| EURAUD |
Bearish
|
High
|
1.62010 |
1.62120Sell limit |
1.62580 |
1.61000 |
45%
|
1:2.43 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
45%
Analysis Price
1.62010
Entry Point
1.62120
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.62580
Conservative Target
1.61000
Risk:Reward
1:2.43
Optimal Target
1.60500
Expected Value
+0.54R
Stop Loss Distance
46.0 pips
Target Distance
112.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.62518
1.63087
1.63383
Support:
1.61916
1.61858
1.61000
Rationale
Persistent lower highs, RSI 37 and an extreme 86% retail long make this the cleanest short; sell the rally below the 1.62518 resistance where the stop sits. Optimal is an extension beyond the 1.6100 support.
|
| GBPUSD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.35947 |
1.35857Buy limit |
1.35560 |
1.36551 |
45%
|
1:2.34 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
45%
Analysis Price
1.35947
Entry Point
1.35857
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.35560
Conservative Target
1.36551
Risk:Reward
1:2.34
Optimal Target
1.36756
Expected Value
+0.50R
Stop Loss Distance
29.7 pips
Target Distance
69.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.36026
1.36551
1.36756
Support:
1.35707
1.35195
1.34743
Rationale
Uptrend intact while 1.3570 holds and retail is 67% short, but momentum is fading inside the 1.3570-1.3676 range. Stop is placed below the 1.35707 support.
|
| GBPAUD |
Bearish
|
High
|
1.88952 |
1.89090Sell limit |
1.89640 |
1.88069 |
52%
|
1:1.86 |
+0.16RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
1.88952
Entry Point
1.89090
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.89640
Conservative Target
1.88069
Risk:Reward
1:1.86
Optimal Target
1.87300
Expected Value
+0.49R
Stop Loss Distance
55.0 pips
Target Distance
102.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.89576
1.90331
1.91238
Support:
1.88813
1.88069
Rationale
Relentless downtrend, RSI 35 and an unliquidated 91% retail long book support selling rallies into 1.8958 where the stop sits. Optimal is an extension below the 1.8807 objective.
|
| AUDUSD |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.71917 |
0.71867Buy limit |
0.71660 |
0.72200 |
55%
|
1:1.61 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
55%
Analysis Price
0.71917
Entry Point
0.71867
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.71660
Conservative Target
0.72200
Risk:Reward
1:1.61
Optimal Target
0.72400
Expected Value
+0.44R
Stop Loss Distance
20.7 pips
Target Distance
33.3 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.71978
0.72200
Support:
0.71729
0.71376
0.71090
Rationale
Higher highs/lows, close near the session high and an extreme 91% retail short favour a shallow-dip long above the 0.71729 support. Optimal target is a measured extension beyond 0.7220 once 0.7198 breaks.
|
| EURCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.93699 |
0.93648Buy limit |
0.93478 |
0.93942 |
52%
|
1:1.73 |
+0.61RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
0.93699
Entry Point
0.93648
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.93478
Conservative Target
0.93942
Risk:Reward
1:1.73
Optimal Target
0.94113
Expected Value
+0.42R
Stop Loss Distance
17.0 pips
Target Distance
29.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.93722
0.93942
0.94113
Support:
0.93593
0.93427
0.93073
Rationale
Grinding recovery from 0.9307 with 83% of retail short favours longs while 0.9359 holds. Stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop just under that pivot.
|
| EURUSD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.16525 |
1.16456Buy limit |
1.16240 |
1.16792 |
55%
|
1:1.56 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
55%
Analysis Price
1.16525
Entry Point
1.16456
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.16240
Conservative Target
1.16792
Risk:Reward
1:1.56
Optimal Target
1.17114
Expected Value
+0.41R
Stop Loss Distance
21.6 pips
Target Distance
33.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.16792
1.17114
Support:
1.16364
1.16000
1.15756
Rationale
Post-breakout consolidation above 1.1636 with positive MACD and 68% retail short supports buying dips; stop sits just under the 1.1636 pivot at 0.5 ATR. USD headlines at 10:00 NY are the main risk.
