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Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Monday, 24 August 2026 Forecast for: Tuesday, 25 August 2026 Plan window: Mon 23:00 – Tue 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

You are viewing an archived forecast

This is the forex forecast generated for 24 August 2026. View current forecast

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Broad dollar weakness dominates: EUR, GBP, AUD and NZD all hold breakout structures while retail books are heavily short, a contrarian tailwind for continuation. Gold extends its record uptrend with dip-buying still favoured, and JPY crosses have turned back up with extremely crowded short positioning, leaving USDJPY the lone range-bound laggard. Preferred stance is buying pullbacks in the risk-positive majors and fading rallies in USDCHF, USDCAD and the EUR/GBP crosses versus AUD and NZD.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

  • Asian session direction in JPY crosses (AUDJPY 113.66 support, GBPJPY 216.67 support) after the recent stabilisation
  • London open USD flows: EURUSD test of 1.16858 resistance and GBPUSD of 1.3656
  • New York session follow-through in gold around the 4681 resistance and the 4595 dip-buy zone
  • USDJPY reaction inside the 158.03-159.78 range, with 63% of retail still long

Best Opportunities

AUDUSD Bullish
GBPJPY Bullish
XAUUSD Bullish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record so far (305 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 25% hit the stop and 65% timed out at the window close.

AUDUSD

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.42

Expected result +0.28 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.71410 Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.70990 (42.0 pips)
Conservative Target 0.72006 (59.6 pips)
Optimal Target 0.72500 (109.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.71803 0.72006 0.72500
Support: 0.71404 0.71027 0.70668

Rationale

Higher lows with expanding MACD against a very crowded 78% retail short book. Dip to 0.7140 is the buy zone with protection under 0.71027.

Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

GBPJPY

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.61

Expected result +0.36 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 216.680 Buy limit
Stop Loss 215.850 (83.0 pips)
Conservative Target 218.014 (133.4 pips)
Optimal Target 218.684 (200.4 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 217.175 218.014 218.684
Support: 216.671 215.985 214.835

Rationale

Fresh MACD cross with an extremely crowded 80% retail short book supports continuation. Buy the dip to 216.67 with the stop beneath the 215.985 support.

Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail

XAUUSD

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.70

Expected result +0.30 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 4636.37 Buy limit
Stop Loss 4569.58 (66.8 pts)
Conservative Target 4750.00 (113.6 pts)
Optimal Target 4816.78 (180.4 pts)

Key Levels

Resistance: 4681.03 4750.00
Support: 4594.84 4518.91 4450.74

Rationale

Trend continuation at record highs with expanding MACD and retail still 57% short. ATR of 101 justifies buying a deeper dip toward the 4595 support with a sub-1 ATR volatility stop. Entry and stop rebuilt on the analysis levels (4636.37 / 4569.58): the original plan was not reachable in the session.

Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair Direction Confidence Analysis Price Entry Stop Loss Target Expected result Risk:Reward Result

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.62R
Analysis Price 1.09372
Entry Point 1.09250
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.08950
Conservative Target 1.10030
Risk:Reward 1:2.60
Optimal Target 1.10112
Stop Loss Distance 30.0 pips
Target Distance 78.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.09513 1.10030 1.10112
Support: 1.09186 1.08495 1.08105

Rationale

Rebuilding from the 1.0843 spike low with 64% retail short, but rolled-over MACD keeps conviction low. Tactical long above 1.0919 with a 0.55 ATR stop.

Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.38R
Analysis Price 1.88713
Entry Point 1.88530
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.88030
Conservative Target 1.89536
Risk:Reward 1:2.01
Optimal Target 1.90330
Stop Loss Distance 50.0 pips
Target Distance 100.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.88876 1.89536 1.90330
Support: 1.88106 1.87853 1.87459

Rationale

Bullish reversal off the 1.8742 range floor with MACD turning up and 71% retail short. Stop sits below the 1.88106 support.

Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.36R
Analysis Price 216.889
Entry Point 216.680
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 215.850
Conservative Target 218.014
Risk:Reward 1:1.61
Optimal Target 218.684
Stop Loss Distance 83.0 pips
Target Distance 133.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 217.175 218.014 218.684
Support: 216.671 215.985 214.835

Rationale

Fresh MACD cross with an extremely crowded 80% retail short book supports continuation. Buy the dip to 216.67 with the stop beneath the 215.985 support.

Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.30R
Analysis Price 0.59556
Entry Point 0.59510
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.59240
Conservative Target 0.59880
Risk:Reward 1:1.37
Optimal Target 0.60300
Stop Loss Distance 27.0 pips
Target Distance 37.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.59880 0.59941 0.60300
Support: 0.59509 0.59275 0.58601

Rationale

Fresh breakout from the 0.5850-0.5900 range with 72% of retail short. Longs at the 0.59509 support with the stop beneath 0.59275.

Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.30R
Analysis Price 4651.52
Entry Point 4636.37
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 4569.58
Conservative Target 4750.00
Risk:Reward 1:1.70
Optimal Target 4816.78
Stop Loss Distance 66.8 pts
Target Distance 113.6 pts

Key Levels

Resistance: 4681.03 4750.00
Support: 4594.84 4518.91 4450.74

Rationale

Trend continuation at record highs with expanding MACD and retail still 57% short. ATR of 101 justifies buying a deeper dip toward the 4595 support with a sub-1 ATR volatility stop. Entry and stop rebuilt on the analysis levels (4636.37 / 4569.58): the original plan was not reachable in the session.

Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.28R
Analysis Price 0.71480
Entry Point 0.71410
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.70990
Conservative Target 0.72006
Risk:Reward 1:1.42
Optimal Target 0.72500
Stop Loss Distance 42.0 pips
Target Distance 59.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.71803 0.72006 0.72500
Support: 0.71404 0.71027 0.70668

Rationale

Higher lows with expanding MACD against a very crowded 78% retail short book. Dip to 0.7140 is the buy zone with protection under 0.71027.

Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.24R
Analysis Price 113.705
Entry Point 113.600
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 113.150
Conservative Target 114.164
Risk:Reward 1:1.25
Optimal Target 114.670
Stop Loss Distance 45.0 pips
Target Distance 56.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 114.164 114.670 114.915
Support: 113.660 113.271 112.521

Rationale

Persistent higher lows and positive MACD against a very crowded 81% retail short. Buy the dip below 113.66 with the stop under the 113.27 support.

Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.23R
Analysis Price 1.16629
Entry Point 1.16550
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.16090
Conservative Target 1.17114
Risk:Reward 1:1.23
Optimal Target 1.17500
Stop Loss Distance 46.0 pips
Target Distance 56.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.16858 1.17114 1.17500
Support: 1.16551 1.16140 1.15863

Rationale

Clean breakout above 1.1610 with 66% of retail short provides a contrarian tailwind. Buying the first dip to 1.1655 with the stop under the 1.1614 support.

Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.23R
Analysis Price 1.90710
Entry Point 1.90840
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.91320
Conservative Target 1.90186
Risk:Reward 1:1.36
Optimal Target 1.90004
Stop Loss Distance 48.0 pips
Target Distance 65.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.90845 1.91238 1.91906
Support: 1.90186 1.90004 1.88069

Rationale

Lower highs since late July with negative MACD and 65% of retail trapped long. Fade strength at 1.90845 with the stop above 1.91238.

Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.22R
Analysis Price 185.534
Entry Point 185.400
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 184.900
Conservative Target 186.074
Risk:Reward 1:1.35
Optimal Target 187.471
Stop Loss Distance 50.0 pips
Target Distance 67.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 185.802 186.074 187.471
Support: 185.441 184.572 183.928

Rationale

Fresh bullish MACD cross and higher lows since early August with 73% of retail short. The 184.57 support is nearly 1 ATR away, so a 0.5 ATR volatility stop is used below 185.44.

Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.21R
Analysis Price 0.57337
Entry Point 0.57290
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.56900
Conservative Target 0.57810
Risk:Reward 1:1.33
Optimal Target 0.58000
Stop Loss Distance 39.0 pips
Target Distance 52.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.57503 0.57810 0.58000
Support: 0.57290 0.56941 0.56687

Rationale

V-recovery from 0.5669 into the upper range with 75% of retail short. Long at 0.5729 with the stop beneath the 0.56941 support.

Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.17R
Analysis Price 94.741
Entry Point 94.660
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 94.280
Conservative Target 95.084
Risk:Reward 1:1.12
Optimal Target 95.309
Stop Loss Distance 38.0 pips
Target Distance 42.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 95.084 95.164 95.309
Support: 94.729 94.441 93.752

Rationale

Expanding MACD histogram and 75% retail short favour a retest of the 95.31 July high. Buy dips with the stop under the 94.441 support.

Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.16R
Analysis Price 1.38411
Entry Point 1.38560
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.39120
Conservative Target 1.37828
Risk:Reward 1:1.31
Optimal Target 1.37557
Stop Loss Distance 56.0 pips
Target Distance 73.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.38601 1.38700 1.39079
Support: 1.37828 1.37557 1.37321

Rationale

RSI 37 and negative MACD keep the downtrend intact while 61% of retail is long. Sell the corrective bounce into 1.3856 with the stop above the 1.39079 resistance.

Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.15R
Analysis Price 1.36316
Entry Point 1.36220
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.35900
Conservative Target 1.36560
Risk:Reward 1:1.06
Optimal Target 1.36756
Stop Loss Distance 32.0 pips
Target Distance 34.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.36560 1.36756 1.37000
Support: 1.36212 1.35945 1.35234

Rationale

Higher highs and lows intact with 72% retail short; the 1.3621 support is the first buyable pullback. Stop sits below the 1.35945 shelf.

Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.14R
Analysis Price 2.28822
Entry Point 2.29030
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 2.29850
Conservative Target 2.28080
Risk:Reward 1:1.16
Optimal Target 2.27933
Stop Loss Distance 82.0 pips
Target Distance 95.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.29036 2.29759 2.31071
Support: 2.28080 2.27933 2.26000

Rationale

The break of 2.2850 to a fresh low at 2.2793 confirms the down-leg, with 67% retail long as fuel. Sell the rally into 2.2903 with the stop over 2.29759.

Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R
Analysis Price 0.80229
Entry Point 0.80290
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.80600
Conservative Target 0.79964
Risk:Reward 1:1.05
Optimal Target 0.79497
Stop Loss Distance 31.0 pips
Target Distance 32.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.80299 0.81081 0.81201
Support: 0.79964 0.79497 0.79100

Rationale

Breakdown below 0.8070 flipped MACD negative and 68% of retail is long into the move. Selling the retest of 0.80299 resistance with a 0.55 ATR volatility stop, as the next resistance at 0.8108 is too far to risk.

Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R
Analysis Price 1.63140
Entry Point 1.63320
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.63770
Conservative Target 1.62794
Risk:Reward 1:1.17
Optimal Target 1.62581
Stop Loss Distance 45.0 pips
Target Distance 52.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.63383 1.64297 1.64451
Support: 1.63054 1.62794 1.62581

Rationale

Repeated failures at 1.6440 with negative MACD and 66% of retail long keep the bias down. The next resistance is over 1 ATR away, so a 0.6 ATR volatility stop is used.

Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R
Analysis Price 0.98930
Entry Point 0.98800
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.98360
Conservative Target 0.99257
Risk:Reward 1:1.04
Optimal Target 0.99485
Stop Loss Distance 44.0 pips
Target Distance 45.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.99215 0.99257 0.99485
Support: 0.98786 0.98410 0.98198

Rationale

Breakout above the 0.9880 range top with MACD positive and 78% of retail short. Buy the retest with the stop under the 0.9841 support.

Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R
Analysis Price 0.93599
Entry Point 0.93520
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.93330
Conservative Target 0.93722
Risk:Reward 1:1.06
Optimal Target 0.94113
Stop Loss Distance 19.0 pips
Target Distance 20.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.93722 0.94113 0.94500
Support: 0.93450 0.93073 0.92757

Rationale

Price has recovered the 19 August flush and holds above 0.9345 with 69% retail short. Long the shallow dip with the stop just under the 0.9345 pivot.

Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R
Analysis Price 0.57957
Entry Point 0.58030
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.58280
Conservative Target 0.57725
Risk:Reward 1:1.22
Optimal Target 0.57396
Stop Loss Distance 25.0 pips
Target Distance 30.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58136 0.58242 0.58644
Support: 0.57890 0.57725 0.57396

Rationale

Momentum rolled over after the failure at 0.5864 and 64% of retail is long. Fade the bounce with the stop above the 0.58242 resistance.

Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R
Analysis Price 114.915
Entry Point 114.820
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 114.440
Conservative Target 115.277
Risk:Reward 1:1.20
Optimal Target 115.588
Stop Loss Distance 38.0 pips
Target Distance 45.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 115.277 115.588 116.024
Support: 114.810 114.581 114.037

Rationale

Uptrend off 110.83 intact with positive MACD, though price is testing 114.81. Long that support with the stop below 114.581.

Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R
Analysis Price 0.47782
Entry Point 0.47740
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.47575
Conservative Target 0.47925
Risk:Reward 1:1.12
Optimal Target 0.48175
Stop Loss Distance 16.5 pips
Target Distance 18.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.47925 0.47946 0.48175
Support: 0.47765 0.47450 0.47269

Rationale

The dip to 0.4727 was fully bought back and 65% of retail is short near range highs. Long the 0.47765 support with a 0.5 ATR stop beneath it.

Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R
Analysis Price 1.95831
Entry Point 1.96100
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.96660
Conservative Target 1.95504
Risk:Reward 1:1.06
Optimal Target 1.95267
Stop Loss Distance 56.0 pips
Target Distance 59.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.95944 1.96489 1.96873
Support: 1.95750 1.95504 1.95267

Rationale

The break below 1.9600 signals distribution while 65% of retail is long. Sell the bounce into 1.9610 with the stop above the 1.96489 resistance.

Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R
Analysis Price 198.257
Entry Point 197.900
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 196.900
Conservative Target 199.079
Risk:Reward 1:1.18
Optimal Target 200.956
Stop Loss Distance 100.0 pips
Target Distance 117.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 198.613 199.079 200.956
Support: 198.100 197.007 195.940

Rationale

The 19 August thrust above 197.0 reset the trend higher with 66% of retail short. Deeper limit below 198.10 keeps the stop beyond the 197.007 support at 0.8 ATR.

Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R
Analysis Price 0.82430
Entry Point 0.82290
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.81920
Conservative Target 0.82691
Risk:Reward 1:1.08
Optimal Target 0.82967
Stop Loss Distance 37.0 pips
Target Distance 40.1 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.82655 0.82691 0.82967
Support: 0.82325 0.81959 0.81649

Rationale

Higher lows from 0.8124 with positive MACD and 78% of retail short. Buy under the 0.82325 support with the stop below 0.81959.

Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.01R
Analysis Price 159.075
Entry Point 159.280
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 159.850
Conservative Target 158.705
Risk:Reward 1:1.01
Optimal Target 158.026
Stop Loss Distance 57.0 pips
Target Distance 57.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 159.283 159.780 160.597
Support: 158.705 158.026 157.255

Rationale

Price is range-bound 158.0-159.8 with RSI below 50 and 63% of retail long, so rallies into 159.28 are fadeable. Stop just above the 159.78 range cap.

Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.85550
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.85624 0.85845 0.86539
Support: 0.85504 0.85426 0.85318

Rationale

Flat RSI and MACD with a balanced retail book give no directional edge inside the 0.8530-0.8585 range. Only a tactical long at the range floor with a 0.5 ATR stop below 0.85426.

Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.61470
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.61585 1.61776 1.62431
Support: 1.61243 1.60990 1.60544

Rationale

Sideways between 1.6045 and 1.6180 with flat MACD and a 52/48 retail split offers no real edge. Only a range-floor long with a 0.5 ATR stop below 1.61243.

Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.20010
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.20160 1.20191 1.20969
Support: 1.19890 1.19491 1.19431

Rationale

Choppy 1.1915-1.2095 range with RSI 46 and no meaningful edge, so only the range extremes are tradeable. Fade the 1.2016 top with a 0.6 ATR volatility stop since the next resistance is far above.

Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$3 average per $100 risked

70 of 108 picks filled, over 36 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$8 average per $100 risked

305 plans over 36 verified days · target hit 10%

36 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 70 picks the honest range around the +$3 runs from −$16 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 108 picks published, 70 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 20 of the 70 picks lost the full $100, against 40 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 100% of the Top 3 result, and 25 of the 70 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$16 to +$1, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 305 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 7 Oct 2026)

  • Target hit 10% (31)
  • Stop hit 25% (75)
  • Timed out 65% (199)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 155 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown
29% Win rate 31 of 106 plans closed at target or stop
-0.08R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one
+0.07R Timed-out average how those 199 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%
14 of 64 plans

Bearish

40%
17 of 42 plans

Win rate by pair

PairWin ratePlans
GBPJPY
75%
3 / 4
EURJPY
67%
2 / 3
NZDJPY
67%
2 / 3
AUDCHF
50%
3 / 6
NZDCAD
50%
2 / 4
AUDUSD
43%
3 / 7
USDCAD
40%
2 / 5
GBPAUD
33%
1 / 3
GBPUSD
33%
1 / 3
CHFJPY
33%
1 / 3
EURCHF
30%
3 / 10
AUDJPY
25%
1 / 4
EURNZD
25%
1 / 4
EURUSD
25%
1 / 4
USDCHF
25%
1 / 4
USDJPY
25%
1 / 4
NZDUSD
25%
1 / 4
GBPCAD
0%
0 / 6
NZDCHF
0%
0 / 4
AUDCAD
0%
0 / 3
GBPNZD
0%
0 / 3
EURGBP
0%
0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit
Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit
Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out
The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled
Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken
Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

7 Oct 2026 1 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $106
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84862 → 0.84547 Not filled –
EURJPY Bearish 178.280 → 177.029 Target hit +1.12R
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88480 → 1.89118 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35780 → 2.36646 Not filled –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Bearish 89.080 → 88.329 Not filled –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Bearish 0.80000 → 0.79711 Not filled –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
6 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $49
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12290 → 1.11612 Timed out -0.50R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.42500 → 1.42931 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDUSD Bearish 0.56080 → 0.55798 Timed out -0.67R
EURGBP Bearish 0.84890 → 0.84547 Timed out +0.35R
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93290 → 0.93018 Stop hit -1.00R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88400 → 1.88934 Not filled –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35880 → 2.36646 Timed out +0.25R
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46580 → 0.46330 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
5 Oct 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $37
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12650 → 1.12150 Not filled –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69620 → 0.69220 Timed out -0.36R
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Bearish 0.56260 → 0.55858 Not filled –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Bearish 177.850 → 176.595 Not filled –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93370 → 0.93018 Not filled –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90350 → 1.91148 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88700 → 1.89527 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bearish 109.880 → 109.233 Timed out -0.50R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46610 → 0.46330 Not filled –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Bearish 0.58200 → 0.57872 Timed out -0.28R
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
2 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $71
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Bearish 177.950 → 176.771 Not filled –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59970 → 1.59500 Stop hit -1.00R
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90320 → 1.91157 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35400 → 2.36208 Timed out +0.59R
AUDJPY Bearish 109.650 → 108.708 Timed out -0.33R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.680 → 88.119 Timed out +0.06R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Bearish 0.98610 → 0.98198 Stop hit -1.00R
AUDNZD Bullish 1.23580 → 1.24376 Timed out +0.64R
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
1 Oct 2026 2 target · 4 stop · 1 timed out $100 → $65
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69540 → 0.69223 Target hit +1.09R
USDCAD Bullish 1.42200 → 1.42500 Not filled –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Bullish 0.94640 → 0.94862 Stop hit -1.00R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90830 → 1.91910 Timed out -0.56R
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88720 → 1.89536 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bearish 109.500 → 108.892 Stop hit -1.00R
CADJPY Bearish 110.720 → 110.170 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDJPY Bearish 88.810 → 88.231 Target hit +1.03R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Bearish 0.80270 → 0.79944 Not filled –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

  1. Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
  2. Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
  3. AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
  4. Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

  • Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
  • Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
  • Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
  • Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
  • Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it: probability × reward/risk − (1 − probability). Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. Only plans with a positive expected result are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
  • Target odds: the model's chance of reaching the conservative target before the stop, once the order fills. These plans were written under the two-outcome model, where the no-edge baseline is 1/(1+RR) — 50% at 1:1, 33% at 1:2 — never 50% flat. The figure is not shown next to each plan: a farther target is worth more but is reached less often, so on its own it says nothing about whether a plan is worth taking. It is already accounted for in the expected result
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

  • Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
  • Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
  • Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
  • Adjust position size based on expected volatility
  • Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
  • Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the articleForex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the articleForex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article
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