| GBPCHF |
Bullish
|
Low
|
1.09372 |
1.09250Buy limit |
1.08950 |
1.10030 |
45%
|
1:2.60 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.09372
Entry Point
1.09250
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.08950
Conservative Target
1.10030
Risk:Reward
1:2.60
Optimal Target
1.10112
Expected Value
+0.62R
Stop Loss Distance
30.0 pips
Target Distance
78.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.09513
1.10030
1.10112
Support:
1.09186
1.08495
1.08105
Rationale
Rebuilding from the 1.0843 spike low with 64% retail short, but rolled-over MACD keeps conviction low. Tactical long above 1.0919 with a 0.55 ATR stop.
|
| GBPCAD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.88713 |
1.88530Buy limit |
1.88030 |
1.89536 |
46%
|
1:2.01 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.88713
Entry Point
1.88530
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.88030
Conservative Target
1.89536
Risk:Reward
1:2.01
Optimal Target
1.90330
Expected Value
+0.38R
Stop Loss Distance
50.0 pips
Target Distance
100.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.88876
1.89536
1.90330
Support:
1.88106
1.87853
1.87459
Rationale
Bullish reversal off the 1.8742 range floor with MACD turning up and 71% retail short. Stop sits below the 1.88106 support.
|
| GBPJPY |
Bullish
|
High
|
216.889 |
216.680Buy limit |
215.850 |
218.014 |
52%
|
1:1.61 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
216.889
Entry Point
216.680
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
215.850
Conservative Target
218.014
Risk:Reward
1:1.61
Optimal Target
218.684
Expected Value
+0.36R
Stop Loss Distance
83.0 pips
Target Distance
133.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
217.175
218.014
218.684
Support:
216.671
215.985
214.835
Rationale
Fresh MACD cross with an extremely crowded 80% retail short book supports continuation. Buy the dip to 216.67 with the stop beneath the 215.985 support.
|
| NZDUSD |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.59556 |
0.59510Buy limit |
0.59240 |
0.59880 |
55%
|
1:1.37 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.59556
Entry Point
0.59510
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.59240
Conservative Target
0.59880
Risk:Reward
1:1.37
Optimal Target
0.60300
Expected Value
+0.30R
Stop Loss Distance
27.0 pips
Target Distance
37.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.59880
0.59941
0.60300
Support:
0.59509
0.59275
0.58601
Rationale
Fresh breakout from the 0.5850-0.5900 range with 72% of retail short. Longs at the 0.59509 support with the stop beneath 0.59275.
|
| XAUUSD |
Bullish
|
High
|
4651.52 |
4636.37Buy limit |
4569.58 |
4750.00 |
48%
|
1:1.70 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
4651.52
Entry Point
4636.37
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
4569.58
Conservative Target
4750.00
Risk:Reward
1:1.70
Optimal Target
4816.78
Expected Value
+0.30R
Stop Loss Distance
66.8 pts
Target Distance
113.6 pts
Key Levels
Resistance:
4681.03
4750.00
Support:
4594.84
4518.91
4450.74
Rationale
Trend continuation at record highs with expanding MACD and retail still 57% short. ATR of 101 justifies buying a deeper dip toward the 4595 support with a sub-1 ATR volatility stop. Entry and stop rebuilt on the analysis levels (4636.37 / 4569.58): the original plan was not reachable in the session.
|
| AUDUSD |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.71480 |
0.71410Buy limit |
0.70990 |
0.72006 |
53%
|
1:1.42 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.71480
Entry Point
0.71410
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.70990
Conservative Target
0.72006
Risk:Reward
1:1.42
Optimal Target
0.72500
Expected Value
+0.28R
Stop Loss Distance
42.0 pips
Target Distance
59.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.71803
0.72006
0.72500
Support:
0.71404
0.71027
0.70668
Rationale
Higher lows with expanding MACD against a very crowded 78% retail short book. Dip to 0.7140 is the buy zone with protection under 0.71027.
|
| AUDJPY |
Bullish
|
High
|
113.705 |
113.600Buy limit |
113.150 |
114.164 |
55%
|
1:1.25 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
113.705
Entry Point
113.600
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
113.150
Conservative Target
114.164
Risk:Reward
1:1.25
Optimal Target
114.670
Expected Value
+0.24R
Stop Loss Distance
45.0 pips
Target Distance
56.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
114.164
114.670
114.915
Support:
113.660
113.271
112.521
Rationale
Persistent higher lows and positive MACD against a very crowded 81% retail short. Buy the dip below 113.66 with the stop under the 113.27 support.
