Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Sunday, 30 August 2026 Forecast for: Monday, 31 August 2026 Plan window: Sun 23:00 – Mon 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-08-30

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Friday's broad USD bounce reversed EURUSD, GBPUSD and NZDUSD but only USDJPY broke structure, leaving the dollar bloc two-sided and the yen crosses supported. The clearest edge remains the Aussie complex, where an intact uptrend meets extreme retail shorts, mirrored by crowded retail longs in EURAUD, GBPAUD and GBPNZD that keep rally-selling attractive. Gold's 180-dollar outside-day reversal signals wide, volatile swings and argues for tight risk in metals.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

EUR German Prelim CPI m/m at 02:29 NY (medium impact, EUR crosses)
GBP Bank Holiday from 03:00 NY: thin sterling liquidity, wider spreads on GBP pairs
Month-end (31 Aug) rebalancing flows into the London and NY fixes
Technical triggers: AUDUSD push through 0.7205, EURUSD acceptance below 1.1578, XAUUSD reaction at 4522

Best Opportunities

AUDCAD Bullish

GBPAUD Bearish

AUDCHF Bullish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record so far (338 filled plans), 11% hit the target, 23% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close.

AUDCAD

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.03

Expected result +0.16 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.99540 Buy limit

Stop Loss 0.99300 (24.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.99786 (24.6 pips)

Optimal Target 1.00000 (46.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.99786 1.00000 1.00500

Support: 0.99438 0.99053 0.98722

Rationale

Impulsive breakout from the 0.9820 base with accelerating MACD and 91% of retail short; buy the shallow dip toward the 0.99438 support. Stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop below it, targeting the 0.9979 high then parity.

Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

GBPAUD

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.05

Expected result +0.19 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.89150 Sell limit

Stop Loss 1.89700 (55.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.88574 (57.6 pips)

Optimal Target 1.88069 (108.1 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.89195 1.89625 1.91238

Support: 1.88574 1.88069 1.87500

Rationale

Clear downtrend with widening negative MACD opposed by 87% retail longs - the crowd is fighting the move. Sell the rally into 1.8920 with the stop above the 1.89625 lower high.

Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail

AUDCHF

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.68

Expected result +0.39 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.57880 Buy limit

Stop Loss 0.57690 (19.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.58200 (32.0 pips)

Optimal Target 0.58500 (62.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.57996 0.58200 0.58500

Support: 0.57785 0.57667 0.57290

Rationale

New highs with RSI 65 and positive MACD against an extreme 95% retail short book - the strongest contrarian confluence available. Buy dips to 0.5779 support with the stop just beneath it; 0.57996 is too close to entry to be a valid target.

Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
XAUUSD	Bearish	Low	4454.26	4475.00Sell limit	4530.00	4324.83	+0.68R	1:2.73	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.68R Analysis Price 4454.26 Entry Point 4475.00 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 4530.00 Conservative Target 4324.83 Risk:Reward 1:2.73 Optimal Target 4311.07 Stop Loss Distance 55.0 pts Target Distance 150.2 pts Key Levels Resistance: 4522.58 4593.75 4696.94 Support: 4446.78 4324.83 4311.07 Rationale Friday's 180-dollar bearish outside day off 4696 is a classic exhaustion reversal, so sell bounces below the 4522.58 resistance with a 0.53 ATR stop. ATR above 100 signals wide two-sided swings and the primary trend is still up, so risk stays tight. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Bearish	Low	1.61066	1.61200Sell limit	1.61500	1.60456	+0.57R	1:2.48	+0.71RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.57R Analysis Price 1.61066 Entry Point 1.61200 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.61500 Conservative Target 1.60456 Risk:Reward 1:2.48 Optimal Target 1.60076 Stop Loss Distance 30.0 pips Target Distance 74.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.61362 1.61820 1.62431 Support: 1.61014 1.60456 1.60076 Rationale Price closed at the bottom of the 1.6045-1.6186 range with mildly crowded retail longs capping upside; fade the bounce under 1.61362. Flat MACD and range conditions keep conviction low. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Bearish	High	1.61832	1.62000Sell limit	1.62450	1.61000	+0.55R	1:2.22	-0.23RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.55R Analysis Price 1.61832 Entry Point 1.62000 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.62450 Conservative Target 1.61000 Risk:Reward 1:2.22 Optimal Target 1.60500 Stop Loss Distance 45.0 pips Target Distance 100.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.62016 1.62557 1.63383 Support: 1.61686 1.61000 1.60500 Rationale Persistent lower highs, accelerating negative MACD and 89% of retail trapped long make rallies into 1.6200/1.6250 sellable. Stop above the pivot; the 1.61686 support is too near the entry to serve as a 1:1 target, so 1.6100 is the first valid objective. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Bullish	High	114.745	114.600Buy limit	114.100	115.500	+0.46R	1:1.80	-0.24RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.46R Analysis Price 114.745 Entry Point 114.600 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 114.100 Conservative Target 115.500 Risk:Reward 1:1.80 Optimal Target 116.000 Stop Loss Distance 50.0 pips Target Distance 90.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 114.955 115.500 116.000 Support: 114.176 113.595 113.096 Rationale Textbook trend of rising highs and lows with RSI 65 and an extreme 92% retail short book; buy pullbacks above the 114.176 support. The 114.955 resistance is too close to entry for 1:1, so 115.50 is the first valid target. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Bullish	High	0.57951	0.57880Buy limit	0.57690	0.58200	+0.39R	1:1.68	+0.23RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.39R Analysis Price 0.57951 Entry Point 0.57880 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.57690 Conservative Target 0.58200 Risk:Reward 1:1.68 Optimal Target 0.58500 Stop Loss Distance 19.0 pips Target Distance 32.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.57996 0.58200 0.58500 Support: 0.57785 0.57667 0.57290 Rationale New highs with RSI 65 and positive MACD against an extreme 95% retail short book - the strongest contrarian confluence available. Buy dips to 0.5779 support with the stop just beneath it; 0.57996 is too close to entry to be a valid target. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Bullish	Low	197.804	197.650Buy limit	197.080	198.781	+0.34R	1:1.98	-0.03RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.34R Analysis Price 197.804 Entry Point 197.650 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 197.080 Conservative Target 198.781 Risk:Reward 1:1.98 Optimal Target 199.079 Stop Loss Distance 57.0 pips Target Distance 113.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 198.781 199.079 200.956 Support: 197.613 195.472 194.233 Rationale Price is back at the bottom of the two-week 197.60-199.08 box with an improving MACD histogram and 72% retail short. Buy the range low with a 0.5 ATR stop beneath 197.613; no trend edge, hence low confidence. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Bearish	Low	1.35320	1.35450Sell limit	1.35800	1.34743	+0.33R	1:2.02	-0.13RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.33R Analysis Price 1.35320 Entry Point 1.35450 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.35800 Conservative Target 1.34743 Risk:Reward 1:2.02 Optimal Target 1.34344 Stop Loss Distance 35.0 pips Target Distance 70.7 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.35581 1.35989 1.36756 Support: 1.35276 1.34743 1.34344 Rationale Failure at 1.3675 and a slide through 1.3558 flip momentum negative with the close at the session low; stop sits above the 1.35581 resistance. UK Bank Holiday thins liquidity, keeping confidence low. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Bullish	Medium	185.394	185.250Buy limit	184.750	186.024	+0.33R	1:1.55	+0.65RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.33R Analysis Price 185.394 Entry Point 185.250 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 184.750 Conservative Target 186.024 Risk:Reward 1:1.55 Optimal Target 187.471 Stop Loss Distance 50.0 pips Target Distance 77.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 185.486 186.024 187.471 Support: 185.349 184.342 183.893 Rationale Higher lows with a rising MACD histogram and 83% of retail short into the trend favour buying the 185.35 support zone. Volatility stop of ~0.58 ATR sits below the pivot as 184.34 is too distant to protect efficiently. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Bullish	Low	0.59141	0.59080Buy limit	0.58860	0.59505	+0.32R	1:1.93	+0.38RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.32R Analysis Price 0.59141 Entry Point 0.59080 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.58860 Conservative Target 0.59505 Risk:Reward 1:1.93 Optimal Target 0.59654 Stop Loss Distance 22.0 pips Target Distance 42.5 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.59505 0.59654 0.59880 Support: 0.59056 0.58601 0.58214 Rationale Uptrend structure survives Friday's reversal as long as 0.59056 holds, and 70% retail short supports dip-buying. Stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop below the pivot; loss of 0.5905 invalidates. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Bullish	High	0.71627	0.71560Buy limit	0.71350	0.71803	+0.30R	1:1.16	+0.48RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.30R Analysis Price 0.71627 Entry Point 0.71560 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.71350 Conservative Target 0.71803 Risk:Reward 1:1.16 Optimal Target 0.72047 Stop Loss Distance 21.0 pips Target Distance 24.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.71803 0.72047 0.72500 Support: 0.71560 0.71090 0.70668 Rationale Higher highs with expanding positive MACD and 90% of retail short give the strongest contrarian confluence on the board. Buy the 0.7156 support with a 0.5 ATR stop beneath it, targeting 0.7180 then 0.7205. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Bullish	Medium	1.21190	1.21090Buy limit	1.20700	1.21711	+0.30R	1:1.59	+0.07RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.30R Analysis Price 1.21190 Entry Point 1.21090 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.20700 Conservative Target 1.21711 Risk:Reward 1:1.59 Optimal Target 1.22174 Stop Loss Distance 39.0 pips Target Distance 62.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.21213 1.21711 1.22174 Support: 1.20735 1.20528 1.19965 Rationale Fresh bullish MACD cross and a push through 1.2100 with 83% of retail short favour buying dips above the 1.20735 support. The 1.21213 resistance is too near entry, so 1.2171 is the first valid objective. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.93754	0.93700Buy limit	0.93520	0.93942	+0.29R	1:1.34	+1.08RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.29R Analysis Price 0.93754 Entry Point 0.93700 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.93520 Conservative Target 0.93942 Risk:Reward 1:1.34 Optimal Target 0.94113 Stop Loss Distance 18.0 pips Target Distance 24.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.93942 0.94113 0.94500 Support: 0.93553 0.93427 0.93073 Rationale Full recovery of the 19 Aug spike low and a grind toward 0.9411 with 83% of retail short keep longs favoured above 0.9355. Stop sits just under that support; German CPI at 02:29 NY is the day's euro catalyst. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Bullish	Medium	216.637	216.450Buy limit	215.800	217.474	+0.29R	1:1.58	+0.01RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.29R Analysis Price 216.637 Entry Point 216.450 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 215.800 Conservative Target 217.474 Risk:Reward 1:1.58 Optimal Target 218.014 Stop Loss Distance 65.0 pips Target Distance 102.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 217.474 218.014 218.684 Support: 216.268 214.835 212.931 Rationale Consolidation just under 217.47 inside an intact uptrend with 86% retail short favours buying dips above the 216.268 support. UK Bank Holiday liquidity is the caveat, so the stop is a full 0.58 ATR below entry. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Bullish	Medium	94.655	94.570Buy limit	94.220	95.117	+0.28R	1:1.56	-0.17RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.28R Analysis Price 94.655 Entry Point 94.570 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 94.220 Conservative Target 95.117 Risk:Reward 1:1.56 Optimal Target 95.274 Stop Loss Distance 35.0 pips Target Distance 54.7 pips Key Levels Resistance: 95.117 95.274 95.434 Support: 94.562 94.441 93.317 Rationale Uptrend consolidating just above the 94.56 pivot with positive MACD and a 68% short retail book; stop sits below the 94.441 secondary support. A hold there keeps 95.27 in play. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Bullish	Low	0.82224	0.82130Buy limit	0.81880	0.82610	+0.28R	1:1.92	-0.56RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.28R Analysis Price 0.82224 Entry Point 0.82130 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.81880 Conservative Target 0.82610 Risk:Reward 1:1.92 Optimal Target 0.82762 Stop Loss Distance 25.0 pips Target Distance 48.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.82320 0.82610 0.82762 Support: 0.82122 0.81649 0.81431 Rationale Price is resting on the 0.82122 support after the recovery from 0.8124 stalled, with 73% of retail short as a mild contrarian tailwind. The 0.8232 resistance is too close for 1:1, so 0.8261 is the first valid target. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Bullish	Medium	160.101	159.950Buy limit	159.450	160.598	+0.27R	1:1.30	-0.40RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.27R Analysis Price 160.101 Entry Point 159.950 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 159.450 Conservative Target 160.598 Risk:Reward 1:1.30 Optimal Target 161.927 Stop Loss Distance 50.0 pips Target Distance 64.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 160.598 161.927 162.773 Support: 159.543 159.302 158.026 Rationale Break of the 159.60 range top with a rising MACD keeps dips buyable while 159.543 support holds; volatility stop of ~0.53 ATR sits under that level. Retail still net short offers a mild contrarian tailwind. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Bearish	Low	1.39045	1.39200Sell limit	1.39650	1.38449	+0.20R	1:1.67	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.20R Analysis Price 1.39045 Entry Point 1.39200 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.39650 Conservative Target 1.38449 Risk:Reward 1:1.67 Optimal Target 1.37892 Stop Loss Distance 45.0 pips Target Distance 75.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.39584 1.40240 1.40804 Support: 1.38449 1.37892 1.37321 Rationale The corrective bounce off 1.3732 has stalled below the 1.39584 pivot with RSI under 50 and MACD negative. Sell strength with the stop above that pivot; neutral retail book means no contrarian help. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Bearish	High	1.88986	1.89150Sell limit	1.89700	1.88574	+0.19R	1:1.05	+0.13RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.19R Analysis Price 1.88986 Entry Point 1.89150 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.89700 Conservative Target 1.88574 Risk:Reward 1:1.05 Optimal Target 1.88069 Stop Loss Distance 55.0 pips Target Distance 57.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.89195 1.89625 1.91238 Support: 1.88574 1.88069 1.87500 Rationale Clear downtrend with widening negative MACD opposed by 87% retail longs - the crowd is fighting the move. Sell the rally into 1.8920 with the stop above the 1.89625 lower high. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Bearish	Low	1.95871	1.96100Sell limit	1.96620	1.95268	+0.17R	1:1.60	-0.47RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.17R Analysis Price 1.95871 Entry Point 1.96100 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.96620 Conservative Target 1.95268 Risk:Reward 1:1.60 Optimal Target 1.95157 Stop Loss Distance 52.0 pips Target Distance 83.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.96183 1.96310 1.96873 Support: 1.95750 1.95268 1.95157 Rationale Lower highs since 1.9757 with MACD below zero and 66% of retail long into the drift argue for selling into 1.9618/1.9631. Stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop above the resistance cluster. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Bullish	Medium	115.120	115.020Buy limit	114.550	115.588	+0.17R	1:1.21	+0.53RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.17R Analysis Price 115.120 Entry Point 115.020 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 114.550 Conservative Target 115.588 Risk:Reward 1:1.21 Optimal Target 116.024 Stop Loss Distance 47.0 pips Target Distance 56.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 115.366 115.588 116.024 Support: 114.602 114.037 113.523 Rationale Higher-low structure above 114.60 with MACD turning up and 75% of retail short favours buying dips. Stop sits just under the 114.602 support, with 115.366 too near entry to qualify as a target. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Bullish	High	0.99631	0.99540Buy limit	0.99300	0.99786	+0.16R	1:1.03	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.16R Analysis Price 0.99631 Entry Point 0.99540 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.99300 Conservative Target 0.99786 Risk:Reward 1:1.03 Optimal Target 1.00000 Stop Loss Distance 24.0 pips Target Distance 24.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.99786 1.00000 1.00500 Support: 0.99438 0.99053 0.98722 Rationale Impulsive breakout from the 0.9820 base with accelerating MACD and 91% of retail short; buy the shallow dip toward the 0.99438 support. Stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop below it, targeting the 0.9979 high then parity. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Bearish	Medium	2.28878	2.29100Sell limit	2.29720	2.28423	+0.15R	1:1.09	+0.14RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.15R Analysis Price 2.28878 Entry Point 2.29100 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 2.29720 Conservative Target 2.28423 Risk:Reward 1:1.09 Optimal Target 2.27991 Stop Loss Distance 62.0 pips Target Distance 67.7 pips Key Levels Resistance: 2.29245 2.29759 2.31071 Support: 2.28423 2.27991 2.27846 Rationale Lower highs from 2.3150 with MACD below zero while 79% of retail is long against the drift; sell strength into the 2.29245 resistance. Stop sits above it but under the 2.29759 pivot. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Bullish	Low	1.88192	1.88050Buy limit	1.87700	1.88522	+0.13R	1:1.35	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R Analysis Price 1.88192 Entry Point 1.88050 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.87700 Conservative Target 1.88522 Risk:Reward 1:1.35 Optimal Target 1.89134 Stop Loss Distance 35.0 pips Target Distance 47.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.88522 1.89134 1.89536 Support: 1.88106 1.87997 1.87445 Rationale Month-long 1.8742-1.8954 range with RSI at 49 leaves only edge-fading; price sits on the 1.88106/1.87997 support shelf with retail 60% short. Thin GBP Bank Holiday liquidity keeps confidence low. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Bullish	Low	0.47820	0.47770Buy limit	0.47620	0.47939	+0.11R	1:1.13	+0.32RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R Analysis Price 0.47820 Entry Point 0.47770 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.47620 Conservative Target 0.47939 Risk:Reward 1:1.13 Optimal Target 0.48001 Stop Loss Distance 15.0 pips Target Distance 16.9 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.47939 0.48001 0.48175 Support: 0.47779 0.47408 0.47269 Rationale Compressed range at the top of the band with RSI near 60 and a 67% short retail book; buy the 0.47779 support with a 0.5 ATR stop below. A close above 0.4800 would open 0.4818. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Bearish	Low	1.15855	1.15950Sell limit	1.16250	1.15642	+0.06R	1:1.03	-0.71RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.06R Analysis Price 1.15855 Entry Point 1.15950 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.16250 Conservative Target 1.15642 Risk:Reward 1:1.03 Optimal Target 1.15048 Stop Loss Distance 30.0 pips Target Distance 30.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.16219 1.16548 1.17114 Support: 1.15780 1.15642 1.15048 Rationale Friday's wide bearish outside day closed on the lows under 1.1620, so bounces into 1.1595 are sellable with a stop above the 1.16219 pivot. German Prelim CPI at 02:29 NY is the main intraday risk, hence low confidence. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Bullish	Low	1.09571	1.09480Buy limit	1.09100	1.09874	+0.06R	1:1.04	+0.12RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.06R Analysis Price 1.09571 Entry Point 1.09480 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.09100 Conservative Target 1.09874 Risk:Reward 1:1.04 Optimal Target 1.10112 Stop Loss Distance 38.0 pips Target Distance 39.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.09674 1.09874 1.10112 Support: 1.09141 1.08495 1.08105 Rationale Steady recovery from 1.0843 with RSI 56 and a 70% short retail book keeps the 1.09141 support relevant; stop sits just beneath it. Bank Holiday trading in sterling caps confidence. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Bearish	Low	0.85579	0.85630Sell limit	0.85800	0.85444	+0.05R	1:1.09	-0.59RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.05R Analysis Price 0.85579 Entry Point 0.85630 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.85800 Conservative Target 0.85444 Risk:Reward 1:1.09 Optimal Target 0.85318 Stop Loss Distance 17.0 pips Target Distance 18.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.85762 0.85845 0.86539 Support: 0.85444 0.85318 0.85085 Rationale Pure mean-reversion conditions inside the 0.8532-0.8585 box with flat RSI and MACD at zero, so fade the upper half toward the 0.85444 support. GBP Bank Holiday thins flow while German CPI at 02:29 NY can spike the euro leg. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.80989	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.80989 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.81081 0.81201 0.81436 Support: 0.80566 0.80345 0.80099 Rationale Price is retesting the 0.8108 pivot after an aggressive one-day recovery while MACD is still negative and retail is 60% long. Fade the pivot with a 0.5 ATR stop above 0.81201; only a close over 0.8120 flips the picture. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58210	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58210 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58229 0.58644 0.58800 Support: 0.57974 0.57862 0.57725 Rationale Price is pinned at the 0.58229 pivot after a week of 40-pip ranges with fading MACD momentum and 68% of retail long. Fade the pivot with a 0.5 ATR stop above; a clean break negates the plan. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$6 average per $100 risked

