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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Thursday, November 20, 2025

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News Statistics for Thursday, November 20, 2025

15
Total Articles
4
Bullish
3
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8
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Archive date: Thursday, November 20, 2025

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Forexlive

USDCAD Technicals: USDCAD runs to the upside for the 2nd consecutive day

The USDCAD has run to the upside extending above a swing level near 1.4079, but then found willing sellers against another swing level at 1.4105.IN the video above, I take a look at the USDCAD from a technical perspective and outline what would give traders some cause for pause after the recent run higher this week. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.
USD CAD
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

Walmart Earnings Signal Resilient US Consumer, USD Strength Expected

Walmart shares surged 3.6% in pre-market trading following robust Q3 earnings that paint an optimistic picture of US consumer health ahead of the Federal Reserve's next policy meeting. The retail giant reported impressive 4.5% comparable sales growth in the US, prompting management to raise full-year sales guidance to 4.8-5.1%. This strong consumer spending data suggests the US economy remains resilient despite elevated interest rates, potentially reducing pressure on the Fed to cut rates aggressively. The positive retail sales momentum supports USD strength across major pairs, particularly against currencies where central banks maintain dovish stances. Technical traders should monitor EURUSD support at 1.0500 and GBPUSD at 1.2600, as continued consumer resilience could reinforce dollar buying. The data implies the Fed may maintain its hawkish bias longer than markets anticipated, potentially limiting downside for USD pairs through year-end.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

EUR/USD Finds Support as USD/JPY Shows Weakness Below 155.00

EUR/USD has stabilized around 1.0550 following recent declines, finding technical support at the psychological level while USD/JPY remains vulnerable below the 155.00 threshold. The euro's resilience comes despite broad dollar strength, suggesting potential exhaustion in the greenback's recent rally. USD/JPY faces increasing downward pressure as Japanese officials maintain verbal intervention warnings, with the pair testing critical support at 154.50. GBP/USD continues to underperform at 1.2650, weighed by UK economic concerns, while AUD/USD hovers near 0.6500 amid mixed commodity signals. Technical indicators suggest EUR/USD may attempt a relief rally toward 1.0600 resistance if it maintains above 1.0530 support. The divergent performance across dollar pairs indicates selective positioning rather than broad USD momentum, with traders closely monitoring upcoming US economic data for directional cues.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY AUDUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY & FTSE 100 Analysis: Key Trading Levels and Market Outlook

USD/JPY remains in focus as the pair tests critical technical levels amid mixed US economic signals and Bank of Japan policy expectations. The dollar-yen pair is consolidating near recent highs while traders assess the divergent monetary policy paths between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. The FTSE 100 index shows resilience, supported by strong performance in tech stocks including NVIDIA, which continues to influence global equity sentiment. Technical analysis suggests USD/JPY faces immediate resistance at the 150.50 level, with support established at 149.20. The US Dollar Index futures indicate continued strength in the greenback, though momentum appears to be moderating. For the FTSE 100, the 7,500 level remains a key psychological barrier, with underlying support at 7,400. Traders should monitor upcoming US economic data releases and any signals from the Bank of Japan regarding potential policy adjustments, as these factors could trigger significant moves in both USD/JPY and equity markets.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD Plunges to 1.2620 on Weak UK Data and Dollar Strength

GBP/USD has fallen sharply by 0.8% (100 pips) to 1.2620, pressured by disappointing UK economic data and persistent dollar strength. The decline accelerated after UK inflation data came in softer than expected, reducing expectations for Bank of England rate hikes. USD/JPY remains under pressure near 154.70 despite the broad dollar bid, as intervention concerns cap gains. Market participants are also monitoring NVIDIA earnings for potential risk sentiment shifts that could impact safe-haven flows. The US Dollar Index has pushed above 106.50, reaching multi-month highs as traders price in a more hawkish Federal Reserve outlook. Technical analysis shows GBP/USD breaking below the 1.2650 support level, opening the path toward 1.2580. Immediate resistance now sits at 1.2680, with momentum indicators suggesting further sterling weakness ahead unless UK data improves markedly.
GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD Rally Overextended Despite December Fed Rate Cut Uncertainty

