Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Thursday, 27 August 2026 Forecast for: Friday, 28 August 2026 Plan window: Thu 23:00 – Fri 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-08-27

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Broad USD softness and a strong commodity bloc remain the dominant themes: EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD are all in uptrends with retail crowded short, while AUD crosses (AUDJPY, AUDCHF, AUDCAD) show extreme contrarian short books against clean uptrends. JPY crosses stay bid with positive MACD momentum and gold consolidates below its 4696.9 record with an ATR near 98, demanding wider stops. The Friday session is event-heavy — CAD GDP, the Fed Chair's remarks, the payrolls benchmark revision and Jackson Hole — so CAD pairs and USD/gold plans carry real gap risk and lower conviction.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

CAD GDP m/m at 08:30 NY — gap risk for USDCAD, AUDCAD, NZDCAD, CADJPY, CADCHF
USD Fed Chairman Warsh speech and Prelim Benchmark Payrolls Revision at 10:00 NY — direct risk for all USD pairs and XAUUSD
Jackson Hole Symposium from 12:15 NY — potential afternoon volatility expansion across the board
Technical triggers: AUDUSD break of 0.7198, EURAUD failure below 1.6252 and XAUUSD defence of 4565 support

Best Opportunities

AUDJPY Bullish

GBPAUD Bearish

AUDCAD Bullish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record so far (338 filled plans), 11% hit the target, 23% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close.

AUDJPY

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.01

Expected result +0.25 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 114.530 Buy limit

Stop Loss 114.150 (38.0 pips)

Conservative Target 114.915 (38.5 pips)

Optimal Target 115.500 (97.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 114.732 114.915 115.500

Support: 114.189 113.595 113.096

Rationale

Textbook uptrend with expanding MACD, a close at the session high and an extreme 94% retail short — the strongest alignment in the list. Stop just below the 114.189 support.

Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

GBPAUD

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.86

Expected result +0.49 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.89090 Sell limit

Stop Loss 1.89640 (55.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.88069 (102.1 pips)

Optimal Target 1.87300 (179.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.89576 1.90331 1.91238

Support: 1.88813 1.88069

Rationale

Relentless downtrend, RSI 35 and an unliquidated 91% retail long book support selling rallies into 1.8958 where the stop sits. Optimal is an extension below the 1.8807 objective.

Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail

AUDCAD

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.09

Expected result +0.15 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.99520 Buy limit

Stop Loss 0.99275 (24.5 pips)

Conservative Target 0.99786 (26.6 pips)

Optimal Target 1.00000 (48.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.99786 1.00000

Support: 0.99532 0.99053 0.98722

Rationale

Impulsive breakout from 0.9820 with rising MACD and 90% retail short makes parity the magnet; buy the dip to the 0.99532 support. CAD GDP at 08:30 NY is the two-way risk.

Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
EURAUD	Bearish	High	1.62010	1.62120Sell limit	1.62580	1.61000	+0.54R	1:2.43	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.54R Analysis Price 1.62010 Entry Point 1.62120 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.62580 Conservative Target 1.61000 Risk:Reward 1:2.43 Optimal Target 1.60500 Stop Loss Distance 46.0 pips Target Distance 112.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.62518 1.63087 1.63383 Support: 1.61916 1.61858 1.61000 Rationale Persistent lower highs, RSI 37 and an extreme 86% retail long make this the cleanest short; sell the rally below the 1.62518 resistance where the stop sits. Optimal is an extension beyond the 1.6100 support. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Bullish	Medium	1.35947	1.35857Buy limit	1.35560	1.36551	+0.50R	1:2.34	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.50R Analysis Price 1.35947 Entry Point 1.35857 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.35560 Conservative Target 1.36551 Risk:Reward 1:2.34 Optimal Target 1.36756 Stop Loss Distance 29.7 pips Target Distance 69.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.36026 1.36551 1.36756 Support: 1.35707 1.35195 1.34743 Rationale Uptrend intact while 1.3570 holds and retail is 67% short, but momentum is fading inside the 1.3570-1.3676 range. Stop is placed below the 1.35707 support. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Bearish	High	1.88952	1.89090Sell limit	1.89640	1.88069	+0.49R	1:1.86	+0.16RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.49R Analysis Price 1.88952 Entry Point 1.89090 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.89640 Conservative Target 1.88069 Risk:Reward 1:1.86 Optimal Target 1.87300 Stop Loss Distance 55.0 pips Target Distance 102.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.89576 1.90331 1.91238 Support: 1.88813 1.88069 Rationale Relentless downtrend, RSI 35 and an unliquidated 91% retail long book support selling rallies into 1.8958 where the stop sits. Optimal is an extension below the 1.8807 objective. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Bullish	High	0.71917	0.71867Buy limit	0.71660	0.72200	+0.44R	1:1.61	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.44R Analysis Price 0.71917 Entry Point 0.71867 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.71660 Conservative Target 0.72200 Risk:Reward 1:1.61 Optimal Target 0.72400 Stop Loss Distance 20.7 pips Target Distance 33.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.71978 0.72200 Support: 0.71729 0.71376 0.71090 Rationale Higher highs/lows, close near the session high and an extreme 91% retail short favour a shallow-dip long above the 0.71729 support. Optimal target is a measured extension beyond 0.7220 once 0.7198 breaks. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.93699	0.93648Buy limit	0.93478	0.93942	+0.42R	1:1.73	+0.61RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.42R Analysis Price 0.93699 Entry Point 0.93648 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.93478 Conservative Target 0.93942 Risk:Reward 1:1.73 Optimal Target 0.94113 Stop Loss Distance 17.0 pips Target Distance 29.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.93722 0.93942 0.94113 Support: 0.93593 0.93427 0.93073 Rationale Grinding recovery from 0.9307 with 83% of retail short favours longs while 0.9359 holds. Stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop just under that pivot. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Bullish	Medium	1.16525	1.16456Buy limit	1.16240	1.16792	+0.41R	1:1.56	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.41R Analysis Price 1.16525 Entry Point 1.16456 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.16240 Conservative Target 1.16792 Risk:Reward 1:1.56 Optimal Target 1.17114 Stop Loss Distance 21.6 pips Target Distance 33.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.16792 1.17114 Support: 1.16364 1.16000 1.15756 Rationale Post-breakout consolidation above 1.1636 with positive MACD and 68% retail short supports buying dips; stop sits just under the 1.1636 pivot at 0.5 ATR. USD headlines at 10:00 NY are the main risk. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Bearish	Medium	0.80412	0.80490Sell limit	0.80750	0.80099	+0.38R	1:1.50	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.38R Analysis Price 0.80412 Entry Point 0.80490 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.80750 Conservative Target 0.80099 Risk:Reward 1:1.50 Optimal Target 0.79497 Stop Loss Distance 26.0 pips Target Distance 39.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.80628 0.81081 0.81201 Support: 0.80294 0.80099 0.79497 Rationale Downtrend from 0.8128 with the bounce stalling under 0.8063 and 69% of retail long argues for selling rallies. Stop sits above the 0.80628 resistance. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Bullish	Medium	216.627	216.450Buy limit	215.850	217.474	+0.36R	1:1.71	+0.43RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.36R Analysis Price 216.627 Entry Point 216.450 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 215.850 Conservative Target 217.474 Risk:Reward 1:1.71 Optimal Target 218.014 Stop Loss Distance 60.0 pips Target Distance 102.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 217.474 218.014 218.684 Support: 216.268 215.199 214.835 Rationale Uptrend from 211 intact with MACD above signal and 84% of retail short; buy dips toward 216.27 with the stop beneath that support. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Bullish	High	114.663	114.530Buy limit	114.150	114.915	+0.25R	1:1.01	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.25R Analysis Price 114.663 Entry Point 114.530 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 114.150 Conservative Target 114.915 Risk:Reward 1:1.01 Optimal Target 115.500 Stop Loss Distance 38.0 pips Target Distance 38.5 pips Key Levels Resistance: 114.732 114.915 115.500 Support: 114.189 113.595 113.096 Rationale Textbook uptrend with expanding MACD, a close at the session high and an extreme 94% retail short — the strongest alignment in the list. Stop just below the 114.189 support. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Bullish	Low	0.85734	0.85704Buy limit	0.85600	0.85845	+0.23R	1:1.36	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.23R Analysis Price 0.85734 Entry Point 0.85704 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.85600 Conservative Target 0.85845 Risk:Reward 1:1.36 Optimal Target 0.86539 Stop Loss Distance 10.4 pips Target Distance 14.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.85845 0.86539 0.86893 Support: 0.85686 0.85504 0.85318 Rationale MACD has just crossed up at the top of the tight 0.8530-0.8585 range with 65% retail short, but only a break of 0.8585 confirms. Volatility stop at 0.5 ATR given the compressed range. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Bullish	Medium	94.829	94.720Buy limit	94.360	95.240	+0.22R	1:1.44	-0.17RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.22R Analysis Price 94.829 Entry Point 94.720 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 94.360 Conservative Target 95.240 Risk:Reward 1:1.44 Optimal Target 95.434 Stop Loss Distance 36.0 pips Target Distance 52.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 95.240 95.309 95.434 Support: 94.575 94.441 93.852 Rationale Higher lows since 92.45, positive MACD and 67% retail short back buying the 94.58 dip with a stop under that support. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Bullish	High	185.750	185.530Buy limit	185.090	186.023	+0.21R	1:1.12	-0.14RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.21R Analysis Price 185.750 Entry Point 185.530 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 185.090 Conservative Target 186.023 Risk:Reward 1:1.12 Optimal Target 187.471 Stop Loss Distance 44.0 pips Target Distance 49.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 186.023 187.471 Support: 185.349 184.709 183.928 Rationale Expanding MACD, rising structure since 180.90 and an 85% retail short book align bullishly; buy the dip toward 185.35 with the stop just beneath it. Tokyo CPI is only medium impact. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Bullish	High	0.57790	0.57720Buy limit	0.57530	0.57924	+0.20R	1:1.07	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.20R Analysis Price 0.57790 Entry Point 0.57720 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.57530 Conservative Target 0.57924 Risk:Reward 1:1.07 Optimal Target 0.58000 Stop Loss Distance 19.0 pips Target Distance 20.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.57924 0.58000 Support: 0.57754 0.57393 0.56941 Rationale Price has reclaimed the Aug-19 gap and sits at range highs with an extreme 94% retail short; buy the shallow dip into the 0.57754 shelf. Stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop below it. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Bullish	Medium	0.82416	0.82345Buy limit	0.82105	0.82658	+0.20R	1:1.30	-0.57RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.20R Analysis Price 0.82416 Entry Point 0.82345 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.82105 Conservative Target 0.82658 Risk:Reward 1:1.30 Optimal Target 0.82762 Stop Loss Distance 24.0 pips Target Distance 31.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.82658 0.82762 0.82967 Support: 0.82395 0.82320 0.81951 Rationale Higher lows off 0.8124 with positive MACD and 87% retail short favour longs above 0.8232; 0.5 ATR volatility stop as the next support is distant. CAD GDP at 08:30 NY adds event risk. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Bullish	Medium	1.20904	1.20818Buy limit	1.20500	1.21213	+0.16R	1:1.24	+1.00RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.16R Analysis Price 1.20904 Entry Point 1.20818 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.20500 Conservative Target 1.21213 Risk:Reward 1:1.24 Optimal Target 1.21711 Stop Loss Distance 31.8 pips Target Distance 39.5 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.20969 1.21213 1.21711 Support: 1.20609 1.20528 1.19843 Rationale Fresh MACD bullish cross and a decisive push off 1.1980 with 79% retail short favour longs above 1.2061. Stop is placed just under the 1.20528 support. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Bullish	High	0.99643	0.99520Buy limit	0.99275	0.99786	+0.15R	1:1.09	+0.25RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.15R Analysis Price 0.99643 Entry Point 0.99520 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.99275 Conservative Target 0.99786 Risk:Reward 1:1.09 Optimal Target 1.00000 Stop Loss Distance 24.5 pips Target Distance 26.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.99786 1.00000 Support: 0.99532 0.99053 0.98722 Rationale Impulsive breakout from 0.9820 with rising MACD and 90% retail short makes parity the magnet; buy the dip to the 0.99532 support. CAD GDP at 08:30 NY is the two-way risk. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.47803	0.47758Buy limit	0.47608	0.47939	+0.15R	1:1.21	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.15R Analysis Price 0.47803 Entry Point 0.47758 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.47608 Conservative Target 0.47939 Risk:Reward 1:1.21 Optimal Target 0.48175 Stop Loss Distance 15.0 pips Target Distance 18.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.47939 0.47964 0.48175 Support: 0.47786 0.47408 0.47269 Rationale Holding the top of the 0.4727-0.4796 range with RSI 58 and 68% retail short; a break of 0.4796 opens 0.4818. Next support is far, so a 0.5 ATR volatility stop is used. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Bullish	Medium	0.59479	0.59416Buy limit	0.59200	0.59643	+0.13R	1:1.05	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R Analysis Price 0.59479 Entry Point 0.59416 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.59200 Conservative Target 0.59643 Risk:Reward 1:1.05 Optimal Target 0.59880 Stop Loss Distance 21.6 pips Target Distance 22.7 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.59643 0.59880 0.60000 Support: 0.59370 0.59326 0.58753 Rationale Uptrend holds above 0.5933 with 76% of retail short providing a contrarian tailwind. Stop is set below the 0.59326 support cluster. