GBPAUD Bullish

Analysis Price: 2.0829 (Updated: 17 August 2025, 12:47 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for GBPAUD showing a predominantly bullish bias with 77% bullish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Raw trader sentiment shows 27% long, 73% short. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bullish Medium Confidence Low Risk

Market Consensus:

77% Long

23% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a medium confidence bullish bias for GBPAUD (signal strength: 54%). Supporting factors include: High probability (95%) support zone detected at 2.0611; GBP is showing relative strength against AUD (diff: 26%). Contradicting factors: Retail sentiment is 73% bearish. Risk assessment for this trade is low. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

Note: The sentiment chart below shows actual trader positioning data (27% long / 73% short). The overall bullish bias (77%) mentioned in the page header represents our analytical consensus based on combined technical factors beyond raw sentiment.

LONG SHORT

27% 73%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bearish sentiment with 73% of traders holding short positions. The market has a negative bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 2.0865 0.17% ↑

Analysis Price: 2.0829

Support Levels

S1: 2.0683 0.70% ↓

Market Regime:

Uptrend

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

70%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near resistance at 2.0865 (0.17% above analysis price) with support at 2.0683 (0.70% below). This position near resistance could present a potential selling opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

93%

Morning Star

Reliability:

93%

Detected: Aug 16, 19:00

59%

Bullish Engulfing

Reliability:

59%

Detected: Aug 17, 13:55

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly bullish patterns detected across timeframes, suggesting upward momentum. The most reliable pattern is a bullish Morning Star on the H4 timeframe with 93% historical reliability. Multiple timeframes showing pattern confirmation increases the reliability of the signal.

High Probability Zones

Support Zone

75%

Zone Level:

1.9788

analysis price:

2.0829

Distance:

5.00%

Confluence Factors:

Bullish Engulfing 162% Extension Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Support Zone

73%

Zone Level:

2.0000

analysis price:

2.0829

Distance:

3.98%

Confluence Factors:

Inverse Head and Shoulders 78.6% Extension Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Support Zone

73%

Zone Level:

2.0000

analysis price:

2.0829

Distance:

3.98%

Confluence Factors:

Inverse Head and Shoulders 38.2% Retracement

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

A high probability (75%) support zone exists at 1.9788, currently 5.00% away from price. Keep this level on watch for potential future buying opportunities if price moves lower.

Multiple high probability zones exist for this pair, indicating a well-structured technical environment with clear levels for trading decisions.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

57.0

Volatility Regime:

Normal

Volatility Level:

64%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

GBPAUD is showing normal volatility (64 percentile) with an expected daily range of 57.0 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with GBPAUD

GBPJPY

0.90

AUDCAD

-0.89

AUDCHF

-0.88

GBPCAD

0.84

GBPCHF

0.82

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how GBPAUD correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

GBPAUD shows strong positive correlation with: GBPJPY, GBPCAD, GBPCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

GBPAUD shows strong negative correlation with: AUDCAD, AUDCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

GBP

-0.43

Weak

AUD

0.82

Very-strong

Relative Strength:

-1.25

Bearish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

AUD is significantly stronger than GBP on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -1.25. This suggests a strong bearish bias for GBPAUD. With AUD showing absolute strength and GBP showing absolute weakness, this is an ideal scenario for a short position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on GBPAUD to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.