oil settles at $60.56

That is down $0.45 or -0.69%. The low price reached $59.94. The high price was at $61.03.Technically,The price remains below the swing area between $61.45 and $61.94.
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

AUD/USD breaks below 100-day MA on risk-off flows and technical weakness

AUD/USD has declined sharply in today's trading session, extending its recent downtrend despite the Reserve Bank of Australia maintaining a less dovish stance and keeping interest rates unchanged. The pair's weakness was primarily driven by technical factors and risk-off sentiment in global markets. Yesterday's price action saw AUD/USD briefly penetrate below the crucial 100-day moving average but managed to close near this level, indicating initial trader hesitation. However, today's decisive break below this key technical support has accelerated selling pressure, with the pair now trading at fresh multi-week lows. The failure to sustain any bounce above the 100-day MA has turned this level into immediate resistance, while traders eye the next support zone around the 200-day moving average. The combination of deteriorating technicals and risk-averse market conditions suggests further downside potential for AUD/USD in the near term, particularly if global risk sentiment continues to weaken.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Finnhub
rttnews.com

USD Gains on Mixed Earnings & Fed Rate Cut Concerns Pressure Risk Assets

The US dollar strengthened broadly as mixed corporate earnings and concerns over the Federal Reserve's rate trajectory dampened risk sentiment across global markets. Major equity indices retreated 0.8-1.2% as weak forward guidance from key corporations raised recession fears, driving safe-haven flows into the greenback. The dollar index (DXY) climbed 0.4% to 104.20, with traders reassessing expectations for aggressive Fed rate cuts in 2025 following resilient US economic data. EUR/USD dropped 45 pips to 1.0805, while risk-sensitive pairs like AUD/USD fell 0.6% to 0.6520. Market positioning suggests continued dollar strength as investors await this week's Fed speakers and Friday's US employment report. Technical indicators show the DXY approaching resistance at 104.50, with a break above potentially targeting 105.00. Traders should monitor corporate earnings sentiment as a key driver of risk appetite and dollar demand in the near term.
EURUSD AUDUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD Tests 1.2950 Support as BoE Decision Looms; Oil Rallies on Supply

GBP/USD declined 0.5% to 1.2960 in early London trading, approaching critical support at 1.2950 ahead of Thursday's Bank of England rate decision. Sterling weakness reflects growing expectations the BoE will maintain its cautious stance amid persistent UK inflation concerns and slowing growth momentum. The pair has fallen from 1.3100 resistance, with bearish momentum accelerating below the 50-day moving average at 1.3020. Meanwhile, WTI crude oil futures surged 2.1% to $71.40 per barrel on supply disruption fears from Middle East tensions and stronger Chinese demand indicators. The oil rally supported commodity currencies, with CAD/USD gaining 0.3% despite broader dollar strength. Technical analysis shows GBP/USD facing immediate support at 1.2950, with a break potentially opening 1.2900. Traders are positioning for volatility around the BoE announcement, with options pricing suggesting 80-pip movement potential.
GBPUSD USDCAD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

GBP/USD Hits 6-Month Low at 1.2980 Pre-BoE; Downside Bias Persists

GBP/USD plunged to a six-month low of 1.2980, declining 0.7% as sterling buckled under pressure ahead of Thursday's Bank of England rate decision. The pound's weakness reflects market concerns over the UK's deteriorating economic outlook, with recent data showing manufacturing PMI contracting to 48.5 and consumer confidence sliding. Dollar strength compounded sterling's woes, with the DXY advancing to 104.30 on safe-haven flows. Technical indicators signal further downside risk, with the pair breaking below the crucial 1.3000 psychological support and 200-day moving average at 1.3045. The RSI reading of 32 suggests oversold conditions but momentum remains bearish. Markets are pricing a 65% probability of a BoE hold, though any dovish tilt could accelerate GBP losses. Immediate support lies at 1.2950, with a break targeting 1.2900. Resistance forms at 1.3020, requiring a catalyst to reverse the entrenched downtrend.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD pressured by weak Eurozone growth and strong dollar momentum

