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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Wednesday, August 13, 2025

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News Statistics for Wednesday, August 13, 2025

10
Total Articles
5
Bullish
2
Bearish
3
Neutral

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Archive date: Wednesday, August 13, 2025

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Forexlive

EUR/USD rises on Trump-Putin peace talks and softer US tariff expectations

European markets closed higher as EUR/USD gained 0.4% to 1.0920, driven by optimism surrounding Friday's Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska and expectations of reduced tariff impacts. President Trump's diplomatic outreach to European leaders and Ukraine's Zelenskiy ahead of the summit has boosted risk appetite, weakening the safe-haven dollar. The euro strengthened against major peers as investors anticipate potential de-escalation in geopolitical tensions and more favorable trade conditions. Market participants are positioning for a possible breakthrough in peace negotiations, which could further support European assets and the common currency. Technical indicators show EUR/USD breaking above the 1.0900 resistance level, with next target at 1.0950. The positive sentiment in European equities, particularly in export-heavy sectors, reinforces the euro's strength as traders price in reduced trade friction and improved economic prospects for the eurozone.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
rttnews.com

USD weakens across board as Fed September rate cut probability surges

The dollar index dropped 0.8% to 103.20 as markets dramatically repriced Federal Reserve rate cut expectations following softer-than-expected US inflation data. Market-implied probability for a September rate cut jumped to 95%, with fed funds futures now pricing in 75 basis points of cuts by year-end. The shift in monetary policy expectations triggered broad USD selling, with EUR/USD rising to 1.0975 and GBP/USD advancing to 1.2850. Asian currencies also benefited, with USD/JPY falling below 150.00 for the first time in three weeks. Treasury yields tumbled, with the 2-year note dropping 15 basis points to 4.35%, further pressuring the greenback. Technical analysis shows the dollar index breaking below its 50-day moving average at 103.50, opening the path toward 102.80 support. Traders are now closely watching upcoming Fed speeches for confirmation of the dovish pivot.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

AUD/USD surges to 0.6580 as soft US CPI boosts risk appetite

AUD/USD climbed 1.2% to 0.6580, reaching a two-week high as softer US inflation data undermined dollar strength and boosted commodity currencies. US CPI rose 2.9% year-over-year in July, below the 3.0% forecast, while core CPI decelerated to 3.2% from 3.3%. The Australian dollar outperformed majors as risk sentiment improved, with iron ore prices also supporting at $105 per tonne. RBA's hawkish stance contrasts sharply with the Fed's expected easing cycle, creating a favorable interest rate differential for the Aussie. Technical momentum turned bullish with RSI breaking above 60, while the pair cleared resistance at 0.6550. Next targets lie at 0.6620 (July high) and 0.6650 (200-day MA). Support has formed at 0.6530, with stronger backing at 0.6500 psychological level. Traders anticipate continued AUD strength if Chinese economic data improves and commodity prices remain elevated.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

GBP/USD breaks 1.2850 as US inflation fuels September Fed cut bets

GBP/USD advanced 0.9% to 1.2865 following weaker-than-expected US inflation data that virtually guaranteed a Federal Reserve rate cut in September. US CPI decelerated to 2.9% annually while core inflation eased to 3.2%, both missing estimates and pushing market-implied probability of a September cut to 98%. Sterling found additional support from relatively hawkish Bank of England positioning, with UK rates expected to remain higher for longer compared to US rates. The pair broke through key resistance at 1.2850, opening the path toward 1.2920 (August high). Technical indicators turned bullish with MACD crossing above signal line and RSI entering overbought territory at 68. Immediate support sits at 1.2820, coinciding with the broken resistance level. The widening UK-US rate differential could propel cable toward 1.3000 if US data continues disappointing and the BoE maintains its cautious stance on rate cuts.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