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Bullish	Low	115.067	114.965Buy limit	114.550	115.588	+0.13R	1:1.50	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R Analysis Price 115.067 Entry Point 114.965 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 114.550 Conservative Target 115.588 Risk:Reward 1:1.50 Optimal Target 116.024 Stop Loss Distance 41.5 pips Target Distance 62.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 115.366 115.588 116.024 Support: 114.659 114.581 114.037 Rationale Uptrend has flattened into a 114.6-115.6 range with only mildly supportive sentiment; long on holds above 114.66. CAD GDP at 08:30 NY caps confidence. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Bullish	Medium	4600.70	4586.00Buy limit	4537.00	4643.15	+0.13R	1:1.17	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R Analysis Price 4600.70 Entry Point 4586.00 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 4537.00 Conservative Target 4643.15 Risk:Reward 1:1.17 Optimal Target 4696.94 Stop Loss Distance 49.0 pts Target Distance 57.1 pts Key Levels Resistance: 4643.15 4696.94 4750.00 Support: 4565.15 4508.98 4450.74 Rationale Uptrend consolidating below the 4696.9 record; buy pullbacks while 4565 holds, with a 0.5 ATR stop given the ~98 ATR. The 10:00 NY Fed speech, payrolls revision and Jackson Hole are the key swing risks. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Bearish	Low	1.38558	1.38645Sell limit	1.38990	1.38251	+0.11R	1:1.14	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R Analysis Price 1.38558 Entry Point 1.38645 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.38990 Conservative Target 1.38251 Risk:Reward 1:1.14 Optimal Target 1.37892 Stop Loss Distance 34.5 pips Target Distance 39.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.38930 1.39584 1.40240 Support: 1.38251 1.37892 1.37321 Rationale Lower highs since 1.4080 keep the trend down and 1.3893 caps the corrective bounce, but CAD GDP at 08:30 NY is direct gap risk hence low confidence. Stop above 1.3893. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Bearish	Medium	2.28442	2.28622Sell limit	2.29222	2.27991	+0.07R	1:1.05	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.07R Analysis Price 2.28442 Entry Point 2.28622 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 2.29222 Conservative Target 2.27991 Risk:Reward 1:1.05 Optimal Target 2.27933 Stop Loss Distance 60.0 pips Target Distance 63.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 2.28768 2.29282 2.29759 Support: 2.28142 2.27991 2.27933 Rationale Lower highs from 2.3150 with negative MACD and 83% retail long keep pressure down; sell into 2.2877 with the stop above it and the 2.2799/2.2793 base as target. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Bearish	Low	1.95878	1.96033Sell limit	1.96560	1.95502	+0.05R	1:1.01	+0.20RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.05R Analysis Price 1.95878 Entry Point 1.96033 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.96560 Conservative Target 1.95502 Risk:Reward 1:1.01 Optimal Target 1.95152 Stop Loss Distance 52.7 pips Target Distance 53.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.96218 1.96873 1.97321 Support: 1.95750 1.95502 1.95152 Rationale Lower highs since 1.9777 with 65% retail long tilt the wide 1.9515-1.9687 range lower; sell strength under 1.96218 where the stop rests. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Bullish	Low	198.278	198.110Buy limit	197.450	198.781	+0.05R	1:1.02	-0.42RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.05R Analysis Price 198.278 Entry Point 198.110 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 197.450 Conservative Target 198.781 Risk:Reward 1:1.02 Optimal Target 199.079 Stop Loss Distance 66.0 pips Target Distance 67.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 198.781 199.079 200.956 Support: 197.613 195.940 195.472 Rationale Consolidation under 199.08 with the MACD histogram turning up and 75% retail short favours buying the 197.6 base; stop sits below it. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	159.421	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 159.421 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 159.780 160.598 161.927 Support: 159.113 158.600 158.026 Rationale Price is boxed between 158.03 and 159.78, so the only edge is fading the range top with a stop above 159.78. Tokyo CPI and the US 10:00 NY events can distort the range. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.88252	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.88252 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.88522 1.88779 1.89134 Support: 1.88188 1.88106 1.87445 Rationale RSI 50 and a flat MACD describe a month-long 1.8742-1.8914 range, so this is only a support-bounce fade. CAD GDP at 08:30 NY is the likely range-breaker. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.61432	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.61432 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.61776 1.61864 1.62431 Support: 1.61340 1.61243 1.60765 Rationale Choppy 1.6040-1.6186 range with balanced retail positioning offers no trend edge; only a bounce off the 1.6134/1.6124 support band is playable. CAD GDP at 08:30 NY can break the range either way. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.09303	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.09303 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.09564 1.09674 1.10112 Support: 1.09140 1.08495 1.08105 Rationale Sideways rebuild with negative MACD histogram and flat RSI leaves no directional edge; only a hold of the 1.0914 base offers a fade back to the range top. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58004	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58004 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58091 0.58229 0.58644 Support: 0.57960 0.57862 0.57725 Rationale Flat RSI and a fading MACD pin price in 0.5786-0.5823 while 68% retail long caps upside, so only the lower edge offers a fade. CAD GDP at 08:30 NY is the range-breaking risk. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$6 average per $100 risked