The US dollar's recent rally appears overextended across major pairs, with technical indicators flashing overbought signals despite growing uncertainty about a December Federal Reserve rate cut. EUR/USD trades near 1.0540, showing signs of consolidation after dropping from 1.0650 last week. GBP/USD hovers at 1.2640, finding support despite UK economic headwinds, while USD/JPY faces resistance at 155.00 amid intervention warnings. EUR/GBP has climbed to 0.8350, reflecting relative euro strength against the pound. Market pricing now shows only a 60% probability of a December Fed cut, down from 80% two weeks ago, supporting the dollar's gains. However, positioning data reveals extreme long USD positions, suggesting vulnerability to profit-taking. Key support levels to watch include 1.0520 for EUR/USD and 1.2600 for GBP/USD, with any dovish Fed communications potentially triggering sharp reversals.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY EURGBP
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD Consolidates Ahead of NFP as USD/JPY Tests 154.50 Support

The US dollar enters consolidation mode as markets await Friday's crucial Non-Farm Payrolls report, with USD/JPY testing key support at 154.50 amid foggy market conditions. The pair has declined 0.4% (60 pips) from yesterday's highs as Japanese officials intensify verbal warnings about excessive yen weakness. AUD/USD remains range-bound near 0.6480, caught between dollar strength and steady commodity prices. The US Dollar Index holds above 106.30, maintaining its bullish structure despite the pre-NFP hesitation. Market consensus expects 185,000 jobs added in November, with any significant deviation likely to trigger volatility across dollar pairs. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY forming a potential double top at 155.20, while AUD/USD faces resistance at 0.6520. Traders are advised to reduce positions ahead of the employment data, as recent NFP releases have caused average moves of 80-100 pips in major pairs.
USDJPY AUDUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD plunges to 1.3060 amid UK economic concerns and USD strength

GBP/USD has declined sharply to 1.3060, marking a significant drop as sterling faces pressure from deteriorating UK economic fundamentals and persistent dollar strength. The pair has fallen through multiple support levels, with traders citing concerns over UK inflation dynamics and potential Bank of England policy constraints. Recent UK economic data has disappointed, while the US dollar maintains its appeal ahead of key economic releases. Technical indicators suggest oversold conditions, but momentum remains firmly bearish. Immediate support lies at 1.3050, coinciding with the psychological level and previous monthly lows. Resistance is now seen at 1.3100-1.3120 zone. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming UK GDP data and any shifts in BoE rhetoric that could either accelerate the decline toward 1.3000 or trigger a relief rally. The prevailing sentiment remains negative for sterling in the near term.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD faces volatility ahead of delayed September NFP data release

The US dollar is experiencing heightened volatility as markets await the delayed September Non-Farm Payrolls report, which could significantly influence Federal Reserve policy decisions. Despite being historical data, analysts expect the employment figures to provide crucial insights into labor market resilience and wage growth trends. USD/JPY remains particularly sensitive, hovering near key technical levels as traders position for potential Fed pivot signals. The Dollar Index (DXY) has consolidated around recent highs, with markets pricing in various scenarios for the Fed's next move. Consensus expects September payrolls around 150K, with unemployment rate holding at 4.2%. Any significant deviation could trigger sharp moves across major pairs. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY testing resistance at 151.00, while support holds at 149.50. A strong NFP print could push the pair toward 152.00, while disappointment might see a retreat to 148.00.
USDJPY DXY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
thestockmarketwatch.com