Forex markets pause as Fed's Goolsbee speech awaited at 17:00 GMT

Currency markets are experiencing subdued volatility today with major pairs trading in tight ranges following yesterday's US CPI-driven moves. The dollar index remains defensive near 102.50 after losing 0.4% yesterday when traders fully priced in a 25 basis point Fed rate cut for September. Today's economic calendar is notably light, featuring only Spain's final CPI revision and US MBA Mortgage Applications data, neither expected to impact market positioning. The main focus shifts to Fed Governor Goolsbee's speech at 17:00 GMT/13:00 ET. As a voting FOMC member with neutral-to-dovish leanings, his comments on inflation trajectory and monetary policy could provide fresh directional cues. Technical analysis shows EUR/USD consolidating above 1.0950, while USD/JPY holds support at 147.50. Traders should watch for any hints about the Fed's comfort with current market pricing for September's meeting.
EURUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD remains defensive as markets digest CPI data; ETH/USD surges 12%

The forex market shows minimal movement today after yesterday's significant dollar selloff triggered by US CPI data. Major currency pairs are consolidating with changes under 0.1%, as traders digest the implications of a fully priced 25 basis point Fed rate cut for September. The dollar index hovers near 102.40, maintaining yesterday's losses of approximately 0.5%. The standout mover is cryptocurrency, with Ethereum surging above $4,600 to reach four-year highs, representing a 12% gain in the past 24 hours. This crypto rally reflects risk-on sentiment following the softer inflation print. EUR/USD trades sideways near 1.0960, while GBP/USD maintains gains around 1.2780. Asian currencies show mixed performance, with USD/JPY edging higher toward 148.00. Near-term dollar direction depends on upcoming Fed communications and whether officials validate market expectations for September easing.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
forexlive.com

USD/JPY recovers above 148.00 as yen weakens in Asian session

USD/JPY has climbed back above the 148.00 psychological level during Asian trading, gaining 0.3% (45 pips) from overnight lows of 147.55. The yen's weakness follows Japan's softer-than-expected wholesale inflation data released earlier, which showed producer prices rising at a slower pace, reducing pressure on the Bank of Japan for immediate policy tightening. The pair's recovery also reflects a modest dollar bounce after yesterday's post-CPI selloff. Technical indicators suggest the 148.00 level now acts as immediate support, with resistance emerging at 148.50 (50-day moving average). Asian equity markets show mixed performance, with the Nikkei up 0.2% while Chinese indices remain flat. Traders are monitoring cross-yen pairs, with EUR/JPY testing 162.30 and GBP/JPY approaching 189.00. Further yen direction depends on upcoming BoJ communications and global risk sentiment shifts.
USDJPY EURJPY GBPJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

USD/JPY breaks 148.00 resistance amid Japan inflation data miss

USD/JPY has pushed above the key 148.00 level, currently trading at 148.15, representing a 0.35% gain in the Asian session. The move higher follows Japan's wholesale inflation data that came in below expectations, suggesting less pressure on the Bank of Japan to accelerate policy normalization. The softer PPI reading contrasts with recent speculation about potential BoJ rate hikes, providing relief for yen bears. Dollar strength is returning after yesterday's CPI-induced selloff, with the greenback finding support across Asian currencies. Technical analysis shows the pair breaking above the 148.00 resistance that had capped gains since Monday. The next resistance target sits at 148.75 (weekly high), while support has formed at 147.50. Traders should monitor upcoming Japanese economic data and any BoJ official comments that could impact the yen's trajectory in coming sessions.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/CNY: US-China trade talks set for 3 months; tariff truce extended

USD/CNY remains stable near 7.2350 following news that US and Chinese trade officials will meet within three months to discuss economic relations. Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed the 90-day tariff truce extension, preventing immediate duty escalations between the world's two largest economies. The agreement temporarily removes a major risk factor for emerging market currencies and global trade flows. Bessent revealed that President Xi has invited Trump for a meeting, though no date is set and acceptance remains pending. Crucially, existing tariffs will remain until China demonstrates progress on fentanyl control, maintaining some pressure on the yuan. The offshore yuan (CNH) shows limited reaction, trading flat at 7.2380. Asian currencies broadly benefit from reduced trade war risks, with USD/KRW down 0.2% and USD/SGD slipping 0.1%. Markets await concrete policy details from the upcoming trade discussions.
USDCNY USDKRW USDSGD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
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