Free Morning Sentiment Digest: forex sentiment and new articles, in your inbox before the open. Free morning digest, every weekday.
SUBSCRIBE FREE

Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Tuesday, 18 August 2026 Forecast for: Wednesday, 19 August 2026 Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

You are viewing an archived forecast

This is the forex forecast generated for 18 August 2026. View current forecast

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Broad USD softness continues to dominate, with EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD holding uptrends while USDCAD grinds to new lows and retail books remain heavily positioned against these moves. The JPY-cross complex (AUDJPY, CADJPY, EURJPY, GBPJPY) offers the cleanest contrarian long cluster with 76-91% retail short and freshly positive MACD momentum. Gold stays the leading trend at record highs, while EUR-crosses against AUD/CAD/NZD remain the main fade-the-rally candidates as retail sits long.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

  • Asian session tone for the JPY crosses - AUDJPY holding 113.06 and EURJPY holding 184.53 would confirm the contrarian long cluster
  • London open test of GBPUSD 1.3554 resistance and AUDUSD 1.71198... AUDUSD 0.71198 resistance
  • New York session direction for USDCAD around the 1.39058 pivot; a rejection there targets 1.38616/1.38446
  • XAUUSD reaction to the 4351.87 support - a break below opens 4311.07, while a push through 4436.30 resumes the record-high trend

Best Opportunities

AUDCHF Bullish
AUDJPY Bullish
USDCAD Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record so far (277 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 22% hit the stop and 68% timed out at the window close.

AUDCHF

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:0.93
Entry Point 0.57540
Stop Loss 0.57250 (29.0 pips)
Conservative Target 0.57810 (27.0 pips)
Optimal Target 0.58000 (46.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.57810 0.58000 0.58200
Support: 0.57538 0.57418 0.57260

Rationale

Clean uptrend with RSI 63 and the most extreme crowd positioning on the board at 93% short. Buy dips to 0.5754/0.5742.

AUDJPY

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:0.73
Entry Point 113.060
Stop Loss 112.300 (76.0 pips)
Conservative Target 113.612 (55.2 pips)
Optimal Target 114.669 (160.9 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 113.612 114.669 115.000
Support: 113.061 112.749 112.184

Rationale

Consistent higher lows from 109.2 with an expanding positive MACD and 91% of retail short. Buy dips to 113.06 while 112.75 holds.

USDCAD

Bearish High Confidence
R/R 1:0.79
Entry Point 1.39050
Stop Loss 1.39600 (55.0 pips)
Conservative Target 1.38616 (43.4 pips)
Optimal Target 1.38446 (60.4 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.39058 1.39584 1.40130
Support: 1.38616 1.38446 1.38000

Rationale

Downtrend with lower highs, RSI 34 and 65% of retail buying the dip. Sell rallies into the 1.39058 pivot.

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair Direction Confidence Analysis Price Entry Stop Loss Target Target odds
as published
Risk:Reward Result

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Target odds as published 68%
Analysis Price 1.35351
Entry Point 1.35210
Stop Loss 1.34700
Conservative Target 1.35540
Risk:Reward 1:0.65
Optimal Target 1.35712
Stop Loss Distance 51.0 pips
Target Distance 33.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.35540 1.35712 1.36000
Support: 1.35195 1.34743 1.34344

Rationale

Clean uptrend with 71% direction probability and 75% of retail short as a contrarian tailwind. Longs favoured while 1.34743 holds.

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Target odds as published 68%
Analysis Price 0.70858
Entry Point 0.70810
Stop Loss 0.70520
Conservative Target 0.71198
Risk:Reward 1:1.34
Optimal Target 0.71294
Stop Loss Distance 29.0 pips
Target Distance 38.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.71198 0.71294 0.71500
Support: 0.70811 0.70541 0.70223

Rationale

Steady higher highs with positive MACD and an extreme 84% retail short reading. Pullbacks into 0.7081/0.7054 are the buy zone.

