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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Wednesday, July 30, 2025

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News Statistics for Wednesday, July 30, 2025

14
Total Articles
2
Bullish
8
Bearish
4
Neutral

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Archive date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025

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Forexlive

GBP/USD breaks below 100-day MA at 1.3334, bearish momentum accelerates

GBP/USD has declined sharply to new session lows, breaking below the critical 100-day moving average at 1.3334, which had provided support during yesterday's trading. This technical breakdown signals a shift in market bias from neutral to bearish, as the pair extends losses amid strengthening dollar momentum. The breach of this key technical level, which had acted as a defensive floor for buyers, opens the path for further downside toward the next support zone around 1.3280 (50% Fibonacci retracement). Technical indicators are turning increasingly negative, with the RSI dropping below 45 and MACD crossing into bearish territory. Traders are now watching for any retest of the broken 1.3334 level, which could now act as resistance. A failure to reclaim this level would confirm the bearish breakdown and potentially accelerate selling pressure toward the 1.3250 psychological support.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

NZD/USD breaks below 0.5914 trendline as sellers target July lows

NZD/USD has broken below the critical 0.5914 trendline support that has been connecting higher lows since May, signaling a potential shift in momentum favoring sellers. The pair's breach of this technical floor opens the path for further downside, with the immediate target at 0.5903, marking July's low. This trendline break represents a significant technical development after months of support, suggesting weakening bullish momentum in the New Zealand dollar. The breakdown comes amid broader risk-off sentiment and persistent strength in the US dollar. Traders should monitor whether the pair can sustain trading below 0.5914, as a failure to do so could invalidate the bearish signal. A confirmed close below this level would strengthen the bearish case, potentially accelerating losses toward the 0.5903 support and possibly extending to the 0.5850 psychological level if July's low gives way.
NZDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
rttnews.com

USD strengthens as robust US data reduces Fed rate cut expectations

The US dollar has gained broad strength across major pairs following stronger-than-expected economic data that highlighted the resilience of the American economy. The positive data releases have significantly reduced market expectations for an early Federal Reserve rate cut, with traders now pricing in only a 15% probability of easing at the September meeting, down from 40% last week. Key economic indicators exceeded forecasts, reinforcing the Fed's cautious stance on monetary policy adjustments. The dollar index (DXY) climbed 0.5% to 104.20, approaching recent highs. Against this backdrop, EUR/USD fell 0.4% to 1.0810, while GBP/USD dropped 0.6% to 1.3320. The shift in rate expectations has widened yield differentials in favor of the dollar, attracting capital flows. Markets now await Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls data, which could further solidify the Fed's hawkish positioning if employment remains robust.
EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

European markets subdued ahead of Fed decision and tech earnings

European forex markets displayed a cautious tone during Wednesday's morning session as traders positioned ahead of major risk events. The euro and pound traded in tight ranges against the dollar, with EUR/USD hovering near 1.0825 and GBP/USD around 1.3150. Market participants are exercising restraint ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision, where the central bank is expected to maintain rates but could signal future policy direction. Additionally, major technology earnings from the 'Magnificent 7' companies are set to influence risk sentiment and potentially impact safe-haven currencies like the yen and Swiss franc. European economic data remained light, allowing traders to focus on the upcoming US events. The subdued volatility reflects typical pre-event positioning, with implied volatility measures suggesting potential breakouts once the Fed announcement and earnings reports are digested. Traders should prepare for increased volatility in major pairs following these key events.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
zerohedge.com

USD gains as markets brace for Fed, GDP data and tech earnings

The US dollar strengthened across major pairs as futures rose ahead of a packed economic calendar featuring the Federal Reserve decision, Q2 GDP data, and earnings from major technology companies. The dollar index climbed 0.2% to 104.50 as traders positioned defensively before the high-impact events. Markets are particularly focused on the Fed's policy statement for clues about September rate cut prospects, with futures pricing in a 68% probability of easing. Q2 GDP estimates point to 2.8% annualized growth, which could reinforce dollar strength if met. The Treasury's quarterly refunding announcement adds another layer of complexity to market dynamics. Risk-sensitive currencies like AUD and NZD underperformed, while safe-haven flows benefited JPY and CHF marginally. The confluence of events suggests potential volatility spikes across major pairs, with traders advised to monitor key technical levels for breakout opportunities following the announcements.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY AUDUSD NZDUSD USDCHF
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

US Mortgage Applications Fall 3.8% as Rates Hold Near 6.83%

US mortgage applications declined 3.8% for the week ending July 25, reversing the previous week's 0.8% gain, as the 30-year mortgage rate remained elevated at 6.83%. The Market Index dropped to 245.7 from 255.5, with both purchase and refinance components showing weakness. The Purchase Index fell to 155.6 from 165.1, while the Refinance Index slipped to 739.3 from 747.5. High mortgage rates continue to pressure housing market activity, reflecting the Federal Reserve's sustained restrictive monetary policy stance. While this data rarely moves forex markets directly, persistent housing weakness could influence broader US economic sentiment and potentially impact USD positioning. The inverse correlation between mortgage applications and rates remains intact, suggesting continued housing market challenges until rates meaningfully decline.
USD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
forexcrunch.com