|
| EURUSD |
Bullish
|
High
|
1.16629 |
1.16550Buy limit |
1.16090 |
1.17114 |
55%
|
1:1.23 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
1.16629
Entry Point
1.16550
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.16090
Conservative Target
1.17114
Risk:Reward
1:1.23
Optimal Target
1.17500
Expected Value
+0.23R
Stop Loss Distance
46.0 pips
Target Distance
56.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.16858
1.17114
1.17500
Support:
1.16551
1.16140
1.15863
Rationale
Clean breakout above 1.1610 with 66% of retail short provides a contrarian tailwind. Buying the first dip to 1.1655 with the stop under the 1.1614 support.
|
| GBPAUD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.90710 |
1.90840Sell limit |
1.91320 |
1.90186 |
52%
|
1:1.36 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.90710
Entry Point
1.90840
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.91320
Conservative Target
1.90186
Risk:Reward
1:1.36
Optimal Target
1.90004
Expected Value
+0.23R
Stop Loss Distance
48.0 pips
Target Distance
65.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.90845
1.91238
1.91906
Support:
1.90186
1.90004
1.88069
Rationale
Lower highs since late July with negative MACD and 65% of retail trapped long. Fade strength at 1.90845 with the stop above 1.91238.
|
| EURJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
185.534 |
185.400Buy limit |
184.900 |
186.074 |
52%
|
1:1.35 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
185.534
Entry Point
185.400
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
184.900
Conservative Target
186.074
Risk:Reward
1:1.35
Optimal Target
187.471
Expected Value
+0.22R
Stop Loss Distance
50.0 pips
Target Distance
67.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
185.802
186.074
187.471
Support:
185.441
184.572
183.928
Rationale
Fresh bullish MACD cross and higher lows since early August with 73% of retail short. The 184.57 support is nearly 1 ATR away, so a 0.5 ATR volatility stop is used below 185.44.
|
| AUDCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.57337 |
0.57290Buy limit |
0.56900 |
0.57810 |
52%
|
1:1.33 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.57337
Entry Point
0.57290
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.56900
Conservative Target
0.57810
Risk:Reward
1:1.33
Optimal Target
0.58000
Expected Value
+0.21R
Stop Loss Distance
39.0 pips
Target Distance
52.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.57503
0.57810
0.58000
Support:
0.57290
0.56941
0.56687
Rationale
V-recovery from 0.5669 into the upper range with 75% of retail short. Long at 0.5729 with the stop beneath the 0.56941 support.
|
| NZDJPY |
Bullish
|
High
|
94.741 |
94.660Buy limit |
94.280 |
95.084 |
55%
|
1:1.12 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
94.741
Entry Point
94.660
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
94.280
Conservative Target
95.084
Risk:Reward
1:1.12
Optimal Target
95.309
Expected Value
+0.17R
Stop Loss Distance
38.0 pips
Target Distance
42.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
95.084
95.164
95.309
Support:
94.729
94.441
93.752
Rationale
Expanding MACD histogram and 75% retail short favour a retest of the 95.31 July high. Buy dips with the stop under the 94.441 support.
|
| USDCAD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.38411 |
1.38560Sell limit |
1.39120 |
1.37828 |
50%
|
1:1.31 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.38411
Entry Point
1.38560
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.39120
Conservative Target
1.37828
Risk:Reward
1:1.31
Optimal Target
1.37557
Expected Value
+0.16R
Stop Loss Distance
56.0 pips
Target Distance
73.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.38601
1.38700
1.39079
Support:
1.37828
1.37557
1.37321
Rationale
RSI 37 and negative MACD keep the downtrend intact while 61% of retail is long. Sell the corrective bounce into 1.3856 with the stop above the 1.39079 resistance.
|
| GBPUSD |
Bullish
|
High
|
1.36316 |
1.36220Buy limit |
1.35900 |
1.36560 |
56%
|
1:1.06 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
1.36316
Entry Point
1.36220
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.35900
Conservative Target
1.36560
Risk:Reward
1:1.06
Optimal Target
1.36756
Expected Value
+0.15R
Stop Loss Distance
32.0 pips
Target Distance
34.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.36560
1.36756
1.37000
Support:
1.36212
1.35945
1.35234
Rationale
Higher highs and lows intact with 72% retail short; the 1.3621 support is the first buyable pullback. Stop sits below the 1.35945 shelf.
