| EURJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
185.645 |
185.645 |
184.900 |
187.471 |
45%
|
1:2.45 |
-0.05RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
45%
Analysis Price
185.645
Entry Point
185.645
Stop Loss
184.900
Conservative Target
187.471
Risk:Reward
1:2.45
Optimal Target
188.000
Expected Value
+0.55R
Stop Loss Distance
74.5 pips
Target Distance
182.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
186.011
187.471
Support:
185.459
184.572
183.928
Rationale
Bullish MACD cross and 77% retail short support the recovery toward the 187.47 resistance. Stop below the 185.459 support keeps risk at 0.75 ATR.
|
| GBPCHF |
Bullish
|
Low
|
1.09324 |
1.09324 |
1.08950 |
1.10112 |
45%
|
1:2.11 |
+0.17RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
45%
Analysis Price
1.09324
Entry Point
1.09324
Stop Loss
1.08950
Conservative Target
1.10112
Risk:Reward
1:2.11
Optimal Target
1.11000
Expected Value
+0.40R
Stop Loss Distance
37.4 pips
Target Distance
78.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.09358
1.10112
Support:
1.09040
1.08484
1.08431
Rationale
The CHF-driven flush to 1.0843 has been fully absorbed and 63% retail short leans bullish above 1.0904. The 1.1011 resistance is the first level offering better than 2:1.
|
| USDCHF |
Bearish
|
High
|
0.80100 |
0.80100 |
0.80450 |
0.79497 |
50%
|
1:1.72 |
-0.47RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
50%
Analysis Price
0.80100
Entry Point
0.80100
Stop Loss
0.80450
Conservative Target
0.79497
Risk:Reward
1:1.72
Optimal Target
0.79000
Expected Value
+0.36R
Stop Loss Distance
35.0 pips
Target Distance
60.3 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.80197
0.81038
0.81283
Support:
0.79846
0.79497
0.79000
Rationale
The 0.7970 breakdown flipped the trend bearish while 71% of retail is trapped long. Stop above the 0.80197 resistance keeps risk at 0.6 ATR against a 1.7:1 objective.
|
| EURCHF |
Bullish
|
Low
|
0.93554 |
0.93554 |
0.93290 |
0.94113 |
43%
|
1:2.12 |
+0.19RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
43%
Analysis Price
0.93554
Entry Point
0.93554
Stop Loss
0.93290
Conservative Target
0.94113
Risk:Reward
1:2.12
Optimal Target
0.94500
Expected Value
+0.34R
Stop Loss Distance
26.4 pips
Target Distance
55.9 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.93722
0.94113
Support:
0.93433
0.93079
0.92757
Rationale
The 0.9307 spike low was bought back quickly and 66% retail short leans mildly bullish inside the 0.9310-0.9410 range. Only the range top offers a 1:1 or better payoff.
|
| EURUSD |
Bullish
|
High
|
1.16786 |
1.16786 |
1.16530 |
1.17105 |
58%
|
1:1.25 |
-0.69RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
58%
Analysis Price
1.16786
Entry Point
1.16786
Stop Loss
1.16530
Conservative Target
1.17105
Risk:Reward
1:1.25
Optimal Target
1.17500
Expected Value
+0.31R
Stop Loss Distance
25.6 pips
Target Distance
31.9 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.17105
1.17500
Support:
1.16692
1.16140
1.15814
Rationale
Clean breakout above 1.1610 with an uptrend regime and 72% of retail short supports continuation. Stop sits under the 1.16692 shelf, targeting the 1.17105 and 1.1750 resistances.
|
| AUDJPY |
Bullish
|
High
|
113.974 |
113.974 |
113.500 |
114.670 |
52%
|
1:1.47 |
-0.42RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
113.974
Entry Point
113.974
Stop Loss
113.500
Conservative Target
114.670
Risk:Reward
1:1.47
Optimal Target
115.000
Expected Value
+0.28R
Stop Loss Distance
47.4 pips
Target Distance
69.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
114.160
114.670
Support:
113.095
113.075
112.521
Rationale
Strong breakout day with an accelerating MACD histogram and an extreme 83% retail short reading. First real objective is the 114.67 resistance, roughly 1.5:1 versus risk.
