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Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Wednesday, 19 August 2026 Forecast for: Thursday, 20 August 2026 Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

You are viewing an archived forecast

This is the forex forecast generated for 19 August 2026. View current forecast

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Broad USD weakness dominates going into 20 August, with EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD all closing on range highs while USDCHF and USDCAD printed fresh lows. The Swiss franc is the second driver, having crushed the CHF crosses and pushed CHFJPY through 197.0 into a breakout. Extreme retail short positioning in the strongest currencies (AUD 80%, EURJPY 82%, GBPJPY 88%) plus gold's record high argue for continuation rather than reversal, though stretched RSI readings favour buying pullbacks over chasing breakouts.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

  • Asian session follow-through in USD pairs after the broad breakout day; watch AUDUSD 0.71294 and NZDUSD 0.59378 range tops
  • London open test of EURUSD 1.16772 resistance and GBPUSD 1.36304
  • Stabilisation attempt in CHF crosses: EURCHF 0.9276-0.9350 and GBPCHF 1.09076 retest decide direction
  • New York session gold reaction at the 4499.15 record-high resistance with ATR near 100

Best Opportunities

AUDUSD Bullish
EURUSD Bullish
XAUUSD Bullish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record so far (291 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close.

AUDUSD

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:0.52
Entry Point 0.71050
Stop Loss 0.70580 (47.0 pips)
Conservative Target 0.71294 (24.4 pips)
Optimal Target 0.71500 (45.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.71294 0.71500 0.72000
Support: 0.70873 0.70668 0.70223

Rationale

Higher lows plus an extreme 80% retail short reading is the strongest contrarian long on the board. A break of 0.7130 opens 0.7150 then 0.7200.

Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

EURUSD

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:0.55
Entry Point 1.16400
Stop Loss 1.15720 (68.0 pips)
Conservative Target 1.16772 (37.2 pips)
Optimal Target 1.17000 (60.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.16772 1.17000 1.17500
Support: 1.16000 1.15756 1.15118

Rationale

Clean breakout above the 1.1677 range top with rising MACD and 68% of retail short. RSI 73 argues for buying the pullback toward 1.1600 rather than the spike.

Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail

XAUUSD

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:0.56
Entry Point 4442.00
Stop Loss 4340.00 (102.0 pts)
Conservative Target 4499.15 (57.1 pts)
Optimal Target 4550.00 (108.0 pts)

Key Levels

Resistance: 4499.15 4550.00 4600.00
Support: 4436.30 4400.00 4324.83

Rationale

Record high with an expanding MACD histogram confirms an intact uptrend. Buy dips into 4436-4400 with wide stops given the ~97 ATR.

Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair Direction Confidence Analysis Price Entry Stop Loss Target Target odds
as published		 Risk:Reward Result

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Target odds as published 70%
Analysis Price 0.71179
Entry Point 0.71050
Stop Loss 0.70580
Conservative Target 0.71294
Risk:Reward 1:0.52
Optimal Target 0.71500
Stop Loss Distance 47.0 pips
Target Distance 24.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.71294 0.71500 0.72000
Support: 0.70873 0.70668 0.70223

Rationale

Higher lows plus an extreme 80% retail short reading is the strongest contrarian long on the board. A break of 0.7130 opens 0.7150 then 0.7200.

Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Target odds as published 68%
Analysis Price 1.16693
Entry Point 1.16400
Stop Loss 1.15720
Conservative Target 1.16772
Risk:Reward 1:0.55
Optimal Target 1.17000
Stop Loss Distance 68.0 pips
Target Distance 37.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.16772 1.17000 1.17500
Support: 1.16000 1.15756 1.15118

Rationale

Clean breakout above the 1.1677 range top with rising MACD and 68% of retail short. RSI 73 argues for buying the pullback toward 1.1600 rather than the spike.

Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Target odds as published 66%
Analysis Price 1.36000
Entry Point 1.35650
Stop Loss 1.34720
Conservative Target 1.36304
Risk:Reward 1:0.70
Optimal Target 1.36500
Stop Loss Distance 93.0 pips
Target Distance 65.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.36304 1.36500 1.37000
Support: 1.35338 1.35234 1.34743

Rationale

Breakout close at the top of a three-week ascending range with 71% retail short. Dips into 1.3534 remain buyable while 1.3474 holds.

Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Target odds as published 66%
Analysis Price 4487.93
Entry Point 4442.00
Stop Loss 4340.00
Conservative Target 4499.15
Risk:Reward 1:0.56
Optimal Target 4550.00
Stop Loss Distance 102.0 pts
Target Distance 57.1 pts

Key Levels

Resistance: 4499.15 4550.00 4600.00
Support: 4436.30 4400.00 4324.83

Rationale

Record high with an expanding MACD histogram confirms an intact uptrend. Buy dips into 4436-4400 with wide stops given the ~97 ATR.

Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 63%
Analysis Price 0.79854
Entry Point 0.80080
Stop Loss 0.80620
Conservative Target 0.79831
Risk:Reward 1:0.46
Optimal Target 0.79500
Stop Loss Distance 54.0 pips
Target Distance 24.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.80392 0.81038 0.81283
Support: 0.79831 0.79500 0.79000

Rationale

Violent break of the 0.8060/0.8140 range with a bearish MACD cross and 63% of retail trapped long. Rallies toward 0.8040 favour fresh shorts.

Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 63%
Analysis Price 184.840
Entry Point 184.450
Stop Loss 183.400
Conservative Target 184.943
Risk:Reward 1:0.47
Optimal Target 185.905
Stop Loss Distance 105.0 pips
Target Distance 49.3 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 184.943 185.905 187.471
Support: 184.395 183.928 183.169

Rationale

Higher lows since 181.3 with a positive MACD histogram and a lopsided 82% retail short. Dips to 184.40 are buyable while 183.93 holds.

Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 63%
Analysis Price 215.424
Entry Point 215.000
Stop Loss 213.600
Conservative Target 216.219
Risk:Reward 1:0.87
Optimal Target 218.014
Stop Loss Distance 140.0 pips
Target Distance 121.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 216.219 218.014 218.684
Support: 214.836 214.534 212.540

Rationale

Base built above 214.5 with the MACD histogram turning positive and an extreme 88% retail short. Longs from 214.9-215.2 target 216.2 then 218.0.

Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 63%
Analysis Price 112.746
Entry Point 112.400
Stop Loss 111.600
Conservative Target 112.811
Risk:Reward 1:0.51
Optimal Target 113.612
Stop Loss Distance 80.0 pips
Target Distance 41.1 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 112.811 113.612 114.669
Support: 112.228 112.184 111.198

Rationale

Series of higher lows off 109.2 with positive MACD and 77% retail short. Longs are valid while 112.18 support survives.

Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 62%
Analysis Price 158.398
Entry Point 158.900
Stop Loss 159.850
Conservative Target 158.044
Risk:Reward 1:0.90
Optimal Target 157.255
Stop Loss Distance 95.0 pips
Target Distance 85.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 159.643 159.780 160.883
Support: 158.044 157.255 156.673

Rationale

Sharp rejection from the 159.64/159.78 ceiling with negative MACD and RSI at 37. Selling rallies under 159.65 keeps risk contained within one ATR.

Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 62%
Analysis Price 1.38134
Entry Point 1.38520
Stop Loss 1.39120
Conservative Target 1.38034
Risk:Reward 1:0.81
Optimal Target 1.37500
Stop Loss Distance 60.0 pips
Target Distance 48.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.38617 1.39080 1.39584
Support: 1.38034 1.37500 1.37000

Rationale

Persistent lower highs with retail 65% long into a fresh low. RSI 25.7 favours selling the bounce near 1.3860 rather than the breakdown itself.

Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 62%
Analysis Price 0.59327
Entry Point 0.59200
Stop Loss 0.58720
Conservative Target 0.59378
Risk:Reward 1:0.37
Optimal Target 0.59500
Stop Loss Distance 48.0 pips
Target Distance 17.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.59378 0.59500 0.60000
Support: 0.58753 0.58604 0.58214

Rationale

Range top at 0.5938 under attack with 63% retail short supporting the upside. Only a close back under 0.5875 negates the breakout.

Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 61%
Analysis Price 198.356
Entry Point 197.600
Stop Loss 196.300
Conservative Target 198.374
Risk:Reward 1:0.60
Optimal Target 200.956
Stop Loss Distance 130.0 pips
Target Distance 77.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 198.374 200.956 201.594
Support: 197.007 196.386 195.472

Rationale

Powerful breakout from the 195.5-197.0 base as CHF outperforms, with 63% retail short adding fuel. Pullbacks to 197.0 are the preferred entry.

Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 60%
Analysis Price 114.674
Entry Point 114.250
Stop Loss 113.500
Conservative Target 114.884
Risk:Reward 1:0.85
Optimal Target 115.205
Stop Loss Distance 75.0 pips
Target Distance 63.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 114.884 115.205 116.024
Support: 114.084 113.991 113.523

Rationale

Constructive recovery with an expanding MACD histogram and 64% retail short. Buy dips toward 114.10 while 113.99 holds.

Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published 56%
Analysis Price 0.57811
Entry Point 0.58100
Stop Loss 0.58500
Conservative Target 0.57744
Risk:Reward 1:0.89
Optimal Target 0.57396
Stop Loss Distance 40.0 pips
Target Distance 35.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58229 0.58488 0.58644
Support: 0.57744 0.57396 0.56805

Rationale

Sharp reversal through the August advance with MACD rolling over and 57% retail long offside. Shorts stay valid below 0.5823 resistance.

Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published 55%
Analysis Price 2.29234
Entry Point 2.29620
Stop Loss 2.30980
Conservative Target 2.28871
Risk:Reward 1:0.55
Optimal Target 2.28049
Stop Loss Distance 136.0 pips
Target Distance 74.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.29759 2.30941 2.31043
Support: 2.28871 2.28839 2.28049

Rationale

Bearish outside-day rejection from 2.3094 with RSI under 50. Shorts are favoured below 2.2976 toward 2.2885.

Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published 54%
Analysis Price 0.85803
Entry Point 0.85890
Stop Loss 0.85520
Conservative Target 0.86000
Risk:Reward 1:0.30
Optimal Target 0.86515
Stop Loss Distance 37.0 pips
Target Distance 11.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.85842 0.86000 0.86515
Support: 0.85528 0.85426 0.85318

Rationale

Price presses the 0.8584 range ceiling with the MACD histogram flipping positive. Only a confirmed break gives an edge, otherwise the 0.8532-0.8584 range holds.

Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 1.61187
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.61362 1.62431 1.62680
Support: 1.60694 1.60397 1.60076

Rationale

Two weeks of compression between 1.6040 and 1.6136 with MACD near zero. 60% retail long slightly favours fading the 1.6136 range top.

Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 1.96694
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.96873 1.97568 1.98321
Support: 1.96617 1.95750 1.95502

Rationale

Repeated failures above 1.9757 keep price inside 1.955-1.978 with no momentum edge. Fading the upper band is the only defined setup.

Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 0.47375
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.47586 0.47736 0.47925
Support: 0.47100 0.47037 0.46799

Rationale

CHF strength dumped price to the bottom of the 0.4704-0.4818 range while 78% of retail is already short. Buying near 0.4710 beats chasing weakness.

Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 1.63942
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.64130 1.65045 1.66191
Support: 1.63340 1.63008 1.62581

Rationale

Well-defined 1.6260-1.6450 range with flat momentum and neutral retail books. Only the edges are tradeable, favouring longs near 1.6334 support.

Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 1.91065
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.91738 1.91913 1.92601
Support: 1.90764 1.90176 1.90032

Rationale

Flat RSI at 50 and balanced retail books inside the 1.9020-1.9260 box. Only range-trading from the 1.9076 support edge is justified.

Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 1.87853
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.88522 1.89536 1.90330
Support: 1.87830 1.87388 1.87127

Rationale

Price is glued to the 1.8780-1.8850 pivot zone after drifting from 1.8953. Only a break below 1.8739 reopens the downtrend.

Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 1.19978
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.20191 1.20720 1.21025
Support: 1.19419 1.19136 1.19000

Rationale

Failure at 1.2091 conflicts with 70% retail short and a positive MACD histogram. Stay inside 1.1942-1.2072 and only buy the lower edge.

Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 0.93183
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.93493 0.93722 0.94113
Support: 0.92757 0.92300 0.92000

Rationale

A 90-pip CHF-driven collapse leaves the pair volatile, but 84% retail short caps downside conviction. Only a stabilisation above 0.9276 offers a low-conviction bounce trade.

Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 1.08602
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.09076 1.09220 1.09982
Support: 1.08527 1.08105 1.07000

Rationale

A 140-pip CHF squeeze broke the August uptrend, yet 73% retail short warns against selling the low. The 1.0908 retest decides direction.

Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 93.974
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 94.042 94.297 95.309
Support: 93.317 92.816 91.938

Rationale

Capped by 94.04-94.30 for two weeks with the MACD histogram rolling over and neutral retail books. Only a break of that ceiling changes the picture.

Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 0.56839
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.57191 0.57563 0.57810
Support: 0.56444 0.56211 0.55518

Rationale

One candle erased the entire August rally, but 75% retail short blocks conviction shorts at the low. Neutral until 0.5644 or 0.5719 gives way.

Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 0.81947
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.82121 0.82320 0.82657
Support: 0.81649 0.81435 0.81185

Rationale

Choppy 0.8124-0.8212 range with RSI at 52 and split retail positioning. Only fading the range extremes offers value.

Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 0.98318
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.98473 0.98564 0.98843
Support: 0.98198 0.98078 0.97835

Rationale

Tight 0.9808-0.9879 consolidation with MACD flat around zero. No edge until the range breaks; only support-edge longs are defensible.

Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Verified record

The three we pick

+$6 average per $100 risked

66 of 99 picks filled, over 33 verified days · target hit 18%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

291 plans over 33 verified days · target hit 10%

33 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 66 picks the honest range around the +$6 runs from −$14 to +$25 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 99 picks published, 66 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 19 of the 66 picks lost the full $100, against 39 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 79% of the Top 3 result, and 25 of the 66 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$14 to +$3, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 291 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 2 Oct 2026)

  • Target hit 10% (30)
  • Stop hit 24% (69)
  • Timed out 66% (192)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 145 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown
30% Win rate 30 of 99 plans closed at target or stop
-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one
+0.09R Timed-out average how those 192 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

23%
14 of 60 plans

Bearish

41%
16 of 39 plans

Win rate by pair

PairWin ratePlans
GBPJPY
75%
3 / 4
NZDJPY
67%
2 / 3
AUDCHF
50%
3 / 6
USDCAD
50%
2 / 4
NZDCAD
50%
2 / 4
AUDUSD
43%
3 / 7
EURCHF
33%
3 / 9
GBPUSD
33%
1 / 3
CHFJPY
33%
1 / 3
AUDJPY
25%
1 / 4
EURNZD
25%
1 / 4
EURUSD
25%
1 / 4
USDCHF
25%
1 / 4
USDJPY
25%
1 / 4
NZDUSD
25%
1 / 4
AUDCAD
0%
0 / 3
GBPCAD
0%
0 / 4
NZDCHF
0%
0 / 3
GBPNZD
0%
0 / 3
EURGBP
0%
0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit
Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit
Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out
The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled
Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken
Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

