GBPAUD Bullish

Analysis Price: 1.9267 (Updated: 16 February 2026, 22:23 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for GBPAUD showing a predominantly bullish bias with 80% bullish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Raw trader sentiment shows 55% long, 45% short. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bullish High Confidence Low Risk

Market Consensus:

80% Long

20% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a high confidence bullish bias for GBPAUD (signal strength: 60%). Supporting factors include: High probability (95%) support zone detected at 1.9; GBP is showing relative strength against AUD (diff: 32%). Risk assessment for this trade is low. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

Note: The sentiment chart below shows actual trader positioning data (55% long / 45% short). The overall bullish bias (80%) mentioned in the page header represents our analytical consensus based on combined technical factors beyond raw sentiment.

LONG SHORT

55% 45%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Neutral sentiment with a balanced distribution between long and short positions. This suggests indecision in the market, which could precede a significant move once a clear direction emerges.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 1.9338 0.37% ↑

Analysis Price: 1.9267

Support Levels

S1: 1.9260 0.03% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

60%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near support at 1.9260 (0.03% below analysis price) with resistance at 1.9338 (0.37% above). This position near support could present a potential buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

87%

Symmetric Triangle

Reliability:

87%

Detected: Feb 16, 02:30

78%

Bullish Flag

Reliability:

78%

Detected: Feb 16, 00:29

74%

Inverse Head and Shoulders

Reliability:

74%

Detected: Feb 16, 14:00

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly bullish patterns detected across timeframes, suggesting upward momentum. The most reliable pattern is a neutral Symmetric Triangle on the H4 timeframe with 87% historical reliability. Multiple timeframes showing pattern confirmation increases the reliability of the signal.

High Probability Zones

Support Zone

85%

Zone Level:

1.8666

analysis price:

1.9267

Distance:

3.12%

Confluence Factors:

Morning Star 127% Extension

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Support Zone

80%

Zone Level:

1.8554

analysis price:

1.9267

Distance:

3.71%

Confluence Factors:

Inverse Head and Shoulders 162% Extension Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

A high probability (85%) support zone exists at 1.8666, currently 3.12% away from price. Keep this level on watch for potential future buying opportunities if price moves lower.

Multiple high probability zones exist for this pair, indicating a well-structured technical environment with clear levels for trading decisions.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

81.0

Volatility Regime:

Normal

Volatility Level:

32%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

GBPAUD is showing normal volatility (32 percentile) with an expected daily range of 81.0 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with GBPAUD

GBPCHF

0.88

GBPJPY

0.75

GBPCAD

0.71

GBPUSD

0.69

EURGBP

-0.67

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how GBPAUD correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

GBPAUD shows strong positive correlation with: GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCAD. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

GBP

0.83

Very-strong

AUD

0.70

Very-strong

Relative Strength:

0.13

Neutral Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

GBP and AUD show similar strength levels on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.13. This indicates a neutral bias for GBPAUD and suggests range-bound trading conditions may be more likely.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on GBPAUD to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.