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Professional trading insights from Thursday, November 13, 2025

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News Statistics for Thursday, November 13, 2025

18
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9
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3
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Archive date: Thursday, November 13, 2025

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Forexlive

Tough to pin down what's behind the heavy stock market selling today

It's a rough one in US stock markets today:S&P 500 -1.6%Nasdaq Comp -2.3%Russell 2000 2.5%It's also a bit of a headscratcher as there is no obvious trigger for the decline. Let's look at some possible culprits.1) Chip stocksI lean on the AI theme in part because those are some of the biggest loser today. Nvidia is down 4.2% and threatening the lowest close since Oct 23.
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

GBP/USD breaks 1.3200 on technical momentum above 38.2% retracement

GBP/USD has surged to fresh intraday highs, breaking through the 1.3200 psychological level after clearing key technical resistance between 1.31855-1.31902. This zone represented both the Monday-Tuesday highs and the crucial 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the decline from mid-October peaks. The sterling's strength reflects improved risk sentiment and technical buying momentum as the pair extends its recovery from recent lows. The break above the 38.2% retracement level opens the path toward the 50% retracement near 1.3280, with immediate support now established at the former resistance zone around 1.3185. Traders are closely monitoring whether the pound can sustain gains above 1.3200, as a confirmed break could signal further upside potential toward 1.3250 resistance. The technical breakout suggests shifting momentum in favor of sterling buyers, though traders should watch for any fundamental catalysts that could either reinforce or challenge this bullish technical setup.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USDCHF breaks below 0.8000 as sellers maintain control at 200 MA

USDCHF continues its bearish momentum, trading below the critical 0.8000 psychological level after a failed recovery attempt during Asian trading. The pair briefly corrected higher to test the 200-bar moving average on the 4-hour chart at 0.7995, falling just short of reclaiming 0.8000 before resuming its decline. This rejection at the key technical resistance confirms strong selling pressure and suggests further downside potential. The break below 0.8000 represents a significant technical development, as this level has historically served as important support. Traders are closely monitoring whether the pair can establish support at current levels or continue its descent toward the next major support zone around 0.7950. The persistent strength in CHF reflects ongoing safe-haven demand amid global market uncertainties. Short-term traders should watch for any sustained break back above 0.8000 as a potential trend reversal signal.
USDCHF
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

EUR/USD extends uptrend on growth convergence and policy shifts

EUR/USD continues its bullish momentum as fundamental factors increasingly favor the euro over the dollar. The pair's strength reflects growing expectations of economic growth convergence between the Eurozone and United States, with recent data suggesting the European economy may be gaining relative strength. Policy divergence is also supporting the euro, as markets anticipate potential shifts in central bank stances. The European Central Bank's recent communications have been less dovish than expected, while Federal Reserve officials have maintained a cautious tone on future rate cuts. Technical indicators show the pair maintaining its uptrend channel, with momentum indicators suggesting further upside potential. Key resistance levels are being tested as buyers remain in control. The combination of improving European economic prospects and evolving monetary policy expectations continues to underpin euro strength. Traders are positioning for continued EUR/USD appreciation, though upcoming economic releases and central bank communications could influence near-term direction.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

FTSE 100 and USDJPY present key trading opportunities amid volatility

Technical analysis highlights two significant trading setups developing in major markets. USDJPY continues to attract attention as the pair navigates critical technical levels amid ongoing Bank of Japan policy speculation and US dollar dynamics. The yen crosses, particularly EURJPY, are showing increased volatility as traders position ahead of potential Japanese intervention risks. Meanwhile, the FTSE 100 index presents compelling opportunities as UK equities react to global market conditions and domestic economic factors. The correlation between GBPUSD movements and UK equity performance remains a key consideration for traders. Technical indicators suggest both markets are approaching decision points that could trigger significant directional moves. Risk management remains crucial as volatility measures increase across both forex and equity markets. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels while remaining alert to fundamental catalysts that could accelerate price movements.
USDJPY EURJPY GBPUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

AUD/USD soars to 0.6570 on strong Australian employment data

AUD/USD has rallied sharply to 0.6570, extending gains for a second consecutive session following robust Australian jobs data. The Australian dollar strengthened approximately 0.5% as employment figures exceeded market expectations, reinforcing the Reserve Bank of Australia's hawkish stance on interest rates. The strong labor market report reduces expectations for RBA rate cuts in the near term, providing fundamental support for the Aussie. Technical analysis shows the pair has broken above the key 0.6550 resistance level, opening the path toward 0.6600. The bullish momentum is supported by improving risk sentiment and commodity price strength, both traditional drivers of AUD performance. Immediate support has formed at 0.6550, with further backing at 0.6520. Traders are now watching whether the pair can maintain momentum above 0.6550, as sustained trading above this level could signal a medium-term trend reversal. The combination of strong domestic data and supportive global conditions suggests continued Australian dollar strength.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EURUSD stabilizes as US government shutdown concerns ease