AUD/USD drops 0.4% as soft Australian CPI boosts RBA cut expectations

AUD/USD declined 0.4% to 0.6540 after Australia's Q2 CPI data came in softer than expected, significantly increasing the odds of a Reserve Bank of Australia rate cut. Headline inflation slowed to 3.5% year-over-year from 3.6% previously, missing the 3.8% forecast, while trimmed mean CPI decelerated to 3.9% from 4.0%. The disappointing inflation figures have shifted market pricing, with traders now assigning a 55% probability to a November RBA rate cut, up from 30% before the data release. The Australian dollar's weakness was compounded by broad US dollar strength ahead of the Federal Reserve decision. Technical analysis shows AUD/USD breaking below the 0.6550 support level, opening the path toward 0.6500 psychological support. The diverging monetary policy outlook between the RBA and Fed could pressure the pair further, especially if US data continues to show economic resilience.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD Eyes 1.1500 Break on Growth Divergence and Fed Outlook

EUR/USD faces mounting pressure to break below 1.1500 as growth divergence between the Eurozone and US intensifies, coupled with evolving Federal Reserve policy expectations. The pair has weakened amid stronger US economic data contrasting with sluggish European growth indicators. Market participants are closely monitoring upcoming Fed communications for hints about the pace of future rate adjustments. Technical analysis suggests the 1.1500 level represents a critical support zone, with a breach potentially accelerating declines toward 1.1400. The dollar's broad strength is also evident in USD/CAD and against Nordic currencies (NOK/SEK), reinforcing the greenback's dominant position. Traders should watch for any shifts in growth differentials or central bank rhetoric that could alter the current bearish EUR/USD trajectory. Near-term resistance sits at 1.1580, while extended support lies at 1.1450.
EURUSD USDCAD USDNOK USDSEK
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY Retreats After Failed Attempt at July Highs

USD/JPY has pulled back from its recent test of July highs, showing signs of exhaustion in the dollar's rally against the yen. The pair failed to sustain momentum above key resistance levels, prompting profit-taking and a modest retreat. Technical indicators suggest the upward momentum has temporarily stalled, with the pair struggling to maintain gains above critical resistance zones. The pullback reflects a combination of technical factors and cautious positioning ahead of upcoming economic data releases. Immediate support has formed at previous resistance levels, while the July highs remain the key upside target. Traders are monitoring both US economic indicators and Bank of Japan policy signals for directional cues. The near-term outlook depends on whether bulls can gather strength for another attempt at breaking July peaks or if the correction deepens toward stronger support levels.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD edges higher as US-France trade deal avoids worst-case scenario

EUR/USD gained 0.15% to 1.0835 in early European trading as France's finance minister confirmed a framework trade deal with the US, describing it as the "best possible compromise." The agreement helped ease immediate concerns about potential tariff escalations that could have severely impacted European exports. While wine and spirits remain subject to ongoing negotiations for exemptions, the deal removes the threat of broader punitive measures. Market participants view this development as moderately positive for the euro, though concerns persist about the long-term impact on European economic growth. Technical indicators show EUR/USD testing resistance at 1.0850, with support established at 1.0800. The pair's near-term direction will likely depend on upcoming ECB policy signals and US economic data releases. Traders should monitor any finalization of the trade terms, as unfavorable details could reverse current gains.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

AUD/USD Weakens as Australian Inflation Drop Boosts RBA Cut Expectations

AUD/USD has come under pressure following a significant decline in Australian inflation data, strengthening the case for Reserve Bank of Australia rate cuts. The softer-than-expected inflation figures have shifted market expectations toward a more dovish RBA stance, weighing on the Australian dollar. The currency pair faces additional headwinds from broad USD strength and concerns about global growth prospects. Technical analysis shows AUD/USD testing key support levels, with further declines possible if inflation continues to moderate. The ASX 200 has shown mixed reactions, balancing between rate cut optimism and currency weakness concerns. Traders are now pricing in increased probability of RBA easing in coming months, which could cap any AUD recovery attempts. Near-term resistance emerges at recent highs, while extended support lies at multi-month lows as markets reassess Australia's monetary policy trajectory.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
timesofindia.indiatimes.com

XAU/USD faces resistance as US trade clarity limits gold upside

Gold prices (XAU/USD) are experiencing limited upside momentum as emerging clarity on US trade policies reduces safe-haven demand. Recent US-EU trade agreements have eased tariff concerns, dampening gold's appeal as a hedge against trade uncertainty. The precious metal currently trades near $2,015 per ounce, showing minimal movement as investors await further developments. MCX gold futures reflect similar restraint, with traders monitoring Donald Trump's evolving tariff stance for directional cues. Technical indicators suggest consolidation within the $2,000-2,030 range, with immediate resistance at $2,025 and support at $2,005. The reduced trade tensions have strengthened risk appetite, potentially limiting gold's near-term gains. Traders should watch for any escalation in geopolitical tensions or shifts in Federal Reserve policy that could reignite safe-haven flows into gold.
XAUUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

AUD/USD pressured by mixed Australian CPI data amid Pacific earthquake

AUD/USD faces downward pressure following mixed Australian inflation data released during Wednesday's Asian session. The Australian CPI showed softer-than-expected readings, weighing on the Aussie dollar as markets reassess Reserve Bank of Australia rate expectations. The currency pair currently trades near 0.6450, down 0.2% on the day. Adding to market uncertainty, a significant earthquake struck the Pacific region, though immediate economic impacts remain unclear. China's fiscal policy developments are also in focus, with potential stimulus measures offering mixed signals for the commodity-linked Australian dollar. Technical analysis shows AUD/USD testing support at 0.6440, with resistance at 0.6480. The confluence of domestic inflation concerns, regional seismic activity, and China's economic outlook creates a cautious trading environment. Traders should monitor upcoming Chinese PMI data and any RBA commentary for clearer directional signals.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
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