Sponsor XM Group - Trade Forex, Stocks, Commodities, Indices & More. Ultra-Low Spreads, Fast Execution, Licensed Broker.
START TRADING WITH XM

AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Friday, July 25, 2025

News Calendar Archive

July 2025

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
29
30
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
1
2

News Statistics for Friday, July 25, 2025

15
Total Articles
5
Bullish
4
Bearish
6
Neutral

Advanced Filters

Archive date: Friday, July 25, 2025

Filter by:
Forexlive

Oil Rig Count Falls by 7, WTI Crude Tests 100-Day MA at $64.91

WTI crude oil is trading down $0.61 at $65.42 following the Baker Hughes report showing oil rig count decreased by 7 to 415, while gas rigs increased by 5 to 122. The total rig count fell by 2 to 542. During the trading week, crude tested its 100-day moving average at $64.91, reaching a weekly low of $64.76 on Wednesday but failing to sustain momentum below this key technical level. For the week, oil is down $0.63 or 0.96% at current levels. The decline in oil rig count suggests reduced drilling activity, which could support prices in the medium term. However, the inability to break below the 100-day MA indicates solid support at these levels. Oil prices directly impact commodity currencies like CAD, NOK, and RUB, with lower oil prices typically weakening these currencies against majors.
USDCAD USDNOK
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

GBP/USD Weakens as Trump Announces UK PM Meeting, Trade Deal Possible

GBP/USD is trading lower following President Trump's announcement of a meeting with UK PM Starmer tonight, with potential approval of a trade deal on the agenda. The pound's immediate reaction suggests market uncertainty about the implications of renewed US-UK trade negotiations. While a potential trade agreement could provide long-term support for sterling, traders appear cautious about near-term volatility surrounding the high-level discussions. The announcement comes amid broader Brexit-related concerns and ongoing UK economic challenges. Technical indicators show GBP/USD facing resistance at recent highs, with support levels being tested on this news. Market participants will closely monitor any concrete developments from tonight's meeting, as a formal trade deal announcement could significantly impact sterling's trajectory against the dollar and other major currencies.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
financefeeds.com

Volatility Indicators Guide: ATR, Bollinger Bands & Standard Deviation

OctaTrader platform offers three key volatility indicators essential for forex trading: Average True Range (ATR), Bollinger Bands, and Standard Deviation. ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average range between high and low prices, helping traders set appropriate stop-loss levels and position sizes. Bollinger Bands consist of a moving average with upper and lower bands based on standard deviation, indicating overbought/oversold conditions and potential breakout points. Standard Deviation quantifies price dispersion from the mean, with higher values signaling increased volatility. These tools are crucial for understanding market dynamics and timing entries/exits. Traders can combine these indicators to develop comprehensive volatility-based strategies, particularly useful during major economic releases or geopolitical events when forex pairs experience heightened price swings.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Fed Expected to Hold Rates Steady, Future Cuts Anticipated

Federal Reserve officials are expected to maintain current interest rates at the upcoming meeting, though market participants increasingly anticipate rate cuts in subsequent meetings. EUR/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, and Dollar Index futures are all positioned for potential policy shifts. Current market pricing suggests the Fed will hold steady to assess incoming economic data, particularly inflation metrics and labor market conditions. However, dovish signals from recent Fed communications indicate a growing openness to monetary easing if economic conditions warrant. The dollar has shown mixed performance against major pairs, with USD/JPY particularly sensitive to rate differential expectations between the Fed and Bank of Japan. Technical analysis shows the Dollar Index near key resistance levels, suggesting limited upside potential if rate cut expectations solidify. Traders should monitor upcoming economic releases for clues about the Fed's timeline.
EURUSD USDJPY USDCHF
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY Declines as Tokyo Inflation Unexpectedly Softens

USD/JPY extended losses following lower-than-expected Tokyo inflation data, which reduced expectations for Bank of Japan policy tightening. Tokyo CPI came in below forecasts, suggesting nationwide Japanese inflation may also undershoot predictions. This development weakens the case for BOJ rate hikes, narrowing the interest rate differential with the US. The pair has broken below key support levels as traders reassess the yen's yield disadvantage. Technical indicators show increasing bearish momentum, with the 50-day moving average now acting as resistance. The softer inflation reading adds to concerns about Japan's economic recovery and may prompt the BOJ to maintain its ultra-loose monetary policy longer than anticipated. Near-term support for USD/JPY lies at recent lows, while resistance has formed at previous support levels. Traders should watch for upcoming BOJ commentary and US economic data for further directional cues.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

