GBPAUD Bearish

Analysis Price: 2.0736 (Updated: 17 May 2025, 17:48 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for GBPAUD showing predominantly bearish sentiment with 67% of traders in short positions. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bearish High Confidence High Risk

Market Consensus:

33% Long

67% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a high confidence bearish bias for GBPAUD (signal strength: 35%). Supporting factors include: GBP is showing relative weakness against AUD (diff: 63%); Retail sentiment is 68% bearish. Risk assessment for this trade is high. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

30% 70%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bearish sentiment with 70% of traders holding short positions. The market has a negative bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 2.0818 0.39% ↑

Analysis Price: 2.0736

Support Levels

S1: 2.0535 0.97% ↓

Market Regime:

Uptrend

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

70%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near resistance at 2.0818 (0.39% above analysis price) with support at 2.0535 (0.97% below). This position near resistance could present a potential selling opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

No chart patterns detected for GBPAUD at this time.

High Probability Zones

Resistance Zone

95%

Zone Level:

2.0740

analysis price:

2.0736

Distance:

0.02%

Confluence Factors:

Double Top 24% Retracement

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Support Zone

95%

Zone Level:

2.0691

analysis price:

2.0736

Distance:

0.22%

Confluence Factors:

Hammer 38% Retracement Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is extremely close to a high probability (95%) resistance zone at 2.0740. This presents a potential selling opportunity with stop loss slightly above the zone. Multiple confluence factors strengthen this level's significance.

Multiple high probability zones exist for this pair, indicating a well-structured technical environment with clear levels for trading decisions.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

63.0

Volatility Regime:

Normal

Volatility Level:

68%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

GBPAUD is showing normal volatility (68 percentile) with an expected daily range of 63.0 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with GBPAUD

GBPNZD

0.84

AUDCAD

-0.82

GBPUSD

0.80

AUDNZD

-0.79

GBPCHF

0.77

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how GBPAUD correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

GBPAUD shows strong positive correlation with: GBPNZD, GBPUSD, GBPCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

GBPAUD shows strong negative correlation with: AUDCAD, AUDNZD. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

GBP

0.06

Neutral

AUD

-0.29

Neutral

Relative Strength:

0.35

Bullish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

GBP is moderately stronger than AUD on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.35. This suggests a mild bullish bias for GBPAUD. Monitor for additional confirmation signals before entering a long position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on GBPAUD to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.