|
| GBPNZD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
2.28822 |
2.29030Sell limit |
2.29850 |
2.28080 |
53%
|
1:1.16 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
2.28822
Entry Point
2.29030
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
2.29850
Conservative Target
2.28080
Risk:Reward
1:1.16
Optimal Target
2.27933
Expected Value
+0.14R
Stop Loss Distance
82.0 pips
Target Distance
95.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.29036
2.29759
2.31071
Support:
2.28080
2.27933
2.26000
Rationale
The break of 2.2850 to a fresh low at 2.2793 confirms the down-leg, with 67% retail long as fuel. Sell the rally into 2.2903 with the stop over 2.29759.
|
| USDCHF |
Bearish
|
High
|
0.80229 |
0.80290Sell limit |
0.80600 |
0.79964 |
55%
|
1:1.05 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.80229
Entry Point
0.80290
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.80600
Conservative Target
0.79964
Risk:Reward
1:1.05
Optimal Target
0.79497
Expected Value
+0.13R
Stop Loss Distance
31.0 pips
Target Distance
32.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.80299
0.81081
0.81201
Support:
0.79964
0.79497
0.79100
Rationale
Breakdown below 0.8070 flipped MACD negative and 68% of retail is long into the move. Selling the retest of 0.80299 resistance with a 0.55 ATR volatility stop, as the next resistance at 0.8108 is too far to risk.
|
| EURAUD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.63140 |
1.63320Sell limit |
1.63770 |
1.62794 |
52%
|
1:1.17 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.63140
Entry Point
1.63320
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.63770
Conservative Target
1.62794
Risk:Reward
1:1.17
Optimal Target
1.62581
Expected Value
+0.13R
Stop Loss Distance
45.0 pips
Target Distance
52.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.63383
1.64297
1.64451
Support:
1.63054
1.62794
1.62581
Rationale
Repeated failures at 1.6440 with negative MACD and 66% of retail long keep the bias down. The next resistance is over 1 ATR away, so a 0.6 ATR volatility stop is used.
|
| AUDCAD |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.98930 |
0.98800Buy limit |
0.98360 |
0.99257 |
55%
|
1:1.04 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.98930
Entry Point
0.98800
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.98360
Conservative Target
0.99257
Risk:Reward
1:1.04
Optimal Target
0.99485
Expected Value
+0.12R
Stop Loss Distance
44.0 pips
Target Distance
45.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.99215
0.99257
0.99485
Support:
0.98786
0.98410
0.98198
Rationale
Breakout above the 0.9880 range top with MACD positive and 78% of retail short. Buy the retest with the stop under the 0.9841 support.
|
| EURCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.93599 |
0.93520Buy limit |
0.93330 |
0.93722 |
54%
|
1:1.06 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.93599
Entry Point
0.93520
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.93330
Conservative Target
0.93722
Risk:Reward
1:1.06
Optimal Target
0.94113
Expected Value
+0.11R
Stop Loss Distance
19.0 pips
Target Distance
20.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.93722
0.94113
0.94500
Support:
0.93450
0.93073
0.92757
Rationale
Price has recovered the 19 August flush and holds above 0.9345 with 69% retail short. Long the shallow dip with the stop just under the 0.9345 pivot.
|
| CADCHF |
Bearish
|
Low
|
0.57957 |
0.58030Sell limit |
0.58280 |
0.57725 |
50%
|
1:1.22 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.57957
Entry Point
0.58030
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.58280
Conservative Target
0.57725
Risk:Reward
1:1.22
Optimal Target
0.57396
Expected Value
+0.11R
Stop Loss Distance
25.0 pips
Target Distance
30.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58136
0.58242
0.58644
Support:
0.57890
0.57725
0.57396
Rationale
Momentum rolled over after the failure at 0.5864 and 64% of retail is long. Fade the bounce with the stop above the 0.58242 resistance.
|
| CADJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
114.915 |
114.820Buy limit |
114.440 |
115.277 |
50%
|
1:1.20 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
114.915
Entry Point
114.820
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
114.440
Conservative Target
115.277
Risk:Reward
1:1.20
Optimal Target
115.588
Expected Value
+0.10R
Stop Loss Distance
38.0 pips
Target Distance
45.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
115.277
115.588
116.024
Support:
114.810
114.581
114.037
Rationale
Uptrend off 110.83 intact with positive MACD, though price is testing 114.81. Long that support with the stop below 114.581.