USD/JPY rises 0.5% as Japanese political uncertainty weakens yen

USD/JPY has climbed 0.5% to test its 200-hour moving average as ongoing political uncertainty in Japan continues to pressure the yen. The pair's upward momentum reflects growing concerns about Japan's political stability, which is undermining confidence in the currency despite the Bank of Japan's recent policy shifts. Technical indicators show the pair breaking above key resistance levels, with the 200-hour moving average now acting as a critical test for further gains. Market participants are closely monitoring developments in Japanese politics, as any resolution could trigger sharp reversals in yen positioning. The dollar's relative strength is also supported by expectations of sustained higher US interest rates compared to Japan. Traders should watch for a confirmed break above the 200-hour MA, which could open the path toward recent highs, while failure to hold above this level might signal consolidation or a pullback toward immediate support zones.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD gains on trade optimism amid improving market sentiment

EUR/USD is experiencing upward pressure as renewed trade deal optimism boosts risk appetite and supports the euro against the dollar. The improved sentiment stems from positive developments in international trade negotiations, reducing concerns about global economic headwinds that had previously weighed on the eurozone economy. The euro's strength is also evident in cross pairs, with EUR/GBP and EUR/CHF showing corresponding gains as traders position for potential economic benefits from enhanced trade flows. Technical analysis suggests the pair is approaching key resistance levels that could determine the next directional move. The US Dollar Index has shown signs of weakness as safe-haven demand diminishes amid the improving trade outlook. For traders, this shift in sentiment presents opportunities in euro-positive strategies, though caution is warranted as trade negotiations can quickly reverse course. Near-term targets include testing recent highs if the optimistic momentum continues.
EURUSD EURGBP EURCHF
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/CAD bulls face resistance at medium-term ceiling levels

USD/CAD is testing critical medium-term resistance levels as bulls attempt to break through established ceiling zones that have capped gains in recent trading sessions. The pair's upward momentum reflects ongoing dollar strength against the Canadian currency, though technical barriers are proving challenging to overcome. Key resistance at current levels represents a significant test for bullish continuation, with multiple rejections at this zone suggesting strong selling interest. The Canadian dollar's performance remains tied to oil price movements and domestic economic data, both of which are influencing trader positioning. Technical indicators show the pair in overbought territory, potentially limiting immediate upside without a catalyst. A decisive break above the medium-term ceiling could trigger acceleration toward higher targets, while failure might result in a pullback to support levels. Traders should monitor upcoming economic releases from both countries and oil market dynamics for directional cues.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY and USD/CHF show reversal patterns with yield support

USD/JPY and USD/CHF are displaying bullish reversal patterns supported by favorable yield differentials, suggesting potential for continued upside momentum. Both pairs have formed technical reversal structures that, combined with rising US Treasury yields, particularly the 2-year note, are attracting buyer interest. The yield advantage continues to favor the dollar as US rates remain elevated compared to Japanese and Swiss counterparts, creating carry trade opportunities. Technical analysis reveals completed reversal formations in both pairs, with USD/JPY breaking above key resistance and USD/CHF showing similar strength patterns. The US Dollar Index's performance corroborates this dollar strength theme across safe-haven currencies. Market participants are positioning for further gains as long as yield differentials remain supportive and technical patterns hold. Key levels to watch include recent highs for both pairs, with breaks above potentially accelerating the upward moves amid sustained yield tailwinds.
USDJPY USDCHF
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY re-enters range after US-Japan trade deal announcement

USD/JPY has moved back into its established trading range following the announcement of a new US-Japan trade agreement, raising questions about the sustainability of this price action. The trade deal news initially sparked volatility in the pair, but prices have since stabilized within familiar technical boundaries that have contained movement in recent weeks. The agreement's details suggest balanced benefits for both economies, limiting any significant directional bias for the currency pair. Technical analysis shows the pair settling between key support and resistance levels that have defined the recent consolidation phase. The US Dollar Index's reaction has been muted, indicating the trade deal's impact may be more symbolic than immediately market-moving. Traders are now watching whether the pair can maintain its position within the range or if subsequent developments will provide the catalyst for a breakout. Critical levels include range support and resistance, with any breach potentially signaling the next trending move.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/JPY edges higher as Japan's leading index improves to 104.8