|
| USDCHF |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.80412 |
0.80490Sell limit |
0.80750 |
0.80099 |
55%
|
1:1.50 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
55%
Analysis Price
0.80412
Entry Point
0.80490
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.80750
Conservative Target
0.80099
Risk:Reward
1:1.50
Optimal Target
0.79497
Expected Value
+0.38R
Stop Loss Distance
26.0 pips
Target Distance
39.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.80628
0.81081
0.81201
Support:
0.80294
0.80099
0.79497
Rationale
Downtrend from 0.8128 with the bounce stalling under 0.8063 and 69% of retail long argues for selling rallies. Stop sits above the 0.80628 resistance.
|
| GBPJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
216.627 |
216.450Buy limit |
215.850 |
217.474 |
50%
|
1:1.71 |
+0.43RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
50%
Analysis Price
216.627
Entry Point
216.450
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
215.850
Conservative Target
217.474
Risk:Reward
1:1.71
Optimal Target
218.014
Expected Value
+0.36R
Stop Loss Distance
60.0 pips
Target Distance
102.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
217.474
218.014
218.684
Support:
216.268
215.199
214.835
Rationale
Uptrend from 211 intact with MACD above signal and 84% of retail short; buy dips toward 216.27 with the stop beneath that support.
|
| AUDJPY |
Bullish
|
High
|
114.663 |
114.530Buy limit |
114.150 |
114.915 |
62%
|
1:1.01 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
62%
Analysis Price
114.663
Entry Point
114.530
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
114.150
Conservative Target
114.915
Risk:Reward
1:1.01
Optimal Target
115.500
Expected Value
+0.25R
Stop Loss Distance
38.0 pips
Target Distance
38.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
114.732
114.915
115.500
Support:
114.189
113.595
113.096
Rationale
Textbook uptrend with expanding MACD, a close at the session high and an extreme 94% retail short — the strongest alignment in the list. Stop just below the 114.189 support.
|
| EURGBP |
Bullish
|
Low
|
0.85734 |
0.85704Buy limit |
0.85600 |
0.85845 |
52%
|
1:1.36 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
0.85734
Entry Point
0.85704
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.85600
Conservative Target
0.85845
Risk:Reward
1:1.36
Optimal Target
0.86539
Expected Value
+0.23R
Stop Loss Distance
10.4 pips
Target Distance
14.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.85845
0.86539
0.86893
Support:
0.85686
0.85504
0.85318
Rationale
MACD has just crossed up at the top of the tight 0.8530-0.8585 range with 65% retail short, but only a break of 0.8585 confirms. Volatility stop at 0.5 ATR given the compressed range.
|
| NZDJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
94.829 |
94.720Buy limit |
94.360 |
95.240 |
50%
|
1:1.44 |
-0.17RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
50%
Analysis Price
94.829
Entry Point
94.720
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
94.360
Conservative Target
95.240
Risk:Reward
1:1.44
Optimal Target
95.434
Expected Value
+0.22R
Stop Loss Distance
36.0 pips
Target Distance
52.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
95.240
95.309
95.434
Support:
94.575
94.441
93.852
Rationale
Higher lows since 92.45, positive MACD and 67% retail short back buying the 94.58 dip with a stop under that support.
|
| EURJPY |
Bullish
|
High
|
185.750 |
185.530Buy limit |
185.090 |
186.023 |
57%
|
1:1.12 |
-0.14RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
57%
Analysis Price
185.750
Entry Point
185.530
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
185.090
Conservative Target
186.023
Risk:Reward
1:1.12
Optimal Target
187.471
Expected Value
+0.21R
Stop Loss Distance
44.0 pips
Target Distance
49.3 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
186.023
187.471
Support:
185.349
184.709
183.928
Rationale
Expanding MACD, rising structure since 180.90 and an 85% retail short book align bullishly; buy the dip toward 185.35 with the stop just beneath it. Tokyo CPI is only medium impact.
|
| AUDCHF |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.57790 |
0.57720Buy limit |
0.57530 |
0.57924 |
58%
|
1:1.07 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
58%
Analysis Price
0.57790
Entry Point
0.57720
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.57530
Conservative Target
0.57924
Risk:Reward
1:1.07
Optimal Target
0.58000
Expected Value
+0.20R
Stop Loss Distance
19.0 pips
Target Distance
20.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.57924
0.58000
Support:
0.57754
0.57393
0.56941
Rationale
Price has reclaimed the Aug-19 gap and sits at range highs with an extreme 94% retail short; buy the shallow dip into the 0.57754 shelf. Stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop below it.