EURUSD maintains steady trading following the resolution of US government shutdown concerns, removing a key risk factor that had been weighing on dollar sentiment. The pair holds near current levels as markets digest the political development and its implications for US fiscal policy stability. The end of shutdown uncertainty allows traders to refocus on fundamental economic data and central bank policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank. Near-term support for EURUSD remains intact, though the pair faces resistance at recent highs as dollar bears remain cautious. Market participants are now shifting attention to upcoming economic releases from both regions that could provide clearer directional cues. The resolution of political uncertainty in Washington reduces safe-haven demand for the dollar, potentially supporting further euro gains if European data continues to show resilience. Technical indicators suggest consolidation is likely before the next significant move.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

GBP/USD drops to 1.3140 as UK GDP disappoints market expectations

GBP/USD has declined to 1.3140, pressured by weaker-than-expected UK GDP data that dampened sterling sentiment. The disappointing growth figures have raised concerns about the UK economic outlook, prompting traders to reduce pound exposure. The softer GDP reading suggests the Bank of England may have limited room to maintain its current monetary policy stance, potentially accelerating timeline expectations for rate cuts. Technical analysis shows the pair has broken below short-term support, with bearish momentum building as sellers take control. The 1.3140 level now acts as immediate resistance, while support is eyed at 1.3100 psychological level. Market participants are reassessing UK growth prospects following the data miss, with focus shifting to upcoming inflation and employment reports for further direction. The combination of weak economic data and technical selling pressure suggests near-term downside risks for cable, though oversold conditions could limit immediate declines.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD caught between missing data and rising volatility on Fed uncertainty

The US dollar trades in a narrow range as missing economic data and increased market volatility cloud the Federal Reserve's policy outlook. Key economic indicators remain unavailable due to reporting delays, leaving traders without crucial inputs for assessing the Fed's next moves. EURUSD, USDJPY, and AUDUSD all show signs of consolidation as market participants await clearer signals. Dollar index futures reflect the uncertainty, trading sideways amid conflicting technical signals. The absence of reliable data has amplified market volatility, with implied volatility measures rising across major currency pairs. This environment creates challenging conditions for directional trades, prompting many traders to reduce positions until clarity emerges. The Fed's data-dependent stance means the missing economic reports could significantly impact monetary policy expectations once released. Short-term trading remains choppy, with support and resistance levels being tested frequently across major pairs.
EURUSD USDJPY AUDUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USDJPY: Japan delays intervention as markets await US economic data

USDJPY trades cautiously as Japanese authorities appear to be postponing foreign exchange intervention until crucial US economic data provides clearer market direction. The Bank of Japan's wait-and-see approach reflects strategic patience, preferring to assess incoming US indicators before potentially defending specific yen levels. EURJPY and GBPJPY cross pairs also show reduced volatility as intervention risks keep traders on edge. AUDUSD movements suggest broader dollar dynamics remain linked to US data expectations. Market participants note that Japanese officials have historically preferred intervening during periods of rapid, one-sided moves rather than gradual trends. The upcoming US data releases could trigger the volatility conditions that prompt Japanese action, particularly if USDJPY approaches psychologically important levels. Technical analysis shows the pair consolidating within a defined range, with traders reluctant to establish large positions ahead of potential intervention.
USDJPY EURJPY GBPJPY AUDUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

UK GDP Misses Forecasts; GBP/USD Holds Steady Near 1.2750

GBP/USD remains relatively unchanged near 1.2750 despite UK GDP data coming in weaker than anticipated during the European session. The UK economy expanded at a slower pace than forecast, reinforcing market expectations for a Bank of England rate cut in December. However, with this outcome already largely priced in, sterling showed limited reaction to the disappointing figures. The pair continues to trade within a narrow range as traders await fresh catalysts from upcoming Fed speakers in the American session. Technical indicators suggest consolidation between 1.2720 support and 1.2780 resistance levels. Market participants are closely monitoring any hawkish or dovish signals from Federal Reserve officials that could provide directional bias for the dollar. Without significant surprises from Fed commentary, GBP/USD is likely to maintain its current trading range through the remainder of the session.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD/JPY and AUD/JPY Breakouts Trigger Intervention Speculation

USD/JPY and AUD/JPY have posted significant breakouts, sparking discussions about potential Bank of Japan intervention as the yen weakens dramatically. USD/JPY has surged past key technical resistance levels, while AUD/JPY's parallel move suggests broad-based yen weakness rather than dollar strength alone. The sharp depreciation of the yen has raised concerns among Japanese policymakers, who have previously intervened when the currency moved too rapidly. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY breaking above its recent consolidation range, with momentum indicators signaling further upside potential. However, traders remain cautious as verbal warnings from Japanese officials could precede actual market intervention. The risk of sudden reversals increases at these elevated levels, particularly if the Ministry of Finance decides to support the yen. Market participants are advised to monitor Japanese official statements closely while managing position sizes appropriately given the heightened intervention risk.
USDJPY AUDJPY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