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Target odds as published 68%
Analysis Price 1.39045
Entry Point 1.39050
Stop Loss 1.39600
Conservative Target 1.38616
Risk:Reward 1:0.79
Optimal Target 1.38446
Stop Loss Distance 55.0 pips
Target Distance 43.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.39058 1.39584 1.40130
Support: 1.38616 1.38446 1.38000

Rationale

Downtrend with lower highs, RSI 34 and 65% of retail buying the dip. Sell rallies into the 1.39058 pivot.

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Target odds as published 68%
Analysis Price 0.94025
Entry Point 0.93900
Stop Loss 0.93690
Conservative Target 0.94113
Risk:Reward 1:1.01
Optimal Target 0.94400
Stop Loss Distance 21.0 pips
Target Distance 21.3 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.94113 0.94400 0.94600
Support: 0.93848 0.93734 0.93585

Rationale

Persistent higher lows with RSI 67 and 89% of retail short - a textbook squeeze setup. Longs above 0.93734 target beyond 0.94113.

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Target odds as published 68%
Analysis Price 113.083
Entry Point 113.060
Stop Loss 112.300
Conservative Target 113.612
Risk:Reward 1:0.73
Optimal Target 114.669
Stop Loss Distance 76.0 pips
Target Distance 55.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 113.612 114.669 115.000
Support: 113.061 112.749 112.184

Rationale

Consistent higher lows from 109.2 with an expanding positive MACD and 91% of retail short. Buy dips to 113.06 while 112.75 holds.

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Target odds as published 68%
Analysis Price 0.57546
Entry Point 0.57540
Stop Loss 0.57250
Conservative Target 0.57810
Risk:Reward 1:0.93
Optimal Target 0.58000
Stop Loss Distance 29.0 pips
Target Distance 27.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.57810 0.58000 0.58200
Support: 0.57538 0.57418 0.57260

Rationale

Clean uptrend with RSI 63 and the most extreme crowd positioning on the board at 93% short. Buy dips to 0.5754/0.5742.

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Target odds as published 66%
Analysis Price 1.09921
Entry Point 1.09850
Stop Loss 1.09490
Conservative Target 1.10112
Risk:Reward 1:0.73
Optimal Target 1.10300
Stop Loss Distance 36.0 pips
Target Distance 26.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.10112 1.10300 1.10600
Support: 1.09534 1.08527

Rationale

Impulsive advance from 1.0858 with RSI 67 and 84% of retail short. A break of 1.10112 opens the 1.1030-1.1060 zone.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 63%
Analysis Price 184.764
Entry Point 184.530
Stop Loss 183.550
Conservative Target 184.909
Risk:Reward 1:0.39
Optimal Target 185.905
Stop Loss Distance 98.0 pips
Target Distance 37.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 184.909 185.905 187.471
Support: 184.534 184.117 183.600

Rationale

Recovery from 181.3 with MACD histogram turning positive and an extreme 86% retail short. Buy dips while 183.60 holds.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 63%
Analysis Price 114.780
Entry Point 114.640
Stop Loss 113.900
Conservative Target 115.205
Risk:Reward 1:0.76
Optimal Target 116.024
Stop Loss Distance 74.0 pips
Target Distance 56.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 115.205 116.024 116.472
Support: 114.636 113.991 113.318

Rationale

Fresh bullish MACD cross in a recovery from 110.8 with 76% of retail short. Longs valid while 113.99 holds.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 63%
Analysis Price 4358.22
Entry Point 4330.00
Stop Loss 4238.00
Conservative Target 4436.30
Risk:Reward 1:1.16
Optimal Target 4449.63
Stop Loss Distance 92.0 pts
Target Distance 106.3 pts

Key Levels

Resistance: 4436.30 4449.63 4500.00
Support: 4351.87 4311.07 4241.17

Rationale

Breakout from the 4020-4120 base with the MACD histogram still expanding makes consolidation under 4450 corrective. Buy dips toward 4311 with ATR-wide stops given the 89-point ATR.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 62%
Analysis Price 1.15774
Entry Point 1.15640
Stop Loss 1.15100
Conservative Target 1.15854
Risk:Reward 1:0.40
Optimal Target 1.16140
Stop Loss Distance 54.0 pips
Target Distance 21.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.15854 1.16140 1.16500
Support: 1.15642 1.15400 1.15118

