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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Wednesday, August 27, 2025

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News Statistics for Wednesday, August 27, 2025

14
Total Articles
6
Bullish
3
Bearish
5
Neutral

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Archive date: Wednesday, August 27, 2025

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Forexlive

investingLive Americas FX news wrap 27 Aug: A choppy session in the FX. Traders are unsure

Major European stock indices closed higher for the day. Nvidia earnings after the close.Crude oil settles at $64.15U.S. Treasury sells $70 billion of 5 year notes at a high yield of 3.724%Treasury Secretary Bessent: Will start interviewing Fed candidates after Labor DayThe European indices close mostly lowerWSJ: What if Trump Runs the Federal Reserve?NY Fed Pres.
USD EUR GBP JPY CHF AUD CAD NZD
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD/CAD holds swing support as BOC maintains inflation target stance

USD/CAD continues to trade within a tight range near 1.3600, finding consistent support at key swing levels while traders await directional catalysts. The pair showed minimal reaction to Prime Minister Carey's decision to scale back retaliatory tariffs, which could facilitate future trade negotiations. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem reinforced the central bank's commitment to the 2% inflation target, confirming it won't be revised during the 2025 policy framework review. Technical analysis shows the pair maintaining support at the 1.3550-1.3580 swing area, with immediate resistance at 1.3650. A sustained break above resistance could target 1.3700 and the 1.3750 psychological level. The narrow trading range reflects market indecision ahead of upcoming economic data releases from both countries, with traders monitoring any shifts in monetary policy expectations that could provide the next directional impulse.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

EUR/USD: Triangle Pattern Eyes 1.18 Break for Bullish Continuation

EUR/USD is consolidating within a triangle pattern around the 1.1750 area, with traders closely watching for a decisive break above the 1.1800 resistance level. The pair has been range-bound for several sessions, forming a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart that typically precedes a significant directional move. Technical indicators suggest building bullish momentum, with the RSI holding above 50 and the MACD showing positive divergence. A sustained break above 1.1800 could trigger the next rally phase, potentially targeting 1.1850 and the psychological 1.1900 level. Support remains firm at 1.1720, coinciding with the triangle's lower boundary and the 50-day moving average. The consolidation reflects market indecision ahead of key economic releases from both the Eurozone and United States. Traders should monitor volume patterns for confirmation of any breakout attempt, as increased participation would validate the technical setup.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
thestockmarketwatch.com

USD strengthens as Treasury Secretary Bessent outlines policy stance

The US dollar gained broad support following Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's comprehensive policy commentary covering domestic economic priorities, international trade relations, and geopolitical risk assessments. Bessent's remarks reinforced confidence in US economic policy direction, particularly regarding Federal Reserve independence and strategic approaches to emerging technologies including AI development. His statements on trade policy and geopolitical positioning provided clarity that reduced uncertainty premiums in dollar pairs. The dollar index (DXY) rose 0.4% to 104.20, with gains against most major currencies. Market participants interpreted Bessent's balanced approach to fiscal and monetary coordination as dollar-supportive, especially given his emphasis on maintaining economic stability while addressing inflation concerns. Technical indicators suggest continued dollar strength, with the DXY approaching resistance at 104.50, while support has formed at 103.80.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD firms across majors as equities rebound ahead of key earnings

The US dollar strengthened against major currencies, with EUR/USD declining 0.3% to 1.0820 and GBP/USD dropping 0.4% to 1.2650, as risk sentiment improved ahead of crucial corporate earnings releases. The dollar's broad appreciation coincided with equity market rebounds, challenging the typical inverse correlation as traders positioned defensively before high-impact earnings announcements. Gold prices retreated from recent highs, falling 0.8% to $2,315 per ounce, further supporting dollar strength as safe-haven demand waned. Technical analysis shows EUR/USD testing support at the 50-day moving average (1.0815), while GBP/USD approaches the 1.2630 support zone. The dollar's resilience reflects market expectations for sustained US economic outperformance and potential Federal Reserve hawkishness. Near-term dollar strength could extend if equity markets maintain positive momentum while corporate earnings meet elevated expectations.
EURUSD GBPUSD XAUUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

AUD/USD Declines 0.4% Despite Easing RBA Rate Cut Expectations

AUD/USD has declined 0.4% to 0.6580 despite Australian inflation data reducing expectations for Reserve Bank of Australia rate cuts. The Consumer Price Index rose more than anticipated, prompting markets to scale back aggressive easing bets for 2025. However, the Aussie failed to capitalize on the positive data due to broad US dollar strength and concerns over Chinese economic growth. The pair broke below the key 0.6600 psychological support level, with immediate resistance now at 0.6620. Technical indicators point to further downside pressure, with the RSI approaching oversold territory at 35. Risk sentiment remains fragile as traders await China's manufacturing PMI data, a crucial driver for the commodity-linked Australian dollar. The disconnect between supportive domestic fundamentals and negative price action highlights the dominance of external factors, particularly USD strength and global risk appetite, in determining AUD/USD direction near-term.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