|
| NZDCAD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.82416 |
0.82345Buy limit |
0.82105 |
0.82658 |
52%
|
1:1.30 |
-0.57RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
0.82416
Entry Point
0.82345
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.82105
Conservative Target
0.82658
Risk:Reward
1:1.30
Optimal Target
0.82762
Expected Value
+0.20R
Stop Loss Distance
24.0 pips
Target Distance
31.3 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.82658
0.82762
0.82967
Support:
0.82395
0.82320
0.81951
Rationale
Higher lows off 0.8124 with positive MACD and 87% retail short favour longs above 0.8232; 0.5 ATR volatility stop as the next support is distant. CAD GDP at 08:30 NY adds event risk.
|
| AUDNZD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.20904 |
1.20818Buy limit |
1.20500 |
1.21213 |
52%
|
1:1.24 |
+1.00RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
1.20904
Entry Point
1.20818
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.20500
Conservative Target
1.21213
Risk:Reward
1:1.24
Optimal Target
1.21711
Expected Value
+0.16R
Stop Loss Distance
31.8 pips
Target Distance
39.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.20969
1.21213
1.21711
Support:
1.20609
1.20528
1.19843
Rationale
Fresh MACD bullish cross and a decisive push off 1.1980 with 79% retail short favour longs above 1.2061. Stop is placed just under the 1.20528 support.
|
| AUDCAD |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.99643 |
0.99520Buy limit |
0.99275 |
0.99786 |
55%
|
1:1.09 |
+0.25RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
55%
Analysis Price
0.99643
Entry Point
0.99520
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.99275
Conservative Target
0.99786
Risk:Reward
1:1.09
Optimal Target
1.00000
Expected Value
+0.15R
Stop Loss Distance
24.5 pips
Target Distance
26.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.99786
1.00000
Support:
0.99532
0.99053
0.98722
Rationale
Impulsive breakout from 0.9820 with rising MACD and 90% retail short makes parity the magnet; buy the dip to the 0.99532 support. CAD GDP at 08:30 NY is the two-way risk.
|
| NZDCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.47803 |
0.47758Buy limit |
0.47608 |
0.47939 |
52%
|
1:1.21 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
0.47803
Entry Point
0.47758
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.47608
Conservative Target
0.47939
Risk:Reward
1:1.21
Optimal Target
0.48175
Expected Value
+0.15R
Stop Loss Distance
15.0 pips
Target Distance
18.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.47939
0.47964
0.48175
Support:
0.47786
0.47408
0.47269
Rationale
Holding the top of the 0.4727-0.4796 range with RSI 58 and 68% retail short; a break of 0.4796 opens 0.4818. Next support is far, so a 0.5 ATR volatility stop is used.
|
| NZDUSD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.59479 |
0.59416Buy limit |
0.59200 |
0.59643 |
55%
|
1:1.05 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
55%
Analysis Price
0.59479
Entry Point
0.59416
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.59200
Conservative Target
0.59643
Risk:Reward
1:1.05
Optimal Target
0.59880
Expected Value
+0.13R
Stop Loss Distance
21.6 pips
Target Distance
22.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.59643
0.59880
0.60000
Support:
0.59370
0.59326
0.58753
Rationale
Uptrend holds above 0.5933 with 76% of retail short providing a contrarian tailwind. Stop is set below the 0.59326 support cluster.
|
| CADJPY |
Bullish
|
Low
|
115.067 |
114.965Buy limit |
114.550 |
115.588 |
45%
|
1:1.50 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
45%
Analysis Price
115.067
Entry Point
114.965
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
114.550
Conservative Target
115.588
Risk:Reward
1:1.50
Optimal Target
116.024
Expected Value
+0.13R
Stop Loss Distance
41.5 pips
Target Distance
62.3 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
115.366
115.588
116.024
Support:
114.659
114.581
114.037
Rationale
Uptrend has flattened into a 114.6-115.6 range with only mildly supportive sentiment; long on holds above 114.66. CAD GDP at 08:30 NY caps confidence.
|
| XAUUSD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
4600.70 |
4586.00Buy limit |
4537.00 |
4643.15 |
52%
|
1:1.17 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
4600.70
Entry Point
4586.00
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
4537.00
Conservative Target
4643.15
Risk:Reward
1:1.17
Optimal Target
4696.94
Expected Value
+0.13R
Stop Loss Distance
49.0 pts
Target Distance
57.1 pts
Key Levels
Resistance:
4643.15
4696.94
4750.00
Support:
4565.15
4508.98
4450.74
Rationale
Uptrend consolidating below the 4696.9 record; buy pullbacks while 4565 holds, with a 0.5 ATR stop given the ~98 ATR. The 10:00 NY Fed speech, payrolls revision and Jackson Hole are the key swing risks.