WTI Crude Rally Pushes CAD/USD Higher; GBP/USD and USD/JPY in Focus

WTI crude oil sentiment has returned to extreme bullish territory, providing significant support for commodity currencies, particularly the Canadian dollar. The surge in oil prices has strengthened CAD against USD, with traders positioning for continued energy sector momentum. Meanwhile, GBP/USD faces pressure from weak UK economic data, while USD/JPY continues its upward trajectory amid broad yen weakness. Gold prices remain elevated, offering support to risk sentiment and commodity-linked currencies. The Nasdaq 100's performance suggests risk appetite remains intact, which could limit safe-haven demand for USD and JPY. Technical indicators show WTI crude approaching overbought levels, suggesting potential consolidation ahead. Traders should monitor the correlation between oil prices and CAD performance, as any reversal in crude could quickly impact the Canadian dollar's recent gains against major counterparts.
GBPUSD USDJPY USDCAD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
rttnews.com

EUR/USD Eyes Gains as European Markets Set for Positive Opening

European stock futures point to a higher opening Thursday, creating a supportive environment for risk currencies including the euro. The positive sentiment stems from the resolution of the longest U.S. federal government closure, removing a key uncertainty that had weighed on global markets. EUR/USD has found support above 1.0800 as improved risk appetite reduces safe-haven dollar demand. European equity index futures suggest gains of 0.5-0.8% at the open, which could further boost the euro against the greenback. Technical analysis shows EUR/USD consolidating above its 50-day moving average, with bulls targeting the 1.0850 resistance level. The removal of U.S. political uncertainty has improved market liquidity and reduced volatility premiums across major pairs. Traders should monitor European equity performance through the session, as sustained gains could push EUR/USD toward weekly highs near 1.0875.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

AUD/USD rises on strong jobs data; USD/JPY faces intervention pressure

AUD/USD gained 0.4% to 0.6485 following robust Australian employment data showing a job rebound in October, validating the RBA's inflation-focused stance after September's weakness. The strong labor market data contrasted with equity weakness, sending the ASX lower as rate cut expectations diminished. Meanwhile, USD/JPY retreated 0.2% to 154.80 amid growing intervention fears from Japanese authorities, with traders increasingly cautious about yen weakness. The US dollar showed mixed performance after President Trump signed legislation to reopen the government, removing immediate fiscal uncertainty. USD/CAD stabilized near 1.3950 following the shutdown resolution. Technical indicators suggest AUD/USD faces resistance at 0.6520 while support holds at 0.6450. The combination of divergent central bank policies and intervention risks creates a complex trading environment requiring careful position management.
AUDUSD USDJPY USDCAD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD/CHF and EUR/CHF Retreat as Swiss Franc Rebounds on Tariff Concerns

The Swiss franc has staged a notable comeback against both USD and EUR, with technical charts having warned of this reversal before tariff discussions intensified. USD/CHF has declined from recent highs above 0.9100, while EUR/CHF similarly retreated from elevated levels as safe-haven demand for CHF increased. The franc's strength comes amid growing concerns about potential trade tariffs, which typically boost demand for traditional safe-haven currencies. Technical indicators had been flashing overbought signals for both pairs, suggesting the pullback was overdue. Support for USD/CHF now sits at 0.9050, with further declines targeting 0.9000 psychological level. EUR/CHF faces immediate support at 0.9750. The Swiss National Bank remains watchful of excessive franc appreciation but has shown less inclination to intervene compared to previous years. Traders should monitor trade policy developments closely as any escalation could drive additional CHF buying.
USDCHF EURCHF
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
thestockmarketwatch.com

USD/JPY retreats on intervention fears; USD/CAD stabilizes post-shutdown

USD/JPY declined 0.3% to 154.75 as the Japanese yen strengthened amid heightened market fears of potential Bank of Japan intervention. The modest rebound in the yen reflects growing anxiety among traders about official action should the currency weaken further beyond key psychological levels. Simultaneously, USD/CAD found stability around 1.3945 following the resolution of the US government shutdown, with President Trump signing the bill to reopen federal operations. The removal of shutdown uncertainty provided some relief to USD positions, though concerns about fiscal policy implications remain. Market participants are closely monitoring Japanese officials' rhetoric for intervention signals, with 155.00 seen as a critical threshold. For USD/CAD, immediate support lies at 1.3920 while resistance emerges at 1.3980. The contrasting dynamics highlight the importance of geopolitical and policy factors in current forex market movements.
USDJPY USDCAD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/JPY dips as Japan PPI slows to 2.7%, BOJ maintains cautious stance

USD/JPY declined 0.2% to 154.85 as Japan's wholesale inflation cooled to 2.7% year-over-year in October, down from September's revised 2.8%. The Producer Price Index rose 0.4% month-over-month, with falling import costs contributing to the deceleration as the import price index dropped 1.5% annually. This softer inflation data reinforces the Bank of Japan's cautious approach to monetary policy normalization, reducing expectations for aggressive rate hikes. The yen found mild support from the data, though gains remain limited as the BOJ continues to lag behind other major central banks in tightening policy. Technical indicators show USD/JPY testing support at 154.80, with resistance at 155.20. The pair's near-term direction will likely depend on upcoming US inflation data and any shifts in BOJ communication regarding future policy moves.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub

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