|
| NZDCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.47782 |
0.47740Buy limit |
0.47575 |
0.47925 |
52%
|
1:1.12 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.47782
Entry Point
0.47740
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.47575
Conservative Target
0.47925
Risk:Reward
1:1.12
Optimal Target
0.48175
Expected Value
+0.10R
Stop Loss Distance
16.5 pips
Target Distance
18.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.47925
0.47946
0.48175
Support:
0.47765
0.47450
0.47269
Rationale
The dip to 0.4727 was fully bought back and 65% of retail is short near range highs. Long the 0.47765 support with a 0.5 ATR stop beneath it.
|
| EURNZD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.95831 |
1.96100Sell limit |
1.96660 |
1.95504 |
53%
|
1:1.06 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.95831
Entry Point
1.96100
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.96660
Conservative Target
1.95504
Risk:Reward
1:1.06
Optimal Target
1.95267
Expected Value
+0.09R
Stop Loss Distance
56.0 pips
Target Distance
59.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.95944
1.96489
1.96873
Support:
1.95750
1.95504
1.95267
Rationale
The break below 1.9600 signals distribution while 65% of retail is long. Sell the bounce into 1.9610 with the stop above the 1.96489 resistance.
|
| CHFJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
198.257 |
197.900Buy limit |
196.900 |
199.079 |
50%
|
1:1.18 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
198.257
Entry Point
197.900
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
196.900
Conservative Target
199.079
Risk:Reward
1:1.18
Optimal Target
200.956
Expected Value
+0.09R
Stop Loss Distance
100.0 pips
Target Distance
117.9 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
198.613
199.079
200.956
Support:
198.100
197.007
195.940
Rationale
The 19 August thrust above 197.0 reset the trend higher with 66% of retail short. Deeper limit below 198.10 keeps the stop beyond the 197.007 support at 0.8 ATR.
|
| NZDCAD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.82430 |
0.82290Buy limit |
0.81920 |
0.82691 |
52%
|
1:1.08 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.82430
Entry Point
0.82290
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.81920
Conservative Target
0.82691
Risk:Reward
1:1.08
Optimal Target
0.82967
Expected Value
+0.08R
Stop Loss Distance
37.0 pips
Target Distance
40.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.82655
0.82691
0.82967
Support:
0.82325
0.81959
0.81649
Rationale
Higher lows from 0.8124 with positive MACD and 78% of retail short. Buy under the 0.82325 support with the stop below 0.81959.
|
| USDJPY |
Bearish
|
Low
|
159.075 |
159.280Sell limit |
159.850 |
158.705 |
50%
|
1:1.01 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
159.075
Entry Point
159.280
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
159.850
Conservative Target
158.705
Risk:Reward
1:1.01
Optimal Target
158.026
Expected Value
+0.01R
Stop Loss Distance
57.0 pips
Target Distance
57.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
159.283
159.780
160.597
Support:
158.705
158.026
157.255
Rationale
Price is range-bound 158.0-159.8 with RSI below 50 and 63% of retail long, so rallies into 159.28 are fadeable. Stop just above the 159.78 range cap.
|
| EURGBP |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.85550 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.85550
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.85624
0.85845
0.86539
Support:
0.85504
0.85426
0.85318
Rationale
Flat RSI and MACD with a balanced retail book give no directional edge inside the 0.8530-0.8585 range. Only a tactical long at the range floor with a 0.5 ATR stop below 0.85426.
|
| EURCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.61470 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.61470
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.61585
1.61776
1.62431
Support:
1.61243
1.60990
1.60544
Rationale
Sideways between 1.6045 and 1.6180 with flat MACD and a 52/48 retail split offers no real edge. Only a range-floor long with a 0.5 ATR stop below 1.61243.
|
| AUDNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.20010 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.20010
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.20160
1.20191
1.20969
Support:
1.19890
1.19491
1.19431
Rationale
Choppy 1.1915-1.2095 range with RSI 46 and no meaningful edge, so only the range extremes are tradeable. Fade the 1.2016 top with a 0.6 ATR volatility stop since the next resistance is far above.
|