EURUSD Bullish

Analysis Price: 1.1607 (Updated: 13 November 2025, 12:28 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for EURUSD showing a predominantly bullish bias with 73% bullish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Raw trader sentiment shows 34% long, 66% short. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bullish Medium Confidence High Risk

Market Consensus:

73% Long

27% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a medium confidence bullish bias for EURUSD (signal strength: 45%). Supporting factors include: High probability (95%) support zone detected at 1.1504. Contradicting factors: Retail sentiment is 66% bearish; EUR is showing relative weakness against USD (diff: 20%). Risk assessment for this trade is high. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

Note: The sentiment chart below shows actual trader positioning data (34% long / 66% short). The overall bullish bias (73%) mentioned in the page header represents our analytical consensus based on combined technical factors beyond raw sentiment.

LONG SHORT

34% 66%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bearish sentiment with 66% of traders holding short positions. The market has a negative bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 1.1634 0.23% ↑

Analysis Price: 1.1607

Support Levels

S1: 1.1564 0.37% ↓

Market Regime:

Uptrend

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

70%

Price Position Analysis

Price is between support at 1.1564 (0.37% below analysis price) and resistance at 1.1634 (0.23% above), with slightly closer proximity to resistance. Watch for rejection confirmation at resistance or break above.

Chart Pattern Analysis

77%

Double Bottom

Reliability:

77%

Detected: Nov 12, 18:48

67%

Doji

Reliability:

67%

Detected: Nov 12, 22:07

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Mixed pattern signals detected, suggesting conflicting technical factors. The most reliable pattern is a bullish Double Bottom on the H1 timeframe with 77% historical reliability. Multiple timeframes showing pattern confirmation increases the reliability of the signal.

High Probability Zones

Support Zone

95%

Zone Level:

1.1504

analysis price:

1.1607

Distance:

0.89%

Confluence Factors:

Morning Star 79% Retracement

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Resistance Zone

90%

Zone Level:

1.1903

analysis price:

1.1607

Distance:

2.55%

Confluence Factors:

Head and Shoulders 162% Extension Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is approaching a high probability (95%) support zone at 1.1504, currently 0.89% away. Consider preparing a buy strategy as price approaches this level, watching for confirmation signals.

Multiple high probability zones exist for this pair, indicating a well-structured technical environment with clear levels for trading decisions.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

96.0

Volatility Regime:

Normal

Volatility Level:

38%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

EURUSD is showing normal volatility (38 percentile) with an expected daily range of 96.0 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with EURUSD

USDCHF

-0.89

GBPUSD

0.85

EURCHF

0.85

USDJPY

-0.77

EURGBP

0.77

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how EURUSD correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

EURUSD shows strong positive correlation with: GBPUSD, EURCHF, EURGBP. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

EURUSD shows strong negative correlation with: USDCHF, USDJPY. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

EUR

-0.90

Very-weak

USD

0.87

Very-strong

Relative Strength:

-1.77

Bearish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

USD is significantly stronger than EUR on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -1.77. This suggests a strong bearish bias for EURUSD. With USD showing absolute strength and EUR showing absolute weakness, this is an ideal scenario for a short position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on EURUSD to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.