XAU/USD holds near record highs as Fed uncertainty drives safe-haven demand

Gold (XAU/USD) continues trading near all-time highs around $2,520 per ounce, maintaining a 0.2% gain in Tuesday's session as persistent Federal Reserve policy uncertainty bolsters safe-haven demand. Markets are pricing in a 65% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the September FOMC meeting, with dovish expectations supporting non-yielding gold. The precious metal has gained over 22% year-to-date, outperforming major currencies amid global economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions. Technical indicators show immediate resistance at the $2,531 record high, while support has consolidated around $2,500 psychological level. The 14-day RSI remains in overbought territory at 72, suggesting potential near-term consolidation. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming US GDP data and Fed officials' speeches for directional cues, with any signs of economic weakness likely to propel gold toward the $2,550 target.
XAUUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
rttnews.com

European indices set for mild gains amid easing risk-off sentiment

European equity futures point to a cautiously optimistic open on Wednesday, with DAX futures up 0.2% and FTSE 100 futures gaining 0.15%, as risk aversion subsides following Tuesday's sharp selloff. The improved sentiment is supporting risk-sensitive currencies, with EUR/USD stabilizing near 1.1180 and GBP/USD holding above 1.3200. Asian markets provided a positive lead, with the Nikkei 225 closing up 0.5% despite ongoing yen strength. Market participants are digesting mixed economic signals, with German business confidence data due later potentially influencing euro crosses. The VIX volatility index has retreated to 15.2 from Tuesday's spike above 17, suggesting calmer market conditions. Currency traders are positioning ahead of Thursday's ECB meeting minutes and Friday's US PCE inflation data, which could provide fresh directional impulses for major forex pairs.
EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD stable at 1.1180 despite French political tensions and Fed concerns

EUR/USD is showing remarkable resilience, trading steady at 1.1180 despite dual pressures from French political uncertainty and Federal Reserve policy debates. The pair has remained within a tight 30-pip range over the past 24 hours, with implied volatility dropping to monthly lows. French government instability, following budget disputes in parliament, has had limited impact on the euro, suggesting markets have already priced in political risks. Meanwhile, GBP/USD maintains strength at 1.3215, supported by expectations of slower Bank of England rate cuts. EUR/GBP has edged lower to 0.8455, reflecting relative pound outperformance. Technical analysis shows EUR/USD trapped between 1.1150 support and 1.1200 resistance, with a breakout needed for directional clarity. Traders await Thursday's eurozone inflation data and Fed Chair Powell's speech on Friday for potential catalysts to break the current equilibrium.
EURUSD GBPUSD EURGBP
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/INR surges as US doubles tariffs on Indian imports to 50%

USD/INR strengthened 1.2% to 84.50 as the US administration's punitive 50% tariffs on Indian exports took effect at midnight, adding 25% on top of existing duties. The move targets India's purchase of Russian oil and affects key export sectors including textiles, jewelry, footwear, furniture, and chemicals worth approximately $6.3 billion annually. The rupee faced immediate selling pressure as traders anticipate reduced export earnings and potential trade balance deterioration. India's trade deficit could widen by 15-20% if retaliatory measures escalate. Technical indicators show USD/INR breaking above the 84.20 resistance level with momentum indicators turning bullish. The next resistance sits at 84.75, while support has formed at 84.00. Traders should monitor India's response and any potential currency intervention by the Reserve Bank of India to defend the rupee.
USDINR
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
forexlive.com

JPY weakens across majors as risk sentiment improves in quiet Asia

The Japanese yen depreciated 0.4% against major currencies during Wednesday's Asian session, with USD/JPY rising to 146.80 and EUR/JPY advancing to 163.45. The yen's weakness reflects improved risk appetite as regional equities posted modest gains despite thin trading volumes. No significant economic data releases drove the move, suggesting position adjustments ahead of Thursday's Tokyo CPI data. Other major pairs remained range-bound, with EUR/USD holding steady at 1.1140 and GBP/USD consolidating near 1.3210. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY approaching the 147.00 psychological resistance, while the 146.20 level now serves as near-term support. The absence of major catalysts kept volatility subdued, with traders awaiting Friday's US PCE inflation data for directional cues. Currency strategists note the yen's correlation with risk assets remains intact despite recent Bank of Japan policy speculation.
USDJPY EURJPY EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/CAD to surge as Brent crude heads to $50 by 2026 per Goldman

USD/CAD is positioned for significant appreciation as Goldman Sachs projects Brent crude oil prices to collapse to the low $50s by 2026, potentially weakening the commodity-linked Canadian dollar. The investment bank forecasts a massive oil supply surplus averaging 1.8 million barrels per day from Q4 2025 through Q4 2026, resulting in global inventory buildup of nearly 800 million barrels. This bearish oil outlook could pressure CAD given Canada's substantial energy exports, while supporting USD strength. The projected 30-40% decline in oil prices from current levels near $85 would likely trigger Bank of Canada dovishness to support the economy. Technical traders should monitor key USD/CAD resistance at 1.3650 and 1.3800 levels as the pair builds bullish momentum. Oil-sensitive pairs including NOK and MXN crosses may face similar headwinds.
USDCAD USDNOK USDMXN
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Finnhub
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