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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Monday, November 17, 2025

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News Statistics for Monday, November 17, 2025

12
Total Articles
5
Bullish
4
Bearish
3
Neutral

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Archive date: Monday, November 17, 2025

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Forexlive

NZD/USD ranges between 0.5670-0.5691 resistance as traders await direction

NZD/USD is experiencing volatile range-bound trading on Monday, oscillating between key technical levels as market participants seek clearer directional signals. The pair has established resistance at 0.5691, coinciding with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the decline from late October highs, while finding support near 0.5670. This 21-pip range reflects uncertainty in the New Zealand dollar's near-term trajectory amid mixed global risk sentiment. The kiwi's inability to break above the Fibonacci level suggests persistent selling pressure at higher levels, while buyers defend the lower boundary. Technical indicators point to consolidation within this defined range, with momentum oscillators showing neutral readings. Traders should monitor for a decisive break above 0.5691, which could open the path toward 0.5720, or a breakdown below 0.5670 that might accelerate declines toward 0.5640. The tight trading range suggests an impending volatility expansion once clear catalysts emerge.
NZDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USDCAD trapped in tight range between MA support and retracement resistance

USDCAD has been consolidating in a narrow range over the past two trading days, oscillating between well-defined technical levels. The pair finds solid support at 1.40135, marked by the 50% retracement of the October-November rally, with additional backing from the 100-hour moving average at 1.40174. Upside attempts are capped by resistance at the broken 38.2% retracement level of 1.40430 and the 200-hour moving average at 1.40465. This 330-pip range reflects market indecision as traders await fresh catalysts from either US economic data or Canadian dollar fundamentals. The technical setup suggests a potential breakout trade opportunity, with a move above 1.40465 targeting 1.4080-1.4100, while a break below 1.40135 could accelerate losses toward 1.3980. Traders should monitor upcoming US retail sales data and oil price movements, which could provide the momentum needed to break this consolidation phase.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
manilatimes.net

EUR/USD extends losses to 1.0605 as Fed rate cut expectations diminish

EUR/USD has declined for a second consecutive session, trading near 1.0605 on Monday, pressured by a strengthening US dollar as market participants scale back expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts. The pair's mild bearish bias reflects growing confidence in US economic resilience, with recent data supporting the Fed's cautious approach to monetary easing. Market pricing now shows reduced probability of a December rate cut, shifting from 80% to approximately 65% over the past week. The dollar's broad strength is further supported by rising US Treasury yields, with the 10-year benchmark climbing above 4.45%. Technical indicators suggest continued downward pressure, with immediate support at 1.0580 (November low) and resistance at 1.0640 (50-day moving average). A break below 1.0580 could accelerate losses toward the 1.0500 psychological level, particularly if upcoming US inflation data exceeds expectations.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

NASDAQ Faces Technical Volatility Amid Rapid Rally Reversals

NASDAQ technical indicators show heightened volatility as recent rallies have quickly evaporated, particularly in technology stocks. Market conditions remain unstable with directional confirmation becoming increasingly critical for traders filtering out market noise. The index has experienced rapid surges followed by equally swift fades, making traditional technical analysis more challenging. Support and resistance levels are being tested frequently as institutional traders adjust positions amid uncertainty about Federal Reserve policy direction. The technology sector's correlation with currency markets, particularly USD strength, continues to influence forex pairs as risk sentiment shifts rapidly. Traders are advised to wait for cleaner directional signals before establishing significant positions, as the current environment presents elevated whipsaw risks across correlated asset classes including major forex pairs.
USDJPY EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
forexcrunch.com

EUR/USD slides to 1.0605 as Fed rate cut expectations diminish

EUR/USD extended its decline for a second consecutive session on Monday, falling 0.15% to trade near 1.0605 as the US dollar strengthened amid shifting Federal Reserve policy expectations. The bearish momentum reflects growing market skepticism about aggressive Fed rate cuts in 2024, with traders now pricing in fewer reductions following resilient US economic data. The euro's weakness has been compounded by contrasting monetary policy outlooks, as the European Central Bank maintains a more dovish stance compared to the Fed's data-dependent approach. Technical analysis shows the pair testing support at the 1.0600 psychological level, with the next significant support at 1.0580 (November low). Resistance is evident at 1.0630, followed by the 1.0650 area. The bearish bias remains intact as long as the pair trades below the 1.0650 resistance zone. Traders await Tuesday's Eurozone inflation data and US retail sales figures for potential catalysts that could either reinforce or challenge the current downtrend.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD, GBP/USD Face Pressure as Fed Rate Cut Timing Questioned

