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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Tuesday, August 5, 2025

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News Statistics for Tuesday, August 5, 2025

12
Total Articles
4
Bullish
5
Bearish
3
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Archive date: Tuesday, August 5, 2025

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finance.yahoo.com

USD Index Gains 0.16% as Rising Treasury Yields Support Dollar Recovery

The US Dollar Index advanced 0.16% today, recovering from losses recorded on Friday and Monday as traders engaged in short covering activities. The greenback's rebound is primarily driven by rising US Treasury yields, which are increasing the dollar's yield advantage against major currencies. The move suggests a temporary pause in the recent dollar weakness, with bond market dynamics playing a crucial role in supporting USD strength. Technical indicators show the dollar index finding support near recent lows, while resistance remains at the previous week's highs. The recovery impacts major pairs including EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY, with the euro and pound giving back some recent gains. Traders should monitor Treasury yield movements closely, as sustained higher yields could extend the dollar's recovery, while any reversal in yields might resume the recent downtrend. Near-term market focus remains on upcoming US economic data releases that could influence Federal Reserve policy expectations.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD weakens as ISM Services PMI falls to 50.1, missing 51.5 forecast

The US dollar declined broadly following disappointing ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI data for July, which came in at 50.1 versus the 51.5 estimate, barely above the contraction threshold. EUR/USD gained 0.2% to 1.0920, while GBP/USD rose to 1.2845. The services sector showed widespread weakness with 7 of 10 components declining, including concerning drops in Employment (46.4, -0.8) and New Orders (50.3, -1.0). However, Prices surged to 69.9 (+2.4), indicating persistent inflationary pressures. The weak services data, combined with deteriorating employment conditions, strengthens the case for Federal Reserve rate cuts in September. Technical indicators suggest USD/JPY could test support at 149.50, while EUR/USD faces resistance at 1.0950. Traders should monitor upcoming US employment data for confirmation of economic softening, which could accelerate dollar weakness across major pairs.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
rttnews.com

EUR/USD rallies as Fed and ECB rate cut expectations boost risk appetite

EUR/USD advanced 0.35% to 1.0935 as global markets embraced risk-on sentiment driven by growing expectations of coordinated rate cuts from both the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank. The dollar index (DXY) fell 0.4% to 103.20, marking its weakest level in three weeks. Market pricing now reflects a 75% probability of a 25-basis-point Fed cut in September, up from 60% last week, while ECB officials have signaled openness to further easing amid slowing Eurozone growth. Asian and European equity markets rallied 1.2% on average, supporting high-beta currencies. Technical analysis shows EUR/USD breaking above the 50-day moving average at 1.0915, with next resistance at 1.0965. GBP/USD and AUD/USD also benefited, gaining 0.3% and 0.5% respectively. Sustained risk appetite could push EUR/USD toward the psychological 1.1000 level if upcoming economic data confirms the dovish central bank narrative.
EURUSD GBPUSD AUDUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
benzinga.com

EUR/USD surges as dollar posts worst yearly start since 1970s

EUR/USD jumped 0.6% to 1.0975, leading a broad dollar selloff as the greenback recorded its worst start to a year since the 1970s. The dollar index has plummeted 4.2% year-to-date, with EUR/USD gaining over 500 pips from January lows. European corporate earnings face headwinds from the stronger euro, with companies like Fresenius Medical Care and ASML warning of currency impacts. Market analysts estimate every 1% euro appreciation reduces European export competitiveness by 0.5-0.7%. Technical indicators show EUR/USD approaching key resistance at 1.1000, having broken through the 200-day moving average. The dollar's weakness stems from shifting Fed policy expectations and concerns over US fiscal sustainability. Near-term support for EUR/USD sits at 1.0920, with momentum indicators suggesting continued upside potential if the psychological 1.1000 barrier breaks.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY Eyes 146 Support as Fed-BoJ Policy Divergence Widens

USD/JPY has retreated 1.2% to test the critical 146.00 support level, pressured by growing divergence between Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan monetary policies. The Fed's increasingly dovish stance, with markets pricing in 75 basis points of rate cuts by year-end, contrasts sharply with the BoJ's hawkish pivot following Governor Ueda's recent comments on potential rate normalization. Technical indicators show the pair breaking below its 50-day moving average at 147.85, with momentum oscillators turning bearish. The 146.00 level represents confluence support from the 200-day moving average and previous resistance-turned-support. A decisive break below could accelerate losses toward 144.50, while any recovery faces strong resistance at 148.00. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming Fed minutes and Japanese wage data for further directional cues on this policy divergence trade.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Technical Analysis: USD/JPY, GBP/USD, BTC/USD Key Levels

