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Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Tuesday, 25 August 2026 Forecast for: Wednesday, 26 August 2026 Plan window: Tue 23:00 – Wed 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

You are viewing an archived forecast

This is the forex forecast generated for 25 August 2026. View current forecast

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The dominant theme remains broad USD weakness: EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD hold confirmed uptrends while USDCHF and USDCAD keep printing lower highs. Extreme retail short books in the trending majors and crosses (AUDUSD 80%, GBPJPY/AUDJPY 80-84%, NZDCAD 81%) provide a contrarian tailwind for continuation, while EURGBP, AUDNZD, EURCAD and USDJPY stay directionless and are best left to their range edges. Gold is still trending but stretched with RSI above 72, so only deeper pullbacks are worth buying.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

  • London-session reaction to the EURUSD 1.16858 / 1.17114 resistance band after days of consolidation
  • GBPUSD attempt on 1.36756 with an extreme 74% retail short book
  • USDJPY range test of 159.49-159.78 resistance versus 158.60 support; only the edges offer a trade
  • XAUUSD behaviour around 4605 support after the 4696.94 rejection; loss of 4519 would flag a deeper correction

Best Opportunities

AUDUSD Bullish
GBPUSD Bullish
AUDCAD Bullish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record so far (321 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close.

AUDUSD

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.12

Expected result +0.36 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.71560 Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.71343 (21.7 pips)
Conservative Target 0.71803 (24.3 pips)
Optimal Target 0.72006 (44.6 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.71803 0.72006 0.72500
Support: 0.71376 0.71090 0.70668

Rationale

Persistent higher lows and an 80% retail short book make this the cleanest USD-short expression. Shallow dip entry above 0.7140 support, stop just beneath it.

Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

GBPUSD

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.14

Expected result +0.33 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.36380 Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.36050 (33.0 pips)
Conservative Target 1.36756 (37.6 pips)
Optimal Target 1.37000 (62.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.36756 1.37000 1.37500
Support: 1.36213 1.35945 1.35445

Rationale

Clean higher-high structure and an extreme 74% retail short book support continuation. Stop sits below the 1.36213 support, targets at the 1.3676/1.3700 resistances.

Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail

AUDCAD

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.01

Expected result +0.21 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.99000 Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.98745 (25.5 pips)
Conservative Target 0.99257 (25.7 pips)
Optimal Target 0.99485 (48.5 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.99198 0.99257 0.99485
Support: 0.98943 0.98786 0.98198

Rationale

Breakout from the 0.9820-0.9880 base with MACD crossing up and 77% of retail short. Buy the shallow dip to 0.9900 with the stop under 0.98786.

Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair Direction Confidence Analysis Price Entry Stop Loss Target Expected result Risk:Reward Result

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.71R
Analysis Price 0.57432
Entry Point 0.57350
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.57160
Conservative Target 0.57810
Risk:Reward 1:2.42
Optimal Target 0.58000
Stop Loss Distance 19.0 pips
Target Distance 46.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.57500 0.57810 0.58000
Support: 0.57321 0.57290 0.56941

Rationale

Quick recovery of the 0.5668 spike low with 77% of retail short. Stop below the 0.5729 support; 0.5750 is too close for 1:1 so 0.5781 is the first target.

Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.61R
Analysis Price 1.38380
Entry Point 1.38500
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.38860
Conservative Target 1.37703
Risk:Reward 1:2.21
Optimal Target 1.37321
Stop Loss Distance 36.0 pips
Target Distance 79.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.38670 1.38971 1.39584
Support: 1.38252 1.37703 1.37321

Rationale

Lower highs since 1.4100 with the current bounce corrective; stop sits above 1.3867 resistance. Nearby 1.38252 is too close for 1:1, so the first valid target is 1.3770.

Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.59R
Analysis Price 114.053
Entry Point 113.870
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 113.470
Conservative Target 114.669
Risk:Reward 1:2.00
Optimal Target 114.915
Stop Loss Distance 40.0 pips
Target Distance 79.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 114.164 114.669 114.915
Support: 113.712 113.595 113.096

Rationale

Strongest momentum of the JPY crosses with an 84% retail short book. Buy the dip toward 113.7 support; 114.164 is too near for 1:1 so 114.67 is the first target.

Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.51R
Analysis Price 0.80155
Entry Point 0.80280
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.80560
Conservative Target 0.79829
Risk:Reward 1:1.61
Optimal Target 0.79497
Stop Loss Distance 28.0 pips
Target Distance 45.1 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.80422 0.81081 0.81201
Support: 0.80099 0.79829 0.79497

Rationale

Downtrend structure after the 0.7970 breakdown with 65% of retail trapped long. Sell the rally into 0.8028 with the stop above the 0.80422 resistance.

Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.48R
Analysis Price 0.47888
Entry Point 0.47820
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.47650
Conservative Target 0.48175
Risk:Reward 1:2.09
Optimal Target 0.48500
Stop Loss Distance 17.0 pips
Target Distance 35.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.47925 0.47952 0.48175
Support: 0.47793 0.47576 0.47408

Rationale

Back at the top of the range after absorbing the 0.4727 flush with 67% of retail short. The 0.47925/0.47952 caps are too close for 1:1, so a break toward 0.4818 is the objective.

Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.47R
Analysis Price 185.857
Entry Point 185.620
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 185.140
Conservative Target 186.500
Risk:Reward 1:1.83
Optimal Target 187.471
Stop Loss Distance 48.0 pips
Target Distance 88.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 186.067 186.500 187.471
Support: 185.520 185.349 184.343

Rationale

Uptrend with a fresh bullish MACD cross and 75% of retail short. Stop below the 185.35 support; 186.067 is too near for 1:1 so 186.50 is the first valid target.

Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.46R
Analysis Price 1.95395
Entry Point 1.95650
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.96250
Conservative Target 1.94428
Risk:Reward 1:2.04
Optimal Target 1.94428
Stop Loss Distance 60.0 pips
Target Distance 122.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.96060 1.96873 1.97321
Support: 1.95168 1.95152 1.94428

Rationale

Clear lower highs from 1.9835 with RSI 40 and 65% retail long. Stop above 1.9606 resistance; 1.9517 is too close for 1:1 so 1.9443 is the objective.

Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.44R
Analysis Price 0.57934
Entry Point 0.58000
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.58165
Conservative Target 0.57725
Risk:Reward 1:1.67
Optimal Target 0.57396
Stop Loss Distance 16.5 pips
Target Distance 27.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58078 0.58229 0.58644
Support: 0.57862 0.57725 0.57396

Rationale

Failure to reclaim 0.5824 with MACD rolling over and 64% of retail long. Sell the bounce with the stop above the 0.58078 resistance.

Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.40R
Analysis Price 0.82687
Entry Point 0.82580
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.82330
Conservative Target 0.82967
Risk:Reward 1:1.55
Optimal Target 0.83300
Stop Loss Distance 25.0 pips
Target Distance 38.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.82691 0.82762 0.82967
Support: 0.82428 0.82320 0.81951

Rationale

Five-session advance with RSI 62 and an extreme 81% retail short book. Stop below the 0.82428/0.8232 supports, targeting the 0.8297 swing high.

Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.36R
Analysis Price 0.71657
Entry Point 0.71560
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.71343
Conservative Target 0.71803
Risk:Reward 1:1.12
Optimal Target 0.72006
Stop Loss Distance 21.7 pips
Target Distance 24.3 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.71803 0.72006 0.72500
Support: 0.71376 0.71090 0.70668

Rationale

Persistent higher lows and an 80% retail short book make this the cleanest USD-short expression. Shallow dip entry above 0.7140 support, stop just beneath it.

Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.33R
Analysis Price 1.36518
Entry Point 1.36380
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.36050
Conservative Target 1.36756
Risk:Reward 1:1.14
Optimal Target 1.37000
Stop Loss Distance 33.0 pips
Target Distance 37.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.36756 1.37000 1.37500
Support: 1.36213 1.35945 1.35445

Rationale

Clean higher-high structure and an extreme 74% retail short book support continuation. Stop sits below the 1.36213 support, targets at the 1.3676/1.3700 resistances.

Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.32R
Analysis Price 217.368
Entry Point 217.050
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 216.360
Conservative Target 218.014
Risk:Reward 1:1.40
Optimal Target 218.684
Stop Loss Distance 69.0 pips
Target Distance 96.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 217.474 218.014 218.684
Support: 216.846 216.425 214.835

Rationale

Grinding higher lows with a strong MACD histogram and 80% of retail short. Buy the dip to 217.05 with the stop below the 216.85/216.43 support pair.

Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.27R
Analysis Price 1.16740
Entry Point 1.16600
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.16355
Conservative Target 1.16858
Risk:Reward 1:1.05
Optimal Target 1.17114
Stop Loss Distance 24.5 pips
Target Distance 25.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.16858 1.17114 1.17500
Support: 1.16551 1.16000 1.15642

Rationale

Uptrend consolidating just under 1.1711 with MACD rising and 66% of retail short. Buy the dip toward 1.1655-1.1660 with the stop beyond that support shelf.

Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.27R
Analysis Price 0.59791
Entry Point 0.59670
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.59425
Conservative Target 0.59941
Risk:Reward 1:1.11
Optimal Target 0.60500
Stop Loss Distance 24.5 pips
Target Distance 27.1 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.59880 0.59941 0.60500
Support: 0.59462 0.59275 0.58850

Rationale

Breakout above 0.5940 held with 75% of retail short into the trend. Buy the pullback with the stop beneath the 0.59462 support, 0.6000 the magnet.

Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.26R
Analysis Price 1.62960
Entry Point 1.63120
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.63500
Conservative Target 1.62612
Risk:Reward 1:1.34
Optimal Target 1.61916
Stop Loss Distance 38.0 pips
Target Distance 50.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.63324 1.63383 1.64130
Support: 1.62794 1.62612 1.61916

Rationale

Repeated failure at 1.6445 with RSI under 50 and 70% of retail long into the decline. Sell the bounce with the stop above the 1.63324/1.63383 resistance cluster.

Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.25R
Analysis Price 1.90568
Entry Point 1.90760
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.91250
Conservative Target 1.90071
Risk:Reward 1:1.41
Optimal Target 1.90004
Stop Loss Distance 49.0 pips
Target Distance 68.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.90952 1.91238 1.91910
Support: 1.90418 1.90071 1.90004

Rationale

Repeated rejection from 1.9190 with RSI below 50 and 61% of retail long. Sell into 1.9076 with the stop above 1.90952/1.91238 resistance.

Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.24R
Analysis Price 0.93587
Entry Point 0.93510
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.93340
Conservative Target 0.93722
Risk:Reward 1:1.25
Optimal Target 0.94113
Stop Loss Distance 17.0 pips
Target Distance 21.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.93722 0.94113 0.94496
Support: 0.93449 0.93073 0.92757

Rationale

Price is rebuilding after the 0.9307 flush with 71% of retail short. Buy the 0.9350 support retest with the stop beneath 0.93449.

Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.23R
Analysis Price 1.88893
Entry Point 1.88720
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.88360
Conservative Target 1.89133
Risk:Reward 1:1.15
Optimal Target 1.89536
Stop Loss Distance 36.0 pips
Target Distance 41.3 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.89133 1.89536 1.90330
Support: 1.88788 1.88532 1.88106

Rationale

Sharp reclaim of the range mid with MACD crossing up and 71% of retail short. Stop sits below the 1.88532 support pivot.

Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.21R
Analysis Price 0.99116
Entry Point 0.99000
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.98745
Conservative Target 0.99257
Risk:Reward 1:1.01
Optimal Target 0.99485
Stop Loss Distance 25.5 pips
Target Distance 25.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.99198 0.99257 0.99485
Support: 0.98943 0.98786 0.98198

Rationale

Breakout from the 0.9820-0.9880 base with MACD crossing up and 77% of retail short. Buy the shallow dip to 0.9900 with the stop under 0.98786.

Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.21R
Analysis Price 4657.35
Entry Point 4630.00
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 4578.00
Conservative Target 4696.94
Risk:Reward 1:1.29
Optimal Target 4750.00
Stop Loss Distance 52.0 pts
Target Distance 66.9 pts

Key Levels

Resistance: 4696.94 4750.00 4800.00
Support: 4605.29 4594.84 4518.91

Rationale

Powerful uptrend but RSI 72 makes chasing expensive, so only the pullback toward 4605-4630 is worth buying. Stop sits below the 4594.84 support.

Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.20R
Analysis Price 1.09431
Entry Point 1.09330
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.09060
Conservative Target 1.09674
Risk:Reward 1:1.27
Optimal Target 1.10112
Stop Loss Distance 27.0 pips
Target Distance 34.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.09674 1.10112 1.10500
Support: 1.09321 1.09037 1.08495

Rationale

Steady repair of the 1.0843 spike low with 66% of retail short. Long at the 1.09321 support with the stop beneath it, targeting the 1.0967/1.1011 band.

Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.18R
Analysis Price 95.114
Entry Point 94.930
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 94.565
Conservative Target 95.309
Risk:Reward 1:1.04
Optimal Target 95.427
Stop Loss Distance 36.5 pips
Target Distance 37.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 95.198 95.309 95.427
Support: 94.777 94.441 93.850

Rationale

Fresh multi-week highs with rising MACD and 75% of retail short. Dip entry above the 94.777 support, which the stop sits beneath.

Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.15R
Analysis Price 198.626
Entry Point 198.350
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 197.750
Conservative Target 199.079
Risk:Reward 1:1.22
Optimal Target 200.000
Stop Loss Distance 60.0 pips
Target Distance 72.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 199.079 200.000 200.956
Support: 198.097 197.000 195.472

Rationale

Momentum turned up after the 195.9 base with 69% of retail short. Stop is a 0.5-ATR volatility stop just under the 198.097 support.

Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R
Analysis Price 115.066
Entry Point 114.900
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 114.520
Conservative Target 115.366
Risk:Reward 1:1.23
Optimal Target 115.630
Stop Loss Distance 38.0 pips
Target Distance 46.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 115.169 115.366 115.630
Support: 114.862 114.581 114.037

Rationale

Uptrend intact but stalling below 115.60 with neutral positioning. Buy only at the 114.86 support with the stop beyond the 114.58 pivot.

Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R
Analysis Price 2.28406
Entry Point 2.28700
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 2.29400
Conservative Target 2.27991
Risk:Reward 1:1.01
Optimal Target 2.27500
Stop Loss Distance 70.0 pips
Target Distance 70.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.29245 2.29759 2.31071
Support: 2.28182 2.27991 2.27500

Rationale

Sequence of lower highs from 2.3150 with RSI 42 and 68% of retail long. Fade the bounce below the 2.29245 resistance targeting the 2.2799/2.2750 supports.

Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 159.246
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 159.492 159.780 160.598
Support: 159.098 158.600 158.026

Rationale

Two weeks of 158.0-159.8 chop with flat momentum, so only the range edges are tradable. Fade the 159.49 resistance with a stop above 159.78 back toward the range floor.

Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.85519
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.85618 0.85845 0.86539
Support: 0.85462 0.85426 0.85318

Rationale

Flat 0.8532-0.8585 range with RSI 48 and balanced retail positioning offers no directional edge. Only a rotation long from the lower edge is worth a small allocation.

Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.61514
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.61739 1.61776 1.62431
Support: 1.61369 1.61243 1.60765

Rationale

Back inside the 1.6050-1.6250 range with MACD turning up but no sentiment edge. Only a dip-buy at the 1.61369 support offers acceptable geometry.

Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.19866
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.20112 1.20191 1.20969
Support: 1.19801 1.19491 1.19431

Rationale

Rotating inside 1.1940-1.2070 with flat MACD and no positioning edge. Only a range-low buy below 1.19801 with a stop under 1.19491 makes sense.

Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$4 average per $100 risked

76 of 114 picks filled, over 38 verified days · target hit 16%

Every plan on the board

−$7 average per $100 risked

321 plans over 38 verified days · target hit 10%

38 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 76 picks the honest range around the +$4 runs from −$13 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 114 picks published, 76 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 20 of the 76 picks lost the full $100, against 43 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 100% of the Top 3 result, and 25 of the 76 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$15 to +$1, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 321 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 9 Oct 2026)

  • Target hit 10% (32)
  • Stop hit 24% (78)
  • Timed out 66% (211)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 155 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown
29% Win rate 32 of 110 plans closed at target or stop
-0.07R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one
+0.08R Timed-out average how those 211 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%
14 of 65 plans

Bearish

40%
18 of 45 plans

Win rate by pair

PairWin ratePlans
GBPJPY
75%
3 / 4
EURJPY
67%
2 / 3
NZDJPY
67%
2 / 3
AUDCHF
50%
3 / 6
NZDCAD
50%
2 / 4
AUDUSD
43%
3 / 7
USDCAD
40%
2 / 5
XAUUSD
33%
1 / 3
GBPUSD
33%
1 / 3
CHFJPY
33%
1 / 3
EURCHF
30%
3 / 10
EURGBP
25%
1 / 4
GBPAUD
25%
1 / 4
EURNZD
25%
1 / 4
EURUSD
25%
1 / 4
USDCHF
25%
1 / 4
USDJPY
25%
1 / 4
NZDUSD
25%
1 / 4
AUDJPY
20%
1 / 5
GBPCAD
0%
0 / 6
NZDCHF
0%
0 / 4
AUDCAD
0%
0 / 3
GBPNZD
0%
0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit
Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit
Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out
The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled
Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken
Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

9 Oct 2026 1 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $84
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12210 → 1.11612 Timed out +0.61R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83060 → 0.83464 Timed out -0.23R
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84790 → 0.84613 Target hit +1.04R
EURJPY Bearish 177.250 → 176.516 Timed out -0.04R
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90000 → 1.90693 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35920 → 2.36646 Timed out -0.18R
AUDJPY Bearish 110.000 → 109.233 Stop hit -1.00R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46650 → 0.46357 Timed out +0.35R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Bearish 4147.00 → 4066.46 Stop hit -1.00R
8 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 7 timed out $100 → $125
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12100 → 1.11612 Timed out -0.08R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83200 → 0.83615 Timed out -0.21R
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69710 → 0.69426 Timed out +0.45R
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93360 → 0.92951 Timed out +0.35R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59730 → 1.59058 Timed out +0.82R
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Bullish 1.24270 → 1.24650 Timed out -0.18R
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46690 → 0.46515 Timed out +0.61R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
7 Oct 2026 1 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $106
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84862 → 0.84547 Not filled –
EURJPY Bearish 178.280 → 177.029 Target hit +1.12R
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88480 → 1.89118 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35780 → 2.36646 Not filled –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Bearish 89.080 → 88.329 Not filled –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Bearish 0.80000 → 0.79711 Not filled –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
6 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $49
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12290 → 1.11612 Timed out -0.50R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.42500 → 1.42931 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDUSD Bearish 0.56080 → 0.55798 Timed out -0.67R
EURGBP Bearish 0.84890 → 0.84547 Timed out +0.35R
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93290 → 0.93018 Stop hit -1.00R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88400 → 1.88934 Not filled –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35880 → 2.36646 Timed out +0.25R
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46580 → 0.46330 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
5 Oct 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $37
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12650 → 1.12150 Not filled –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69620 → 0.69220 Timed out -0.36R
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Bearish 0.56260 → 0.55858 Not filled –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Bearish 177.850 → 176.595 Not filled –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93370 → 0.93018 Not filled –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90350 → 1.91148 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88700 → 1.89527 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bearish 109.880 → 109.233 Timed out -0.50R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46610 → 0.46330 Not filled –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Bearish 0.58200 → 0.57872 Timed out -0.28R
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

  1. Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
  2. Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
  3. AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
  4. Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

  • Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
  • Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
  • Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
  • Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
  • Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it: probability × reward/risk − (1 − probability). Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. Only plans with a positive expected result are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
  • Target odds: the model's chance of reaching the conservative target before the stop, once the order fills. These plans were written under the two-outcome model, where the no-edge baseline is 1/(1+RR) — 50% at 1:1, 33% at 1:2 — never 50% flat. The figure is not shown next to each plan: a farther target is worth more but is reached less often, so on its own it says nothing about whether a plan is worth taking. It is already accounted for in the expected result
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

  • Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
  • Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
  • Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
  • Adjust position size based on expected volatility
  • Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
  • Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

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