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Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Wednesday, 26 August 2026 Forecast for: Thursday, 27 August 2026 Plan window: Wed 23:00 – Thu 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

You are viewing an archived forecast

This is the forex forecast generated for 26 August 2026. View current forecast

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Broad USD softness remains the dominant theme with EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD in uptrends and USDCAD grinding lower, while the commodity bloc is the strongest complex and carries extreme retail short positioning that supports the contrarian bullish case. Crowded retail longs in GBPAUD, EURAUD and GBPNZD keep those crosses on the sell-the-rally side, and JPY crosses stay bid within rising channels. Jackson Hole commentary is the main event risk and can inject sharp two-way swings into USD pairs and gold late in the session.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

  • USD Unemployment Claims at 08:30 NY (forecast 208K)
  • Jackson Hole Symposium headlines from 12:15 NY - USD and gold gap risk
  • AUDUSD test of 0.71884 resistance with 90% retail short
  • XAUUSD reaction at the 4583 support shelf after a 100-point ATR session

Best Opportunities

AUDUSD Bullish
AUDJPY Bullish
EURAUD Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record so far (321 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close.

AUDUSD

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.39

Expected result +0.39 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.71610 Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.71330 (28.0 pips)
Conservative Target 0.72000 (39.0 pips)
Optimal Target 0.72450 (84.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.71884 0.72000 0.72450
Support: 0.71376 0.71027 0.70668

Rationale

Clean higher highs with an extreme 90% retail short book; shallow dips have been the only pullbacks, so entry stays near the prior session low. Stop sits below the 0.71376 support.

Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

AUDJPY

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.15

Expected result +0.20 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 114.070 Buy limit
Stop Loss 113.550 (52.0 pips)
Conservative Target 114.670 (60.0 pips)
Optimal Target 114.920 (85.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 114.400 114.670 114.920
Support: 113.940 113.600 113.100

Rationale

Textbook uptrend with expanding MACD and an extreme 92% retail short; buy the shallow dip to 113.94-114.07. Stop below the 113.60 support.

Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

EURAUD

Bearish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.29

Expected result +0.21 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.62610 Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.63150 (54.0 pips)
Conservative Target 1.61916 (69.4 pips)
Optimal Target 1.61500 (111.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.63080 1.63383 1.64130
Support: 1.62330 1.61916 1.61500

Rationale

Persistent lower highs and a crowded 82% retail long book make rallies toward 1.6308 prime shorts. Stop just above that resistance, targets at 1.6192/1.6150.

Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair Direction Confidence Analysis Price Entry Stop Loss Target Expected result Risk:Reward Result

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.43R
Analysis Price 1.09500
Entry Point 1.09425
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.09150
Conservative Target 1.10045
Risk:Reward 1:2.25
Optimal Target 1.10112
Stop Loss Distance 27.5 pips
Target Distance 62.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.09674 1.10045 1.10112
Support: 1.09335 1.09037 1.08495

Rationale

Grind higher from the 1.0843 flush with retail 74% short; long above the 1.09335 support. Nearest resistance at 1.09674 is too close for 1:1, so targets sit at 1.1004/1.1011.

Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.42R
Analysis Price 0.99460
Entry Point 0.99385
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.99050
Conservative Target 1.00000
Risk:Reward 1:1.84
Optimal Target 1.00500
Stop Loss Distance 33.5 pips
Target Distance 61.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.99622 1.00000 1.00500
Support: 0.99102 0.98918 0.98722

Rationale

Breakout above 0.9948 with rising MACD and 87% retail short; dips toward 0.9910 remain buys for parity. Stop under the 0.99102 support.

Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.39R
Analysis Price 0.71683
Entry Point 0.71610
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.71330
Conservative Target 0.72000
Risk:Reward 1:1.39
Optimal Target 0.72450
Stop Loss Distance 28.0 pips
Target Distance 39.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.71884 0.72000 0.72450
Support: 0.71376 0.71027 0.70668

Rationale

Clean higher highs with an extreme 90% retail short book; shallow dips have been the only pullbacks, so entry stays near the prior session low. Stop sits below the 0.71376 support.

Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.39R
Analysis Price 1.61667
Entry Point 1.61585
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.61180
Conservative Target 1.62431
Risk:Reward 1:2.09
Optimal Target 1.62693
Stop Loss Distance 40.5 pips
Target Distance 84.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.61864 1.62431 1.62693
Support: 1.61504 1.61243 1.60765

Rationale

MACD cross above signal after basing at 1.6045 keeps longs favoured while 1.6150 holds. Stop below 1.61243 support; 1.61864 is too near to serve as a target.

Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.37R
Analysis Price 0.59431
Entry Point 0.59370
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.59120
Conservative Target 0.59880
Risk:Reward 1:2.04
Optimal Target 0.60000
Stop Loss Distance 25.0 pips
Target Distance 51.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.59880 0.60000 0.60350
Support: 0.59326 0.59275 0.58850

Rationale

Uptrend with 76% retail short favours buying the 0.5933-0.5928 support band. Stop below 0.59275, first upside cap at 0.5988.

Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.36R
Analysis Price 1.89616
Entry Point 1.89760
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.90650
Conservative Target 1.88069
Risk:Reward 1:1.90
Optimal Target 1.87500
Stop Loss Distance 89.0 pips
Target Distance 169.1 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.90606 1.91238 1.91910
Support: 1.89435 1.88069 1.87500

Rationale

Breakdown below 1.9000 with RSI 38 and 84% of retail long makes bounces sellable. Stop above the 1.90606 lower high, first objective the 1.8807 support.

Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.33R
Analysis Price 1.38765
Entry Point 1.38855
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.39150
Conservative Target 1.38334
Risk:Reward 1:1.77
Optimal Target 1.37892
Stop Loss Distance 29.5 pips
Target Distance 52.1 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.38930 1.39584 1.40240
Support: 1.38334 1.37892 1.37565

Rationale

Downtrend with lower highs makes the bounce into 1.3893 resistance a selling zone. Stop just above that level, targets back at the 1.3833/1.3789 supports.

Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.32R
Analysis Price 0.57756
Entry Point 0.57700
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.57505
Conservative Target 0.58000
Risk:Reward 1:1.54
Optimal Target 0.58120
Stop Loss Distance 19.5 pips
Target Distance 30.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.57810 0.57822 0.58000
Support: 0.57394 0.57290 0.56941

Rationale

Pressing the 0.5781 range top with RSI 61 and an extreme 94% retail short; a break opens 0.5800. Tight 0.5 ATR stop as the 0.57394 support is too far to reach for 1:1.

Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.31R
Analysis Price 0.47905
Entry Point 0.47860
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.47700
Conservative Target 0.48175
Risk:Reward 1:1.97
Optimal Target 0.48350
Stop Loss Distance 16.0 pips
Target Distance 31.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.47939 0.48175 0.48350
Support: 0.47770 0.47450 0.47269

Rationale

Coiling just below 0.4794 with RSI 61 and 70% retail short; a close above opens 0.4818. Stop below the 0.4777 support keeps risk near 0.5 ATR.

Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.28R
Analysis Price 185.594
Entry Point 185.450
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 184.990
Conservative Target 186.060
Risk:Reward 1:1.33
Optimal Target 187.470
Stop Loss Distance 46.0 pips
Target Distance 61.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 186.060 187.470 188.000
Support: 185.350 184.710 183.930

Rationale

Rising channel with a firm MACD cross and 83% retail short; dips above 185.35 are the entry. Stop 0.5 ATR below, under the support shelf.

Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.23R
Analysis Price 1.88677
Entry Point 1.88580
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.88050
Conservative Target 1.89536
Risk:Reward 1:1.80
Optimal Target 1.90330
Stop Loss Distance 53.0 pips
Target Distance 95.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.89092 1.89536 1.90330
Support: 1.88542 1.88106 1.87445

Rationale

Break of the 1.8810 range top plus a bullish MACD cross and 77% retail short favour longs above 1.8854. Stop below 1.88106; 1.89092 is too close to pay 1:1.

Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.21R
Analysis Price 1.62497
Entry Point 1.62610
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.63150
Conservative Target 1.61916
Risk:Reward 1:1.29
Optimal Target 1.61500
Stop Loss Distance 54.0 pips
Target Distance 69.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.63080 1.63383 1.64130
Support: 1.62330 1.61916 1.61500

Rationale

Persistent lower highs and a crowded 82% retail long book make rallies toward 1.6308 prime shorts. Stop just above that resistance, targets at 1.6192/1.6150.

Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.20R
Analysis Price 1.35932
Entry Point 1.35840
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.35400
Conservative Target 1.36506
Risk:Reward 1:1.51
Optimal Target 1.36756
Stop Loss Distance 44.0 pips
Target Distance 66.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.36506 1.36756 1.37000
Support: 1.35831 1.35445 1.34859

Rationale

Uptrend holds while 1.3583 support survives yesterday's sharp reversal, with retail 69% short supporting a bounce. Stop sits below the 1.35445 shelf, within 0.7 ATR.

Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.20R
Analysis Price 114.184
Entry Point 114.070
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 113.550
Conservative Target 114.670
Risk:Reward 1:1.15
Optimal Target 114.920
Stop Loss Distance 52.0 pips
Target Distance 60.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 114.400 114.670 114.920
Support: 113.940 113.600 113.100

Rationale

Textbook uptrend with expanding MACD and an extreme 92% retail short; buy the shallow dip to 113.94-114.07. Stop below the 113.60 support.

Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.18R
Analysis Price 0.93812
Entry Point 0.93760
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.93500
Conservative Target 0.94113
Risk:Reward 1:1.36
Optimal Target 0.94450
Stop Loss Distance 26.0 pips
Target Distance 35.3 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.93895 0.94113 0.94450
Support: 0.93538 0.93427 0.93073

Rationale

Steady recovery from 0.9307 with retail 85% short supports buying shallow dips. Stop below the 0.93538 support, first objective the 0.9411 resistance.

Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.18R
Analysis Price 94.713
Entry Point 94.610
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 94.240
Conservative Target 95.190
Risk:Reward 1:1.57
Optimal Target 95.310
Stop Loss Distance 37.0 pips
Target Distance 58.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 95.190 95.310 95.430
Support: 94.560 94.440 93.850

Rationale

Rising structure with positive MACD and 71% retail short supports buying above 94.44. Stop below that support, retest of 95.19-95.31 the objective.

Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.18R
Analysis Price 0.82493
Entry Point 0.82420
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.82150
Conservative Target 0.82762
Risk:Reward 1:1.27
Optimal Target 0.82967
Stop Loss Distance 27.0 pips
Target Distance 34.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.82657 0.82762 0.82967
Support: 0.82364 0.82320 0.81951

Rationale

Higher lows with positive MACD and an extreme 88% retail short book support buying above 0.8236. Stop under the 0.8232 support, targets 0.8276/0.8297.

Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.17R
Analysis Price 216.529
Entry Point 216.350
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 215.600
Conservative Target 217.470
Risk:Reward 1:1.49
Optimal Target 218.010
Stop Loss Distance 75.0 pips
Target Distance 112.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 217.470 218.010 218.680
Support: 216.430 215.030 214.840

Rationale

Fresh MACD bull cross with 86% retail short favours buying the 216.4 dip. Volatility stop at 0.6 ATR sits above the 215.03 support since that level is too distant.

Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.15R
Analysis Price 0.80439
Entry Point 0.80520
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.80790
Conservative Target 0.80114
Risk:Reward 1:1.50
Optimal Target 0.79829
Stop Loss Distance 27.0 pips
Target Distance 40.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.80628 0.81081 0.81201
Support: 0.80114 0.79829 0.79497

Rationale

Basing under 0.8063 resistance with negative MACD and retail 65% long argues for selling the rally. Stop just above the 0.80628 cap keeps risk near 0.5 ATR.

Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R
Analysis Price 4593.75
Entry Point 4570.00
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 4500.00
Conservative Target 4673.83
Risk:Reward 1:1.48
Optimal Target 4696.94
Stop Loss Distance 70.0 pts
Target Distance 103.8 pts

Key Levels

Resistance: 4673.83 4696.94 4750.00
Support: 4583.07 4508.98 4450.74

Rationale

Strong uptrend but RSI 66 and a 100-point ATR argue for buying the dip through 4583 rather than chasing. Jackson Hole and US claims are gap risks, hence the wider 0.7 ATR stop below 4509.

Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R
Analysis Price 1.16529
Entry Point 1.16455
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.16120
Conservative Target 1.16792
Risk:Reward 1:1.01
Optimal Target 1.17114
Stop Loss Distance 33.5 pips
Target Distance 33.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.16792 1.17114 1.17500
Support: 1.16418 1.16000 1.15814

Rationale

Uptrend intact with retail 69% short; buying the dip toward 1.1642 support with a 0.7 ATR volatility stop under 1.1600. Jackson Hole headlines are the main risk to the level.

Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R
Analysis Price 2.28679
Entry Point 2.28870
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 2.29500
Conservative Target 2.27991
Risk:Reward 1:1.40
Optimal Target 2.27500
Stop Loss Distance 63.0 pips
Target Distance 87.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.29282 2.29759 2.31071
Support: 2.28315 2.27991 2.27500

Rationale

Lower highs since 2.3150 with a heavily long 82% retail book favour selling bounces toward 2.2930. Volatility stop of ~0.5 ATR sits under that resistance zone.

Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.02R
Analysis Price 1.20646
Entry Point 1.20555
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.20200
Conservative Target 1.20969
Risk:Reward 1:1.17
Optimal Target 1.21213
Stop Loss Distance 35.5 pips
Target Distance 41.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.20795 1.20969 1.21213
Support: 1.20528 1.20112 1.19843

Rationale

Strong bullish outside day back above 1.2050 with 76% retail short favours longs. A 0.6 ATR volatility stop is used since 1.20112 support would stretch risk beyond the reward.

Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 159.311
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 159.780 160.600 161.930
Support: 158.880 158.030 156.670

Rationale

Price is locked in the 158.00-159.80 range, so only fading the upper edge offers value. Low conviction with US claims and Jackson Hole able to break the range.

Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.96033
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.96310 1.96873 1.97321
Support: 1.95750 1.95502 1.95152

Rationale

Choppy 1.9515-1.9687 range with flat MACD and 64% retail long gives only a mild fade at the upper edge. Low confidence without a range break.

Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 114.809
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 115.100 115.370 115.630
Support: 114.580 114.040 113.520

Rationale

Consolidation between 114.58 and 115.59 with balanced retail offers only a range-edge buy near support. No trend edge, so confidence stays low.

Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.85709
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.85845 0.86000 0.86539
Support: 0.85516 0.85426 0.85318

Rationale

Tight 0.8532-0.8585 range with flat MACD; only the range edges pay, so sell into 0.8576-0.8585. No directional edge, hence neutral bias.

Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.58068
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58229 0.58491 0.58644
Support: 0.57868 0.57725 0.57396

Rationale

Range-bound 0.5773-0.5823 with fading momentum and a mildly long retail book; only the upper edge offers a fade. No breakout, so bias stays neutral.

Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 197.709
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 198.730 199.080 200.960
Support: 197.700 196.650 195.470

Rationale

Sideways 197.7-199.1 consolidation with improving MACD histogram; only a dip into the lower edge is worth buying. Neutral until a close above 199.08.

Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$4 average per $100 risked

76 of 114 picks filled, over 38 verified days · target hit 16%

Every plan on the board

−$7 average per $100 risked

321 plans over 38 verified days · target hit 10%

38 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 76 picks the honest range around the +$4 runs from −$13 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 114 picks published, 76 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 20 of the 76 picks lost the full $100, against 43 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 100% of the Top 3 result, and 25 of the 76 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$15 to +$1, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 321 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 9 Oct 2026)

  • Target hit 10% (32)
  • Stop hit 24% (78)
  • Timed out 66% (211)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 155 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown
29% Win rate 32 of 110 plans closed at target or stop
-0.07R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one
+0.08R Timed-out average how those 211 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%
14 of 65 plans

