| GBPCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.09500 |
1.09425Buy limit |
1.09150 |
1.10045 |
44%
|
1:2.25 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.09500
Entry Point
1.09425
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.09150
Conservative Target
1.10045
Risk:Reward
1:2.25
Optimal Target
1.10112
Expected Value
+0.43R
Stop Loss Distance
27.5 pips
Target Distance
62.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.09674
1.10045
1.10112
Support:
1.09335
1.09037
1.08495
Rationale
Grind higher from the 1.0843 flush with retail 74% short; long above the 1.09335 support. Nearest resistance at 1.09674 is too close for 1:1, so targets sit at 1.1004/1.1011.
|
| AUDCAD |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.99460 |
0.99385Buy limit |
0.99050 |
1.00000 |
50%
|
1:1.84 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.99460
Entry Point
0.99385
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.99050
Conservative Target
1.00000
Risk:Reward
1:1.84
Optimal Target
1.00500
Expected Value
+0.42R
Stop Loss Distance
33.5 pips
Target Distance
61.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.99622
1.00000
1.00500
Support:
0.99102
0.98918
0.98722
Rationale
Breakout above 0.9948 with rising MACD and 87% retail short; dips toward 0.9910 remain buys for parity. Stop under the 0.99102 support.
|
| AUDUSD |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.71683 |
0.71610Buy limit |
0.71330 |
0.72000 |
58%
|
1:1.39 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.71683
Entry Point
0.71610
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.71330
Conservative Target
0.72000
Risk:Reward
1:1.39
Optimal Target
0.72450
Expected Value
+0.39R
Stop Loss Distance
28.0 pips
Target Distance
39.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.71884
0.72000
0.72450
Support:
0.71376
0.71027
0.70668
Rationale
Clean higher highs with an extreme 90% retail short book; shallow dips have been the only pullbacks, so entry stays near the prior session low. Stop sits below the 0.71376 support.
|
| EURCAD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.61667 |
1.61585Buy limit |
1.61180 |
1.62431 |
45%
|
1:2.09 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.61667
Entry Point
1.61585
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.61180
Conservative Target
1.62431
Risk:Reward
1:2.09
Optimal Target
1.62693
Expected Value
+0.39R
Stop Loss Distance
40.5 pips
Target Distance
84.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.61864
1.62431
1.62693
Support:
1.61504
1.61243
1.60765
Rationale
MACD cross above signal after basing at 1.6045 keeps longs favoured while 1.6150 holds. Stop below 1.61243 support; 1.61864 is too near to serve as a target.
|
| NZDUSD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.59431 |
0.59370Buy limit |
0.59120 |
0.59880 |
45%
|
1:2.04 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.59431
Entry Point
0.59370
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.59120
Conservative Target
0.59880
Risk:Reward
1:2.04
Optimal Target
0.60000
Expected Value
+0.37R
Stop Loss Distance
25.0 pips
Target Distance
51.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.59880
0.60000
0.60350
Support:
0.59326
0.59275
0.58850
Rationale
Uptrend with 76% retail short favours buying the 0.5933-0.5928 support band. Stop below 0.59275, first upside cap at 0.5988.
|
| GBPAUD |
Bearish
|
High
|
1.89616 |
1.89760Sell limit |
1.90650 |
1.88069 |
47%
|
1:1.90 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
1.89616
Entry Point
1.89760
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.90650
Conservative Target
1.88069
Risk:Reward
1:1.90
Optimal Target
1.87500
Expected Value
+0.36R
Stop Loss Distance
89.0 pips
Target Distance
169.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.90606
1.91238
1.91910
Support:
1.89435
1.88069
1.87500
Rationale
Breakdown below 1.9000 with RSI 38 and 84% of retail long makes bounces sellable. Stop above the 1.90606 lower high, first objective the 1.8807 support.
