GBPAUD Neutral

Analysis Price: 2.0381 (Updated: 1 October 2025, 16:12 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for GBPAUD showing neutral market bias. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

Select Currency Pair

Signal Overview

Neutral Low Confidence High Risk

Market Consensus:

47% Long

53% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a neutral outlook for GBPAUD. Contradicting factors: Retail sentiment is 58% bearish; Technical patterns identified: Bearish Engulfing (D1). Risk assessment for this trade is high.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

42% 58%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Neutral sentiment with a balanced distribution between long and short positions. This suggests indecision in the market, which could precede a significant move once a clear direction emerges.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 2.0518 0.67% ↑

Analysis Price: 2.0381

Support Levels

S1: 2.0321 0.29% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

50%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near support at 2.0321 (0.29% below analysis price) with resistance at 2.0518 (0.67% above). This position near support could present a potential buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

64%

Head and Shoulders

Reliability:

64%

Detected: Oct 1, 05:42

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly bearish patterns detected across timeframes, suggesting downward pressure. The most reliable pattern is a bearish Head and Shoulders on the D1 timeframe with 64% historical reliability. This pattern is currently only confirmed on the D1 timeframe.

High Probability Zones

Resistance Zone

95%

Zone Level:

2.0822

analysis price:

2.0381

Distance:

2.06%

Confluence Factors:

Shooting Star 127% Extension

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

A high probability (95%) resistance zone exists at 2.0822, currently 2.06% away from price. Keep this level on watch for potential future selling opportunities if price moves higher.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

66.0

Volatility Regime:

Normal

Volatility Level:

44%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

GBPAUD is showing normal volatility (44 percentile) with an expected daily range of 66.0 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with GBPAUD

GBPUSD

0.87

EURGBP

-0.83

EURAUD

0.83

GBPNZD

0.83

AUDJPY

-0.80

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how GBPAUD correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

GBPAUD shows strong positive correlation with: GBPUSD, EURAUD, GBPNZD. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

GBPAUD shows strong negative correlation with: EURGBP, AUDJPY. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

GBP

-0.61

Weak

AUD

-0.69

Weak

Relative Strength:

0.08

Neutral Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

GBP and AUD show similar strength levels on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.08. This indicates a neutral bias for GBPAUD and suggests range-bound trading conditions may be more likely.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on GBPAUD to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.