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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Tuesday, November 25, 2025

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News Statistics for Tuesday, November 25, 2025

12
Total Articles
6
Bullish
3
Bearish
3
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Archive date: Tuesday, November 25, 2025

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investing.com

Gold/USD: Hidden Market Risk Emerges as Dollar Index Faces Pressure

Gold/USD is showing increased volatility as traders position for potential market risks this week, with the precious metal testing key resistance levels near $2,050. The US Dollar Index (DXY) faces mounting pressure from mixed economic signals and shifting rate cut expectations, currently trading near 103.50. Technical analysis suggests gold is approaching a critical inflection point, with a break above $2,050 potentially triggering momentum toward $2,075. The USD/JPY pair's concurrent weakness adds to dollar vulnerability, as risk-off sentiment grows amid geopolitical tensions. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming US economic data releases, including consumer confidence and GDP revisions, which could significantly impact dollar strength. Support for gold remains firm at $2,025, with the metal benefiting from its traditional safe-haven appeal. The convergence of technical and fundamental factors suggests heightened volatility ahead for both gold and dollar pairs.
XAUUSD USDJPY DXY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY Enters Third Elliott Wave with Bullish Momentum Building

USD/JPY has entered its third Elliott Wave pattern, signaling potential continuation of the upward trend as the pair trades near 151.80. Technical analysis reveals classic wave formation characteristics, with the current third wave typically representing the strongest and longest impulse move in Elliott Wave theory. The US Dollar Index (DXY) provides underlying support at 104.20, reinforcing the bullish structure despite recent consolidation. Key resistance lies at 152.50, coinciding with the November high, while immediate support has formed at 151.20. Volume indicators confirm increasing participation during upward moves, validating the wave count interpretation. Japanese economic data remains subdued, with the Bank of Japan maintaining its ultra-loose monetary policy stance, creating favorable conditions for USD/JPY appreciation. Traders should monitor the 153.00 psychological level as the next major target if the third wave extends as projected, with stop-loss considerations below the 150.50 wave invalidation point.
USDJPY DXY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
rttnews.com

USD Weakens as December Fed Rate Cut Expectations Strengthen to 65%

The US Dollar has softened across major pairs as market pricing for a December Federal Reserve rate cut climbs to 65%, up from 55% last week. Currency markets are positioning ahead of this week's critical US economic data releases, including Consumer Confidence, GDP revision, and PCE inflation figures. The dollar index (DXY) has retreated 0.2% to 103.80, breaking below its 20-day moving average. Upcoming data could prove pivotal for Fed policy decisions, with particular focus on Friday's Core PCE reading, expected at 2.8% year-over-year. EUR/USD has benefited from dollar weakness, advancing to 1.0545, while GBP/USD tests 1.2580 resistance. Treasury yields have also declined, with the 10-year falling to 4.28%, reflecting growing rate cut optimism. Should economic data disappoint expectations, the probability of a December cut could exceed 75%, potentially driving the dollar index below crucial 103.50 support.
DXY EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY Breaks Key Resistance, Bulls Target 160+ Long-Term Highs

USD/JPY has broken through significant resistance levels, with bulls now eyeing the psychologically important 160 mark and potentially higher long-term targets. The pair's strength reflects continued dollar dominance amid expectations of sustained higher US interest rates, while the Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-loose monetary policy stance. The widening interest rate differential between the US and Japan continues to support the pair's upward trajectory. Technical indicators suggest strong bullish momentum, with the breakout confirming a continuation of the established uptrend. Key support has formed at previous resistance levels around 157.50-158.00, while immediate targets include 160.00 followed by multi-decade highs above this level. Traders should monitor any potential intervention warnings from Japanese authorities, as extreme yen weakness could prompt verbal or direct market intervention, though the fundamental backdrop remains supportive for further USD/JPY gains.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

GBP Faces Pressure Ahead of UK Autumn Budget, £20bn Fiscal Gap in Focus

Sterling remains under pressure ahead of Chancellor Reeves' crucial Autumn Budget statement scheduled for 12:30 GMT tomorrow, with markets bracing for significant fiscal policy changes. The Chancellor faces the challenging task of addressing a £20 billion hole in public finances while maintaining Labour's pledge not to raise taxes on working families. Market participants are particularly concerned about the balance between fiscal responsibility and government spending commitments, which could significantly impact UK gilt yields and sterling's trajectory. The pound has shown vulnerability in recent sessions as uncertainty builds, with GBP/USD trading near key support levels. Any signs of fiscal irresponsibility or excessive borrowing could trigger further sterling weakness, while a credible plan to address the deficit might provide some relief. Traders should prepare for heightened volatility during and after the budget announcement, with particular focus on bond market reactions that could drive currency movements.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD Overbought Conditions Signal Potential Correction Against Major Pairs

