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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Friday, November 21, 2025

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News Statistics for Friday, November 21, 2025

10
Total Articles
3
Bullish
3
Bearish
4
Neutral

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Archive date: Friday, November 21, 2025

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Forexlive

AUDUSD Technicals: The AUDUSD bounces off swing area and moves up to 200 day MA

The AUDUSD is caught in a technical sandwich. Buyers found a floor at a key long-term swing area, but the recovery rally has run smack into a wall of resistance against a key MA. .If you look at the 4-Hour chart of the AUDUSD, you can see the technical battle lines are clearly drawn.The Support: Buyers Lean Against the August Lows Earlier in the day, the price extended lower, and tested the resolve of the sellers and the courage of the buyers.
USD AUD
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD volatility ahead: November CPI delayed to Nov 18 after October cancellation

USD pairs face increased uncertainty as the Bureau of Labor Statistics has canceled October's CPI report, with November data now scheduled for November 18th. This unprecedented delay means the release will occur after the Federal Reserve's December 10th FOMC meeting, potentially limiting the central bank's inflation data visibility for its rate decision. The November report will exclude month-over-month comparisons due to the missing October data, complicating inflation trend analysis. Markets are likely to see heightened USD volatility as traders lack crucial inflation guidance that typically influences Fed policy expectations. The data gap creates additional challenges for positioning in major pairs like EUR/USD and USD/JPY. Technical traders should prepare for potential whipsaw movements as the market adjusts to this unusual situation, with the dollar's direction remaining uncertain until clearer inflation signals emerge.
EURUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
rttnews.com

Markets Digest Jobs Data And Fed Hints

Sentiment in world markets remains cautious amidst mixed job market data that tempered Fed rate cut expectations and dovish comments from a Fed official..
USDCAD
Source: Marketaux
thestockmarketwatch.com

USD/JPY faces volatility as yen swings amid ECB optimism and retail upgrades

USD/JPY experienced notable volatility during Thursday's session as the yen reacted to mixed global market signals. The pair fluctuated within a 50-pip range as traders digested ECB officials' optimistic economic tone, which boosted risk sentiment and traditionally weakens the safe-haven yen. Walmart's analyst upgrades and raised price targets added to positive US retail sector sentiment, supporting the dollar. However, the yen's traditional volatility patterns kept the pair unstable, with traders monitoring potential Bank of Japan intervention levels near 152.00. The ECB's confident stance on European economic recovery created spillover effects in forex markets, pressuring funding currencies like the yen. Technical indicators suggest USD/JPY remains in a consolidation phase between 150.50 support and 151.80 resistance. Traders should watch for any shifts in risk sentiment or unexpected BoJ commentary that could trigger sharper moves in either direction.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

Fed December Cut Uncertainty Weighs on Risk Sentiment

Market sentiment has turned defensive following Fed Chair Powell's hawkish comments that a December rate cut is 'far from a foregone conclusion.' This statement triggered a sharp repricing in interest rate expectations, with December cut probability falling from 80% to 55% over the past week. The S&P 500 has declined 2.3% since Powell's press conference, while the VIX volatility index jumped to 18.5. The dollar index strengthened 0.8% as traders adjusted positions for potentially higher-for-longer rates. Bond yields surged with the 10-year Treasury climbing 15 basis points to 4.45%. Technical indicators suggest the risk-off sentiment could persist, with major equity indices breaking below key moving averages. Currency markets reflect this shift as safe-haven flows boost USD and JPY against risk-sensitive currencies. Traders should monitor upcoming Fed speakers and economic data for signs of policy direction clarity.
USDJPY EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

