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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Thursday, August 21, 2025

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News Statistics for Thursday, August 21, 2025

10
Total Articles
2
Bullish
3
Bearish
5
Neutral

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Archive date: Thursday, August 21, 2025

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nasdaq.com

Dollar Climbs as Bond Yields Rise on US Economic Strength

The dollar index today is up by +0.27% at a 1-week high. The dollar garnered support today on comments from Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid, who said "modestly restrictive" monetary policy is still appropriate due to inflation risks. The dollar added to its gains on stronger-than-expected US...
USDJPY
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD weakens as NASDAQ tests 200-hour MA amid pre-Jackson Hole caution

Major US indices declined 0.45-0.48% in Wednesday's session, with the NASDAQ falling 102 points to 21,071.50 and testing its 200-hour moving average. The S&P 500 dropped 20.2 points to 6,367.48, trading between its 100 and 200-hour moving averages. The technical weakness in equities coincided with dollar softness as traders positioned cautiously ahead of Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole speech on Friday. Market participants are seeking clarity on the Fed's rate trajectory amid mixed economic signals. The NASDAQ's interaction with its 200-hour MA represents a critical technical juncture that could influence risk sentiment. A sustained break below this level might trigger further equity weakness and potential safe-haven flows into the dollar, while a bounce could support risk-on currencies like AUD and NZD against the greenback.
AUDUSD NZDUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
rttnews.com

USD steady as markets await Powell's Jackson Hole guidance on rates

Global forex markets remained in consolidation mode as traders focused on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming Jackson Hole symposium speech scheduled for Friday morning. The dollar index held relatively unchanged, with major pairs trading in tight ranges amid the pre-event caution. Market participants are particularly interested in Powell's assessment of recent economic data and any hints regarding the Fed's rate path for the remainder of 2025. The Jackson Hole symposium has historically been a venue for significant policy signals, with previous speeches triggering substantial market moves. Current fed funds futures suggest markets are pricing in a 65% probability of a rate cut by year-end. Any deviation from dovish expectations could trigger sharp dollar movements, particularly against rate-sensitive pairs like USD/JPY and EUR/USD. Traders should prepare for potential volatility spikes following the speech.
EURUSD USDJPY GBPUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD faces pressure as US-EU tariff talks show mixed progress

EUR/USD came under moderate pressure following a US-EU joint statement revealing complex tariff negotiations. While the EU pledged to eliminate tariffs on US industrial goods and committed to purchasing $750 billion in US energy products, the US announced plans to impose 15% tariffs on most EU imports, including autos and pharmaceuticals. The statement indicated potential auto tariff relief could come within weeks, pending EU legislation. This mixed outcome creates uncertainty for EUR/USD, as the $600 billion investment commitment from EU firms through 2028 could support dollar demand, while tariff escalation risks weigh on European export competitiveness. The pair's reaction will likely depend on implementation timelines and whether the auto tariff relief materializes as promised. Near-term, EUR/USD may face headwinds as markets digest the asymmetric nature of the trade commitments.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
forexcrunch.com

AUD/USD slides to 0.6420 as risk-off sentiment weighs on commodity FX

AUD/USD extended its decline to 0.6420 during Thursday's European session, maintaining its bearish trajectory ahead of the Jackson Hole symposium. The Australian dollar faced dual pressures from broad risk-aversion in global markets and persistent strength in the US dollar index. Commodity currencies remained under pressure as traders reduced risk exposure before Fed Chair Powell's speech, with concerns about global growth outlook adding to AUD weakness. Technical indicators suggest the pair has broken below key support at 0.6450, opening the path toward 0.6400 psychological support. The 50-day moving average at 0.6485 now acts as resistance. Without positive catalysts from either Australian economic data or a dovish Fed surprise, AUD/USD appears vulnerable to further downside, particularly if Powell maintains a hawkish stance on monetary policy.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

Major FX pairs stuck in tight ranges as Jackson Hole event risk looms

Currency markets exhibited minimal volatility during European trading Thursday, with the dollar index showing marginal changes against major counterparts. EUR/USD held near 1.0850, GBP/USD consolidated around 1.2900, while USD/JPY remained anchored near 146.50. The subdued price action reflects typical pre-event positioning ahead of Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole speech, with traders reluctant to establish significant positions. Implied volatility measures have compressed to multi-week lows, suggesting markets are coiled for a potential breakout. Historical analysis shows Jackson Hole speeches often catalyze 1-2% moves in major pairs within 24 hours of delivery. Current positioning data indicates the market is relatively balanced, amplifying the potential for sharp directional moves once Powell provides policy clarity. Traders should monitor key technical levels as potential breakout triggers post-speech.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

Eurozone August flash services PMI 50.7 vs 50.8 expected

Prior 51.0Manufacturing PMI 50.5 vs 49.5 expectedPrior 49.8Composite PMI 51.1 vs 50.7 expectedPrior 50.9It's been a while but for a change at least the manufacturing sector is the one doing the heavy lifting in August. The better showing there sees the euro area economy fare better on the month, led by Germany of course. The manufacturing reading itself is a 38-month high with the output index improving to hit a 41-month high.
EUR CHF
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

investingLive Asia - pacific FX news wrap 21 Aug: markets calm amidst lack of catalysts

It was a very calm Asia-Pac session with limited excitement across the major asset classes.China, Kazakhstan pledge closer trade and cooperationING: USD weakness paves the way for EURUSD to 1.20Russian central bank signals flexibility on rates amid inflation risksImplied volatility levels for GBP & EUR pairs ahead of flash PMI dataGold Futures Analysis Today with tradeCompass – August 21, 2025UN chief calls for Gaza ceasefire, urges Israel to halt settlement expansionMeta freezes AI hiring...
USD EUR GBP JPY AUD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
forexlive.com

ING: USD weakness paves the way for EURUSD to 1.20

ING sees the dollar on the back foot as Fed cuts, strong eurozone inflows, and German fiscal expansion support EUR/USD rising beyond 1.20 through 2026
EURUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
nasdaq.com

Dollar Moves Lower with T - Note Yields

The dollar index on Wednesday fell by -0.05%. The dollar fell from a 1-week high on Wednesday and turned slightly lower on a decline in T-note yields. Also, political risks and concerns about Fed independence weighed on the dollar after President Trump called for Fed Governor Lisa Cook...
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
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