|
| USDCAD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.38765 |
1.38855Sell limit |
1.39150 |
1.38334 |
48%
|
1:1.77 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.38765
Entry Point
1.38855
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.39150
Conservative Target
1.38334
Risk:Reward
1:1.77
Optimal Target
1.37892
Expected Value
+0.33R
Stop Loss Distance
29.5 pips
Target Distance
52.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.38930
1.39584
1.40240
Support:
1.38334
1.37892
1.37565
Rationale
Downtrend with lower highs makes the bounce into 1.3893 resistance a selling zone. Stop just above that level, targets back at the 1.3833/1.3789 supports.
|
| AUDCHF |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.57756 |
0.57700Buy limit |
0.57505 |
0.58000 |
52%
|
1:1.54 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.57756
Entry Point
0.57700
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.57505
Conservative Target
0.58000
Risk:Reward
1:1.54
Optimal Target
0.58120
Expected Value
+0.32R
Stop Loss Distance
19.5 pips
Target Distance
30.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.57810
0.57822
0.58000
Support:
0.57394
0.57290
0.56941
Rationale
Pressing the 0.5781 range top with RSI 61 and an extreme 94% retail short; a break opens 0.5800. Tight 0.5 ATR stop as the 0.57394 support is too far to reach for 1:1.
|
| NZDCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.47905 |
0.47860Buy limit |
0.47700 |
0.48175 |
44%
|
1:1.97 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.47905
Entry Point
0.47860
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.47700
Conservative Target
0.48175
Risk:Reward
1:1.97
Optimal Target
0.48350
Expected Value
+0.31R
Stop Loss Distance
16.0 pips
Target Distance
31.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.47939
0.48175
0.48350
Support:
0.47770
0.47450
0.47269
Rationale
Coiling just below 0.4794 with RSI 61 and 70% retail short; a close above opens 0.4818. Stop below the 0.4777 support keeps risk near 0.5 ATR.
|
| EURJPY |
Bullish
|
High
|
185.594 |
185.450Buy limit |
184.990 |
186.060 |
55%
|
1:1.33 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
185.594
Entry Point
185.450
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
184.990
Conservative Target
186.060
Risk:Reward
1:1.33
Optimal Target
187.470
Expected Value
+0.28R
Stop Loss Distance
46.0 pips
Target Distance
61.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
186.060
187.470
188.000
Support:
185.350
184.710
183.930
Rationale
Rising channel with a firm MACD cross and 83% retail short; dips above 185.35 are the entry. Stop 0.5 ATR below, under the support shelf.
|
| GBPCAD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.88677 |
1.88580Buy limit |
1.88050 |
1.89536 |
44%
|
1:1.80 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.88677
Entry Point
1.88580
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.88050
Conservative Target
1.89536
Risk:Reward
1:1.80
Optimal Target
1.90330
Expected Value
+0.23R
Stop Loss Distance
53.0 pips
Target Distance
95.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.89092
1.89536
1.90330
Support:
1.88542
1.88106
1.87445
Rationale
Break of the 1.8810 range top plus a bullish MACD cross and 77% retail short favour longs above 1.8854. Stop below 1.88106; 1.89092 is too close to pay 1:1.
|
| EURAUD |
Bearish
|
High
|
1.62497 |
1.62610Sell limit |
1.63150 |
1.61916 |
53%
|
1:1.29 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
1.62497
Entry Point
1.62610
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.63150
Conservative Target
1.61916
Risk:Reward
1:1.29
Optimal Target
1.61500
Expected Value
+0.21R
Stop Loss Distance
54.0 pips
Target Distance
69.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.63080
1.63383
1.64130
Support:
1.62330
1.61916
1.61500
Rationale
Persistent lower highs and a crowded 82% retail long book make rallies toward 1.6308 prime shorts. Stop just above that resistance, targets at 1.6192/1.6150.
|
| GBPUSD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.35932 |
1.35840Buy limit |
1.35400 |
1.36506 |
48%
|
1:1.51 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.35932
Entry Point
1.35840
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.35400
Conservative Target
1.36506
Risk:Reward
1:1.51
Optimal Target
1.36756
Expected Value
+0.20R
Stop Loss Distance
44.0 pips
Target Distance
66.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.36506
1.36756
1.37000
Support:
1.35831
1.35445
1.34859
Rationale
Uptrend holds while 1.3583 support survives yesterday's sharp reversal, with retail 69% short supporting a bounce. Stop sits below the 1.35445 shelf, within 0.7 ATR.