EUR/USD Rises 0.4% on Divergent PMI Data Driving Yield Spreads

EUR/USD gained 0.4% to 1.0565 as contrasting PMI data between Europe and the US narrowed yield differentials. Eurozone Manufacturing PMI surprised to the upside at 45.2 versus 44.8 expected, while Services PMI held steady at 49.5. In contrast, US Manufacturing PMI disappointed at 48.8, missing the 49.5 forecast. The data divergence caused German 10-year yields to rise 8 basis points while US yields fell 5 basis points, compressing the spread to 195 basis points. This yield convergence provided support for the euro despite overall weakness in European economic fundamentals. Technical analysis shows EUR/USD bounced from 1.0520 support and faces immediate resistance at 1.0580, coinciding with the 50-day moving average. A sustained break above could target 1.0620. However, the broader downtrend remains intact with the ECB expected to cut rates faster than the Fed in 2025.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

GBP/USD drops from 1.31 as weak UK retail sales support BoE dovish pivot

GBP/USD retreated 0.4% from daily highs near 1.3100 to 1.3045 following disappointing UK retail sales data that reinforced expectations for a dovish Bank of England stance. October retail sales fell 0.3% month-over-month, missing forecasts of 0.1% growth and marking the first decline in three months. The weak consumer spending data adds to mounting evidence of softening UK domestic demand, increasing pressure on the BoE to consider more aggressive rate cuts. Sterling's weakness accelerated as traders priced in higher probability of a December rate reduction. Technical analysis shows GBP/USD breaking below the 1.3070 support level, with next major support at 1.3000 psychological level. The pair faces resistance at 1.3120 (previous support turned resistance). With UK economic momentum fading and the BoE likely to maintain its dovish trajectory, further sterling weakness appears probable in the near term.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD Weakens as EUR/USD Stabilizes, USDJPY Drops on Japan Intervention

The dollar index retreated 0.6% to 106.20 as major pairs staged recoveries against the greenback. EUR/USD found support at 1.0500 and climbed to 1.0545, helped by short covering ahead of month-end flows. The biggest move came in USDJPY, which plunged 1.2% to 155.30 after suspected Bank of Japan intervention. Japanese officials reportedly conducted operations totaling $5-7 billion to defend the yen following its breach of 157.00. Gold benefited from dollar weakness, rising 0.8% to $2,352. Market positioning data shows speculators remain heavily long dollars, suggesting potential for further unwinding if US data disappoints. Technical indicators point to dollar exhaustion after its recent rally, with RSI readings in overbought territory across multiple timeframes. Traders await Friday's US PCE inflation data, which could determine whether the dollar correction extends or reverses.
EURUSD USDJPY XAUUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD Holds 1.0500 Support Despite Persistent Headwinds

EUR/USD maintains its position above critical 1.0500 support, trading at 1.0535 despite ongoing fundamental challenges for the euro. The pair has shown resilience after testing multi-month lows, with buyers defending the psychological level for the third consecutive session. USDJPY continues to dominate headlines, falling 0.9% to 155.80 on persistent intervention fears. EURCHF remains under pressure at 0.9320 as the Swiss franc benefits from safe-haven flows amid European political uncertainty. The dollar index consolidates near 106.50 after its recent surge. Technical analysis reveals EUR/USD forming a potential double bottom at 1.0500, though upside appears limited with resistance at 1.0580-1.0600. Daily momentum indicators remain bearish but show early signs of divergence. Options data indicates heavy interest at 1.0500 strikes, suggesting this level will remain pivotal. Near-term direction likely depends on upcoming ECB officials' speeches and US durable goods data.
EURUSD USDJPY EURCHF
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD gains as French PMI beats expectations, services sector expands

EUR/USD advanced 0.25% to 1.0580 following better-than-expected French PMI data, with services activity returning to expansion territory. The French Services PMI jumped to 50.8 in November from 48.0, significantly exceeding forecasts of 48.4 and moving above the crucial 50-mark that separates expansion from contraction. Manufacturing PMI came in at 47.8, missing expectations of 49.0 but showing improvement from 48.8. The composite PMI reached 49.9, just shy of the expansion threshold but well above the projected 48.1. This data suggests stabilization in France's economy after October's political turmoil-induced decline. The euro found support as markets interpreted the data as reducing pressure on the ECB to implement aggressive rate cuts. Technical resistance for EUR/USD sits at 1.0600, with support established at 1.0550. Traders await German PMI data later today for further direction on euro strength.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
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