| XAUUSD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
4454.26 |
4475.00Sell limit |
4530.00 |
4324.83 |
45%
|
1:2.73 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
4454.26
Entry Point
4475.00
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
4530.00
Conservative Target
4324.83
Risk:Reward
1:2.73
Optimal Target
4311.07
Expected Value
+0.68R
Stop Loss Distance
55.0 pts
Target Distance
150.2 pts
Key Levels
Resistance:
4522.58
4593.75
4696.94
Support:
4446.78
4324.83
4311.07
Rationale
Friday's 180-dollar bearish outside day off 4696 is a classic exhaustion reversal, so sell bounces below the 4522.58 resistance with a 0.53 ATR stop. ATR above 100 signals wide two-sided swings and the primary trend is still up, so risk stays tight.
|
| EURCAD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
1.61066 |
1.61200Sell limit |
1.61500 |
1.60456 |
45%
|
1:2.48 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.61066
Entry Point
1.61200
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.61500
Conservative Target
1.60456
Risk:Reward
1:2.48
Optimal Target
1.60076
Expected Value
+0.57R
Stop Loss Distance
30.0 pips
Target Distance
74.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.61362
1.61820
1.62431
Support:
1.61014
1.60456
1.60076
Rationale
Price closed at the bottom of the 1.6045-1.6186 range with mildly crowded retail longs capping upside; fade the bounce under 1.61362. Flat MACD and range conditions keep conviction low.
|
| EURAUD |
Bearish
|
High
|
1.61832 |
1.62000Sell limit |
1.62450 |
1.61000 |
48%
|
1:2.22 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
1.61832
Entry Point
1.62000
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.62450
Conservative Target
1.61000
Risk:Reward
1:2.22
Optimal Target
1.60500
Expected Value
+0.55R
Stop Loss Distance
45.0 pips
Target Distance
100.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.62016
1.62557
1.63383
Support:
1.61686
1.61000
1.60500
Rationale
Persistent lower highs, accelerating negative MACD and 89% of retail trapped long make rallies into 1.6200/1.6250 sellable. Stop above the pivot; the 1.61686 support is too near the entry to serve as a 1:1 target, so 1.6100 is the first valid objective.
|
| AUDJPY |
Bullish
|
High
|
114.745 |
114.600Buy limit |
114.100 |
115.500 |
52%
|
1:1.80 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
114.745
Entry Point
114.600
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
114.100
Conservative Target
115.500
Risk:Reward
1:1.80
Optimal Target
116.000
Expected Value
+0.46R
Stop Loss Distance
50.0 pips
Target Distance
90.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
114.955
115.500
116.000
Support:
114.176
113.595
113.096
Rationale
Textbook trend of rising highs and lows with RSI 65 and an extreme 92% retail short book; buy pullbacks above the 114.176 support. The 114.955 resistance is too close to entry for 1:1, so 115.50 is the first valid target.
|
| AUDCHF |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.57951 |
0.57880Buy limit |
0.57690 |
0.58200 |
52%
|
1:1.68 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.57951
Entry Point
0.57880
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.57690
Conservative Target
0.58200
Risk:Reward
1:1.68
Optimal Target
0.58500
Expected Value
+0.39R
Stop Loss Distance
19.0 pips
Target Distance
32.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.57996
0.58200
0.58500
Support:
0.57785
0.57667
0.57290
Rationale
New highs with RSI 65 and positive MACD against an extreme 95% retail short book - the strongest contrarian confluence available. Buy dips to 0.5779 support with the stop just beneath it; 0.57996 is too close to entry to be a valid target.
|
| CHFJPY |
Bullish
|
Low
|
197.804 |
197.650Buy limit |
197.080 |
198.781 |
45%
|
1:1.98 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
197.804
Entry Point
197.650
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
197.080
Conservative Target
198.781
Risk:Reward
1:1.98
Optimal Target
199.079
Expected Value
+0.34R
Stop Loss Distance
57.0 pips
Target Distance
113.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
198.781
199.079
200.956
Support:
197.613
195.472
194.233
Rationale
Price is back at the bottom of the two-week 197.60-199.08 box with an improving MACD histogram and 72% retail short. Buy the range low with a 0.5 ATR stop beneath 197.613; no trend edge, hence low confidence.
|
| GBPUSD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
1.35320 |
1.35450Sell limit |
1.35800 |
1.34743 |
44%
|
1:2.02 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.35320
Entry Point
1.35450
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.35800
Conservative Target
1.34743
Risk:Reward
1:2.02
Optimal Target
1.34344
Expected Value
+0.33R
Stop Loss Distance
35.0 pips
Target Distance
70.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.35581
1.35989
1.36756
Support:
1.35276
1.34743
1.34344
Rationale
Failure at 1.3675 and a slide through 1.3558 flip momentum negative with the close at the session low; stop sits above the 1.35581 resistance. UK Bank Holiday thins liquidity, keeping confidence low.