The US dollar appears overextended against major currencies, with technical indicators suggesting a correction may be imminent after its recent strong rally. EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/CHF all show signs of extreme positioning, while EUR/GBP cross rates indicate potential rebalancing opportunities. The dollar's strength has been driven by expectations of higher-for-longer US interest rates and robust economic data, but momentum indicators now flash overbought signals across multiple timeframes. Key resistance levels are being tested on USD/CHF near parity, while EUR/USD approaches critical support near 1.0500. Technical oscillators including RSI readings above 70 on several dollar pairs suggest the rally may be losing steam. Traders should watch for any disappointment in upcoming US economic data as a potential catalyst for profit-taking. A technical correction could see EUR/USD bounce toward 1.0650-1.0700, while GBP/USD might recover toward 1.2650-1.2700 resistance zones.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF EURGBP
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

GBP/USD Holds 1.3100 Ahead of Wednesday's Crucial UK Autumn Budget

GBP/USD maintains its position above the psychologically important 1.3100 level, trading at 1.3115 with minimal movement as markets await Wednesday's UK Autumn Budget announcement. Sterling traders are exercising caution ahead of Chancellor Rachel Reeves' first budget, which could include significant tax changes and spending adjustments affecting UK economic growth prospects. The pair has found support at 1.3080, with resistance capping gains at 1.3150 amid pre-event positioning. Market expectations center on potential increases to capital gains tax and changes to pension relief, which could impact investment flows into UK assets. Technical indicators suggest consolidation within a 1.3080-1.3150 range until the budget release provides directional clarity. The pound's reaction will depend heavily on the budget's perceived impact on UK growth and fiscal sustainability. Traders should prepare for increased volatility post-announcement, with a break above 1.3150 targeting 1.3200, while failure to hold 1.3080 could see a retreat to 1.3000.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
finance.yahoo.com

EUR/USD Gains Limited Despite Ukraine Peace Talks Progress

EUR/USD has seen modest gains as positive developments in Ukraine peace negotiations fail to provide meaningful support to the euro, which remains fundamentally undervalued against the dollar. The pair trades marginally higher, but the relief rally appears constrained by persistent interest rate differentials and concerns about European economic growth. While reduced geopolitical tensions typically benefit risk-sensitive currencies like the euro, the market's reaction has been muted, suggesting traders remain focused on monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Fed. The euro's wide undervaluation versus the greenback, estimated by some analysts at 10-15%, reflects structural headwinds including energy concerns and growth differentials. Technical resistance around 1.0550-1.0600 continues to cap gains, while support holds near 1.0450. Without a fundamental shift in the rate outlook or significant de-escalation in Eastern Europe, the euro's recovery potential remains limited against the dominant dollar trend.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD Supported by Trade Surpluses but US Rate Dominance Persists

EUR/USD finds modest support from improving Eurozone trade surpluses, though US interest rate dynamics continue to dominate the pair's trajectory. The euro has benefited from better-than-expected current account data, showing the region's improved external position amid global trade rebalancing. However, the significant yield differential between US Treasuries and European bonds, with the US 10-year yield remaining elevated above 4.5%, continues to attract capital flows toward the dollar. The ECB's relatively dovish stance compared to the Fed's higher-for-longer narrative maintains downward pressure on EUR/USD despite positive European fundamentals. Technical analysis shows the pair consolidating above 1.0500 support, with resistance at 1.0600 proving difficult to overcome. Traders remain focused on upcoming US economic data and any shifts in Fed communication that could alter rate expectations. Until the interest rate differential narrows meaningfully, euro gains are likely to remain limited despite improving European economic fundamentals.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/JPY and EUR/CHF Test Key Resistance Levels in Technical Breakout

EUR/JPY and EUR/CHF are challenging significant upper boundaries as euro strength persists across the forex market. EUR/JPY has approached critical resistance near 163.50, marking a potential breakout zone after consolidating for several sessions. Similarly, EUR/CHF is testing the upper range around 0.9350, suggesting renewed buying interest in the euro against traditional safe-haven currencies. The technical momentum indicates possible continuation patterns forming, with both pairs showing bullish flag formations on the 4-hour charts. Market participants are closely monitoring these levels as a sustained break above could trigger further euro appreciation. Key support levels for EUR/JPY stand at 162.80, while EUR/CHF finds backing at 0.9310. Traders should watch for volume confirmation on any breakout attempts, as false breaks could lead to sharp reversals. The coordinated movement suggests broader euro strength rather than isolated pair dynamics.
EURJPY EURCHF EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

XAU/USD rises 1.7% to $2,710 on Fed rate cut expectations

XAU/USD surged 1.7% to $2,710 on Monday, extending its bullish momentum as traders price in over 70% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December. The precious metal's strength reflects improving risk appetite across financial markets and growing expectations of monetary policy easing. Gold's inverse relationship with USD strength continues to drive price action, with the dollar weakening on dovish Fed expectations. Technical analysis shows XAU/USD consolidating within a pennant formation, suggesting a potential breakout pending. Immediate resistance lies at $2,720 (pennant upper boundary), while support holds at $2,685 (pennant lower boundary). A decisive break above the pattern could target the psychological $2,750 level, while failure to hold support may see a retest of $2,650. Traders should monitor upcoming Fed communications and US economic data releases for directional cues on gold's next major move.
XAUUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
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