|
| CADJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
115.477 |
115.477 |
115.100 |
116.024 |
52%
|
1:1.45 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
115.477
Entry Point
115.477
Stop Loss
115.100
Conservative Target
116.024
Risk:Reward
1:1.45
Optimal Target
116.472
Expected Value
+0.27R
Stop Loss Distance
37.7 pips
Target Distance
54.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
115.579
116.024
116.472
Support:
115.359
115.231
114.474
Rationale
Consistent higher lows with a bullish MACD cross and 72% retail short support a test of 116.02. Stop is placed under the 115.231 support.
|
| AUDCAD |
Bullish
|
Low
|
0.98722 |
0.98722 |
0.98420 |
0.99257 |
46%
|
1:1.77 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
46%
Analysis Price
0.98722
Entry Point
0.98722
Stop Loss
0.98420
Conservative Target
0.99257
Risk:Reward
1:1.77
Optimal Target
0.99600
Expected Value
+0.27R
Stop Loss Distance
30.2 pips
Target Distance
53.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.98843
0.99257
Support:
0.98198
0.98014
0.97803
Rationale
Bullish engulfing off 0.9801 inside the 0.9780-0.9926 range with 69% retail short favours the range top. Risk stays under 0.6 ATR while 0.9820 holds.
|
| GBPUSD |
Bullish
|
High
|
1.36437 |
1.36437 |
1.35930 |
1.37000 |
57%
|
1:1.11 |
-0.31RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
57%
Analysis Price
1.36437
Entry Point
1.36437
Stop Loss
1.35930
Conservative Target
1.37000
Risk:Reward
1:1.11
Optimal Target
1.37500
Expected Value
+0.20R
Stop Loss Distance
50.7 pips
Target Distance
56.3 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.36742
1.37000
1.37500
Support:
1.36195
1.35945
1.35234
Rationale
Sustained higher highs with 78% retail short favour a push through 1.36742 toward 1.3700. Stop is placed beyond the 1.35945 support, roughly 0.75 ATR away.
|
| EURNZD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.95303 |
1.95303 |
1.96100 |
1.94387 |
55%
|
1:1.15 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
55%
Analysis Price
1.95303
Entry Point
1.95303
Stop Loss
1.96100
Conservative Target
1.94387
Risk:Reward
1:1.15
Optimal Target
1.93500
Expected Value
+0.18R
Stop Loss Distance
79.7 pips
Target Distance
91.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.96034
1.96560
1.96873
Support:
1.95203
1.94387
1.93500
Rationale
A decisive break of the 1.9550 range floor with 65% of retail long points to 1.9440. Stop sits above the 1.96034 resistance, 0.7 ATR from entry.
|
| GBPNZD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
2.28147 |
2.28350 |
2.29450 |
2.27000 |
53%
|
1:1.23 |
-0.36RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
53%
Analysis Price
2.28147
Entry Point
2.28350
Stop Loss
2.29450
Conservative Target
2.27000
Risk:Reward
1:1.23
Optimal Target
2.26000
Expected Value
+0.18R
Stop Loss Distance
110.0 pips
Target Distance
135.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.29327
2.29770
2.31009
Support:
2.28049
2.27998
2.27000
Rationale
The break of the 2.2805 multi-week floor confirms lower highs since 2.3150, so bounces under 2.2933 are sellable. Stop above that resistance, target the 2.2700 support.
|
| GBPAUD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.90331 |
1.90331 |
1.91050 |
1.89500 |
54%
|
1:1.16 |
-0.45RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
54%
Analysis Price
1.90331
Entry Point
1.90331
Stop Loss
1.91050
Conservative Target
1.89500
Risk:Reward
1:1.16
Optimal Target
1.89000
Expected Value
+0.17R
Stop Loss Distance
71.9 pips
Target Distance
83.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.91712
1.91913
1.92601
Support:
1.90104
1.90018
1.89500
Rationale
A 170-pip reversal rejected 1.9190 for the third time with 66% of retail long. Below the 1.9010 pivot the 1.8950 support is the first realistic objective.
|
| NZDUSD |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.59728 |
0.59728 |
0.59470 |
0.60000 |
56%
|
1:1.05 |
-0.59RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
56%
Analysis Price
0.59728
Entry Point
0.59728
Stop Loss
0.59470
Conservative Target
0.60000
Risk:Reward
1:1.05
Optimal Target
0.60300
Expected Value
+0.15R
Stop Loss Distance
25.8 pips
Target Distance
27.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.59877
0.60000
0.60300
Support:
0.59393
0.59275
0.58850
Rationale
Break of the 0.5938 swing high with 80% retail short favours continuation to the 0.6000 handle. Risk is contained just above the 0.59393 support shelf.