|
| EURJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
185.394 |
185.250Buy limit |
184.750 |
186.024 |
52%
|
1:1.55 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
185.394
Entry Point
185.250
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
184.750
Conservative Target
186.024
Risk:Reward
1:1.55
Optimal Target
187.471
Expected Value
+0.33R
Stop Loss Distance
50.0 pips
Target Distance
77.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
185.486
186.024
187.471
Support:
185.349
184.342
183.893
Rationale
Higher lows with a rising MACD histogram and 83% of retail short into the trend favour buying the 185.35 support zone. Volatility stop of ~0.58 ATR sits below the pivot as 184.34 is too distant to protect efficiently.
|
| NZDUSD |
Bullish
|
Low
|
0.59141 |
0.59080Buy limit |
0.58860 |
0.59505 |
45%
|
1:1.93 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.59141
Entry Point
0.59080
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.58860
Conservative Target
0.59505
Risk:Reward
1:1.93
Optimal Target
0.59654
Expected Value
+0.32R
Stop Loss Distance
22.0 pips
Target Distance
42.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.59505
0.59654
0.59880
Support:
0.59056
0.58601
0.58214
Rationale
Uptrend structure survives Friday's reversal as long as 0.59056 holds, and 70% retail short supports dip-buying. Stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop below the pivot; loss of 0.5905 invalidates.
|
| AUDUSD |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.71627 |
0.71560Buy limit |
0.71350 |
0.71803 |
60%
|
1:1.16 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.71627
Entry Point
0.71560
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.71350
Conservative Target
0.71803
Risk:Reward
1:1.16
Optimal Target
0.72047
Expected Value
+0.30R
Stop Loss Distance
21.0 pips
Target Distance
24.3 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.71803
0.72047
0.72500
Support:
0.71560
0.71090
0.70668
Rationale
Higher highs with expanding positive MACD and 90% of retail short give the strongest contrarian confluence on the board. Buy the 0.7156 support with a 0.5 ATR stop beneath it, targeting 0.7180 then 0.7205.
|
| AUDNZD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.21190 |
1.21090Buy limit |
1.20700 |
1.21711 |
50%
|
1:1.59 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.21190
Entry Point
1.21090
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.20700
Conservative Target
1.21711
Risk:Reward
1:1.59
Optimal Target
1.22174
Expected Value
+0.30R
Stop Loss Distance
39.0 pips
Target Distance
62.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.21213
1.21711
1.22174
Support:
1.20735
1.20528
1.19965
Rationale
Fresh bullish MACD cross and a push through 1.2100 with 83% of retail short favour buying dips above the 1.20735 support. The 1.21213 resistance is too near entry, so 1.2171 is the first valid objective.
|
| EURCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.93754 |
0.93700Buy limit |
0.93520 |
0.93942 |
55%
|
1:1.34 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.93754
Entry Point
0.93700
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.93520
Conservative Target
0.93942
Risk:Reward
1:1.34
Optimal Target
0.94113
Expected Value
+0.29R
Stop Loss Distance
18.0 pips
Target Distance
24.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.93942
0.94113
0.94500
Support:
0.93553
0.93427
0.93073
Rationale
Full recovery of the 19 Aug spike low and a grind toward 0.9411 with 83% of retail short keep longs favoured above 0.9355. Stop sits just under that support; German CPI at 02:29 NY is the day's euro catalyst.
|
| GBPJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
216.637 |
216.450Buy limit |
215.800 |
217.474 |
50%
|
1:1.58 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
216.637
Entry Point
216.450
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
215.800
Conservative Target
217.474
Risk:Reward
1:1.58
Optimal Target
218.014
Expected Value
+0.29R
Stop Loss Distance
65.0 pips
Target Distance
102.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
217.474
218.014
218.684
Support:
216.268
214.835
212.931
Rationale
Consolidation just under 217.47 inside an intact uptrend with 86% retail short favours buying dips above the 216.268 support. UK Bank Holiday liquidity is the caveat, so the stop is a full 0.58 ATR below entry.
|
| NZDJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
94.655 |
94.570Buy limit |
94.220 |
95.117 |
50%
|
1:1.56 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
94.655
Entry Point
94.570
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
94.220
Conservative Target
95.117
Risk:Reward
1:1.56
Optimal Target
95.274
Expected Value
+0.28R
Stop Loss Distance
35.0 pips
Target Distance
54.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
95.117
95.274
95.434
Support:
94.562
94.441
93.317
Rationale
Uptrend consolidating just above the 94.56 pivot with positive MACD and a 68% short retail book; stop sits below the 94.441 secondary support. A hold there keeps 95.27 in play.