2 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $71
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Bearish 177.950 → 176.771 Not filled –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59970 → 1.59500 Stop hit -1.00R
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90320 → 1.91157 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35400 → 2.36208 Timed out +0.59R
AUDJPY Bearish 109.650 → 108.708 Timed out -0.33R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.680 → 88.119 Timed out +0.06R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Bearish 0.98610 → 0.98198 Stop hit -1.00R
AUDNZD Bullish 1.23580 → 1.24376 Timed out +0.64R
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
1 Oct 2026 2 target · 4 stop · 1 timed out $100 → $65
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69540 → 0.69223 Target hit +1.09R
USDCAD Bullish 1.42200 → 1.42500 Not filled –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Bullish 0.94640 → 0.94862 Stop hit -1.00R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90830 → 1.91910 Timed out -0.56R
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88720 → 1.89536 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bearish 109.500 → 108.892 Stop hit -1.00R
CADJPY Bearish 110.720 → 110.170 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDJPY Bearish 88.810 → 88.231 Target hit +1.03R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Bearish 0.80270 → 0.79944 Not filled –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
30 Sep 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $177
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bullish 0.94530 → 0.94767 Target hit +1.25R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Bullish 2.00950 → 2.02000 Timed out +0.16R
GBPJPY Bearish 208.260 → 207.103 Target hit +1.45R
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.790 → 88.000 Timed out +0.25R
CHFJPY Bearish 188.780 → 187.841 Not filled –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
29 Sep 2026 1 target · 0 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $107
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83130 → 0.83500 Not filled –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.41670 → 1.42388 Not filled –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bullish 0.94530 → 0.94767 Timed out +0.14R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Bullish 2.00350 → 2.01232 Target hit +1.47R
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.87780 → 1.88293 Timed out -0.39R
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Bearish 111.170 → 110.549 Not filled –
NZDJPY Bearish 89.330 → 88.685 Not filled –
CHFJPY Bearish 189.500 → 188.464 Not filled –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Bearish 4125.00 → 4020.65 Timed out -0.95R
28 Sep 2026 1 target · 2 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $91
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.13965 → 1.13593 Not filled –
GBPUSD Bearish 1.32510 → 1.32094 Timed out -0.01R
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.41360 → 1.42000 Not filled –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Bullish 2.01100 → 2.02000 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bearish 110.570 → 110.029 Target hit +1.23R
CADJPY Bearish 111.310 → 110.549 Timed out +0.42R
NZDJPY Bearish 89.140 → 88.500 Timed out -0.17R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46945 → 0.46727 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

  1. Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
  2. Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
  3. AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
  4. Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

  • Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
  • Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
  • Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
  • Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
  • Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it: probability × reward/risk − (1 − probability). Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. Only plans with a positive expected result are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
  • Target odds: the model's chance of reaching the conservative target before the stop, once the order fills. These plans were written under the two-outcome model, where the no-edge baseline is 1/(1+RR) — 50% at 1:1, 33% at 1:2 — never 50% flat. The figure is not shown next to each plan: a farther target is worth more but is reached less often, so on its own it says nothing about whether a plan is worth taking. It is already accounted for in the expected result
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

  • Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
  • Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
  • Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
  • Adjust position size based on expected volatility
  • Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
  • Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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The AI plan of the day on your chart: entry, stop and two targets for every market our AI reads as directional. The Trade Panel runs the whole account from one chart — five-factor signals, orders prefilled from the plan with automatic lot sizing, close-only account protection. The new Chart Panel sits beside each chart you trade: retail positioning, our signal and the AI plan for that market, levels drawn on the chart, stop and target you can drag. Available now: one license, both panels.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the articleForex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the articleForex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article
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