EUR/USD remains under pressure near 1.0800, declining 0.2% as weak Eurozone economic momentum contrasts with persistent dollar strength. The single currency faces headwinds from disappointing German industrial production data and concerns over slowing regional growth, while the US dollar maintains its appeal amid expectations of sustained Federal Reserve hawkishness. Recent ECB communications suggest the central bank may pause its tightening cycle, further weighing on euro sentiment. Technical indicators show EUR/USD testing support at 1.0780, with the 50-day moving average providing resistance at 1.0830. A break below current support could accelerate declines toward 1.0750, while any recovery attempts face significant hurdles at 1.0850. Traders are positioning defensively ahead of this week's US inflation data, which could reinforce dollar strength if it exceeds expectations. The pair's near-term outlook remains bearish unless Eurozone data improves markedly.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Gold drops below $4,000 as Fed hawkishness boosts USD strength

Gold prices have retreated sharply below the psychological $4,000 level, falling 1.8% to $3,965 per ounce as hawkish Federal Reserve signals strengthen the US dollar. The precious metal's decline accelerated after Fed officials reiterated their commitment to maintaining higher rates for longer to combat persistent inflation. The US Dollar Index surged 0.6% to 106.50, creating significant headwinds for dollar-denominated commodities. EUR/USD slipped 0.4% to 1.0790, while AUD/USD dropped 0.7% to 0.6420, reflecting broad dollar strength across major pairs. Technical analysis shows gold breaking below key support at $3,980, with the next target at $3,940 (200-day moving average). Rising real yields continue to diminish gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset. Traders should monitor upcoming US employment data, which could either reinforce the Fed's hawkish stance or provide relief for gold bulls if it shows labor market weakness.
EURUSD AUDUSD XAUUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

AUD/USD faces resistance as RBA maintains hawkish stance on rates

AUD/USD trades cautiously around 0.6480, gaining 0.1% as the Reserve Bank of Australia's hawkish tone challenges market expectations for near-term rate cuts. The RBA's latest communications emphasize persistent inflation concerns, with officials suggesting rates may need to remain elevated longer than previously anticipated. Australian inflation remains stubbornly above the 2-3% target range at 4.1%, supporting the central bank's cautious approach. However, the pair's upside remains capped by broad US dollar strength and concerns over China's economic recovery, Australia's largest trading partner. Technical resistance sits at 0.6500, coinciding with the 100-day moving average, while support holds at 0.6450. A decisive break above 0.6500 could open the path to 0.6550, though traders remain wary of diverging monetary policy outlooks between the RBA and Fed. The near-term direction likely depends on upcoming Australian employment data and any shifts in global risk sentiment.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD maintains strength despite limited economic data releases

The US dollar continues its bullish momentum with the DXY holding above 106.20, gaining 0.3% despite a relatively quiet economic calendar. Market participants maintain dollar-long positions based on expectations of sustained Federal Reserve hawkishness and US economic resilience. EUR/USD declined 0.25% to 1.0805, while USD/JPY advanced 0.4% to 150.80, testing key resistance levels. USD/CAD rose 0.2% to 1.3650 amid softer oil prices. The dollar's strength persists even without fresh catalysts, suggesting strong underlying demand and safe-haven flows. Technical analysis shows the Dollar Index approaching resistance at 106.50, with support established at 105.80. Traders are positioning ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes and Friday's employment report, which could provide clearer direction. The absence of significant data has led to consolidation in some pairs, but the overall dollar-bullish trend remains intact as markets await confirmation of the Fed's policy trajectory.
EURUSD USDJPY USDCAD DXY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

GBP/USD pressured as Reeves maintains fiscal stance ahead of UK budget

GBP/USD has weakened 0.2% to 1.2950 as UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves' comments highlighted persistent economic challenges facing Britain. Reeves acknowledged that inflation remains stubbornly elevated while interest rates continue constraining economic growth, with global government borrowing costs rising sharply. Her emphasis on maintaining 'iron clad' commitment to fiscal rules ahead of the November 26 autumn budget has dampened expectations for growth-supportive measures. Markets interpret her defensive stance and blame-shifting rhetoric as indicating limited fiscal flexibility, weighing on sterling sentiment. The pound faces immediate support at 1.2920 (Friday's low), with resistance at 1.2985 (50-day moving average). Traders are positioning cautiously ahead of the budget announcement in three weeks, with concerns that fiscal constraints could limit the UK's ability to stimulate growth amid global economic headwinds.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD/CHF retreats on softer Swiss inflation, unwinding long positions