Bearish

40%
18 of 45 plans

Win rate by pair

PairWin ratePlans
GBPJPY
75%
3 / 4
EURJPY
67%
2 / 3
NZDJPY
67%
2 / 3
AUDCHF
50%
3 / 6
NZDCAD
50%
2 / 4
AUDUSD
43%
3 / 7
USDCAD
40%
2 / 5
XAUUSD
33%
1 / 3
GBPUSD
33%
1 / 3
CHFJPY
33%
1 / 3
EURCHF
30%
3 / 10
EURGBP
25%
1 / 4
GBPAUD
25%
1 / 4
EURNZD
25%
1 / 4
EURUSD
25%
1 / 4
USDCHF
25%
1 / 4
USDJPY
25%
1 / 4
NZDUSD
25%
1 / 4
AUDJPY
20%
1 / 5
GBPCAD
0%
0 / 6
NZDCHF
0%
0 / 4
AUDCAD
0%
0 / 3
GBPNZD
0%
0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit
Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit
Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out
The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled
Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken
Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

9 Oct 2026 1 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $84
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12210 → 1.11612 Timed out +0.61R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83060 → 0.83464 Timed out -0.23R
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84790 → 0.84613 Target hit +1.04R
EURJPY Bearish 177.250 → 176.516 Timed out -0.04R
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90000 → 1.90693 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35920 → 2.36646 Timed out -0.18R
AUDJPY Bearish 110.000 → 109.233 Stop hit -1.00R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46650 → 0.46357 Timed out +0.35R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Bearish 4147.00 → 4066.46 Stop hit -1.00R
8 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 7 timed out $100 → $125
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12100 → 1.11612 Timed out -0.08R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83200 → 0.83615 Timed out -0.21R
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69710 → 0.69426 Timed out +0.45R
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93360 → 0.92951 Timed out +0.35R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59730 → 1.59058 Timed out +0.82R
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Bullish 1.24270 → 1.24650 Timed out -0.18R
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46690 → 0.46515 Timed out +0.61R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
7 Oct 2026 1 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $106
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84862 → 0.84547 Not filled –
EURJPY Bearish 178.280 → 177.029 Target hit +1.12R
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88480 → 1.89118 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35780 → 2.36646 Not filled –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Bearish 89.080 → 88.329 Not filled –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Bearish 0.80000 → 0.79711 Not filled –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
6 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $49
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12290 → 1.11612 Timed out -0.50R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.42500 → 1.42931 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDUSD Bearish 0.56080 → 0.55798 Timed out -0.67R
EURGBP Bearish 0.84890 → 0.84547 Timed out +0.35R
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93290 → 0.93018 Stop hit -1.00R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88400 → 1.88934 Not filled –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35880 → 2.36646 Timed out +0.25R
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46580 → 0.46330 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
5 Oct 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $37
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12650 → 1.12150 Not filled –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69620 → 0.69220 Timed out -0.36R
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Bearish 0.56260 → 0.55858 Not filled –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Bearish 177.850 → 176.595 Not filled –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93370 → 0.93018 Not filled –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90350 → 1.91148 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88700 → 1.89527 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bearish 109.880 → 109.233 Timed out -0.50R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46610 → 0.46330 Not filled –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Bearish 0.58200 → 0.57872 Timed out -0.28R
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

  1. Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
  2. Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
  3. AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
  4. Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

  • Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
  • Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
  • Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
  • Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
  • Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it: probability × reward/risk − (1 − probability). Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. Only plans with a positive expected result are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
  • Target odds: the model's chance of reaching the conservative target before the stop, once the order fills. These plans were written under the two-outcome model, where the no-edge baseline is 1/(1+RR) — 50% at 1:1, 33% at 1:2 — never 50% flat. The figure is not shown next to each plan: a farther target is worth more but is reached less often, so on its own it says nothing about whether a plan is worth taking. It is already accounted for in the expected result
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

  • Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
  • Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
  • Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
  • Adjust position size based on expected volatility
  • Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
  • Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

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