EURUSD Bullish

Analysis Price: 1.1777 (Updated: 28 December 2025, 15:11 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for EURUSD showing a predominantly bullish bias with 61% bullish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Raw trader sentiment shows 27% long, 73% short. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bullish Medium Confidence Medium Risk

Market Consensus:

61% Long

39% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a medium confidence bullish bias for EURUSD (signal strength: 21%). Supporting factors include: High probability (95%) support zone detected at 1.1569. Contradicting factors: Retail sentiment is 73% bearish; EUR is showing relative weakness against USD (diff: 53%). Risk assessment for this trade is medium. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

Note: The sentiment chart below shows actual trader positioning data (27% long / 73% short). The overall bullish bias (61%) mentioned in the page header represents our analytical consensus based on combined technical factors beyond raw sentiment.

LONG SHORT

27% 73%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bearish sentiment with 73% of traders holding short positions. The market has a negative bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 1.1807 0.26% ↑

Analysis Price: 1.1777

Support Levels

S1: 1.1761 0.14% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

70%

Price Position Analysis

Price is between support at 1.1761 (0.14% below analysis price) and resistance at 1.1807 (0.26% above), with slightly closer proximity to support. Watch for bounce confirmation at support or break below.

Chart Pattern Analysis

93%

Double Top

Reliability:

93%

Detected: Dec 28, 08:07

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly bearish patterns detected across timeframes, suggesting downward pressure. The most reliable pattern is a bearish Double Top on the D1 timeframe with 93% historical reliability. This pattern is currently only confirmed on the D1 timeframe.

High Probability Zones

Support Zone

95%

Zone Level:

1.1755

analysis price:

1.1777

Distance:

0.18%

Confluence Factors:

Bullish Engulfing 50% Retracement

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is extremely close to a high probability (95%) support zone at 1.1755. This presents a potential buying opportunity with stop loss slightly below the zone. Multiple confluence factors strengthen this level's significance.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

21.0

Volatility Regime:

High

Volatility Level:

93%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

EURUSD is experiencing high volatility (93 percentile) with an expected daily range of 21.0 pips. This above-average movement creates trading opportunities but requires careful risk management. Consider slightly wider stop losses and moderate position sizing.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with EURUSD

NZDUSD

0.90

EURCHF

0.89

EURAUD

0.89

GBPUSD

0.86

USDJPY

-0.86

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how EURUSD correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

EURUSD shows strong positive correlation with: NZDUSD, EURCHF, EURAUD, GBPUSD. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

EURUSD shows strong negative correlation with: USDJPY. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

EUR

-0.23

Neutral

USD

0.42

Strong

Relative Strength:

-0.65

Bearish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

USD is significantly stronger than EUR on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -0.65. This suggests a strong bearish bias for EURUSD. However, this bias is primarily driven by the strength of USD.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on EURUSD to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.