84 of 123 picks filled, over 41 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

338 plans over 41 verified days · target hit 11%

41 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 84 picks the honest range around the +$6 runs from −$10 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 123 picks published, 84 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 21 of the 84 picks lost the full $100, against 49 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 58% of the Top 3 result, and 27 of the 84 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$13 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 338 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 14 Oct 2026)

Target hit 11% (36)
Stop hit 23% (79)
Timed out 66% (223)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 159 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

31% Win rate 36 of 115 plans closed at target or stop

-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.08R Timed-out average how those 223 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

21%

14 of 66 plans

Bearish

45%

22 of 49 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
EURJPY	75%	3 / 4
NZDJPY	75%	3 / 4
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDUSD	43%	3 / 7
EURUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
USDCAD	40%	2 / 5
XAUUSD	33%	1 / 3
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	30%	3 / 10
EURGBP	25%	1 / 4
GBPAUD	25%	1 / 4
EURNZD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
AUDJPY	20%	1 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 7
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 4
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 3
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

14 Oct 2026 2 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $137

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84525 → 0.84378	Timed out	-0.30R
EURJPY	Bearish	177.500 → 176.516	Target hit	+1.54R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59330 → 1.58963	Not filled	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88350 → 1.88971	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.36000 → 2.36667	Timed out	-0.10R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.980 → 88.389	Target hit	+1.69R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

13 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 8 timed out $100 → $91

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.11680 → 1.11000	Timed out	-0.55R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83410 → 0.83822	Timed out	-0.35R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84500 → 0.84250	Timed out	+0.01R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.60430 → 1.60000	Timed out	+0.18R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.720 → 88.244	Timed out	-0.38R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46680 → 0.46433	Timed out	-0.31R
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.79860 → 0.79581	Timed out	+0.28R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4183.00 → 4110.89	Timed out	+0.38R

12 Oct 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $185

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12070 → 1.11612	Target hit	+1.12R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42470 → 1.42980	Timed out	+0.85R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56170 → 0.55930	Target hit	+1.09R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84680 → 0.84474	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.60480 → 1.60000	Timed out	+0.36R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35680 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24300 → 1.24650	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

9 Oct 2026 1 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $84

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12210 → 1.11612	Timed out	+0.61R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83060 → 0.83464	Timed out	-0.23R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84790 → 0.84613	Target hit	+1.04R
EURJPY	Bearish	177.250 → 176.516	Timed out	-0.04R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.90000 → 1.90693	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35920 → 2.36646	Timed out	-0.18R
AUDJPY	Bearish	110.000 → 109.233	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46650 → 0.46357	Timed out	+0.35R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4147.00 → 4066.46	Stop hit	-1.00R

8 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 7 timed out $100 → $125

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12100 → 1.11612	Timed out	-0.08R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83200 → 0.83615	Timed out	-0.21R
AUDUSD	Bearish	0.69710 → 0.69426	Timed out	+0.45R
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93360 → 0.92951	Timed out	+0.35R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59730 → 1.59058	Timed out	+0.82R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24270 → 1.24650	Timed out	-0.18R
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46690 → 0.46515	Timed out	+0.61R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it: probability × reward/risk − (1 − probability). Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. Only plans with a positive expected result are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance of reaching the conservative target before the stop, once the order fills. These plans were written under the two-outcome model, where the no-edge baseline is 1/(1+RR) — 50% at 1:1, 33% at 1:2 — never 50% flat. The figure is not shown next to each plan: a farther target is worth more but is reached less often, so on its own it says nothing about whether a plan is worth taking. It is already accounted for in the expected result
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

AUDJPY

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