|
| AUDJPY |
Bullish
|
High
|
114.184 |
114.070Buy limit |
113.550 |
114.670 |
56%
|
1:1.15 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
114.184
Entry Point
114.070
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
113.550
Conservative Target
114.670
Risk:Reward
1:1.15
Optimal Target
114.920
Expected Value
+0.20R
Stop Loss Distance
52.0 pips
Target Distance
60.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
114.400
114.670
114.920
Support:
113.940
113.600
113.100
Rationale
Textbook uptrend with expanding MACD and an extreme 92% retail short; buy the shallow dip to 113.94-114.07. Stop below the 113.60 support.
|
| EURCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.93812 |
0.93760Buy limit |
0.93500 |
0.94113 |
50%
|
1:1.36 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.93812
Entry Point
0.93760
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.93500
Conservative Target
0.94113
Risk:Reward
1:1.36
Optimal Target
0.94450
Expected Value
+0.18R
Stop Loss Distance
26.0 pips
Target Distance
35.3 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.93895
0.94113
0.94450
Support:
0.93538
0.93427
0.93073
Rationale
Steady recovery from 0.9307 with retail 85% short supports buying shallow dips. Stop below the 0.93538 support, first objective the 0.9411 resistance.
|
| NZDJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
94.713 |
94.610Buy limit |
94.240 |
95.190 |
46%
|
1:1.57 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
94.713
Entry Point
94.610
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
94.240
Conservative Target
95.190
Risk:Reward
1:1.57
Optimal Target
95.310
Expected Value
+0.18R
Stop Loss Distance
37.0 pips
Target Distance
58.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
95.190
95.310
95.430
Support:
94.560
94.440
93.850
Rationale
Rising structure with positive MACD and 71% retail short supports buying above 94.44. Stop below that support, retest of 95.19-95.31 the objective.
|
| NZDCAD |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.82493 |
0.82420Buy limit |
0.82150 |
0.82762 |
52%
|
1:1.27 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.82493
Entry Point
0.82420
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.82150
Conservative Target
0.82762
Risk:Reward
1:1.27
Optimal Target
0.82967
Expected Value
+0.18R
Stop Loss Distance
27.0 pips
Target Distance
34.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.82657
0.82762
0.82967
Support:
0.82364
0.82320
0.81951
Rationale
Higher lows with positive MACD and an extreme 88% retail short book support buying above 0.8236. Stop under the 0.8232 support, targets 0.8276/0.8297.
|
| GBPJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
216.529 |
216.350Buy limit |
215.600 |
217.470 |
47%
|
1:1.49 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
216.529
Entry Point
216.350
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
215.600
Conservative Target
217.470
Risk:Reward
1:1.49
Optimal Target
218.010
Expected Value
+0.17R
Stop Loss Distance
75.0 pips
Target Distance
112.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
217.470
218.010
218.680
Support:
216.430
215.030
214.840
Rationale
Fresh MACD bull cross with 86% retail short favours buying the 216.4 dip. Volatility stop at 0.6 ATR sits above the 215.03 support since that level is too distant.
|
| USDCHF |
Bearish
|
Low
|
0.80439 |
0.80520Sell limit |
0.80790 |
0.80114 |
46%
|
1:1.50 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.80439
Entry Point
0.80520
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.80790
Conservative Target
0.80114
Risk:Reward
1:1.50
Optimal Target
0.79829
Expected Value
+0.15R
Stop Loss Distance
27.0 pips
Target Distance
40.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.80628
0.81081
0.81201
Support:
0.80114
0.79829
0.79497
Rationale
Basing under 0.8063 resistance with negative MACD and retail 65% long argues for selling the rally. Stop just above the 0.80628 cap keeps risk near 0.5 ATR.
