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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Friday, November 28, 2025

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News Statistics for Friday, November 28, 2025

12
Total Articles
4
Bullish
3
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5
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Archive date: Friday, November 28, 2025

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Forexlive

investingLive Americas FX news wrap 28 Nov: USD heads lower to end the week. Stocks higher

Major US stock indices close higher and extend the winning streak to 5 daysWhat are the key technical levels in play for the major currency pairs as the week closes?European indices close mostly higher on the day. Solid gains for the week.Ukraine's Zelenskyy: Talks with the US are to happen in the near futureCanada GDP Q3 annualized +2.6% vs +0.5% expectedKickstart the NA trading session for Nov.
USD EUR GBP JPY CHF AUD CAD NZD
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

EUR/USD rises 0.3% as European indices post weekly gains, Fed cut hopes grow

EUR/USD advanced 0.3% to 1.0580 as European equity markets closed higher, with Germany's DAX gaining 3.19% for the week and Italy's FTSE MIB up 0.32% on the day. The euro's strength against the dollar was fueled by risk-on sentiment and growing expectations of a December Federal Reserve rate cut, which weakened the greenback across the board. European indices posted solid weekly gains, with Spain's Ibex leading at +3.47%, reflecting improved investor confidence in the eurozone economy. The positive momentum extended to US markets, with the Dow industrial average showing strength into the afternoon session. Technical indicators suggest EUR/USD faces immediate resistance at 1.0600, while support holds at 1.0550. Traders are positioning for potential further euro gains if Fed rate cut expectations solidify, though any hawkish Fed commentary could quickly reverse the current uptrend.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
rttnews.com

USD weakens across majors as December Fed rate cut expectations surge

The US dollar declined broadly against major currencies as market participants increasingly price in a Federal Reserve rate cut for December. USD/JPY fell 0.4% to 151.20, while GBP/USD climbed 0.35% to 1.2680, reflecting the greenback's weakness amid shifting monetary policy expectations. The dovish sentiment stems from recent economic data suggesting cooling inflation and moderating growth, prompting traders to bet on a 75% probability of a 25 basis point cut at the December FOMC meeting. EUR/USD benefited from the dollar weakness, advancing toward 1.0600 resistance. Market sentiment remains firmly risk-on, supporting high-beta currencies against the safe-haven dollar. Technical analysis shows USD index testing crucial support at 105.50, with a break below potentially accelerating dollar selling. Traders should monitor upcoming US economic releases, particularly inflation data, which could either reinforce or challenge current rate cut expectations.
USDJPY GBPUSD EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/CAD falls sharply on Canada's 2.6% GDP surge vs 0.5% expected

USD/CAD has dropped significantly following Canada's surprisingly strong third-quarter GDP growth of 2.6%, far exceeding the 0.5% forecast. The Canadian dollar strengthened as the data revealed robust economic performance driven by an improved trade balance, with exports rising while imports declined. Government capital spending also contributed to increased investment, though business investment remained flat. The strong GDP figures suggest the Bank of Canada may maintain a less dovish stance than previously anticipated, supporting CAD strength. Technical indicators show USD/CAD breaking below key support levels, with momentum favoring further downside. The pair faces immediate support at recent lows, while resistance has formed at pre-data levels. Traders should monitor upcoming Canadian employment data and any Bank of Canada commentary for additional directional cues on the loonie's trajectory.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

EUR/USD stabilizes as markets shift focus from AI concerns to Fed outlook

EUR/USD is finding equilibrium as November concludes with subdued market activity, reflecting a shift in trader focus from recent AI-related market volatility to upcoming Federal Reserve policy decisions. The dollar index has shown mixed performance as dovish Fed expectations replace earlier risk-off sentiment triggered by AI sector concerns. Market participants are now positioning for potential Fed rate cuts in 2025, with futures pricing suggesting a more accommodative stance than previously anticipated. The euro remains supported by steady ECB policy expectations, though growth concerns persist across the eurozone. Technical analysis indicates EUR/USD is consolidating within a narrow range, with key resistance at recent highs and support at monthly lows. Traders await next week's US employment data and Fed officials' speeches for clearer directional signals as year-end positioning dynamics come into play.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD recovers as traders await Fed and Bank of England policy decisions

GBP/USD has staged a recovery as markets position ahead of crucial central bank decisions from both the Federal Reserve and Bank of England. The pound's rebound reflects reduced selling pressure and cautious optimism about UK economic resilience despite ongoing challenges. US Treasury yields across the curve (2-year, 10-year, and 30-year) remain pivotal for dollar direction, with recent stability supporting risk sentiment. The Bank of England faces a delicate balancing act between persistent inflation concerns and growth headwinds, while the Fed navigates similar challenges. Technical analysis shows GBP/USD reclaiming key levels, though resistance remains at recent highs. Support has formed at psychological levels, providing a base for potential further gains. Traders should monitor upcoming UK economic data releases and any central bank communication for signals on monetary policy divergence between the two economies.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD gains traction despite lingering UK economic concerns

