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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Wednesday, November 12, 2025

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News Statistics for Wednesday, November 12, 2025

10
Total Articles
3
Bullish
4
Bearish
3
Neutral

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Archive date: Wednesday, November 12, 2025

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Forexlive

Crude oil settles at $58.49

The high price today reached $61.06. The low price was at $58.30.Signs of a global supply glut outweighed geopolitical and demand supports. The main catalyst was OPEC’s revision of its Q3 market estimate.
USD AUD
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

EUR/USD Eyes 1.1600 Breakout for Next Bullish Wave

EUR/USD is testing the crucial 1.1600 resistance level, with traders anticipating a potential breakout that could trigger the next significant bullish leg. The pair has gained approximately 0.4% (45 pips) this week, supported by a weakening US Dollar Index which has retreated from recent highs near 106.50. Technical indicators suggest building momentum, with the RSI approaching overbought territory at 68 and the 50-day moving average providing dynamic support at 1.1520. The euro's strength stems from improving risk sentiment and expectations that the ECB will maintain its hawkish stance longer than the Fed. A decisive break above 1.1600 could open the path toward 1.1700 and potentially 1.1800, levels not seen since early 2024. However, failure to breach this resistance may result in consolidation between 1.1500-1.1600. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming US inflation data and ECB officials' speeches for directional cues.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

AUD/USD Stuck Below 0.6550 on Cautious RBA and Strong Dollar

AUD/USD is consolidating near 0.6535, down 0.2% (13 pips) in today's session, as the Australian dollar struggles against a resilient US dollar and cautious Reserve Bank of Australia stance. The RBA's recent minutes revealed a more balanced approach to inflation risks, dampening expectations for aggressive rate hikes. Meanwhile, the US dollar found support from ongoing government shutdown negotiations being resolved, reducing immediate fiscal uncertainty. Technical analysis shows the pair trapped in a narrow range, with resistance firmly established at 0.6550 and support at 0.6500. The 200-day moving average at 0.6580 continues to cap any meaningful rallies. Australian employment data due Thursday could provide the catalyst for a directional move, though bearish momentum appears to be building. Without a clear break above 0.6550, the path of least resistance remains lower, with 0.6480 as the next downside target for traders to monitor.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/HUF Carry Trade Maintains Strength Despite Market Volatility

USD/HUF continues to attract carry trade interest, holding steady near 385.50 as the interest rate differential between the US dollar and Hungarian forint remains favorable for yield-seeking investors. The pair has gained 1.2% over the past week, supported by Hungary's central bank maintaining its 6.50% base rate while the Fed holds at 5.25-5.50%. Despite broader market volatility affecting traditional carry trades like USD/JPY, the USD/HUF combination proves more resilient due to Hungary's persistent inflation concerns requiring sustained high rates. Technical indicators show the pair consolidating above the 50-day moving average at 382.00, with resistance at 388.00. The carry trade's persistence reflects investors' confidence in the interest rate differential remaining wide, as the Hungarian central bank signals no rush to ease policy. Traders should monitor EUR/HUF movements and any shifts in risk sentiment that could trigger unwinding of carry positions.
USDHUF EURUSD USDJPY EURGBP
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
economictimes.indiatimes.com

USD Index Near 100 as Fed Caution & Rival Weakness Drive Dollar Gains

The US Dollar Index has strengthened to approach the 100 mark, gaining 0.8% this week as the Federal Reserve maintains its cautious policy stance amid persistent inflation concerns. The dollar's rally is supported by four key factors: the Fed's reluctance to cut rates aggressively, easing US-China trade tensions following diplomatic talks, reduced government shutdown risks after budget negotiations, and notable weakness in major rival currencies. The EUR/USD has dropped to 1.0820 (-0.5%) as European growth concerns mount, while USD/JPY climbed to 149.50 (+0.7%) despite BoJ intervention warnings. GBP/USD fell below 1.2900 (-0.4%) on UK economic headwinds. Technical indicators show the DXY testing resistance at 100.20, with momentum indicators suggesting further upside potential. Traders are positioning for continued dollar strength unless upcoming US economic data significantly disappoints expectations.
EURUSD USDJPY GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

