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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Monday, August 18, 2025

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News Statistics for Monday, August 18, 2025

10
Total Articles
2
Bullish
4
Bearish
4
Neutral

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Archive date: Monday, August 18, 2025

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rttnews.com

Dollar Extends Losses As Markets Cling On To Fed Cut Hopes

The Dollar extended losses during the week ended August 15 amidst strong Fed rate cut expectations, benign consumer price growth, easing geopolitical concerns as well as fading concerns about trade tariff uncertainty.
AUDUSD
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY Bulls Target Higher as Pair Shows Strong Momentum

USD/JPY has maintained its bullish trajectory, trading near 150.25 with a 0.4% gain (60 pips) in Monday's session. The pair continues to benefit from diverging monetary policies, with the Federal Reserve maintaining its hawkish stance while the Bank of Japan remains accommodative despite recent policy adjustments. US Treasury yields holding above 4.5% on the 10-year note provide additional support for the dollar against the yen. Technical indicators suggest strong upward momentum, with the pair breaking above the 150.00 psychological resistance level. The next target for bulls appears to be 151.00, which coincides with the October 2023 highs. Support has formed at 149.50, aligned with the 20-day moving average. Traders should monitor upcoming US economic data releases and any shifts in BOJ communication that could impact the pair's bullish trend.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexlive.com

Dollar Steady as Markets Await Direction; Crypto Pullback Weighs

The US Dollar Index held steady near 103.50 during the European session, reflecting a cautious market mood as traders await fresh catalysts. Major currency pairs showed limited movement, with EUR/USD consolidating around 1.0830 and GBP/USD hovering near 1.2750. The tepid trading environment follows last week's mixed economic data that failed to provide clear direction for monetary policy expectations. Cryptocurrency markets experienced notable retreats, with Bitcoin falling 3.5% below $65,000, potentially reducing risk appetite across financial markets. This crypto weakness has contributed to a slight bid for safe-haven currencies, including the dollar and Japanese yen. Technical analysis shows the Dollar Index trapped between support at 103.20 and resistance at 103.80. Traders are positioning ahead of this week's key economic releases, including US retail sales and industrial production data, which could break the current range-bound trading pattern.
EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD volatility expected as Trump meets Zelensky amid geopolitical tensions

The US dollar faces potential volatility as President Trump's meeting with Ukrainian President Zelensky represents today's key geopolitical risk event. The Washington summit, followed by discussions with European leaders at 19:00 GMT, could significantly impact USD pairs depending on outcomes regarding Ukraine conflict resolution and US-Europe relations. Markets are closely monitoring for any policy shifts that might affect defense spending, sanctions, or diplomatic stance. The dollar index (DXY) has been consolidating near 103.50 ahead of the meetings, with traders positioned cautiously. Any breakthrough in peace negotiations could strengthen risk appetite, potentially weakening the USD's safe-haven appeal against currencies like EUR and AUD. Conversely, escalation concerns or diplomatic tensions could drive flight-to-quality flows into the dollar. Key levels to watch include 103.80 resistance and 103.20 support on the DXY, with EUR/USD likely to react inversely to any dollar movements.
EURUSD AUDUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
forexcrunch.com

EUR/USD Slides Below 1.0830 Ahead of Trump-Zelensky Meeting

EUR/USD has declined 0.2% to 1.0825 as markets position ahead of the high-stakes meeting between former President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelensky. The geopolitical uncertainty surrounding potential shifts in US-Ukraine relations has weighed on the euro, given Europe's proximity to the conflict and energy dependence concerns. The pair retreated from Friday's high of 1.0865, with selling pressure intensifying during the Asian session. Market participants are assessing potential implications for European security and economic stability, particularly regarding energy supplies and defense spending commitments. Technical indicators show EUR/USD testing support at the 50-day moving average (1.0820), with a break below potentially accelerating losses toward 1.0800. Resistance remains at 1.0850, which has capped recent recovery attempts. The meeting's outcome could significantly impact risk sentiment and euro positioning in the near term.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