Technical patterns across major forex pairs and Bitcoin suggest significant moves ahead as key support and resistance levels come into focus. USD/JPY continues its downtrend, testing 146.50 support after failing to break above the 148.00 resistance zone, with bearish momentum confirmed by RSI below 40. GBP/USD has bounced from 1.2650 support to trade at 1.2720, with bulls targeting the 1.2800 resistance level amid improving UK economic data. The pair's 20-day moving average at 1.2745 acts as immediate resistance. Meanwhile, BTC/USD consolidates near $29,500, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern with decreasing volume suggesting an imminent breakout. The cryptocurrency's correlation with risk assets continues to influence USD/JPY sentiment. Traders should monitor these critical technical levels for potential breakout opportunities, with stop-loss placement crucial given elevated volatility across all three instruments.
USDJPY GBPUSD BTCUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

BRICS Currency Plans Pressure USD/ZAR, EUR/CHF Dynamics Shift

Emerging market currencies face pressure as BRICS nations accelerate discussions on alternative payment systems, with USD/ZAR surging 2.1% to 18.45 amid South African political uncertainty and dollar strength. The rand's weakness stems from concerns over BRICS currency implementation challenges and domestic fiscal pressures. EUR/USD remains stable near 1.0850, supported by better-than-expected Eurozone PMI data showing manufacturing sector improvement to 46.2. USD/CHF dropped 0.4% to 0.8920 as safe-haven flows favored the Swiss franc amid geopolitical tensions. EUR/CHF tested 0.9700 resistance before pulling back to 0.9680, reflecting balanced risk sentiment. The BRICS payment system developments could reshape global currency dynamics, potentially reducing dollar dominance in international trade. Traders are monitoring upcoming BRICS summit announcements while positioning for increased emerging market volatility.
EURUSD USDCHF EURCHF USDZAR
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

S&P 500 Bear Trap Signals Risk-On Rally Boosting USD Pairs

The S&P 500's rapid reversal back into its trading channel has confirmed a bear trap formation, potentially triggering risk-on sentiment that could impact forex markets. The technical pattern emerged as shorts were forced to cover positions, creating accelerated bullish momentum in equity markets. This risk-on environment typically weakens safe-haven currencies like JPY and CHF while supporting risk-sensitive pairs. USD/JPY could extend gains above 150.00 if equity strength persists, while AUD/USD and NZD/USD may benefit from improved risk appetite. The psychological impact of trapped bears rushing to cover positions often creates self-reinforcing momentum, as fear of missing out drives additional buying. Traders should monitor correlation between S&P 500 futures and major forex pairs, particularly during Asian and European sessions. Key resistance levels to watch include 150.50 on USD/JPY and 0.6600 on AUD/USD if risk-on sentiment continues.
USDJPY AUDUSD NZDUSD USDCHF
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

Dovish Fed Sends USD/JPY Lower, EUR/USD Gains on Dollar Weakness

The US dollar index fell 0.6% to 103.20 as dovish Federal Reserve communications reinforced expectations for policy easing, with USD/JPY declining 0.8% to 146.30 and EUR/USD advancing 0.5% to 1.0875. Fed officials' recent speeches suggest growing comfort with disinflation progress, with markets now pricing a 65% probability of a September rate cut. The yen strengthened across the board as Bank of Japan officials maintained their hawkish rhetoric, widening the policy divergence theme. EUR/USD benefited from both dollar weakness and improved Eurozone sentiment data, with German IFO business climate rising to 89.3. GBP/USD climbed 0.4% to 1.2750, while USD/CHF dropped to 0.8915 on safe-haven flows. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY approaching crucial 146.00 support, with a break potentially triggering stops toward 144.50. The dollar's broad-based retreat reflects shifting monetary policy expectations globally.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
manilatimes.net

VT Markets Competition Draws Global Traders with $1M Prize Pool

VT Markets' global trading competition has entered its final month, attracting traders worldwide to compete for a share of the $1,000,000 prize pool. The 10-week VT Trading Arena has become one of the year's premier trading events, drawing participants across all experience levels from multiple countries. While not directly impacting forex prices, such large-scale competitions can influence short-term market dynamics as participants potentially increase trading volumes and volatility in major currency pairs. The competition's global reach suggests heightened activity across Asian, European, and American trading sessions. Traders should be aware of potential increased volatility in popular pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY as competition participants execute strategies. The final weeks typically see more aggressive positioning as traders attempt to secure top rankings, which could create temporary price distortions or enhanced liquidity in certain currency pairs.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

USD weakens on Fed's Daly dovish shift, September rate cut signals

The US dollar index declined 0.4% during Asian trading as Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly adopted a more dovish stance, hinting at potential rate cuts as early as September. Her comments suggested the Fed is increasingly concerned about economic growth risks rather than inflation persistence, marking a notable shift from previous hawkish rhetoric. Asian currencies strengthened broadly against the greenback, with USD/JPY dropping 65 pips to 149.20 and AUD/USD gaining 0.5% to 0.6580. Markets are now pricing in a 75% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the September FOMC meeting, up from 55% before Daly's remarks. Technical indicators show USD/JPY approaching key support at 149.00, while resistance sits at 150.00. Traders should monitor upcoming US economic data releases, particularly inflation and employment figures, which could either reinforce or challenge the emerging dovish Fed narrative.
USDJPY AUDUSD NZDUSD USDCAD EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
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