Rationale

Higher-low structure with positive MACD and 62% retail short supports buying dips into 1.1564. Invalidation only below the 1.15118 support.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 62%
Analysis Price 216.008
Entry Point 215.450
Stop Loss 214.300
Conservative Target 216.219
Risk:Reward 1:0.67
Optimal Target 218.014
Stop Loss Distance 115.0 pips
Target Distance 76.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 216.219 218.014 218.684
Support: 215.412 214.789 212.540

Rationale

Grinding higher from 209.6 with a positive MACD histogram and an extreme 89% retail short. Buy dips to 215.41 while above 214.79.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 60%
Analysis Price 1.20617
Entry Point 1.20430
Stop Loss 1.19990
Conservative Target 1.20912
Risk:Reward 1:1.10
Optimal Target 1.21025
Stop Loss Distance 44.0 pips
Target Distance 48.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.20912 1.21025 1.21213
Support: 1.20327 1.20011 1.19419

Rationale

Recovery from 1.1914 with a positive MACD histogram and 75% of retail short. Longs above 1.20327 target the 1.2121 pivot.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 60%
Analysis Price 0.58409
Entry Point 0.58280
Stop Loss 0.57970
Conservative Target 0.58616
Risk:Reward 1:1.08
Optimal Target 0.58644
Stop Loss Distance 31.0 pips
Target Distance 33.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58616 0.58644 0.58800
Support: 0.58272 0.57976 0.57744

Rationale

Steady uptrend from 0.5740 with RSI 64 and positive MACD, sentiment mildly contrarian-bullish. Buy dips to 0.58272 while above 0.57976.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 58%
Analysis Price 0.58746
Entry Point 0.58720
Stop Loss 0.58530
Conservative Target 0.59088
Risk:Reward 1:1.94
Optimal Target 0.59262
Stop Loss Distance 19.0 pips
Target Distance 36.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.59088 0.59262 0.59500
Support: 0.58721 0.58597 0.58214

Rationale

Grinding uptrend with 65% retail short, though momentum is fading below the 0.5926 cap. Longs valid while 0.58597 holds.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 58%
Analysis Price 1.63390
Entry Point 1.63580
Stop Loss 1.64180
Conservative Target 1.63008
Risk:Reward 1:0.95
Optimal Target 1.62704
Stop Loss Distance 60.0 pips
Target Distance 57.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.63584 1.64130 1.65045
Support: 1.63008 1.62704 1.62566

Rationale

Rolling lower inside the 1.6261-1.6413 range with RSI below 50 and 78% of retail long. Fade rallies into 1.6358.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 58%
Analysis Price 0.47709
Entry Point 0.47660
Stop Loss 0.47390
Conservative Target 0.47736
Risk:Reward 1:0.28
Optimal Target 0.47925
Stop Loss Distance 27.0 pips
Target Distance 7.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.47736 0.47925 0.48175
Support: 0.47640 0.47408 0.47100

Rationale

Breakout above the 0.4770 ceiling with RSI 60 and 82% of retail short, though momentum is cooling. Buy dips while 0.47408 holds.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 57%
Analysis Price 1.60974
Entry Point 1.61130
Stop Loss 1.61600
Conservative Target 1.60442
Risk:Reward 1:1.46
Optimal Target 1.60076
Stop Loss Distance 47.0 pips
Target Distance 68.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.61130 1.61350 1.62431
Support: 1.60442 1.60397 1.60076

Rationale

Lower highs since 1.6248 with RSI 47 and 71% of retail positioned long. Sell strength under the 1.6135 resistance.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 57%
Analysis Price 0.81680
Entry Point 0.81930
Stop Loss 0.82330
Conservative Target 0.81430
Risk:Reward 1:1.25
Optimal Target 0.81185
Stop Loss Distance 40.0 pips
Target Distance 50.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.81934 0.82121 0.82320
Support: 0.81430 0.81185 0.80536