|
| NZDCAD |
Bullish
|
Low
|
0.82224 |
0.82130Buy limit |
0.81880 |
0.82610 |
44%
|
1:1.92 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.82224
Entry Point
0.82130
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.81880
Conservative Target
0.82610
Risk:Reward
1:1.92
Optimal Target
0.82762
Expected Value
+0.28R
Stop Loss Distance
25.0 pips
Target Distance
48.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.82320
0.82610
0.82762
Support:
0.82122
0.81649
0.81431
Rationale
Price is resting on the 0.82122 support after the recovery from 0.8124 stalled, with 73% of retail short as a mild contrarian tailwind. The 0.8232 resistance is too close for 1:1, so 0.8261 is the first valid target.
|
| USDJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
160.101 |
159.950Buy limit |
159.450 |
160.598 |
55%
|
1:1.30 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
160.101
Entry Point
159.950
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
159.450
Conservative Target
160.598
Risk:Reward
1:1.30
Optimal Target
161.927
Expected Value
+0.27R
Stop Loss Distance
50.0 pips
Target Distance
64.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
160.598
161.927
162.773
Support:
159.543
159.302
158.026
Rationale
Break of the 159.60 range top with a rising MACD keeps dips buyable while 159.543 support holds; volatility stop of ~0.53 ATR sits under that level. Retail still net short offers a mild contrarian tailwind.
|
| USDCAD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
1.39045 |
1.39200Sell limit |
1.39650 |
1.38449 |
45%
|
1:1.67 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.39045
Entry Point
1.39200
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.39650
Conservative Target
1.38449
Risk:Reward
1:1.67
Optimal Target
1.37892
Expected Value
+0.20R
Stop Loss Distance
45.0 pips
Target Distance
75.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.39584
1.40240
1.40804
Support:
1.38449
1.37892
1.37321
Rationale
The corrective bounce off 1.3732 has stalled below the 1.39584 pivot with RSI under 50 and MACD negative. Sell strength with the stop above that pivot; neutral retail book means no contrarian help.
|
| GBPAUD |
Bearish
|
High
|
1.88986 |
1.89150Sell limit |
1.89700 |
1.88574 |
58%
|
1:1.05 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
1.88986
Entry Point
1.89150
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.89700
Conservative Target
1.88574
Risk:Reward
1:1.05
Optimal Target
1.88069
Expected Value
+0.19R
Stop Loss Distance
55.0 pips
Target Distance
57.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.89195
1.89625
1.91238
Support:
1.88574
1.88069
1.87500
Rationale
Clear downtrend with widening negative MACD opposed by 87% retail longs - the crowd is fighting the move. Sell the rally into 1.8920 with the stop above the 1.89625 lower high.
|
| EURNZD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
1.95871 |
1.96100Sell limit |
1.96620 |
1.95268 |
45%
|
1:1.60 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.95871
Entry Point
1.96100
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.96620
Conservative Target
1.95268
Risk:Reward
1:1.60
Optimal Target
1.95157
Expected Value
+0.17R
Stop Loss Distance
52.0 pips
Target Distance
83.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.96183
1.96310
1.96873
Support:
1.95750
1.95268
1.95157
Rationale
Lower highs since 1.9757 with MACD below zero and 66% of retail long into the drift argue for selling into 1.9618/1.9631. Stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop above the resistance cluster.
|
| CADJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
115.120 |
115.020Buy limit |
114.550 |
115.588 |
53%
|
1:1.21 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
115.120
Entry Point
115.020
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
114.550
Conservative Target
115.588
Risk:Reward
1:1.21
Optimal Target
116.024
Expected Value
+0.17R
Stop Loss Distance
47.0 pips
Target Distance
56.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
115.366
115.588
116.024
Support:
114.602
114.037
113.523
Rationale
Higher-low structure above 114.60 with MACD turning up and 75% of retail short favours buying dips. Stop sits just under the 114.602 support, with 115.366 too near entry to qualify as a target.
|
| AUDCAD |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.99631 |
0.99540Buy limit |
0.99300 |
0.99786 |
57%
|
1:1.03 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.99631
Entry Point
0.99540
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.99300
Conservative Target
0.99786
Risk:Reward
1:1.03
Optimal Target
1.00000
Expected Value
+0.16R
Stop Loss Distance
24.0 pips
Target Distance
24.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.99786
1.00000
1.00500
Support:
0.99438
0.99053
0.98722
Rationale
Impulsive breakout from the 0.9820 base with accelerating MACD and 91% of retail short; buy the shallow dip toward the 0.99438 support. Stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop below it, targeting the 0.9979 high then parity.
