Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Wednesday, 30 September 2026 Forecast for: Thursday, 01 October 2026 Plan window: Wed 23:00 – Thu 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-09-30

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The US dollar and the Japanese yen are the strongest currencies going into Thursday, while the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars keep sliding to fresh September lows. Today's plans express three themes: long USD against the commodity currencies, long JPY on the crosses as Tokyo and Washington keep intervention talk alive, and long GBP after its breakouts against AUD and CAD. Trump's call for Fed Chair Powell to resign and a busy slate of central-bank speakers keep headline risk high, so gold, EUR/USD and USD/JPY stay on the sidelines.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

CHF CPI m/m at 02:30 NY, then SNB Chairman Schlegel at 11:30 NY
GBP BoE Governor Bailey at 04:00 NY and EUR ECB President Lagarde at 09:30 NY
USD Unemployment Claims at 08:30 NY, then ISM Manufacturing PMI and FOMC Member Waller at 10:00 NY
JPY: joint US-Japan intervention risk after Katayama's weak-yen warnings; USD headline risk after Trump urged Powell to resign

Best Opportunities

AUDJPY Bearish

USDCAD Bullish

AUDUSD Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (273 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 23% hit the stop and 68% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

AUDJPY

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.03

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 109.500 Sell limit

Stop Loss 110.090 (59.0 pips)

Conservative Target 108.892 (60.8 pips)

Optimal Target 108.500 (100.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 110.041 110.702 111.495

Support: 109.235 108.892 108.500

Rationale

Fresh September low with a widening bearish MACD and 65% of retail long, while intervention warnings from Tokyo and Washington keep the yen supported. Stop above the 110.041 lower high.

Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

USDCAD

Bullish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.02

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.42200 Buy limit

Stop Loss 1.41905 (29.5 pips)

Conservative Target 1.42500 (30.0 pips)

Optimal Target 1.43000 (80.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.42388 1.42500 1.43000

Support: 1.41546 1.41382 1.40905

Rationale

Staircase uptrend with the strongest USD momentum and 86% of retail short, while falling oil weighs on CAD. The 1.41546 support is over 1 ATR away, so this uses a 0.55 ATR volatility stop; ISM and Waller at 10:00 NY are medium-impact risks.

Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

AUDUSD

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.09

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.69540 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.69830 (29.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.69223 (31.7 pips)

Optimal Target 0.69097 (44.3 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.69602 0.69950 0.70240

Support: 0.69424 0.69223 0.69097

Rationale

The break of 0.7000 is accelerating with 74% of retail long, and sellers kept control even after the RBA hike to 4.60%. Stop above the 0.69602 resistance; US claims and ISM are medium-impact risks.

Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward
USDCAD	Bullish	Medium	1.42276	1.42200Buy limit	1.41905	1.42500	+0.10R	1:1.02
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 1.42276 Entry Point 1.42200 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.41905 Conservative Target 1.42500 Risk:Reward 1:1.02 Optimal Target 1.43000 Stop Loss Distance 29.5 pips Target Distance 30.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.42388 1.42500 1.43000 Support: 1.41546 1.41382 1.40905 Rationale Staircase uptrend with the strongest USD momentum and 86% of retail short, while falling oil weighs on CAD. The 1.41546 support is over 1 ATR away, so this uses a 0.55 ATR volatility stop; ISM and Waller at 10:00 NY are medium-impact risks. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Bearish	High	109.371	109.500Sell limit	110.090	108.892	+0.10R	1:1.03
Forecast Details Confidence High Analysis Price 109.371 Entry Point 109.500 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 110.090 Conservative Target 108.892 Risk:Reward 1:1.03 Optimal Target 108.500 Stop Loss Distance 59.0 pips Target Distance 60.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 110.041 110.702 111.495 Support: 109.235 108.892 108.500 Rationale Fresh September low with a widening bearish MACD and 65% of retail long, while intervention warnings from Tokyo and Washington keep the yen supported. Stop above the 110.041 lower high. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Bearish	Medium	110.620	110.720Sell limit	111.200	110.170	+0.10R	1:1.15
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 110.620 Entry Point 110.720 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 111.200 Conservative Target 110.170 Risk:Reward 1:1.15 Optimal Target 110.000 Stop Loss Distance 48.0 pips Target Distance 55.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 110.954 111.145 111.520 Support: 110.549 110.170 110.000 Rationale New low under the 110.549 swing with 74% of retail long; falling oil weighs on CAD and intervention risk supports JPY. Stop above 111.145, the level that would neutralise the breakdown. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Bearish	Medium	0.69490	0.69540Sell limit	0.69830	0.69223	+0.09R	1:1.09
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 0.69490 Entry Point 0.69540 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.69830 Conservative Target 0.69223 Risk:Reward 1:1.09 Optimal Target 0.69097 Stop Loss Distance 29.0 pips Target Distance 31.7 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.69602 0.69950 0.70240 Support: 0.69424 0.69223 0.69097 Rationale The break of 0.7000 is accelerating with 74% of retail long, and sellers kept control even after the RBA hike to 4.60%. Stop above the 0.69602 resistance; US claims and ISM are medium-impact risks. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Bullish	Low	0.94684	0.94640Buy limit	0.94450	0.94862	+0.08R	1:1.17
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.94684 Entry Point 0.94640 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.94450 Conservative Target 0.94862 Risk:Reward 1:1.17 Optimal Target 0.95000 Stop Loss Distance 19.0 pips Target Distance 22.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.94767 0.94862 0.95000 Support: 0.94487 0.94222 0.93973 Rationale Four higher lows into the range top with 79% of retail short, and hot euro-area inflation supports EUR; stop below 0.94487. CHF CPI at 02:30 NY and Schlegel at 11:30 NY are medium-impact risks, hence low confidence. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Bullish	Medium	1.90971	1.90830Buy limit	1.90020	1.91910	+0.08R	1:1.33
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 1.90971 Entry Point 1.90830 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.90020 Conservative Target 1.91910 Risk:Reward 1:1.33 Optimal Target 1.92601 Stop Loss Distance 81.0 pips Target Distance 108.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.91040 1.91910 1.92601 Support: 1.90764 1.90071 1.89510 Rationale Wednesday's 1.8 ATR breakout from the September range has momentum behind it and AUD remains broadly offered. Stop below 1.90071; BoE's Bailey at 04:00 NY is the main GBP risk. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Bearish	Medium	88.707	88.810Sell limit	89.370	88.231	+0.08R	1:1.03
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 88.707 Entry Point 88.810 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 89.370 Conservative Target 88.231 Risk:Reward 1:1.03 Optimal Target 88.000 Stop Loss Distance 56.0 pips Target Distance 57.9 pips Key Levels Resistance: 88.900 89.327 89.515 Support: 88.231 88.000 87.500 Rationale Rebounds capped ever lower and 82% of retail long keep the slide intact, though flattening momentum limits confidence. Stop above the 89.327 lower high. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Bearish	Low	0.80205	0.80270Sell limit	0.80550	0.79944	+0.08R	1:1.16
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.80205 Entry Point 0.80270 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.80550 Conservative Target 0.79944 Risk:Reward 1:1.16 Optimal Target 0.79823 Stop Loss Distance 28.0 pips Target Distance 32.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.80315 0.80401 0.80524 Support: 0.79944 0.79823 0.79500 Rationale Highs inside the September range keep stepping down and 77% of retail is long. Range trade with a stop above the 0.80524 descending high, hence low confidence. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Bullish	Medium	1.88815	1.88720Buy limit	1.88070	1.89536	+0.07R	1:1.26
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 1.88815 Entry Point 1.88720 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.88070 Conservative Target 1.89536 Risk:Reward 1:1.26 Optimal Target 1.90330 Stop Loss Distance 65.0 pips Target Distance 81.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.89134 1.89536 1.90330 Support: 1.88788 1.88106 1.87890 Rationale Close on the high above the 1.8789 range ceiling, with MACD crossing zero and 79% of retail short. Stop below 1.88106; Bailey at 04:00 NY is a medium-impact risk. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.13315	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.13315 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.13804 1.14111 1.14357 Support: 1.13117 1.13000 1.12500 Rationale The downtrend holds, but hot euro-area inflation and Lagarde at 09:30 NY argue against pressing shorts at RSI 24, and only a 0.20 ATR entry reaches 1:1. The long-USD theme is carried by USDCAD and AUDUSD. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.32691	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.32691 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.33110 1.33484 1.34517 Support: 1.32228 1.32021 Rationale The bearish bias fights broad GBP outperformance and Wednesday's bounce off the 1.32021 double floor to close near the 1.3311 high. No clean side. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	157.383	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 157.383 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 157.850 158.048 159.033 Support: 156.673 156.378 155.227 Rationale Four-session coil between 156.378 and 157.85 as a bid dollar meets joint US-Japan intervention warnings. No edge either way. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.83542	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.83542 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.83618 0.84000 Support: 0.83212 0.83126 0.82808 Rationale The uptrend is overbought at RSI 75 into CHF CPI at 02:30 NY and Schlegel at 11:30 NY, with only 0.8400 beyond the entry. Redundant with the long-USD plans in USDCAD and AUDUSD. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.56369	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.56369 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.56645 0.56872 0.57318 Support: 0.56301 0.56260 0.56000 Rationale Bearish setup, but redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDJPY and NZDCAD and the long-USD plans in USDCAD and AUDUSD. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Neutral	Low	0.85404	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.85404 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.85447 0.85527 0.85748 Support: 0.85318 0.85085 0.85000 Rationale Fresh break below 0.85527, but hot euro-area inflation and Lagarde at 09:30 NY threaten EUR shorts and the stop would be barely half an ATR. GBP strength is carried by GBPCAD and GBPAUD. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	178.345	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 178.345 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 178.576 179.130 179.540 Support: 177.853 177.337 177.000 Rationale Low-confidence bias with a long lower wick and flattening MACD, while hot euro-area inflation supports EUR. The long-JPY theme is carried by AUDJPY, CADJPY and NZDJPY. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.63069	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.63069 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.63383 1.64130 1.64451 Support: 1.63008 1.62732 1.62612 Rationale The breakout is constructive, but redundant with the short-AUD plans in AUDUSD, AUDJPY and GBPAUD. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.61223	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.61223 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.61284 1.61363 1.61864 Support: 1.60854 1.60628 1.60230 Rationale Pressed against the top of the September box with a neutral bias and 67% retail long; no edge. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Neutral	Low	2.01030	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 2.01030 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.01300 2.01503 2.02000 Support: 2.00521 2.00198 1.99403 Rationale Compressed between 1.99403 and 2.01503 with a near-zero MACD histogram. NZD downside is carried by NZDJPY and NZDCAD. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	208.870	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 208.870 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 208.992 210.183 211.283 Support: 207.871 207.200 206.889 Rationale Boxed range with both GBP and JPY outperforming, so the two legs cancel; no edge. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.10842	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.10842 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.10974 1.11000 1.11500 Support: 1.10667 1.10243 1.10181 Rationale The breakout is valid, but the only 1:1 target, 1.115, sits 1.35 ATR away with CHF CPI due at 02:30 NY. GBP strength is carried by GBPCAD and GBPAUD. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.35420	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 2.35420 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.35548 2.36000 2.37000 Support: 2.34897 2.34165 2.33445 Rationale The trend is strong, but only 2.37 reaches 1:1 with no level beyond it. The GBP and NZD themes are carried by GBPCAD, GBPAUD, NZDJPY and NZDCAD. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	188.437	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 188.437 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 188.726 189.367 190.289 Support: 187.841 187.606 187.000 Rationale New low with fading momentum and CHF CPI due at 02:30 NY. The long-JPY theme is carried by AUDJPY, CADJPY and NZDJPY. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58048	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.58048 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58366 0.58556 0.58583 Support: 0.58001 0.57910 Rationale Neutral bias in the lower third of the 0.5791-0.58825 range; no edge. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.98875	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.98875 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.98918 0.99257 0.99692 Support: 0.98619 0.98198 0.98052 Rationale Bearish tilt, but redundant with the short-AUD plans in AUDUSD, AUDJPY and GBPAUD. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Low	1.23270	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.23270 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.23773 1.24056 1.24376 Support: 1.23084 1.22781 1.22160 Rationale Pullback inside a range with a neutral bias; no edge. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.47088	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.47088 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.47180 0.47241 0.47377 Support: 0.47037 0.46985 0.46727 Rationale Momentumless band between 0.4700 and 0.4724 with CHF CPI due; no edge. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58732	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.58732 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58805 0.58870 0.59078 Support: 0.58691 0.58498 0.58294 Rationale Mid-range with stalling momentum and CHF CPI due; no edge. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	4158.19	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 4158.19 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4166.07 4202.72 4219.36 Support: 4147.37 4110.88 4020.65 Rationale The downtrend holds, but Trump's call for Powell to resign adds Fed-independence bid risk for gold, with Waller and ISM at 10:00 NY. The long-USD theme is carried by USDCAD and AUDUSD. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$7 average per $100 risked