84 of 123 picks filled, over 41 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

338 plans over 41 verified days · target hit 11%

41 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 84 picks the honest range around the +$6 runs from −$10 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 123 picks published, 84 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 21 of the 84 picks lost the full $100, against 49 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 58% of the Top 3 result, and 27 of the 84 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$13 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 338 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 14 Oct 2026)

Target hit 11% (36)
Stop hit 23% (79)
Timed out 66% (223)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 159 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

31% Win rate 36 of 115 plans closed at target or stop

-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.08R Timed-out average how those 223 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

21%

14 of 66 plans

Bearish

45%

22 of 49 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
EURJPY	75%	3 / 4
NZDJPY	75%	3 / 4
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDUSD	43%	3 / 7
EURUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
USDCAD	40%	2 / 5
XAUUSD	33%	1 / 3
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	30%	3 / 10
EURGBP	25%	1 / 4
GBPAUD	25%	1 / 4
EURNZD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
AUDJPY	20%	1 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 7
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 4
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 3
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

14 Oct 2026 2 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $137

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84525 → 0.84378	Timed out	-0.30R
EURJPY	Bearish	177.500 → 176.516	Target hit	+1.54R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59330 → 1.58963	Not filled	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88350 → 1.88971	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.36000 → 2.36667	Timed out	-0.10R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.980 → 88.389	Target hit	+1.69R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

13 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 8 timed out $100 → $91

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.11680 → 1.11000	Timed out	-0.55R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83410 → 0.83822	Timed out	-0.35R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84500 → 0.84250	Timed out	+0.01R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.60430 → 1.60000	Timed out	+0.18R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.720 → 88.244	Timed out	-0.38R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46680 → 0.46433	Timed out	-0.31R
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.79860 → 0.79581	Timed out	+0.28R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4183.00 → 4110.89	Timed out	+0.38R

12 Oct 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $185

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12070 → 1.11612	Target hit	+1.12R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42470 → 1.42980	Timed out	+0.85R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56170 → 0.55930	Target hit	+1.09R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84680 → 0.84474	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.60480 → 1.60000	Timed out	+0.36R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35680 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24300 → 1.24650	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

9 Oct 2026 1 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $84

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12210 → 1.11612	Timed out	+0.61R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83060 → 0.83464	Timed out	-0.23R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84790 → 0.84613	Target hit	+1.04R
EURJPY	Bearish	177.250 → 176.516	Timed out	-0.04R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.90000 → 1.90693	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35920 → 2.36646	Timed out	-0.18R
AUDJPY	Bearish	110.000 → 109.233	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46650 → 0.46357	Timed out	+0.35R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4147.00 → 4066.46	Stop hit	-1.00R

8 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 7 timed out $100 → $125

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12100 → 1.11612	Timed out	-0.08R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83200 → 0.83615	Timed out	-0.21R
AUDUSD	Bearish	0.69710 → 0.69426	Timed out	+0.45R
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93360 → 0.92951	Timed out	+0.35R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59730 → 1.59058	Timed out	+0.82R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24270 → 1.24650	Timed out	-0.18R
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46690 → 0.46515	Timed out	+0.61R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it: probability × reward/risk − (1 − probability). Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. Only plans with a positive expected result are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance of reaching the conservative target before the stop, once the order fills. These plans were written under the two-outcome model, where the no-edge baseline is 1/(1+RR) — 50% at 1:1, 33% at 1:2 — never 50% flat. The figure is not shown next to each plan: a farther target is worth more but is reached less often, so on its own it says nothing about whether a plan is worth taking. It is already accounted for in the expected result
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

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Daily Forex Forecast

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