USD/JPY has gained 0.15% to trade at 156.85 following the release of Japan's revised leading indicator index for May, which improved to 104.8 from 104.2 previously. The coincident index remained steady at 116.0, maintaining its assessment as 'halting to fall,' suggesting stabilization in Japan's economic conditions. The modest improvement in forward-looking indicators has reduced immediate pressure on the Bank of Japan to implement additional stimulus measures. Market participants are closely monitoring the yen's weakness, as USD/JPY approaches the psychologically important 157.00 level. Technical resistance sits at 157.20, while support has formed at 156.50. The data suggests Japan's economy may be finding a floor, though the yen remains under pressure from the significant interest rate differential between the US and Japan, with traders awaiting further economic releases for directional clarity.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
forexlive.com

EUR/USD drops 0.4% as ECB rate cut expectations pushed to October

EUR/USD has declined 0.4% to 1.0820 after traders significantly reduced rate cut expectations for the European Central Bank's September meeting. Following yesterday's ECB policy decision, markets now price only a 15% probability of a September cut, down from 65% previously, with the first full cut now expected in October. The hawkish shift reflects ECB officials' concerns about persistent services inflation and wage growth pressures. The euro's decline accelerated during the European session as positioning adjusted to the new rate outlook. Technical indicators show EUR/USD breaking below the 1.0850 support level, with next support at 1.0800. Resistance now sits at 1.0880. The extended pause in ECB easing contrasts with expectations for potential Fed cuts later this year, though this differential may provide limited support for the euro if European economic data continues to disappoint.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

USD weakness continues as Trump confirms Powell will remain Fed Chair

The US dollar index fell 0.3% to 104.20 during Asian trading after President Trump confirmed he will not fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, easing concerns about political interference in monetary policy. The announcement provided stability to currency markets, with USD/JPY dropping 0.25% to 156.60 and EUR/USD gaining 0.2% to 1.0865. Asian currencies broadly strengthened against the dollar, with AUD/USD rising 0.35% to 0.6580 and NZD/USD up 0.3% to 0.5920. The confirmation removes a significant uncertainty factor that had been weighing on risk sentiment. Markets are now refocusing on economic fundamentals and the Fed's data-dependent approach to policy. Technical analysis shows the dollar index testing support at 104.00, with a break below potentially accelerating the downtrend toward 103.50. The reduced political risk premium supports a more stable trading environment for major currency pairs.
USDJPY EURUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

USD/JPY Surges Above 147.40 as Yen Weakness Accelerates

USD/JPY has extended its bullish momentum, breaking above the 147.40 level in Asian trading, marking a continuation of the pair's recent upward trajectory. The Japanese yen remains under pressure amid diverging monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, with the BOJ maintaining its ultra-loose stance despite global tightening trends. The move represents a significant psychological breakthrough, as 147.00 had previously acted as strong resistance. Market participants are closely monitoring any potential intervention signals from Japanese authorities, though no immediate action appears forthcoming. Technical indicators suggest further upside potential, with the next major resistance level at 148.00, followed by the October 2022 high near 148.85. Support has now formed at 147.00, with the 146.50 area providing additional backing. Traders should remain vigilant for any shifts in BOJ rhetoric or unexpected yen-positive developments that could trigger a sharp reversal.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
Back to Current News

Historical Data Value

Historical forex news can provide valuable context for understanding market patterns, reactions to economic events, and long-term currency trends.

Benefits of Historical News:

  • Identify how markets typically react to specific economic announcements
  • Study seasonal patterns in currency movements
  • Analyze market sentiment during similar economic conditions
  • Develop and backtest trading strategies based on news events

Forex Sentiment Widget

Get This Widget For Your Site

Today's Trading Signals

NZDCAD
Bearish (89%)
M15, H1, H4, D1
View Analysis
EURCAD
Bearish (85%)
M15, H1, H4, D1
View Analysis
USDCAD
Bullish (83%)
M15, H1, H4, D1
View Analysis

Ready to Trade?

Join XM - Trusted by millions of traders worldwide. Access 1000+ instruments with ultra-low spreads from 0.6 pips, no re-quotes, and no hidden fees.

Open Account with XM

Trade with XM Group

XM - Licensed broker with 15+ years of excellence. Trade 1000+ instruments on MT4/MT5. Spreads as low as 0.6 pips, leverage up to 1000:1, fast execution.

START TRADING NOW
Telegram Icon