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Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Thursday, 20 August 2026 Forecast for: Friday, 21 August 2026 Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

You are viewing an archived forecast

This is the forex forecast generated for 20 August 2026. View current forecast

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Broad USD weakness dominates the board: EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD are extending breakouts while USDCHF and USDCAD sit in confirmed downtrends, and retail positioning is heavily on the wrong side (72-78% short the majors, 72-73% long the USD pairs), which is contrarian-supportive of continuation. Gold is the cleanest trend with a fresh breakout above 4500 and 60% retail short. JPY crosses (EURJPY, GBPJPY, CADJPY, CHFJPY, NZDJPY) are recovering off the late-July spike lows with bullish MACD crosses and extreme retail shorts, while GBP and EUR crosses versus CAD/CHF/NZD remain rangebound with no edge.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

  • Asian session: follow-through in JPY crosses (GBPJPY 216.14 support, CHFJPY 198.05 support) and USDJPY reaction inside the 158.03-159.78 range
  • London open: EURUSD test of the 1.17106 resistance and GBPUSD attempt at 1.36594/1.3700
  • New York session: USDCHF breakdown continuation toward 0.79497 and USDCAD reaction at 1.37558 support
  • XAUUSD behaviour around the 4540.92 resistance versus the 4450.74 breakout support, with a ~100-point ATR requiring wide stops

Best Opportunities

XAUUSD Bullish
EURUSD Bullish
USDCHF Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record so far (303 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close.

XAUUSD

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:0.93
Entry Point 4472.00
Stop Loss 4398.00 (74.0 pts)
Conservative Target 4540.92 (68.9 pts)
Optimal Target 4600.00 (128.0 pts)

Key Levels

Resistance: 4540.92 4600.00 4650.00
Support: 4450.74 4416.80 4324.83

Rationale

Explosive breakout to new highs above 4450 with MACD strongly expanding and 60% of retail short into the move. Buy pullbacks to 4450-4470 with wide stops given the ~99-point ATR.

Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

EURUSD

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:0.68
Entry Point 1.16660
Stop Loss 1.16000 (66.0 pips)
Conservative Target 1.17106 (44.6 pips)
Optimal Target 1.17500 (84.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.17106 1.17500 1.18000
Support: 1.16692 1.16140 1.15756

Rationale

Clean breakout above the 1.1614 ceiling with 72% of retail short provides contrarian fuel. Dips into the 1.1670/1.1614 breakout zone remain buys while that base holds.

Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail

USDCHF

Bearish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.81
Entry Point 0.80350
Stop Loss 0.80820 (47.0 pips)
Conservative Target 0.79497 (85.3 pips)
Optimal Target 0.79000 (135.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.80094 0.80721 0.81081
Support: 0.79497 0.79000 0.78500

Rationale

Violent breakdown through 0.8070 with a fresh bearish MACD cross while 73% of retail is long. Sell rallies into 0.8050-0.8080 targeting the 0.7950/0.7900 zone.

Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair Direction Confidence Analysis Price Entry Stop Loss Target Target odds
as published		 Risk:Reward Result

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Target odds as published 70%
Analysis Price 1.16725
Entry Point 1.16660
Stop Loss 1.16000
Conservative Target 1.17106
Risk:Reward 1:0.68
Optimal Target 1.17500
Stop Loss Distance 66.0 pips
Target Distance 44.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.17106 1.17500 1.18000
Support: 1.16692 1.16140 1.15756

Rationale

Clean breakout above the 1.1614 ceiling with 72% of retail short provides contrarian fuel. Dips into the 1.1670/1.1614 breakout zone remain buys while that base holds.

Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Target odds as published 70%
Analysis Price 4510.54
Entry Point 4472.00
Stop Loss 4398.00
Conservative Target 4540.92
Risk:Reward 1:0.93
Optimal Target 4600.00
Stop Loss Distance 74.0 pts
Target Distance 68.9 pts

Key Levels

Resistance: 4540.92 4600.00 4650.00
Support: 4450.74 4416.80 4324.83

Rationale

Explosive breakout to new highs above 4450 with MACD strongly expanding and 60% of retail short into the move. Buy pullbacks to 4450-4470 with wide stops given the ~99-point ATR.

Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Target odds as published 69%
Analysis Price 1.36228
Entry Point 1.36110
Stop Loss 1.35410
Conservative Target 1.36594
Risk:Reward 1:0.69
Optimal Target 1.37000
Stop Loss Distance 70.0 pips
Target Distance 48.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.36594 1.37000 1.37500
Support: 1.35946 1.35540 1.35241

Rationale

Sustained higher highs with 74% retail short favour continuation toward 1.3700. Only a close under 1.3524 would invalidate the structure.

Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Target odds as published 68%
Analysis Price 0.80079
Entry Point 0.80350
Stop Loss 0.80820
Conservative Target 0.79497
Risk:Reward 1:1.81
Optimal Target 0.79000
Stop Loss Distance 47.0 pips
Target Distance 85.3 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.80094 0.80721 0.81081
Support: 0.79497 0.79000 0.78500

Rationale

Violent breakdown through 0.8070 with a fresh bearish MACD cross while 73% of retail is long. Sell rallies into 0.8050-0.8080 targeting the 0.7950/0.7900 zone.

Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 64%
Analysis Price 0.71077
Entry Point 0.70980
Stop Loss 0.70420
Conservative Target 0.71327
Risk:Reward 1:0.62
Optimal Target 0.71600
Stop Loss Distance 56.0 pips
Target Distance 34.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.71327 0.71600 0.72000
Support: 0.71027 0.70824 0.70438

Rationale

Grinding uptrend with RSI above 60 and an extreme 78% retail short reading. Pullbacks toward 0.7100/0.7085 are buyable while 0.70438 holds.

Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 64%
Analysis Price 0.59383
Entry Point 0.59320
Stop Loss 0.58900
Conservative Target 0.59643
Risk:Reward 1:0.77
Optimal Target 0.60000
Stop Loss Distance 42.0 pips
Target Distance 32.3 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.59643 0.60000 0.60350
Support: 0.59288 0.59026 0.58753

Rationale

Breakout above the 0.5900 congestion with 75% retail short points to 0.6000. Flat MACD histogram argues for entries on dips to 0.5930.

Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 64%
Analysis Price 216.775
Entry Point 216.300
Stop Loss 214.800
Conservative Target 218.010
Risk:Reward 1:1.14
Optimal Target 218.680
Stop Loss Distance 150.0 pips
Target Distance 171.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 218.010 218.680 219.660
Support: 216.140 215.060 214.840

Rationale

Bullish engulfing day and MACD cross above zero with an extreme 78% retail short. Longs above 215.06 target the 218.00 pivot cluster.

Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 63%
Analysis Price 185.742
Entry Point 185.400
Stop Loss 184.500
Conservative Target 185.905
Risk:Reward 1:0.56
Optimal Target 186.500
Stop Loss Distance 90.0 pips
Target Distance 50.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 185.905 186.500 187.471
Support: 185.348 184.572 183.928

Rationale

Recovery off the 179-181 spike low with a fresh bullish MACD cross and 73% retail short. Longs are favoured while 184.572 support holds.

Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 63%
Analysis Price 115.395
Entry Point 115.100
Stop Loss 114.400
Conservative Target 116.024
Risk:Reward 1:1.32
Optimal Target 116.472
Stop Loss Distance 70.0 pips
Target Distance 92.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 116.024 116.472 117.000
Support: 115.359 114.474 114.084

Rationale

Strong close at the top of the daily range with MACD accelerating and 67% of retail short. Longs above 114.474 target 116.00-116.47.

Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 62%
Analysis Price 1.37914
Entry Point 1.38300
Stop Loss 1.39080
Conservative Target 1.37558
Risk:Reward 1:0.95
Optimal Target 1.37000
Stop Loss Distance 78.0 pips
Target Distance 74.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.38128 1.38446 1.39079
Support: 1.37558 1.37000 1.36500

Rationale

Relentless lower highs with 72% of retail long argue for more downside toward 1.3700. Deeply oversold RSI means selling rallies into 1.3840 is preferable to chasing.

Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 62%
Analysis Price 94.495
Entry Point 94.300
Stop Loss 93.680
Conservative Target 95.309
Risk:Reward 1:1.63
Optimal Target 95.434
Stop Loss Distance 62.0 pips
Target Distance 100.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 95.309 95.434 96.000
Support: 94.440 93.752 93.317

Rationale

Wide bullish day off 93.75 with NZD leading G10 strength and 66% retail short. Longs favoured toward 95.30 while 93.752 holds.

Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 61%
Analysis Price 113.105
Entry Point 112.750
Stop Loss 111.900
Conservative Target 113.612
Risk:Reward 1:1.01
Optimal Target 114.669
Stop Loss Distance 85.0 pips
Target Distance 86.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 113.612 114.669 115.000
Support: 112.521 112.228 111.198

Rationale

Recovery channel from 109.2 with an expanding MACD histogram and 71% retail short. Dips toward 112.52 are buyable while the rising lows hold.

Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 61%
Analysis Price 198.711
Entry Point 198.100
Stop Loss 196.400
Conservative Target 199.079
Risk:Reward 1:0.58
Optimal Target 200.956
Stop Loss Distance 170.0 pips
Target Distance 97.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 199.079 200.956 201.594
Support: 198.054 196.474 195.472

Rationale

Breakout from the 195.5-197.0 range with MACD sharply improving and 74% retail short. Buy pullbacks toward 198.05 support.

Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 60%
Analysis Price 0.56917
Entry Point 0.57100
Stop Loss 0.57580
Conservative Target 0.56686
Risk:Reward 1:0.86
Optimal Target 0.56444
Stop Loss Distance 48.0 pips
Target Distance 41.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.57191 0.57569 0.57810
Support: 0.56686 0.56444 0.56211

Rationale

The 80-pip breakdown from 0.5780 flipped the trend lower and 66% of retail is trapped long. Sell rallies into 0.5710-0.5757 targeting 0.5644.

Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Target odds as published 58%
Analysis Price 1.19692
Entry Point 1.19950
Stop Loss 1.20580
Conservative Target 1.19482
Risk:Reward 1:0.74
Optimal Target 1.19136
Stop Loss Distance 63.0 pips
Target Distance 46.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.20159 1.20191 1.20969
Support: 1.19482 1.19419 1.19136

Rationale

Clean rejection from 1.2097 and a decisive break under 1.2000 with RSI at 41 keep the bias lower. Sell rallies to 1.1990-1.2020 toward 1.1914.

Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published 55%
Analysis Price 1.64221
Entry Point 1.63900
Stop Loss 1.63280
Conservative Target 1.64451
Risk:Reward 1:0.89
Optimal Target 1.65045
Stop Loss Distance 62.0 pips
Target Distance 55.1 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.64451 1.65045 1.66191
Support: 1.63805 1.63329 1.63008

Rationale

Bounce off the range floor with the MACD histogram turning positive and 62% retail short. Modest longs while 1.63329 holds.

Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published 55%
Analysis Price 1.96558
Entry Point 1.96900
Stop Loss 1.97820
Conservative Target 1.96034
Risk:Reward 1:0.94
Optimal Target 1.95750
Stop Loss Distance 92.0 pips
Target Distance 86.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.96873 1.97321 1.97771
Support: 1.96034 1.95750 1.95502

Rationale

Repeated failures at 1.9750-1.9777 cap the pair while NZD leads G10 strength. Fade rallies into 1.9690-1.9730 toward 1.9560.

Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published 55%
Analysis Price 0.58071
Entry Point 0.58200
Stop Loss 0.58520
Conservative Target 0.57744
Risk:Reward 1:1.42
Optimal Target 0.57396
Stop Loss Distance 32.0 pips
Target Distance 45.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58229 0.58490 0.58644
Support: 0.57744 0.57729 0.57396

Rationale

The uptrend broke on the 0.5849-to-0.5771 collapse while 66% of retail stays long. Fade strength into 0.5820-0.5849 as long as the bounce stalls below the broken trend.

Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published 54%
Analysis Price 0.98013
Entry Point 0.98050
Stop Loss 0.98480
Conservative Target 0.97835
Risk:Reward 1:0.50
Optimal Target 0.97603
Stop Loss Distance 43.0 pips
Target Distance 21.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.98404 0.98473 0.98843
Support: 0.97835 0.97803 0.97603

Rationale

Failure at 0.9884 and a MACD roll below zero point to a retest of the 0.9760-0.9780 floor. Balanced retail positioning warrants small size.

Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 0.81887
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.82121 0.82320 0.82657
Support: 0.81808 0.81649 0.81431

Rationale

Base building above 0.81431 with 63% retail short offering mild contrarian support. A close above 0.8232 would be needed to confirm a real swing higher.

Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 0.85683
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.85850 0.86000 0.86515
Support: 0.85624 0.85510 0.85426

Rationale

Tight 0.8543-0.8585 range with only a marginal MACD turn up and 67% retail short. Range-edge trades only, no trend edge.

Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 1.91657
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.91913 1.92601 1.93579
Support: 1.91044 1.90868 1.90190

Rationale

Three weeks of chop between 1.9019 and 1.9260 with mid-range RSI and no sentiment extreme. Buy near the floor, sell near the ceiling only.

Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 2.29402
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.29759 2.30941 2.31500
Support: 2.28839 2.28508 2.28049

Rationale

Directionless 2.2805-2.3150 range with RSI at 46 and evenly split retail. Fade the extremes given the 126-pip ATR.

Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 159.127
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 159.780 160.880 162.770
Support: 158.030 157.600 156.670

Rationale

Price is trapped between 158.03 and 159.78 with RSI under 50 and 66% of retail long. Only range-edge trades make sense; mid-range entries have no edge.

Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 1.60960
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.61362 1.62431 1.62680
Support: 1.60808 1.60397 1.60076

Rationale

Two weeks of compression between 1.6040 and 1.6136 with RSI at 48 and balanced retail. No edge until the range resolves.

Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 1.87853
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.87999 1.88522 1.89536
Support: 1.87575 1.87459 1.87127

Rationale

Slow drift inside 1.8750-1.8850 with a slightly negative MACD and flat retail positioning. Only a break of 1.87127 opens a real trend.

Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 1.09090
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.09220 1.09500 1.10112
Support: 1.08527 1.08459 1.08105

Rationale

The CHF-driven collapse from 1.0999 and sharp bounce leave structure broken but unresolved. Wait for acceptance above 1.0922 or below 1.08459.

Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 0.93472
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.93493 0.93722 0.94113
Support: 0.93086 0.92757 0.92000

Rationale

A 100-pip flush to 0.9308 and full recovery leaves direction unresolved inside 0.9308-0.9411. Only small range trades until a close outside the band.

Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Target odds as published —
Analysis Price 0.47553
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.47586 0.47736 0.47925
Support: 0.47408 0.47269 0.47100

Rationale

The CHF-driven flush to 0.4727 was fully retraced, leaving price inside 0.4740-0.4790 congestion. No directional edge until 0.47586 or 0.47269 breaks.

Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Verified record

The three we pick

+$4 average per $100 risked

69 of 105 picks filled, over 35 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$8 average per $100 risked

303 plans over 35 verified days · target hit 10%

35 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 69 picks the honest range around the +$4 runs from −$15 to +$23 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 105 picks published, 69 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 19 of the 69 picks lost the full $100, against 40 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 100% of the Top 3 result, and 25 of the 69 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$16 to +$0, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 303 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 6 Oct 2026)

  • Target hit 10% (30)
  • Stop hit 24% (74)
  • Timed out 66% (199)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 151 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown
29% Win rate 30 of 104 plans closed at target or stop
-0.08R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one
+0.07R Timed-out average how those 199 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%
14 of 63 plans