|
| XAUUSD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
4593.75 |
4570.00Buy limit |
4500.00 |
4673.83 |
45%
|
1:1.48 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
4593.75
Entry Point
4570.00
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
4500.00
Conservative Target
4673.83
Risk:Reward
1:1.48
Optimal Target
4696.94
Expected Value
+0.12R
Stop Loss Distance
70.0 pts
Target Distance
103.8 pts
Key Levels
Resistance:
4673.83
4696.94
4750.00
Support:
4583.07
4508.98
4450.74
Rationale
Strong uptrend but RSI 66 and a 100-point ATR argue for buying the dip through 4583 rather than chasing. Jackson Hole and US claims are gap risks, hence the wider 0.7 ATR stop below 4509.
|
| EURUSD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.16529 |
1.16455Buy limit |
1.16120 |
1.16792 |
55%
|
1:1.01 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.16529
Entry Point
1.16455
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.16120
Conservative Target
1.16792
Risk:Reward
1:1.01
Optimal Target
1.17114
Expected Value
+0.11R
Stop Loss Distance
33.5 pips
Target Distance
33.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.16792
1.17114
1.17500
Support:
1.16418
1.16000
1.15814
Rationale
Uptrend intact with retail 69% short; buying the dip toward 1.1642 support with a 0.7 ATR volatility stop under 1.1600. Jackson Hole headlines are the main risk to the level.
|
| GBPNZD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
2.28679 |
2.28870Sell limit |
2.29500 |
2.27991 |
45%
|
1:1.40 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
2.28679
Entry Point
2.28870
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
2.29500
Conservative Target
2.27991
Risk:Reward
1:1.40
Optimal Target
2.27500
Expected Value
+0.08R
Stop Loss Distance
63.0 pips
Target Distance
87.9 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.29282
2.29759
2.31071
Support:
2.28315
2.27991
2.27500
Rationale
Lower highs since 2.3150 with a heavily long 82% retail book favour selling bounces toward 2.2930. Volatility stop of ~0.5 ATR sits under that resistance zone.
|
| AUDNZD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.20646 |
1.20555Buy limit |
1.20200 |
1.20969 |
47%
|
1:1.17 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.20646
Entry Point
1.20555
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.20200
Conservative Target
1.20969
Risk:Reward
1:1.17
Optimal Target
1.21213
Expected Value
+0.02R
Stop Loss Distance
35.5 pips
Target Distance
41.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.20795
1.20969
1.21213
Support:
1.20528
1.20112
1.19843
Rationale
Strong bullish outside day back above 1.2050 with 76% retail short favours longs. A 0.6 ATR volatility stop is used since 1.20112 support would stretch risk beyond the reward.
|
| USDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
159.311 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
159.311
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
159.780
160.600
161.930
Support:
158.880
158.030
156.670
Rationale
Price is locked in the 158.00-159.80 range, so only fading the upper edge offers value. Low conviction with US claims and Jackson Hole able to break the range.
|
| EURNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.96033 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.96033
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.96310
1.96873
1.97321
Support:
1.95750
1.95502
1.95152
Rationale
Choppy 1.9515-1.9687 range with flat MACD and 64% retail long gives only a mild fade at the upper edge. Low confidence without a range break.
|
| CADJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
114.809 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
114.809
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
115.100
115.370
115.630
Support:
114.580
114.040
113.520
Rationale
Consolidation between 114.58 and 115.59 with balanced retail offers only a range-edge buy near support. No trend edge, so confidence stays low.
|
| EURGBP |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.85709 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.85709
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.85845
0.86000
0.86539
Support:
0.85516
0.85426
0.85318
Rationale
Tight 0.8532-0.8585 range with flat MACD; only the range edges pay, so sell into 0.8576-0.8585. No directional edge, hence neutral bias.
|
| CADCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58068 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.58068
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58229
0.58491
0.58644
Support:
0.57868
0.57725
0.57396
Rationale
Range-bound 0.5773-0.5823 with fading momentum and a mildly long retail book; only the upper edge offers a fade. No breakout, so bias stays neutral.
|
| CHFJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
197.709 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
197.709
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
198.730
199.080
200.960
Support:
197.700
196.650
195.470
Rationale
Sideways 197.7-199.1 consolidation with improving MACD histogram; only a dip into the lower edge is worth buying. Neutral until a close above 199.08.
|