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Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Sunday, 23 August 2026 Forecast for: Monday, 24 August 2026 Plan window: Sun 23:00 – Mon 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

You are viewing an archived forecast

This is the forex forecast generated for 23 August 2026. View current forecast

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Broad USD weakness dominates into the new week, with EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD at multi-week highs and USDCAD deeply oversold; retail positioning is heavily offside (72-82% short the rallying currencies), which typically fuels continuation rather than reversal. Risk appetite is high, keeping commodity currencies, the yen crosses and gold bid, while CHF crosses have fully absorbed the 19 August spike. The main caveat is stretched momentum: USDCAD's RSI at 22.8 and overbought readings in cable argue for shallow-pullback entries rather than chasing.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

  • Monday Asian session: thin early liquidity and follow-through in AUDUSD/NZDUSD after the multi-week-high breakouts
  • London open test of EURUSD 1.17105 and GBPUSD 1.36742 resistances
  • XAUUSD reaction at the 4631.30 resistance with ATR near 100 demanding wider stops
  • USDCAD bounce risk from oversold RSI toward the 1.37903-1.38128 supply zone

Best Opportunities

AUDUSD Bullish
GBPUSD Bullish
XAUUSD Bullish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record so far (305 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 25% hit the stop and 65% timed out at the window close.

AUDUSD

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.03

Expected result +0.14 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.71706
Stop Loss 0.71420 (28.6 pips)
Conservative Target 0.72000 (29.4 pips)
Optimal Target 0.72500 (79.4 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.71799 0.72000 0.72500
Support: 0.71094 0.70873 0.70668

Rationale

Fresh multi-week high with an extreme 82% retail short is the strongest trend-plus-contrarian alignment in the majors. Above 0.71799 the 0.7200 and 0.7250 resistances are the natural objectives.

Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

GBPUSD

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.11

Expected result +0.20 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.36437
Stop Loss 1.35930 (50.7 pips)
Conservative Target 1.37000 (56.3 pips)
Optimal Target 1.37500 (106.3 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.36742 1.37000 1.37500
Support: 1.36195 1.35945 1.35234

Rationale

Sustained higher highs with 78% retail short favour a push through 1.36742 toward 1.3700. Stop is placed beyond the 1.35945 support, roughly 0.75 ATR away.

Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail

XAUUSD

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.01

Expected result +0.11 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 4603.49
Stop Loss 4508.00 (95.5 pts)
Conservative Target 4700.00 (96.5 pts)
Optimal Target 4800.00 (196.5 pts)

Key Levels

Resistance: 4631.30 4700.00
Support: 4510.55 4450.74 4416.80

Rationale

Powerful breakout with expanding MACD and 62% of retail fighting the trend short keeps dips buyable above 4510. ATR near 100 justifies the wide stop and the 4700 objective.

Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair Direction Confidence Analysis Price Entry Stop Loss Target Expected result Risk:Reward Result

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.55R
Analysis Price 185.645
Entry Point 185.645
Stop Loss 184.900
Conservative Target 187.471
Risk:Reward 1:2.45
Optimal Target 188.000
Stop Loss Distance 74.5 pips
Target Distance 182.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 186.011 187.471
Support: 185.459 184.572 183.928

Rationale

Bullish MACD cross and 77% retail short support the recovery toward the 187.47 resistance. Stop below the 185.459 support keeps risk at 0.75 ATR.

Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.40R
Analysis Price 1.09324
Entry Point 1.09324
Stop Loss 1.08950
Conservative Target 1.10112
Risk:Reward 1:2.11
Optimal Target 1.11000
Stop Loss Distance 37.4 pips
Target Distance 78.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.09358 1.10112
Support: 1.09040 1.08484 1.08431

Rationale

The CHF-driven flush to 1.0843 has been fully absorbed and 63% retail short leans bullish above 1.0904. The 1.1011 resistance is the first level offering better than 2:1.

Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.36R
Analysis Price 0.80100
Entry Point 0.80100
Stop Loss 0.80450
Conservative Target 0.79497
Risk:Reward 1:1.72
Optimal Target 0.79000
Stop Loss Distance 35.0 pips
Target Distance 60.3 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.80197 0.81038 0.81283
Support: 0.79846 0.79497 0.79000

Rationale

The 0.7970 breakdown flipped the trend bearish while 71% of retail is trapped long. Stop above the 0.80197 resistance keeps risk at 0.6 ATR against a 1.7:1 objective.

Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.34R
Analysis Price 0.93554
Entry Point 0.93554
Stop Loss 0.93290
Conservative Target 0.94113
Risk:Reward 1:2.12
Optimal Target 0.94500
Stop Loss Distance 26.4 pips
Target Distance 55.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.93722 0.94113
Support: 0.93433 0.93079 0.92757

Rationale

The 0.9307 spike low was bought back quickly and 66% retail short leans mildly bullish inside the 0.9310-0.9410 range. Only the range top offers a 1:1 or better payoff.

Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.31R
Analysis Price 1.16786
Entry Point 1.16786
Stop Loss 1.16530
Conservative Target 1.17105
Risk:Reward 1:1.25
Optimal Target 1.17500
Stop Loss Distance 25.6 pips
Target Distance 31.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.17105 1.17500
Support: 1.16692 1.16140 1.15814

Rationale

Clean breakout above 1.1610 with an uptrend regime and 72% of retail short supports continuation. Stop sits under the 1.16692 shelf, targeting the 1.17105 and 1.1750 resistances.

Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.28R
Analysis Price 113.974
Entry Point 113.974
Stop Loss 113.500
Conservative Target 114.670
Risk:Reward 1:1.47
Optimal Target 115.000
Stop Loss Distance 47.4 pips
Target Distance 69.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 114.160 114.670
Support: 113.095 113.075 112.521

Rationale

Strong breakout day with an accelerating MACD histogram and an extreme 83% retail short reading. First real objective is the 114.67 resistance, roughly 1.5:1 versus risk.

Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.27R
Analysis Price 115.477
Entry Point 115.477
Stop Loss 115.100
Conservative Target 116.024
Risk:Reward 1:1.45
Optimal Target 116.472
Stop Loss Distance 37.7 pips
Target Distance 54.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 115.579 116.024 116.472
Support: 115.359 115.231 114.474

Rationale

Consistent higher lows with a bullish MACD cross and 72% retail short support a test of 116.02. Stop is placed under the 115.231 support.

Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.27R
Analysis Price 0.98722
Entry Point 0.98722
Stop Loss 0.98420
Conservative Target 0.99257
Risk:Reward 1:1.77
Optimal Target 0.99600
Stop Loss Distance 30.2 pips
Target Distance 53.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.98843 0.99257
Support: 0.98198 0.98014 0.97803

Rationale

Bullish engulfing off 0.9801 inside the 0.9780-0.9926 range with 69% retail short favours the range top. Risk stays under 0.6 ATR while 0.9820 holds.

Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.20R
Analysis Price 1.36437
Entry Point 1.36437
Stop Loss 1.35930
Conservative Target 1.37000
Risk:Reward 1:1.11
Optimal Target 1.37500
Stop Loss Distance 50.7 pips
Target Distance 56.3 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.36742 1.37000 1.37500
Support: 1.36195 1.35945 1.35234

Rationale

Sustained higher highs with 78% retail short favour a push through 1.36742 toward 1.3700. Stop is placed beyond the 1.35945 support, roughly 0.75 ATR away.

Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.18R
Analysis Price 1.95303
Entry Point 1.95303
Stop Loss 1.96100
Conservative Target 1.94387
Risk:Reward 1:1.15
Optimal Target 1.93500
Stop Loss Distance 79.7 pips
Target Distance 91.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.96034 1.96560 1.96873
Support: 1.95203 1.94387 1.93500

Rationale

A decisive break of the 1.9550 range floor with 65% of retail long points to 1.9440. Stop sits above the 1.96034 resistance, 0.7 ATR from entry.

Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.18R
Analysis Price 2.28147
Entry Point 2.28350
Stop Loss 2.29450
Conservative Target 2.27000
Risk:Reward 1:1.23
Optimal Target 2.26000
Stop Loss Distance 110.0 pips
Target Distance 135.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.29327 2.29770 2.31009
Support: 2.28049 2.27998 2.27000

Rationale

The break of the 2.2805 multi-week floor confirms lower highs since 2.3150, so bounces under 2.2933 are sellable. Stop above that resistance, target the 2.2700 support.

Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.17R
Analysis Price 1.90331
Entry Point 1.90331
Stop Loss 1.91050
Conservative Target 1.89500
Risk:Reward 1:1.16
Optimal Target 1.89000
Stop Loss Distance 71.9 pips
Target Distance 83.1 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.91712 1.91913 1.92601
Support: 1.90104 1.90018 1.89500

Rationale

A 170-pip reversal rejected 1.9190 for the third time with 66% of retail long. Below the 1.9010 pivot the 1.8950 support is the first realistic objective.

Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.15R
Analysis Price 0.59728
Entry Point 0.59728
Stop Loss 0.59470
Conservative Target 0.60000
Risk:Reward 1:1.05
Optimal Target 0.60300
Stop Loss Distance 25.8 pips
Target Distance 27.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.59877 0.60000 0.60300
Support: 0.59393 0.59275 0.58850

Rationale

Break of the 0.5938 swing high with 80% retail short favours continuation to the 0.6000 handle. Risk is contained just above the 0.59393 support shelf.

Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.15R
Analysis Price 95.054
Entry Point 94.900
Stop Loss 94.410
Conservative Target 95.434
Risk:Reward 1:1.09
Optimal Target 96.000
Stop Loss Distance 49.0 pips
Target Distance 53.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 95.161 95.309 95.434
Support: 94.441 94.308 93.752

Rationale

Fresh three-week high with rising MACD and 80% retail short favours a run at the 95.31-95.43 pivot cluster. A shallow dip toward 94.90 offers entry with the stop under 94.441.

Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.14R
Analysis Price 0.71706
Entry Point 0.71706
Stop Loss 0.71420
Conservative Target 0.72000
Risk:Reward 1:1.03
Optimal Target 0.72500
Stop Loss Distance 28.6 pips
Target Distance 29.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.71799 0.72000 0.72500
Support: 0.71094 0.70873 0.70668

Rationale

Fresh multi-week high with an extreme 82% retail short is the strongest trend-plus-contrarian alignment in the majors. Above 0.71799 the 0.7200 and 0.7250 resistances are the natural objectives.

Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R
Analysis Price 1.37565
Entry Point 1.37565
Stop Loss 1.38100
Conservative Target 1.37000
Risk:Reward 1:1.06
Optimal Target 1.36500
Stop Loss Distance 53.5 pips
Target Distance 56.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.37903 1.38128 1.38617
Support: 1.37339 1.37000 1.36500

Rationale

Relentless lower highs with 78% of retail long keep the path lower toward 1.3700. Stop above the 1.37903 resistance covers the oversold-RSI bounce risk.

Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R
Analysis Price 216.929
Entry Point 216.929
Stop Loss 215.900
Conservative Target 218.014
Risk:Reward 1:1.05
Optimal Target 218.684
Stop Loss Distance 102.9 pips
Target Distance 108.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 218.014 218.684 219.662
Support: 216.485 215.034 214.835

Rationale

Rising lows, a fresh MACD cross and 80% retail short favour a test of 218.00. Stop below the 216.485 support and above the 215.03 pivot.

Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R
Analysis Price 0.82320
Entry Point 0.82320
Stop Loss 0.81980
Conservative Target 0.82967
Risk:Reward 1:1.90
Optimal Target 0.83307
Stop Loss Distance 34.0 pips
Target Distance 64.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.82364 0.82657 0.82967
Support: 0.81764 0.81649 0.81431

Rationale

Base built above 0.8143 with a strong close near the highs and 76% retail short. Above the 0.82364 resistance the 0.8266 pivot is the first objective.

Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R
Analysis Price 4603.49
Entry Point 4603.49
Stop Loss 4508.00
Conservative Target 4700.00
Risk:Reward 1:1.01
Optimal Target 4800.00
Stop Loss Distance 95.5 pts
Target Distance 96.5 pts

Key Levels

Resistance: 4631.30 4700.00
Support: 4510.55 4450.74 4416.80

Rationale

Powerful breakout with expanding MACD and 62% of retail fighting the trend short keeps dips buyable above 4510. ATR near 100 justifies the wide stop and the 4700 objective.

Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R
Analysis Price 1.62732
Entry Point 1.62732
Stop Loss 1.63450
Conservative Target 1.62000
Risk:Reward 1:1.02
Optimal Target 1.61500
Stop Loss Distance 71.8 pips
Target Distance 73.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.63383 1.64276 1.64451
Support: 1.62611 1.62538 1.62000

Rationale

The outside-down day broke the range floor with 62% of retail long, keeping rallies sellable. Stop above 1.63383 resistance against the 1.6200 support target.

Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.07R
Analysis Price 198.417
Entry Point 198.417
Stop Loss 197.770
Conservative Target 199.079
Risk:Reward 1:1.02
Optimal Target 200.956
Stop Loss Distance 64.7 pips
Target Distance 66.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 198.997 199.079 200.956
Support: 198.219 198.054 196.386

Rationale

The 198.00 breakout held on the retest and 73% of retail is short. Stop below the 198.054 support, first target the 199.08 resistance.

Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.06R
Analysis Price 158.897
Entry Point 158.900
Stop Loss 159.750
Conservative Target 158.026
Risk:Reward 1:1.03
Optimal Target 156.673
Stop Loss Distance 85.0 pips
Target Distance 87.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 159.183 159.780 160.883
Support: 158.374 158.026 156.673

Rationale

Price compresses in the 158.0-159.8 range with negative MACD and retail modestly long, so rallies are faded. Stop above 159.183 resistance, target the range floor at 158.03.

Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.06R
Analysis Price 0.47888
Entry Point 0.47888
Stop Loss 0.47600
Conservative Target 0.48175
Risk:Reward 1:1.00
Optimal Target 0.48500
Stop Loss Distance 28.8 pips
Target Distance 28.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.47925 0.48175
Support: 0.47458 0.47269 0.47100

Rationale

Full recovery of the 0.4729 spike low with RSI above 60 and 65% retail short favours a break of 0.4793. Target the 0.48175 resistance with risk under 0.9 ATR.

Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.05R
Analysis Price 0.57454
Entry Point 0.57454
Stop Loss 0.57100
Conservative Target 0.57810
Risk:Reward 1:1.01
Optimal Target 0.58200
Stop Loss Distance 35.4 pips
Target Distance 35.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.57505 0.57810
Support: 0.56910 0.56687 0.56444

Rationale

The 0.5678 CHF spike low was recovered in two sessions and 76% of retail is short. A break of 0.57505 opens the 0.5781 resistance.

Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.60765
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.60922 1.61362 1.62431
Support: 1.60556 1.60397 1.60076

Rationale

Three weeks of coiling between 1.6040 and 1.6136 with a flat MACD gives no directional edge. Only a daily close outside the range would justify commitment.

Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.85580
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.85746 0.85842 0.86515
Support: 0.85426 0.85318 0.85085

Rationale

RSI at 49 and a flat MACD confirm a 0.8530-0.8585 range with no directional edge. Only the range boundaries offer value, so exposure is minimal.

Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.58197
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58229 0.58490 0.58644
Support: 0.58020 0.57729 0.57396

Rationale

Price is rebuilding toward the 0.5823 pivot but 60% retail long caps the contrarian upside. No edge until a close above 0.5823 confirms.

Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.87853
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.88022 1.88522 1.89536
Support: 1.87459 1.87431 1.87127

Rationale

Compression between 1.8743 and 1.8852 with balanced retail positioning offers no tradable signal. Stand aside until the range breaks.

Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.19915
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.20191 1.20969 1.21213
Support: 1.19500 1.19419 1.19136

Rationale

Choppy oscillation between 1.1914 and 1.2100 with mid-range RSI gives no directional edge. Only the range extremes are worth fading.

Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$3 average per $100 risked

70 of 108 picks filled, over 36 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$8 average per $100 risked

305 plans over 36 verified days · target hit 10%

36 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 70 picks the honest range around the +$3 runs from −$16 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 108 picks published, 70 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 20 of the 70 picks lost the full $100, against 40 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 100% of the Top 3 result, and 25 of the 70 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$16 to +$1, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 305 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 7 Oct 2026)

  • Target hit 10% (31)
  • Stop hit 25% (75)
  • Timed out 65% (199)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 155 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown
29% Win rate 31 of 106 plans closed at target or stop
-0.08R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one
+0.07R Timed-out average how those 199 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%
14 of 64 plans

Bearish

40%
17 of 42 plans

Win rate by pair

PairWin ratePlans
GBPJPY
75%
3 / 4
EURJPY
67%
2 / 3
NZDJPY
67%
2 / 3
AUDCHF
50%
3 / 6
NZDCAD
50%
2 / 4
AUDUSD
43%
3 / 7
USDCAD
40%
2 / 5
GBPAUD
33%
1 / 3
GBPUSD
33%
1 / 3
CHFJPY
33%
1 / 3
EURCHF
30%
3 / 10
AUDJPY
25%
1 / 4
EURNZD
25%
1 / 4
EURUSD
25%
1 / 4
USDCHF
25%
1 / 4
USDJPY
25%
1 / 4
NZDUSD
25%
1 / 4
GBPCAD
0%
0 / 6
NZDCHF
0%
0 / 4
AUDCAD
0%
0 / 3
GBPNZD
0%
0 / 3
EURGBP
0%
0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit
Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit
Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out
The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled
Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken
Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

7 Oct 2026 1 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $106
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84862 → 0.84547 Not filled –
EURJPY Bearish 178.280 → 177.029 Target hit +1.12R
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88480 → 1.89118 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35780 → 2.36646 Not filled –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Bearish 89.080 → 88.329 Not filled –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Bearish 0.80000 → 0.79711 Not filled –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
6 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $49
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12290 → 1.11612 Timed out -0.50R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.42500 → 1.42931 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDUSD Bearish 0.56080 → 0.55798 Timed out -0.67R
EURGBP Bearish 0.84890 → 0.84547 Timed out +0.35R
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93290 → 0.93018 Stop hit -1.00R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88400 → 1.88934 Not filled –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35880 → 2.36646 Timed out +0.25R
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46580 → 0.46330 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
5 Oct 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $37
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12650 → 1.12150 Not filled –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69620 → 0.69220 Timed out -0.36R
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Bearish 0.56260 → 0.55858 Not filled –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Bearish 177.850 → 176.595 Not filled –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93370 → 0.93018 Not filled –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90350 → 1.91148 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88700 → 1.89527 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bearish 109.880 → 109.233 Timed out -0.50R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46610 → 0.46330 Not filled –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Bearish 0.58200 → 0.57872 Timed out -0.28R
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
2 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $71
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Bearish 177.950 → 176.771 Not filled –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59970 → 1.59500 Stop hit -1.00R
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90320 → 1.91157 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35400 → 2.36208 Timed out +0.59R
AUDJPY Bearish 109.650 → 108.708 Timed out -0.33R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.680 → 88.119 Timed out +0.06R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Bearish 0.98610 → 0.98198 Stop hit -1.00R
AUDNZD Bullish 1.23580 → 1.24376 Timed out +0.64R
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
1 Oct 2026 2 target · 4 stop · 1 timed out $100 → $65
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69540 → 0.69223 Target hit +1.09R
USDCAD Bullish 1.42200 → 1.42500 Not filled –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Bullish 0.94640 → 0.94862 Stop hit -1.00R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90830 → 1.91910 Timed out -0.56R
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88720 → 1.89536 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bearish 109.500 → 108.892 Stop hit -1.00R
CADJPY Bearish 110.720 → 110.170 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDJPY Bearish 88.810 → 88.231 Target hit +1.03R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Bearish 0.80270 → 0.79944 Not filled –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

  1. Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
  2. Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
  3. AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
  4. Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

  • Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
  • Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
  • Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
  • Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
  • Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it: probability × reward/risk − (1 − probability). Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. Only plans with a positive expected result are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
  • Target odds: the model's chance of reaching the conservative target before the stop, once the order fills. These plans were written under the two-outcome model, where the no-edge baseline is 1/(1+RR) — 50% at 1:1, 33% at 1:2 — never 50% flat. The figure is not shown next to each plan: a farther target is worth more but is reached less often, so on its own it says nothing about whether a plan is worth taking. It is already accounted for in the expected result
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

  • Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
  • Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
  • Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
  • Adjust position size based on expected volatility
  • Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
  • Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the articleForex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the articleForex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article
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