Bearish

39%
16 of 41 plans

Win rate by pair

PairWin ratePlans
GBPJPY
75%
3 / 4
NZDJPY
67%
2 / 3
AUDCHF
50%
3 / 6
NZDCAD
50%
2 / 4
AUDUSD
43%
3 / 7
USDCAD
40%
2 / 5
GBPAUD
33%
1 / 3
GBPUSD
33%
1 / 3
CHFJPY
33%
1 / 3
EURCHF
30%
3 / 10
AUDJPY
25%
1 / 4
EURNZD
25%
1 / 4
EURUSD
25%
1 / 4
USDCHF
25%
1 / 4
USDJPY
25%
1 / 4
NZDUSD
25%
1 / 4
NZDCHF
0%
0 / 4
GBPCAD
0%
0 / 5
AUDCAD
0%
0 / 3
GBPNZD
0%
0 / 3
EURGBP
0%
0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit
Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit
Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out
The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled
Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken
Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

6 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $49
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12290 → 1.11612 Timed out -0.50R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.42500 → 1.42931 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDUSD Bearish 0.56080 → 0.55798 Timed out -0.67R
EURGBP Bearish 0.84890 → 0.84547 Timed out +0.35R
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93290 → 0.93018 Stop hit -1.00R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88400 → 1.88934 Not filled –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35880 → 2.36646 Timed out +0.25R
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46580 → 0.46330 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
5 Oct 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $37
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12650 → 1.12150 Not filled –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69620 → 0.69220 Timed out -0.36R
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Bearish 0.56260 → 0.55858 Not filled –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Bearish 177.850 → 176.595 Not filled –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93370 → 0.93018 Not filled –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90350 → 1.91148 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88700 → 1.89527 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bearish 109.880 → 109.233 Timed out -0.50R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46610 → 0.46330 Not filled –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Bearish 0.58200 → 0.57872 Timed out -0.28R
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
2 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $71
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Bearish 177.950 → 176.771 Not filled –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59970 → 1.59500 Stop hit -1.00R
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90320 → 1.91157 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35400 → 2.36208 Timed out +0.59R
AUDJPY Bearish 109.650 → 108.708 Timed out -0.33R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.680 → 88.119 Timed out +0.06R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Bearish 0.98610 → 0.98198 Stop hit -1.00R
AUDNZD Bullish 1.23580 → 1.24376 Timed out +0.64R
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
1 Oct 2026 2 target · 4 stop · 1 timed out $100 → $65
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69540 → 0.69223 Target hit +1.09R
USDCAD Bullish 1.42200 → 1.42500 Not filled –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Bullish 0.94640 → 0.94862 Stop hit -1.00R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90830 → 1.91910 Timed out -0.56R
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88720 → 1.89536 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bearish 109.500 → 108.892 Stop hit -1.00R
CADJPY Bearish 110.720 → 110.170 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDJPY Bearish 88.810 → 88.231 Target hit +1.03R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Bearish 0.80270 → 0.79944 Not filled –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
30 Sep 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $177
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bullish 0.94530 → 0.94767 Target hit +1.25R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Bullish 2.00950 → 2.02000 Timed out +0.16R
GBPJPY Bearish 208.260 → 207.103 Target hit +1.45R
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.790 → 88.000 Timed out +0.25R
CHFJPY Bearish 188.780 → 187.841 Not filled –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

  1. Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
  2. Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
  3. AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
  4. Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

  • Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
  • Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
  • Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
  • Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
  • Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it: probability × reward/risk − (1 − probability). Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. Only plans with a positive expected result are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
  • Target odds: the model's chance of reaching the conservative target before the stop, once the order fills. These plans were written under the two-outcome model, where the no-edge baseline is 1/(1+RR) — 50% at 1:1, 33% at 1:2 — never 50% flat. The figure is not shown next to each plan: a farther target is worth more but is reached less often, so on its own it says nothing about whether a plan is worth taking. It is already accounted for in the expected result
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

  • Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
  • Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
  • Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
  • Adjust position size based on expected volatility
  • Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
  • Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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The AI plan of the day on your chart: entry, stop and two targets for every market our AI reads as directional. The Trade Panel runs the whole account from one chart — five-factor signals, orders prefilled from the plan with automatic lot sizing, close-only account protection. The new Chart Panel sits beside each chart you trade: retail positioning, our signal and the AI plan for that market, levels drawn on the chart, stop and target you can drag. Available now: one license, both panels.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the articleForex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the articleForex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article
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