|
| NZDJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
95.054 |
94.900 |
94.410 |
95.434 |
55%
|
1:1.09 |
-0.17RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
55%
Analysis Price
95.054
Entry Point
94.900
Stop Loss
94.410
Conservative Target
95.434
Risk:Reward
1:1.09
Optimal Target
96.000
Expected Value
+0.15R
Stop Loss Distance
49.0 pips
Target Distance
53.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
95.161
95.309
95.434
Support:
94.441
94.308
93.752
Rationale
Fresh three-week high with rising MACD and 80% retail short favours a run at the 95.31-95.43 pivot cluster. A shallow dip toward 94.90 offers entry with the stop under 94.441.
|
| AUDUSD |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.71706 |
0.71706 |
0.71420 |
0.72000 |
56%
|
1:1.03 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
56%
Analysis Price
0.71706
Entry Point
0.71706
Stop Loss
0.71420
Conservative Target
0.72000
Risk:Reward
1:1.03
Optimal Target
0.72500
Expected Value
+0.14R
Stop Loss Distance
28.6 pips
Target Distance
29.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.71799
0.72000
0.72500
Support:
0.71094
0.70873
0.70668
Rationale
Fresh multi-week high with an extreme 82% retail short is the strongest trend-plus-contrarian alignment in the majors. Above 0.71799 the 0.7200 and 0.7250 resistances are the natural objectives.
|
| USDCAD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.37565 |
1.37565 |
1.38100 |
1.37000 |
55%
|
1:1.06 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
55%
Analysis Price
1.37565
Entry Point
1.37565
Stop Loss
1.38100
Conservative Target
1.37000
Risk:Reward
1:1.06
Optimal Target
1.36500
Expected Value
+0.13R
Stop Loss Distance
53.5 pips
Target Distance
56.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.37903
1.38128
1.38617
Support:
1.37339
1.37000
1.36500
Rationale
Relentless lower highs with 78% of retail long keep the path lower toward 1.3700. Stop above the 1.37903 resistance covers the oversold-RSI bounce risk.
|
| GBPJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
216.929 |
216.929 |
215.900 |
218.014 |
55%
|
1:1.05 |
-0.02RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
55%
Analysis Price
216.929
Entry Point
216.929
Stop Loss
215.900
Conservative Target
218.014
Risk:Reward
1:1.05
Optimal Target
218.684
Expected Value
+0.13R
Stop Loss Distance
102.9 pips
Target Distance
108.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
218.014
218.684
219.662
Support:
216.485
215.034
214.835
Rationale
Rising lows, a fresh MACD cross and 80% retail short favour a test of 218.00. Stop below the 216.485 support and above the 215.03 pivot.
|
| NZDCAD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.82320 |
0.82320 |
0.81980 |
0.82967 |
39%
|
1:1.90 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
39%
Analysis Price
0.82320
Entry Point
0.82320
Stop Loss
0.81980
Conservative Target
0.82967
Risk:Reward
1:1.90
Optimal Target
0.83307
Expected Value
+0.13R
Stop Loss Distance
34.0 pips
Target Distance
64.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.82364
0.82657
0.82967
Support:
0.81764
0.81649
0.81431
Rationale
Base built above 0.8143 with a strong close near the highs and 76% retail short. Above the 0.82364 resistance the 0.8266 pivot is the first objective.
|
| XAUUSD |
Bullish
|
High
|
4603.49 |
4603.49 |
4508.00 |
4700.00 |
55%
|
1:1.01 |
+0.51RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
55%
Analysis Price
4603.49
Entry Point
4603.49
Stop Loss
4508.00
Conservative Target
4700.00
Risk:Reward
1:1.01
Optimal Target
4800.00
Expected Value
+0.11R
Stop Loss Distance
95.5 pts
Target Distance
96.5 pts
Key Levels
Resistance:
4631.30
4700.00
Support:
4510.55
4450.74
4416.80
Rationale
Powerful breakout with expanding MACD and 62% of retail fighting the trend short keeps dips buyable above 4510. ATR near 100 justifies the wide stop and the 4700 objective.