61 of 93 picks filled, over 31 verified days · target hit 18%

Every plan on the board

−$5 average per $100 risked

277 plans over 31 verified days · target hit 10%

31 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 61 picks the honest range around the +$7 runs from −$12 to +$27 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 93 picks published, 61 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 17 of the 61 picks lost the full $100, against 37 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 67% of the Top 3 result, and 25 of the 61 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$13 to +$4, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 277 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 30 Sep 2026)

Target hit 10% (28)
Stop hit 22% (62)
Timed out 68% (187)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 142 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

31% Win rate 28 of 90 plans closed at target or stop

-0.05R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.09R Timed-out average how those 187 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

25%

14 of 57 plans

Bearish

42%

14 of 33 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
USDCAD	50%	2 / 4
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
EURCHF	38%	3 / 8
AUDJPY	33%	1 / 3
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
AUDUSD	33%	2 / 6
EURNZD	25%	1 / 4
EURUSD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
NZDUSD	25%	1 / 4
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 3
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 3
EURGBP	0%	0 / 3
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

30 Sep 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $177

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.94530 → 0.94767	Target hit	+1.25R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.00950 → 2.02000	Timed out	+0.16R
GBPJPY	Bearish	208.260 → 207.103	Target hit	+1.45R
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.790 → 88.000	Timed out	+0.25R
CHFJPY	Bearish	188.780 → 187.841	Not filled	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

29 Sep 2026 1 target · 0 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $107

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83130 → 0.83500	Not filled	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.41670 → 1.42388	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.94530 → 0.94767	Timed out	+0.14R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.00350 → 2.01232	Target hit	+1.47R
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.87780 → 1.88293	Timed out	-0.39R
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Bearish	111.170 → 110.549	Not filled	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.330 → 88.685	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Bearish	189.500 → 188.464	Not filled	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4125.00 → 4020.65	Timed out	-0.95R

28 Sep 2026 1 target · 2 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $91

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.13965 → 1.13593	Not filled	–
GBPUSD	Bearish	1.32510 → 1.32094	Timed out	-0.01R
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.41360 → 1.42000	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.01100 → 2.02000	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Bearish	110.570 → 110.029	Target hit	+1.23R
CADJPY	Bearish	111.310 → 110.549	Timed out	+0.42R
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.140 → 88.500	Timed out	-0.17R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46945 → 0.46727	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

25 Sep 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $85

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.13830 → 1.13500	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.82720 → 0.83000	Timed out	+0.49R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.94130 → 0.94353	Not filled	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.00640 → 2.01372	Not filled	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	90.130 → 89.498	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80130 → 0.79803	Timed out	-0.03R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4288.00 → 4234.83	Timed out	-0.07R

24 Sep 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $157

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Bearish	1.32480 → 1.32000	Timed out	+0.72R
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.41000 → 1.41500	Timed out	+0.88R
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.00450 → 2.01162	Timed out	+0.98R
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.900 → 89.267	Timed out	-0.05R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4300.00 → 4200.00	Timed out	+0.35R

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 16%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

ChartJudge: an AI second opinion on your chart

Paste the chart you are looking at and get the trend, the key levels, bull and bear scenarios and a plan with entry, stop and two targets, or the setups worth waiting for. Behind every analysis on 29 markets is the Forex Sentiment engine: retail positioning, the five-factor signal, levels on real prices and the calendar. Free to try with a verified email, no card needed.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

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