FX Markets Show Risk-On Tone as Geopolitical Tensions Ease

Foreign exchange markets displayed a risk-on sentiment Monday as traders responded to easing geopolitical tensions and diplomatic progress. EUR/USD gained 0.15% to 1.0845, while GBP/USD advanced to 1.2765, reflecting reduced demand for safe-haven currencies. The Swiss franc weakened notably, with EUR/CHF rising 0.3% to 0.9580 as investors moved away from traditional safety plays. Sterling showed particular strength, with EUR/GBP declining to 0.8495, supported by expectations of continued Bank of England hawkishness. Market participants are giving peace initiatives a chance, reducing defensive positioning that had dominated recent sessions. This shift has seen commodity currencies like AUD and NZD also gain ground against the dollar. Technical analysis reveals key resistance levels being tested across major pairs, suggesting potential for extended moves if risk appetite persists through the week.
EURUSD GBPUSD EURGBP EURCHF
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY faces pressure as AI concerns threaten market stability at Jackson Hole

USD/JPY remains vulnerable to downside pressure as markets approach the Jackson Hole symposium with growing concerns about AI-driven market valuations. The pair has been trading near 149.50, with the yen finding support from safe-haven flows amid questions about the sustainability of the tech-led rally. Gold has climbed 0.8% to $2,510 per ounce, reflecting increased risk aversion, while Brent oil trades steady at $79.30. The upcoming Jackson Hole meeting could prove pivotal for USD/JPY direction, as any dovish signals from the Fed regarding AI bubble concerns might accelerate yen strength. Technical indicators show USD/JPY testing support at 149.20, with a break below potentially targeting 148.50. Resistance sits at 150.00 psychological level. Traders should monitor Fed commentary on financial stability risks, as acknowledgment of overvaluation concerns could trigger broader risk-off moves benefiting the yen against high-beta currencies.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

Forex markets quiet with Trump-Zelensky meeting as only event

Major forex pairs are experiencing minimal volatility in what analysts describe as a 'synthetic Sunday' trading environment, with no significant economic data releases scheduled. The day's only notable event is the Trump-Zelensky meeting in Washington, which will include participation from several European leaders. Market participants appear largely indifferent to potential developments regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with trading volumes expected to remain subdued. Without key economic indicators or central bank communications to drive price action, major currency pairs are likely to trade within tight ranges. EUR/USD holds near recent levels around 1.0850, while USD/JPY consolidates above 150.00. Traders are positioning ahead of next week's economic calendar, which promises more substantial market-moving events. The absence of catalysts suggests range-bound conditions will persist through the session.
EURUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD/JPY retreats from 150.50 on strong Japan Q2 GDP growth

USD/JPY declined 0.4% to 149.80 during Asian trading, pulling back from yesterday's 150.50 rebound as Japan's Q2 GDP data exceeded expectations. The Japanese economy expanded at an annualized rate of 3.1%, surpassing the 2.1% forecast and marking the strongest growth in three quarters. This robust performance has bolstered expectations for potential Bank of Japan policy normalization, providing fundamental support for the yen. The pair had briefly touched 150.50 yesterday on broader dollar strength but failed to sustain gains above this psychological resistance. Technical indicators suggest immediate support at 149.50, coinciding with the 50-day moving average, while resistance remains firm at 150.50. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming US retail sales data and any signals from the BOJ regarding future rate adjustments, which could determine whether USD/JPY breaks below the 149.00 support zone.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

BTC/USD drops below $116K amid risk-off sentiment in Asia

Bitcoin retreated 2.1% to $115,400 during Monday's Asian session, falling below the psychologically important $116,000 level as risk sentiment soured across financial markets. The cryptocurrency's decline coincided with a broader pullback in risk assets following a quiet weekend that saw no major developments from anticipated geopolitical meetings. The absence of positive catalysts from the Trump-Putin discussions left markets directionless, prompting profit-taking in speculative positions. Technical analysis shows BTC/USD breached its ascending trendline support at $116,200, opening the path for a potential test of $114,000 where the 21-day moving average provides support. The relative strength index has turned lower from overbought territory, suggesting further consolidation is likely. Traders are monitoring traditional forex pairs for correlation signals, as risk-off flows typically benefit safe-haven currencies like JPY and CHF against commodity currencies.
BTCUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
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