Major forex pairs show mixed signals as markets debate whether the Federal Reserve is falling behind the curve on rate cuts. EUR/USD continues to face selling pressure near 1.0600 resistance, while GBP/USD struggles to maintain momentum above 1.2650. USD/JPY remains elevated near 156.00, supported by persistent dollar strength and yield differentials. S&P 500 futures indicate cautious optimism, but currency markets reflect underlying concerns about monetary policy timing. Technical analysis suggests EUR/USD needs to clear 1.0620 to challenge higher levels, with support at 1.0550. GBP/USD faces resistance at 1.2700 with downside risk toward 1.2600. The coming week features key economic data releases that could shift sentiment, particularly US retail sales and UK inflation figures which may influence central bank expectations.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD Index to Drop to 94 in H1 2025 Before Year-End Recovery

Morgan Stanley forecasts the US Dollar Index (DXY) to weaken significantly from current levels around 99 to 94 during the first half of 2025, representing a potential 5% decline. The investment bank attributes this bearish outlook to anticipated slower global growth stemming from US tariff implementations, which could create a more K-shaped economic recovery pattern. The firm expects this dollar weakness to be temporary, projecting a rebound back to approximately 99 by the end of 2026. This forecast suggests major USD pairs could see substantial moves, with EUR/USD potentially rising toward 1.12-1.13 and USD/JPY declining below 145 if the projection materializes. The anticipated tariff-induced economic slowdown could prompt the Federal Reserve to adopt a more accommodative stance, further pressuring the greenback. Traders should monitor trade policy developments and their impact on global growth dynamics as key catalysts for dollar direction in 2025.
DXY EURUSD USDJPY GBPUSD AUDUSD USDCHF USDCAD NZDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD/JPY Rises as Japan GDP Contracts, Gold Finds Support at $2,560

USD/JPY advanced 0.4% to 156.20 following Japan's unexpected economic contraction, marking the first GDP decline after six consecutive quarters of growth. Japan's Q3 GDP fell 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, missing expectations of 0.2% growth and raising questions about Bank of Japan's tightening timeline. The Nikkei 225 dropped 1.2% on the news, while safe-haven gold found support at $2,560 per ounce. Dollar strength continued with the DXY index holding above 106.50, supported by resilient US economic data contrasting with Japan's weakness. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY targeting 157.00 resistance, with support established at 155.80. The GDP contraction may delay BOJ's normalization plans, potentially widening the US-Japan yield differential further and supporting continued yen weakness against the dollar in coming sessions.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD Strength Persists as Major Pairs Trade Within Technical Ranges

The US dollar maintains its dominant position as major currency pairs continue rotating within established technical boundaries. EUR/USD remains capped below 1.0580 resistance, trading in a 50-pip range as traders await fresh catalysts. GBP/USD consolidates near 1.2650, finding support at the 50-day moving average but lacking momentum for a sustained break higher. USD/JPY holds firm above 156.00, benefiting from wide interest rate differentials. USD/CHF trades steadily near 0.8850, with Swiss franc flows balanced. Technical indicators suggest range-bound conditions likely to persist until key economic releases provide directional clarity. Immediate levels to watch include EUR/USD resistance at 1.0600 and support at 1.0530, while GBP/USD needs to clear 1.2700 to signal renewed bullish momentum.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Major FX Breakouts Expected as EUR/USD, GBP/USD Test Key Levels

Foreign exchange markets are positioning for significant breakouts as major pairs approach critical technical junctures. EUR/USD coils near 1.0550, with a potential move toward 1.0650 if resistance at 1.0580 breaks, while failure could see a test of 1.0500 support. GBP/USD shows similar compression near 1.2650, with traders watching for a decisive move above 1.2700 or below 1.2600. USD/JPY maintains its uptrend above 156.00, targeting 157.50 as the next resistance level. USD/CHF consolidation near 0.8850 suggests an imminent directional move, with 0.8900 and 0.8800 as key levels. Volatility indicators suggest increased movement probability within the next 48-72 hours, driven by upcoming economic data and central bank communications that could trigger the anticipated breakouts.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD Volatility Expected as September NFP Data Release Approaches

USD pairs are poised for increased volatility as markets await the delayed September Non-Farm Payrolls report, scheduled for release this week following the historic government shutdown. The data, though lagging by over a month, represents the first glimpse into US employment conditions post-shutdown and could influence Federal Reserve policy expectations. Market consensus anticipates September payrolls around 180K, with unemployment rate holding steady at 3.5%. The delayed release adds complexity to traders' analysis as they must weigh outdated data against current market conditions. Major USD pairs including EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY have been consolidating in tight ranges, with traders reluctant to take significant positions ahead of the release. Technical indicators suggest EUR/USD faces resistance at 1.0950 while support lies at 1.0900. The report's impact may be muted given its dated nature, but any significant deviation from expectations could still trigger notable USD movements across major pairs.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
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