Quiet Session Expected: ECB Speakers and BoC Minutes on Tap

Major forex pairs are expected to see limited volatility today as the economic calendar remains light. The European session features only ECB speakers who are anticipated to maintain their recent dovish stance without providing new policy insights. During the American session, the Bank of Canada will release meeting minutes, though these typically have minimal market impact. Multiple Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to speak, but significant policy shifts are unlikely ahead of crucial US employment and inflation data releases. The absence of high-impact economic indicators suggests range-bound trading conditions across major pairs. Traders are positioning cautiously, awaiting Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls report and next week's CPI data for clearer directional signals. Technical levels remain intact with EUR/USD holding near 1.0650, while USD/CAD consolidates around 1.3900 ahead of the BoC minutes.
EURUSD USDCAD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

EUR/USD: Fed Pricing Correlation Reaches Extreme Levels Amid Data Void

EUR/USD trading patterns are showing unprecedented correlation with Federal Reserve rate expectations as markets navigate through a period of limited economic releases. The pair's movements have become increasingly dependent on shifts in Fed pricing, with correlations reaching multi-month highs. This heightened sensitivity reflects traders' focus on monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Fed in the absence of fresh fundamental catalysts. The current data drought has amplified the impact of central bank communications and rate expectations on currency valuations. Market participants are closely monitoring any shifts in Fed fund futures, which have been driving intraday EUR/USD volatility. The technical picture shows the pair trapped in a narrow range between 1.0620-1.0680, with breakout potential building as major data releases approach. Traders should expect continued correlation-driven movements until significant economic indicators provide fresh directional impulses.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD Faces Critical Junction: AI Investment Boom vs Economic Reality

The US Dollar is experiencing a pivotal moment as markets weigh artificial intelligence investment optimism against underlying economic fundamentals. EUR/USD trades at 1.0845, consolidating in a tight range as traders assess conflicting signals. The dollar has gained support from AI-driven capital flows into US tech stocks, attracting international investment and boosting USD demand. However, economic gravity presents challenges, with manufacturing PMI data showing continued contraction and service sector growth moderating. USD/JPY holds above 149.00 despite intervention risks, while AUD/USD struggles near 0.6650 on commodity weakness. NZD/USD remains pressured at 0.6020 amid RBNZ dovish signals. Technical analysis reveals the DXY trapped between 99.50 support and 100.50 resistance, with a breakout likely determining near-term direction. The market awaits clarity on whether AI investment enthusiasm can overcome traditional economic indicators in driving dollar performance.
EURUSD USDJPY AUDUSD NZDUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/JPY faces pressure as Japan's Katayama warns on rapid yen weakness

USD/JPY is trading under pressure near 155.20 following verbal intervention from Japan's Finance Minister Katayama, who expressed concern over recent one-sided, rapid currency moves. The minister emphasized the importance of stable currency movements reflecting fundamentals and stated authorities are monitoring FX developments with high urgency. Katayama notably acknowledged that disadvantages of yen weakness now outweigh advantages, particularly as the weak yen contributes to cost-driven inflation. This represents a shift in official rhetoric and increases the likelihood of actual intervention if USD/JPY continues climbing. The pair has gained over 10% year-to-date, with immediate resistance at 155.50 and psychological barrier at 156.00. Support lies at 154.80 (daily pivot) and 154.00 (previous week's low). Traders should remain cautious as further verbal warnings could precede actual market intervention, potentially triggering sharp reversals in yen crosses.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

GBP/USD Breaks Below 1.32 Support as Sterling Weakness Accelerates

GBP/USD has fallen below the crucial 1.3200 support level, trading at 1.3175 after declining 0.6% in today's session. The pound's weakness stems from mounting UK economic concerns, including stubbornly high services inflation at 5.2% limiting Bank of England rate cut prospects while growth remains sluggish. The US Dollar Index strengthened to 99.85, adding pressure on cable as traders favor the greenback's relative safety. Technical indicators show GBP/USD broke below its 50-day moving average at 1.3210, confirming bearish momentum. RSI readings at 38 suggest oversold conditions may provide temporary relief. Key support lies at 1.3150 (November low), while resistance has formed at the broken 1.3200 level. Market participants await Thursday's UK GDP data and Friday's US employment report for directional cues. A sustained break below 1.3150 could accelerate losses toward 1.3100.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux

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