USD/CHF has pulled back 0.6% to 0.9120 following weaker-than-expected Swiss inflation data, prompting traders to unwind extended long positions. Swiss CPI fell to 1.1% year-over-year in October, below the forecasted 1.3%, increasing speculation that the Swiss National Bank may consider easing monetary policy sooner than anticipated. The pair had reached overbought conditions near 0.9200, making it vulnerable to profit-taking on any franc-positive news. Technical indicators suggest immediate support at 0.9100, with the 50-day moving average at 0.9080 providing additional downside cushion. Resistance now sits at 0.9150, previously a support level. GBP/USD gained 0.3% to 1.2680, while USD/JPY consolidated around 150.50, reflecting selective dollar weakness. The Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.5%, indicating improved risk sentiment. Traders should monitor SNB communications for further policy hints, as any dovish shift could limit CHF gains despite the inflation miss.
USDCHF GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/JPY rises as Takaichi calls for sustained BOJ accommodation

USD/JPY gained 0.2% to 152.85 as Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi signaled continued pressure on the Bank of Japan to maintain accommodative monetary policy. Takaichi stated Japan remains "halfway" to achieving the BOJ's 2% inflation target sustainably, effectively calling for delayed rate normalization. Her comments emphasized close government-BOJ coordination and strategic fiscal spending to boost household income. The yen's weakness accelerated despite approaching intervention-sensitive levels near 153.00, last seen triggering Ministry of Finance action. Markets interpret Takaichi's stance as reducing prospects for BOJ tightening in early 2025, contrasting with the Federal Reserve's higher-for-longer approach. Technical resistance sits at 153.20, while support remains at 152.40. Traders should monitor intervention risks as USD/JPY approaches historically significant levels where Japanese authorities previously acted to support the yen.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD/CHF Breaks 0.8650 as Yield Spreads Widen; Swiss Disinflation Accelerates

USD/CHF surged 0.8% to 0.8680, breaking above key resistance at 0.8650 as widening US-Swiss yield spreads and accelerating Swiss disinflation drove the franc lower. The US 2-year yield climbed to 4.25% while Swiss 2-year yields remained near 0.50%, creating a 375 basis point differential favoring the dollar. Swiss CPI data showed inflation dropping to 0.8% year-over-year, well below the SNB's 2% target, raising expectations for further Swiss National Bank easing. Technical analysis reveals the pair has completed a bullish breakout from a month-long consolidation pattern, with momentum indicators confirming upward bias. The 10-year yield spread has also widened to 340 basis points, reinforcing the fundamental backdrop for USD strength. Next resistance targets 0.8720 (October high), while support has formed at 0.8650 (former resistance). Traders should monitor upcoming Swiss retail sales data and any SNB commentary for further directional cues.
USDCHF
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
thestockmarketwatch.com

AUD/USD steady at 0.6600 as RBA holds rates at 3.60% as expected

AUD/USD remains unchanged at 0.6600 following the Reserve Bank of Australia's decision to maintain its cash rate at 3.60%, meeting market consensus. The RBA's steady stance reflects its cautious approach to monetary policy amid mixed domestic economic signals and global uncertainty. Asian markets showed divergent performance following the announcement, with the Australian dollar finding equilibrium as traders had fully priced in the rate hold. The lack of hawkish signals from the RBA has capped any upside potential for the Aussie, while steady commodity prices provide underlying support. Technical levels show immediate resistance at 0.6620 (weekly high) and support at 0.6580 (200-hour moving average). With no immediate policy shifts expected, AUD/USD is likely to trade within a narrow range, with focus shifting to upcoming Chinese economic data that could influence the commodity-linked currency.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
economictimes.indiatimes.com

USD reaches 3-month high as Fed rate cut expectations diminish

The US dollar index climbed to a three-month peak at 104.25, strengthening 0.4% as traders significantly reduced expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts. Market pricing now shows only a 65% probability of a December cut, down from 85% last week, following hawkish signals from divided FOMC members. USD/JPY approached intervention-warning levels near 153.00, gaining 0.3% as yen weakness persisted despite Ministry of Finance vigilance. The Reserve Bank of Australia meeting today is expected to maintain rates at 4.35%, potentially supporting AUD/USD currently trading at 0.6580. Dollar strength reflects robust US economic data contrasting with softer global growth prospects. Key resistance for the dollar index lies at 104.50, with support at 103.80. Continued Fed hawkishness could propel further dollar gains, particularly against low-yielding currencies facing dovish central bank pressures.
USDJPY AUDUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
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