Global FX markets navigate AI sector boom and geopolitical shifts

Foreign exchange markets are experiencing mixed signals as the AI sector boom creates divergent impacts across major currencies, while geopolitical developments add complexity to currency valuations. The technology-heavy US equity rally has provided underlying support for the dollar, though currency swings reflect broader market uncertainties. Asian currencies face pressure from capital flows redirecting toward AI-related investments in developed markets. Meanwhile, ongoing geopolitical dialogues between major powers introduce additional volatility factors. The Japanese yen remains under pressure despite intervention warnings, while commodity currencies show resilience tied to resource demands from AI infrastructure buildout. European currencies navigate between growth concerns and policy divergence. Traders are adapting strategies to account for these structural shifts, with increased focus on technology sector correlations and geopolitical risk premiums. Near-term volatility is expected to persist as markets digest these competing influences.
USDJPY EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY tests critical levels as Tokyo watches intervention threshold

USD/JPY is walking a tightrope near intervention-triggering levels, with the pair testing crucial resistance as Japanese authorities intensify verbal warnings about excessive yen weakness. The pair has climbed toward the psychologically important 152.00 level, raising concerns in Tokyo about a potential breakout that could prompt official action. Gold's recent weakness has added to dollar strength, while the Dollar Index maintains elevated levels above 106.00. Japanese officials have signaled readiness to intervene if movements become "excessive and one-sided." Technical indicators show USD/JPY in overbought territory, with RSI above 70. Immediate resistance stands at 152.00-152.20, where previous intervention occurred. Support lies at 150.50, aligned with the 20-day moving average. Traders remain cautious, with many reducing positions ahead of potential volatility from either intervention or NFP-driven moves.
USDJPY XAUUSD DXY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/CHF builds reversal momentum as focus shifts to US payrolls

USD/CHF has demonstrated building reversal strength, climbing from recent lows as the dollar regains footing ahead of crucial US employment data. The pair has broken above key moving averages, suggesting a potential trend change after weeks of consolidation. Swiss franc safe-haven demand has waned as global risk sentiment stabilizes, while the greenback benefits from yield differentials and economic resilience expectations. Technical analysis reveals USD/CHF breaking above 0.8850 resistance, now turned support, with momentum indicators turning bullish. The next target lies at 0.8920, coinciding with the 50-day moving average. The upcoming payrolls report stands as a critical catalyst, with strong data potentially accelerating gains toward 0.9000. Conversely, weak employment figures could halt the reversal, sending the pair back toward 0.8800. Traders are positioning for increased volatility around the data release.
USDCHF
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/JPY eyes NFP data amid light European session, Japan FX warnings

USD/JPY trades cautiously near 155.50 as markets await the crucial US Non-Farm Payrolls report, expected to show 50K jobs added versus 22K previously, with unemployment holding at 4.3%. The pair remains sensitive to Japan's intensified verbal warnings about yen depreciation and volatility, with Japanese authorities expressing heightened concern over recent currency movements. Today's European session features only low-impact data including German PPI and Swiss/Spanish trade balances, unlikely to shift market dynamics. The NFP release alongside weekly jobless claims will be pivotal for dollar direction and Fed policy expectations. Technical levels show immediate resistance at 156.00 psychological level, while support sits at 155.00. A significantly weak NFP print could trigger USD/JPY selling pressure, especially given Japan's readiness to intervene, while strong employment data might push the pair toward recent highs despite intervention risks.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
thestockmarketwatch.com

AUD/USD pressured by RBA inflation concerns, USD/JPY intervention risks

AUD/USD faces downward pressure near 0.6450 as the Reserve Bank of Australia's persistent inflation concerns contrast with global growth uncertainties. The RBA's hawkish stance on inflation control suggests extended higher rates, yet risk sentiment remains fragile amid Japan's escalating warnings about yen volatility and potential intervention. Japanese authorities' heightened concern over recent currency depreciation adds uncertainty to carry trades and risk-on positions. The Australian dollar struggles despite domestic rate support, weighed by China growth concerns and commodity price weakness. Meanwhile, Tesla's operational challenges in Korea add to regional market nervousness. Key support for AUD/USD lies at 0.6420 (monthly low), with resistance at 0.6480. Traders should monitor Japanese intervention risks which could trigger broader risk-off moves affecting high-beta currencies like AUD, while any RBA policy shifts regarding inflation tolerance could provide directional clarity.
AUDUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
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