|
| EURAUD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.62732 |
1.62732 |
1.63450 |
1.62000 |
54%
|
1:1.02 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
54%
Analysis Price
1.62732
Entry Point
1.62732
Stop Loss
1.63450
Conservative Target
1.62000
Risk:Reward
1:1.02
Optimal Target
1.61500
Expected Value
+0.09R
Stop Loss Distance
71.8 pips
Target Distance
73.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.63383
1.64276
1.64451
Support:
1.62611
1.62538
1.62000
Rationale
The outside-down day broke the range floor with 62% of retail long, keeping rallies sellable. Stop above 1.63383 resistance against the 1.6200 support target.
|
| CHFJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
198.417 |
198.417 |
197.770 |
199.079 |
53%
|
1:1.02 |
-0.19RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
53%
Analysis Price
198.417
Entry Point
198.417
Stop Loss
197.770
Conservative Target
199.079
Risk:Reward
1:1.02
Optimal Target
200.956
Expected Value
+0.07R
Stop Loss Distance
64.7 pips
Target Distance
66.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
198.997
199.079
200.956
Support:
198.219
198.054
196.386
Rationale
The 198.00 breakout held on the retest and 73% of retail is short. Stop below the 198.054 support, first target the 199.08 resistance.
|
| USDJPY |
Bearish
|
Low
|
158.897 |
158.900 |
159.750 |
158.026 |
52%
|
1:1.03 |
-0.31RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
158.897
Entry Point
158.900
Stop Loss
159.750
Conservative Target
158.026
Risk:Reward
1:1.03
Optimal Target
156.673
Expected Value
+0.06R
Stop Loss Distance
85.0 pips
Target Distance
87.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
159.183
159.780
160.883
Support:
158.374
158.026
156.673
Rationale
Price compresses in the 158.0-159.8 range with negative MACD and retail modestly long, so rallies are faded. Stop above 159.183 resistance, target the range floor at 158.03.
|
| NZDCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.47888 |
0.47888 |
0.47600 |
0.48175 |
53%
|
1:1.00 |
-0.26RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
53%
Analysis Price
0.47888
Entry Point
0.47888
Stop Loss
0.47600
Conservative Target
0.48175
Risk:Reward
1:1.00
Optimal Target
0.48500
Expected Value
+0.06R
Stop Loss Distance
28.8 pips
Target Distance
28.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.47925
0.48175
Support:
0.47458
0.47269
0.47100
Rationale
Full recovery of the 0.4729 spike low with RSI above 60 and 65% retail short favours a break of 0.4793. Target the 0.48175 resistance with risk under 0.9 ATR.
|
| AUDCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.57454 |
0.57454 |
0.57100 |
0.57810 |
52%
|
1:1.01 |
-0.23RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
0.57454
Entry Point
0.57454
Stop Loss
0.57100
Conservative Target
0.57810
Risk:Reward
1:1.01
Optimal Target
0.58200
Expected Value
+0.05R
Stop Loss Distance
35.4 pips
Target Distance
35.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.57505
0.57810
Support:
0.56910
0.56687
0.56444
Rationale
The 0.5678 CHF spike low was recovered in two sessions and 76% of retail is short. A break of 0.57505 opens the 0.5781 resistance.
|
| EURCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.60765 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
1.60765
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.60922
1.61362
1.62431
Support:
1.60556
1.60397
1.60076
Rationale
Three weeks of coiling between 1.6040 and 1.6136 with a flat MACD gives no directional edge. Only a daily close outside the range would justify commitment.
|
| EURGBP |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.85580 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
0.85580
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.85746
0.85842
0.86515
Support:
0.85426
0.85318
0.85085
Rationale
RSI at 49 and a flat MACD confirm a 0.8530-0.8585 range with no directional edge. Only the range boundaries offer value, so exposure is minimal.
|
| CADCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58197 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
0.58197
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58229
0.58490
0.58644
Support:
0.58020
0.57729
0.57396
Rationale
Price is rebuilding toward the 0.5823 pivot but 60% retail long caps the contrarian upside. No edge until a close above 0.5823 confirms.
|
| GBPCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.87853 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
1.87853
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.88022
1.88522
1.89536
Support:
1.87459
1.87431
1.87127
Rationale
Compression between 1.8743 and 1.8852 with balanced retail positioning offers no tradable signal. Stand aside until the range breaks.
|
| AUDNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.19915 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
1.19915
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.20191
1.20969
1.21213
Support:
1.19500
1.19419
1.19136
Rationale
Choppy oscillation between 1.1914 and 1.2100 with mid-range RSI gives no directional edge. Only the range extremes are worth fading.
|