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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Tuesday, July 22, 2025

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News Statistics for Tuesday, July 22, 2025

16
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3
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6
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7
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Archive date: Tuesday, July 22, 2025

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Forexlive

EUR/USD Falls 0.8% as German DAX Drops on US Tariff Concerns

EUR/USD declined approximately 0.8% to 1.0820 as European equities closed mixed, with Germany's DAX leading losses at -1.09% amid escalating trade tensions. The euro weakened as concerns mount over potential US tariffs, with the EU preparing countermeasures if no agreement is reached by August 1. France's CAC also fell 0.69%, while UK's FTSE 100 managed a marginal 0.12% gain. The trade uncertainty particularly impacted German export-oriented companies, pressuring the euro against major currencies. Technical indicators suggest EUR/USD faces immediate support at 1.0800, with resistance at 1.0850. The heightened trade tensions could continue weighing on the euro in the near term, especially if diplomatic efforts fail to resolve the tariff dispute before the deadline.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
finance.yahoo.com

USD Index Down 0.12% as Treasury Yields Slide, Gold Rallies

The US Dollar Index retreated 0.12% as Treasury yields declined, with selling pressure intensifying after July's Richmond Fed manufacturing survey current conditions index unexpectedly dropped to an 11-month low. The weaker-than-expected manufacturing data reinforced concerns about slowing US economic growth, prompting investors to reduce dollar exposure. Gold capitalized on the dollar weakness, rallying as lower yields reduced the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. The disappointing Richmond Fed data adds to recent mixed economic signals, suggesting the Federal Reserve may need to reassess its monetary policy stance. USD/JPY fell 0.15% to 155.20, while EUR/USD gained 0.10% to 1.0845. Near-term dollar weakness could persist if upcoming economic data continues to disappoint, with support for the DXY at 104.50.
USDJPY EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

AUD/USD Holds 0.6750 Support Despite Weak Jobs Data on Hawkish RBA

AUD/USD maintained channel support at 0.6750, trading flat at 0.6755 as hawkish RBA meeting minutes offset disappointing Australian employment data. The Reserve Bank of Australia's minutes revealed ongoing concerns about persistent inflation, suggesting interest rates may need to remain elevated longer than previously anticipated. This hawkish stance provided crucial support for the Australian dollar despite weaker-than-expected jobs figures. NZD/USD also benefited from regional sentiment, rising 0.1% to 0.6120. Technical analysis shows AUD/USD respecting its ascending channel support, with resistance at 0.6800. The currency pair's resilience suggests traders are prioritizing the RBA's hawkish stance over short-term employment weakness. Further gains could materialize if upcoming Australian inflation data supports the central bank's cautious approach to rate cuts.
AUDUSD NZDUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD steadies as UK borrowing surges amid US trade uncertainty

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.2950, showing minimal movement as traders balance concerns over rising UK government borrowing against US trade policy uncertainty. UK public sector net borrowing expanded sharply to £17.4 billion in June, exceeding forecasts and marking the highest June borrowing since 2021. The pound's resilience suggests markets are more focused on pending US trade announcements, with investors awaiting clarity on potential tariff implementations. Technical indicators show GBP/USD trapped between immediate resistance at 1.2980 and support at 1.2920. The pair's near-term direction likely depends on US trade policy developments and upcoming UK economic data releases. Risk sentiment remains fragile, with safe-haven flows potentially limiting sterling's upside potential despite dollar weakness.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY weakens as BoJ maintains steady policy outlook post-election

USD/JPY retreated 0.4% to 148.30 as the Japanese yen strengthened following Bank of Japan comments suggesting minimal policy impact from recent election results. BoJ officials indicated the central bank remains committed to its current monetary policy framework, dismissing speculation that political changes might accelerate policy normalization. The yen's appreciation reflects reduced uncertainty around Japan's monetary trajectory, with markets now pricing in continued ultra-loose policy settings. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY breaking below the 148.50 support level, opening potential for further decline toward 147.80. However, diverging monetary policies between the Fed and BoJ continue to support the pair's longer-term uptrend. Traders should monitor upcoming Japanese inflation data and any shifts in BoJ communication for directional cues.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

Crude Oil ranges above support as growth outlook improves

Crude oil prices have stabilized above key support levels following the volatility from June's Israel-Iran tensions. After the market eliminated geopolitical risk premiums, trading focus shifted to global economic growth prospects. Current price action shows WTI crude consolidating in a narrow range, with technical indicators suggesting continued support above critical levels. Market participants are increasingly optimistic about demand recovery, driven by expansionary fiscal and monetary policies worldwide. The combination of accommodative central bank stances and government stimulus measures is expected to boost energy consumption. Technical analysis reveals strong support at current levels, with resistance tested multiple times without a decisive break. Near-term price action will likely depend on economic data releases confirming growth momentum and any shifts in OPEC+ production policies.
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD/JPY bulls target 149.00 but face tariff deadline resistance

USD/JPY advances 0.2% to 148.75 as dollar bulls attempt to push toward the psychological 149.00 level, though momentum appears capped by looming US tariff deadlines. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum with the pair trading above its 50-day moving average at 148.40, while RSI readings near 58 indicate room for further gains. However, traders remain cautious ahead of potential US trade policy announcements that could trigger risk-off sentiment and yen safe-haven flows. Immediate resistance stands at 149.00, with a break potentially opening moves toward 149.50. Support levels are established at 148.40 and 148.00. Market positioning suggests bulls maintain control, but any negative trade headlines could quickly reverse gains given the yen's haven status.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