|
| USDCAD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
1.38558 |
1.38645Sell limit |
1.38990 |
1.38251 |
52%
|
1:1.14 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
1.38558
Entry Point
1.38645
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.38990
Conservative Target
1.38251
Risk:Reward
1:1.14
Optimal Target
1.37892
Expected Value
+0.11R
Stop Loss Distance
34.5 pips
Target Distance
39.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.38930
1.39584
1.40240
Support:
1.38251
1.37892
1.37321
Rationale
Lower highs since 1.4080 keep the trend down and 1.3893 caps the corrective bounce, but CAD GDP at 08:30 NY is direct gap risk hence low confidence. Stop above 1.3893.
|
| GBPNZD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
2.28442 |
2.28622Sell limit |
2.29222 |
2.27991 |
52%
|
1:1.05 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
2.28442
Entry Point
2.28622
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
2.29222
Conservative Target
2.27991
Risk:Reward
1:1.05
Optimal Target
2.27933
Expected Value
+0.07R
Stop Loss Distance
60.0 pips
Target Distance
63.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.28768
2.29282
2.29759
Support:
2.28142
2.27991
2.27933
Rationale
Lower highs from 2.3150 with negative MACD and 83% retail long keep pressure down; sell into 2.2877 with the stop above it and the 2.2799/2.2793 base as target.
|
| EURNZD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
1.95878 |
1.96033Sell limit |
1.96560 |
1.95502 |
52%
|
1:1.01 |
+0.20RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
1.95878
Entry Point
1.96033
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.96560
Conservative Target
1.95502
Risk:Reward
1:1.01
Optimal Target
1.95152
Expected Value
+0.05R
Stop Loss Distance
52.7 pips
Target Distance
53.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.96218
1.96873
1.97321
Support:
1.95750
1.95502
1.95152
Rationale
Lower highs since 1.9777 with 65% retail long tilt the wide 1.9515-1.9687 range lower; sell strength under 1.96218 where the stop rests.
|
| CHFJPY |
Bullish
|
Low
|
198.278 |
198.110Buy limit |
197.450 |
198.781 |
52%
|
1:1.02 |
-0.42RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
198.278
Entry Point
198.110
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
197.450
Conservative Target
198.781
Risk:Reward
1:1.02
Optimal Target
199.079
Expected Value
+0.05R
Stop Loss Distance
66.0 pips
Target Distance
67.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
198.781
199.079
200.956
Support:
197.613
195.940
195.472
Rationale
Consolidation under 199.08 with the MACD histogram turning up and 75% retail short favours buying the 197.6 base; stop sits below it.
|
| USDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
159.421 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
159.421
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
159.780
160.598
161.927
Support:
159.113
158.600
158.026
Rationale
Price is boxed between 158.03 and 159.78, so the only edge is fading the range top with a stop above 159.78. Tokyo CPI and the US 10:00 NY events can distort the range.
|
| GBPCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.88252 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
1.88252
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.88522
1.88779
1.89134
Support:
1.88188
1.88106
1.87445
Rationale
RSI 50 and a flat MACD describe a month-long 1.8742-1.8914 range, so this is only a support-bounce fade. CAD GDP at 08:30 NY is the likely range-breaker.
|
| EURCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.61432 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
1.61432
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.61776
1.61864
1.62431
Support:
1.61340
1.61243
1.60765
Rationale
Choppy 1.6040-1.6186 range with balanced retail positioning offers no trend edge; only a bounce off the 1.6134/1.6124 support band is playable. CAD GDP at 08:30 NY can break the range either way.
|
| GBPCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.09303 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
1.09303
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.09564
1.09674
1.10112
Support:
1.09140
1.08495
1.08105
Rationale
Sideways rebuild with negative MACD histogram and flat RSI leaves no directional edge; only a hold of the 1.0914 base offers a fade back to the range top.
|
| CADCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58004 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
0.58004
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58091
0.58229
0.58644
Support:
0.57960
0.57862
0.57725
Rationale
Flat RSI and a fading MACD pin price in 0.5786-0.5823 while 68% retail long caps upside, so only the lower edge offers a fade. CAD GDP at 08:30 NY is the range-breaking risk.
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