GBPAUD Bearish

Analysis Price: 2.0890 (Updated: 2 July 2025, 04:05 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for GBPAUD showing a predominantly bearish bias with 78% bearish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

Select Currency Pair

Signal Overview

Bearish Medium Confidence High Risk

Market Consensus:

22% Long

78% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a medium confidence bearish bias for GBPAUD (signal strength: 55%). Supporting factors include: High probability (95%) resistance zone detected at 2.1; Retail sentiment is 68% bearish. Contradicting factors: GBP is showing relative strength against AUD (diff: 41%). Risk assessment for this trade is high. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

32% 68%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bearish sentiment with 68% of traders holding short positions. The market has a negative bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 2.1037 0.70% ↑

Analysis Price: 2.0890

Support Levels

S1: 2.0857 0.16% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

60%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near support at 2.0857 (0.16% below analysis price) with resistance at 2.1037 (0.70% above). This position near support could present a potential buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

No chart patterns detected for GBPAUD at this time.

High Probability Zones

Resistance Zone

95%

Zone Level:

2.1000

analysis price:

2.0890

Distance:

0.53%

Confluence Factors:

Shooting Star 24% Retracement Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Resistance Zone

95%

Zone Level:

2.1296

analysis price:

2.0890

Distance:

1.95%

Confluence Factors:

Shooting Star 127% Extension

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is approaching a high probability (95%) resistance zone at 2.1000, currently 0.53% away. Consider preparing a sell strategy as price approaches this level, watching for confirmation signals.

Multiple high probability zones exist for this pair, indicating a well-structured technical environment with clear levels for trading decisions.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

36.0

Volatility Regime:

High

Volatility Level:

93%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

GBPAUD is experiencing high volatility (93 percentile) with an expected daily range of 36.0 pips. This above-average movement creates trading opportunities but requires careful risk management. Consider slightly wider stop losses and moderate position sizing.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with GBPAUD

GBPCAD

0.83

GBPUSD

0.82

EURGBP

-0.81

AUDCAD

-0.73

GBPNZD

0.72

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how GBPAUD correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

GBPAUD shows strong positive correlation with: GBPCAD, GBPUSD, GBPNZD. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

GBPAUD shows strong negative correlation with: EURGBP, AUDCAD. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

GBP

-0.59

Weak

AUD

-0.11

Neutral

Relative Strength:

-0.48

Bearish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

AUD is moderately stronger than GBP on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -0.48. This suggests a mild bearish bias for GBPAUD. Monitor for additional confirmation signals before entering a short position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on GBPAUD to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.