USD/CAD rebounds from Monday's decline as tariff concerns ease

USD/CAD recovered 0.3% to 1.4320 following Monday's sharp 0.8% decline, as the dollar found footing amid reduced immediate tariff concerns. The pair's Monday selloff reflected broad dollar weakness and uncertainty over US-Canada trade relations, with markets pricing in potential economic disruptions. Today's rebound suggests traders are taking a more measured approach while awaiting concrete trade policy announcements. Oil prices remain stable near $81/barrel, providing neutral influence on the commodity-linked loonie. Technical analysis shows USD/CAD bouncing from support at 1.4280, with resistance now at 1.4350. The pair's near-term trajectory depends heavily on US trade policy clarity and oil market dynamics. Canadian GDP data later this week could provide additional directional catalyst for the loonie.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD rises above 1.0400 as risk-off sentiment weighs on dollar

EUR/USD advanced 0.4% to 1.0420 as mounting global risks prompted a retreat from the US dollar despite relatively weak eurozone fundamentals. The euro's gains reflect broader risk-off sentiment rather than euro-specific strength, with traders reducing dollar exposure amid geopolitical uncertainties and trade policy concerns. European equities fell 0.6%, highlighting the defensive market mood that paradoxically supported the euro against the greenback. Technical indicators show EUR/USD breaking above the 1.0400 psychological level, with next resistance at 1.0450. Support has formed at 1.0380, coinciding with the 20-day moving average. The pair's upward momentum could extend if risk aversion intensifies, though any positive US economic surprises or trade clarity might quickly reverse euro gains given underlying eurozone economic challenges.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD strengthens as markets price in aggressive tariff policies

The US Dollar Index has gained momentum as traders reassess the potential impact of tariff policies on currency markets. EUR/USD faced selling pressure while GBP/USD retreated from recent highs, reflecting broad dollar strength. USD/JPY showed mixed signals despite the overall dollar bid. Market participants are increasingly factoring in the possibility of more aggressive trade measures, which could boost the greenback through safe-haven flows and potential inflationary pressures. The shift in sentiment comes as investors recalibrate expectations for Federal Reserve policy, considering how tariffs might influence inflation dynamics and growth prospects. Technical indicators suggest the dollar index is approaching key resistance levels, with a break above potentially triggering further gains. Currency pairs involving the dollar are showing increased volatility as traders position for various tariff scenarios and their economic implications.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY reverses from 149.60 resistance on technical selling

USD/JPY has triggered a bearish reversal after failing to break above the crucial 149.60 resistance level, currently trading 0.4% lower at 148.85. The pair's inability to sustain momentum above this key technical barrier has prompted selling pressure from algorithmic traders and technical-focused participants. The 149.60 level has proven to be a formidable resistance zone, tested multiple times over recent sessions without success. Chart patterns suggest a potential double-top formation, with the neckline support at 148.20. A break below this level could accelerate declines toward 147.50, the 50-day moving average. Japanese yen strength is also supported by safe-haven flows amid global market uncertainties. Technical indicators including RSI and MACD are showing bearish divergence, reinforcing the negative outlook for the pair in the near term.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/JPY faces pressure as Japan-US tariff talks show no progress

USD/JPY remains under pressure near 156.20 following reports of stalled trade negotiations between Japan and the United States. Japan's trade negotiator confirmed a 2-hour meeting with US Commerce Secretary Lutnick in Washington yielded no concrete agreements on tariff issues, with both sides still seeking common ground. The lack of progress raises concerns about potential trade tensions that could strengthen the yen as a safe-haven asset. Markets are closely monitoring any signs of escalating trade disputes, which historically have led to yen appreciation during risk-off periods. Technical indicators show USD/JPY testing support at 156.00, with a break below potentially opening the path to 155.50. Resistance sits at 156.80, the previous week's high. Traders should watch for any breakthrough in negotiations or signs of deteriorating trade relations, which could trigger significant volatility in the pair.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD weakens on Fed rate cut expectations and safe-haven rotation

The US Dollar Index dropped 0.6% to start the week as markets reassess Federal Reserve rate cut prospects amid shifting safe-haven preferences. USD/JPY fell sharply by 0.8% to 148.70, while gold surged 1.2% to $2,435 per ounce, highlighting the rotation away from dollar assets. Growing doubts about the Fed's hawkish stance have emerged following softer economic indicators, with markets now pricing in a 65% probability of a rate cut by September. The Japanese yen and gold are benefiting from increased safe-haven demand as geopolitical tensions and growth concerns resurface. Technical analysis shows the Dollar Index breaking below its 20-day moving average at 104.50, with next support at 104.00. The bearish shift in dollar sentiment could accelerate if upcoming economic data disappoints, particularly this week's consumer confidence and GDP figures.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

AUD/USD dips as RBA minutes signal cautious stance on rate cuts

AUD/USD traded in a tight range around 0.6650, showing minimal movement as markets digested cautious RBA meeting minutes. The Australian dollar faced mild pressure after the Reserve Bank of Australia's minutes revealed a more prudent approach to potential rate cuts, maintaining concerns about persistent inflation risks. Asian equity markets traded softer, with risk sentiment dampened by mixed regional data including China's 2.4% decline in Q2 smartphone shipments, signaling potential consumption weakness. The Japanese yen remained stable despite Finance Minister ruling out sales tax cuts following recent election setbacks. Major currency pairs exhibited range-bound behavior with low volatility as traders await key economic releases later this week. Technical indicators suggest AUD/USD faces resistance at 0.6680 while support holds at 0.6620. The cautious RBA stance may limit Australian dollar upside in the near term, particularly if global risk sentiment deteriorates further.
AUDUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub

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