GBP/USD has regained positive momentum, though underlying doubts about UK economic prospects continue to cap sterling's upside potential. The pair's recovery reflects temporary dollar weakness rather than fundamental pound strength, with UK 30-year gilt yields indicating ongoing fiscal concerns. Market participants remain cautious about the UK's growth trajectory amid sticky inflation and potential Bank of England policy constraints. Technical indicators suggest GBP/USD has found near-term support, but resistance levels from recent peaks remain intact. The pound faces headwinds from domestic political uncertainties and questions about the UK's fiscal sustainability. Traders are closely watching for any shifts in Bank of England rhetoric or UK economic data surprises that could alter the current dynamic. The pair's ability to sustain gains above key technical levels will be crucial for determining whether this recovery has legs or represents a temporary bounce.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD steady as France inflation miss keeps ECB policy restrictive

EUR/USD remains stable following French inflation data that came in below forecasts, reinforcing expectations for continued restrictive European Central Bank monetary policy. The softer-than-expected French inflation figures suggest price pressures may be easing faster than anticipated, potentially giving the ECB more flexibility in future policy decisions. However, the central bank is likely to maintain its current restrictive stance to ensure inflation returns sustainably to target. The euro showed limited reaction to the data as markets had already positioned for potential downside surprises in eurozone inflation. Technical levels for EUR/USD remain well-defined, with the pair trading within established ranges. Traders are now looking ahead to eurozone-wide inflation data and any ECB official commentary for further policy clues. The inflation undershoot could eventually support arguments for earlier rate cuts, but near-term EUR/USD direction will likely depend more on dollar dynamics and risk sentiment.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD faces pressure as Spain CPI exceeds forecasts at 3.0%

EUR/USD declined 0.2% to 1.0545 as Spain's November preliminary CPI came in at 3.0% year-over-year, above the 2.9% forecast, while HICP reached 3.1% versus 2.9% expected. The higher-than-anticipated inflation data, particularly the marginal increase in core inflation to 2.6%, presents a challenge for the ECB's rate cut trajectory. Spain joins Germany in maintaining sticky inflation levels that complicate the central bank's monetary policy normalization efforts. The persistent inflationary pressures suggest the ECB may need to maintain a more hawkish stance longer than markets anticipated, supporting the euro in the near term. Technical resistance for EUR/USD sits at 1.0600, while support has formed at 1.0520. Traders should monitor upcoming Eurozone-wide inflation data for confirmation of this trend, as sustained inflation could delay ECB rate cuts into 2025.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
forexcrunch.com

GBP/USD rallies to 1.3240 on UK budget boost, eyes central bank moves

GBP/USD extended its impressive winning streak to seven consecutive sessions, climbing to 1.3240 in early Friday trading, marking a gain of approximately 0.8% (105 pips) for the week. The pound's strength follows positive market reception of the UK autumn budget, which showed fiscal discipline while supporting growth initiatives. Sterling's momentum has been further supported by expectations that the Bank of England will maintain a cautious approach to rate cuts, contrasting with more dovish expectations for the Federal Reserve. Technical indicators show the pair breaking above the 1.3200 psychological resistance, with next targets at 1.3280 (October highs). Support has formed at 1.3180 (previous resistance turned support). Traders are now focused on upcoming central bank decisions, with the Fed meeting on December 18 and the BoE on December 19, which could determine whether the pound's rally continues into year-end.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

EUR/USD retreats below 1.1600 after 3-day rally, Fed cut bets provide support

EUR/USD eased 0.2% (23 pips) to 1.1580 during Friday's Asian session, pulling back from a three-day winning streak that had pushed the pair near 1.1620. The modest retreat reflects profit-taking after the euro's recent gains, though downside remains limited by growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025. Markets are pricing in a 70% probability of a 25 basis point Fed cut at the December meeting, following softer US inflation data earlier this week. The euro faces headwinds from concerns about eurozone growth, with Germany's economic outlook particularly weak. Technical analysis shows immediate support at 1.1550 (50-day moving average), while resistance sits at 1.1620 (Thursday's high). A decisive break below 1.1550 could accelerate losses toward 1.1500, though dovish Fed expectations and year-end flows may continue supporting the pair above key support levels.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY holds steady as Tokyo inflation data keeps December BOJ rate hike likely

USD/JPY traded relatively unchanged at 151.45 following the release of Tokyo inflation data that reinforced expectations for a Bank of Japan rate hike in December. Tokyo's core CPI accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year in November, up from 1.8% in October, exceeding the BOJ's 2% target and marking the highest reading in four months. The inflation uptick, driven by reduced government subsidies and rising service prices, strengthens the case for the BOJ to raise rates from the current 0.25% at its December 19 meeting. Markets are pricing in a 60% probability of a 25 basis point hike. The yen's gains remain capped by persistent yield differentials, with US 10-year yields still 350 basis points above Japanese equivalents. Technical resistance stands at 152.00 (weekly high), while support lies at 150.80 (200-day moving average). Traders await next week's US NFP data and further BOJ commentary for directional cues.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
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