Rationale

Lower highs from 0.8297 with negative MACD while 59% of retail is long. Sell rallies below the 0.82121 resistance.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published 55%
Analysis Price 0.98521
Entry Point 0.98430
Stop Loss 0.98040
Conservative Target 0.98749
Risk:Reward 1:0.82
Optimal Target 0.98859
Stop Loss Distance 39.0 pips
Target Distance 31.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.98749 0.98859 0.99257
Support: 0.98428 0.98198 0.98052

Rationale

Flat 0.9820-0.9880 range with neutral momentum but 67% of retail short. Favour longs from the 0.98428 base.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published 54%
Analysis Price 93.753
Entry Point 93.730
Stop Loss 93.200
Conservative Target 94.042
Risk:Reward 1:0.59
Optimal Target 94.297
Stop Loss Distance 53.0 pips
Target Distance 31.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 94.042 94.297 95.309
Support: 93.725 93.257 92.816

Rationale

Recovery stalling below 94.30 with the MACD histogram turning negative and only mild retail short bias. Small longs above 93.725, no chasing.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published 53%
Analysis Price 1.91016
Entry Point 1.91050
Stop Loss 1.91950
Conservative Target 1.90764
Risk:Reward 1:0.32
Optimal Target 1.90176
Stop Loss Distance 90.0 pips
Target Distance 28.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.91048 1.91913 1.92601
Support: 1.90764 1.90176 1.90032

Rationale

Flat 1.9018-1.9191 range with RSI at 50 but 64% of retail long. Small shorts near the 1.91048 cap with a stop above 1.9191.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 159.589
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 159.780 160.880 162.770
Support: 158.850 158.600 157.600

Rationale

Post-crash consolidation between 158.60 and 159.78 with flat momentum offers no directional edge. Only range-extreme trades are justified.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 1.97073
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.97321 1.97771 1.98321
Support: 1.96057 1.95796 1.95502

Rationale

Two-week 1.955-1.978 range with no trend structure and 68% retail long capping upside. Only range-edge fades make sense.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 2.30398
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.30532 2.31043 2.31500
Support: 2.29628 2.28871 2.28049

Rationale

Choppy 2.2805-2.3150 range with improving MACD but no trend structure. Only a close above 2.31043 would justify trend longs.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 0.81214
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.81396 0.81470 0.82069
Support: 0.81038 0.80721 0.80566

Rationale

Choppy 0.8057-0.8147 band with RSI at 51 and balanced retail positioning. Buy the lower edge, sell the upper edge only.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 196.510
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 197.024 198.100 200.956
Support: 196.386 195.472 194.233

Rationale

Sideways 195.4-197.0 after the crash with RSI 44 and MACD still negative. Neutral until 197.024 is cleared.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 0.85536
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.85598 0.85842 0.86000
Support: 0.85464 0.85426 0.85318

Rationale

Tight 0.8532-0.8560 consolidation with RSI 46 and balanced retail books. Only a break of either edge gives a signal.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 1.88191
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.88460 1.89536 1.90330
Support: 1.88106 1.87530 1.87388

Rationale

Directionless between 1.8753 and 1.8846 with neutral RSI and balanced retail books. Wait for the range to resolve before sizing up.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$7 average per $100 risked

61 of 93 picks filled, over 31 verified days · target hit 18%

Every plan on the board

−$5 average per $100 risked

277 plans over 31 verified days · target hit 10%

31 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 61 picks the honest range around the +$7 runs from −$12 to +$27 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 93 picks published, 61 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 17 of the 61 picks lost the full $100, against 37 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 67% of the Top 3 result, and 25 of the 61 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$13 to +$4, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 277 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 30 Sep 2026)

  • Target hit 10% (28)
  • Stop hit 22% (62)
  • Timed out 68% (187)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 142 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown
31% Win rate 28 of 90 plans closed at target or stop
-0.05R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one
+0.09R Timed-out average how those 187 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

25%
14 of 57 plans

Bearish

42%
14 of 33 plans

Win rate by pair

PairWin ratePlans
GBPJPY
75%
3 / 4
AUDCHF
50%
3 / 6
USDCAD
50%
2 / 4
NZDCAD
50%
2 / 4
EURCHF
38%
3 / 8
AUDJPY
33%
1 / 3
GBPUSD
33%
1 / 3
CHFJPY
33%
1 / 3
AUDUSD
33%
2 / 6
EURNZD
25%
1 / 4
EURUSD
25%
1 / 4
USDCHF
25%
1 / 4
USDJPY
25%
1 / 4
NZDUSD
25%
1 / 4
NZDCHF
0%
0 / 3
GBPNZD
0%
0 / 3
EURGBP
0%
0 / 3
GBPCAD
0%
0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit
Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit
Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out
The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled
Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken
Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

30 Sep 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $177
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bullish 0.94530 → 0.94767 Target hit +1.25R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Bullish 2.00950 → 2.02000 Timed out +0.16R
GBPJPY Bearish 208.260 → 207.103 Target hit +1.45R
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.790 → 88.000 Timed out +0.25R
CHFJPY Bearish 188.780 → 187.841 Not filled –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
29 Sep 2026 1 target · 0 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $107
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83130 → 0.83500 Not filled –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.41670 → 1.42388 Not filled –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bullish 0.94530 → 0.94767 Timed out +0.14R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Bullish 2.00350 → 2.01232 Target hit +1.47R
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.87780 → 1.88293 Timed out -0.39R
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Bearish 111.170 → 110.549 Not filled –
NZDJPY Bearish 89.330 → 88.685 Not filled –
CHFJPY Bearish 189.500 → 188.464 Not filled –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Bearish 4125.00 → 4020.65 Timed out -0.95R
28 Sep 2026 1 target · 2 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $91
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.13965 → 1.13593 Not filled –
GBPUSD Bearish 1.32510 → 1.32094 Timed out -0.01R
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.41360 → 1.42000 Not filled –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Bullish 2.01100 → 2.02000 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bearish 110.570 → 110.029 Target hit +1.23R
CADJPY Bearish 111.310 → 110.549 Timed out +0.42R
NZDJPY Bearish 89.140 → 88.500 Timed out -0.17R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46945 → 0.46727 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
25 Sep 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $85
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.13830 → 1.13500 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Bullish 0.82720 → 0.83000 Timed out +0.49R
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Bullish 0.94130 → 0.94353 Not filled –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Bullish 2.00640 → 2.01372 Not filled –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 90.130 → 89.498 Not filled –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Bearish 0.80130 → 0.79803 Timed out -0.03R
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Bearish 4288.00 → 4234.83 Timed out -0.07R
24 Sep 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $157
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Bearish 1.32480 → 1.32000 Timed out +0.72R
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.41000 → 1.41500 Timed out +0.88R
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Bullish 2.00450 → 2.01162 Timed out +0.98R
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Bearish 89.900 → 89.267 Timed out -0.05R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Bearish 4300.00 → 4200.00 Timed out +0.35R

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

  1. Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
  2. Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
  3. AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
  4. Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

  • Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
  • Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
  • Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
  • Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
  • Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it: probability × reward/risk − (1 − probability). Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. Only plans with a positive expected result are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
  • Target odds: the model's chance of reaching the conservative target before the stop, once the order fills. These plans were written under the two-outcome model, where the no-edge baseline is 1/(1+RR) — 50% at 1:1, 33% at 1:2 — never 50% flat. The figure is not shown next to each plan: a farther target is worth more but is reached less often, so on its own it says nothing about whether a plan is worth taking. It is already accounted for in the expected result
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

  • Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
  • Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
  • Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
  • Adjust position size based on expected volatility
  • Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
  • Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

Forex Sentiment AI Trade Panel for MT5 — now with the Chart Panel

The AI plan of the day on your chart: entry, stop and two targets for every market our AI reads as directional. The Trade Panel runs the whole account from one chart — five-factor signals, orders prefilled from the plan with automatic lot sizing, close-only account protection. The new Chart Panel sits beside each chart you trade: retail positioning, our signal and the AI plan for that market, levels drawn on the chart, stop and target you can drag. Available now: one license, both panels.

Discover the panel

Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

ForexSentiment App
ForexSentiment Forex Sentiment & AI Signals
App Store Google Play