|
| GBPNZD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
2.28878 |
2.29100Sell limit |
2.29720 |
2.28423 |
55%
|
1:1.09 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
2.28878
Entry Point
2.29100
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
2.29720
Conservative Target
2.28423
Risk:Reward
1:1.09
Optimal Target
2.27991
Expected Value
+0.15R
Stop Loss Distance
62.0 pips
Target Distance
67.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.29245
2.29759
2.31071
Support:
2.28423
2.27991
2.27846
Rationale
Lower highs from 2.3150 with MACD below zero while 79% of retail is long against the drift; sell strength into the 2.29245 resistance. Stop sits above it but under the 2.29759 pivot.
|
| GBPCAD |
Bullish
|
Low
|
1.88192 |
1.88050Buy limit |
1.87700 |
1.88522 |
48%
|
1:1.35 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.88192
Entry Point
1.88050
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.87700
Conservative Target
1.88522
Risk:Reward
1:1.35
Optimal Target
1.89134
Expected Value
+0.13R
Stop Loss Distance
35.0 pips
Target Distance
47.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.88522
1.89134
1.89536
Support:
1.88106
1.87997
1.87445
Rationale
Month-long 1.8742-1.8954 range with RSI at 49 leaves only edge-fading; price sits on the 1.88106/1.87997 support shelf with retail 60% short. Thin GBP Bank Holiday liquidity keeps confidence low.
|
| NZDCHF |
Bullish
|
Low
|
0.47820 |
0.47770Buy limit |
0.47620 |
0.47939 |
52%
|
1:1.13 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.47820
Entry Point
0.47770
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.47620
Conservative Target
0.47939
Risk:Reward
1:1.13
Optimal Target
0.48001
Expected Value
+0.11R
Stop Loss Distance
15.0 pips
Target Distance
16.9 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.47939
0.48001
0.48175
Support:
0.47779
0.47408
0.47269
Rationale
Compressed range at the top of the band with RSI near 60 and a 67% short retail book; buy the 0.47779 support with a 0.5 ATR stop below. A close above 0.4800 would open 0.4818.
|
| EURUSD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
1.15855 |
1.15950Sell limit |
1.16250 |
1.15642 |
52%
|
1:1.03 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.15855
Entry Point
1.15950
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.16250
Conservative Target
1.15642
Risk:Reward
1:1.03
Optimal Target
1.15048
Expected Value
+0.06R
Stop Loss Distance
30.0 pips
Target Distance
30.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.16219
1.16548
1.17114
Support:
1.15780
1.15642
1.15048
Rationale
Friday's wide bearish outside day closed on the lows under 1.1620, so bounces into 1.1595 are sellable with a stop above the 1.16219 pivot. German Prelim CPI at 02:29 NY is the main intraday risk, hence low confidence.
|
| GBPCHF |
Bullish
|
Low
|
1.09571 |
1.09480Buy limit |
1.09100 |
1.09874 |
52%
|
1:1.04 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.09571
Entry Point
1.09480
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.09100
Conservative Target
1.09874
Risk:Reward
1:1.04
Optimal Target
1.10112
Expected Value
+0.06R
Stop Loss Distance
38.0 pips
Target Distance
39.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.09674
1.09874
1.10112
Support:
1.09141
1.08495
1.08105
Rationale
Steady recovery from 1.0843 with RSI 56 and a 70% short retail book keeps the 1.09141 support relevant; stop sits just beneath it. Bank Holiday trading in sterling caps confidence.
|
| EURGBP |
Bearish
|
Low
|
0.85579 |
0.85630Sell limit |
0.85800 |
0.85444 |
50%
|
1:1.09 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.85579
Entry Point
0.85630
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.85800
Conservative Target
0.85444
Risk:Reward
1:1.09
Optimal Target
0.85318
Expected Value
+0.05R
Stop Loss Distance
17.0 pips
Target Distance
18.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.85762
0.85845
0.86539
Support:
0.85444
0.85318
0.85085
Rationale
Pure mean-reversion conditions inside the 0.8532-0.8585 box with flat RSI and MACD at zero, so fade the upper half toward the 0.85444 support. GBP Bank Holiday thins flow while German CPI at 02:29 NY can spike the euro leg.
|
| USDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.80989 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.80989
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.81081
0.81201
0.81436
Support:
0.80566
0.80345
0.80099
Rationale
Price is retesting the 0.8108 pivot after an aggressive one-day recovery while MACD is still negative and retail is 60% long. Fade the pivot with a 0.5 ATR stop above 0.81201; only a close over 0.8120 flips the picture.
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| CADCHF |
Neutral
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Low
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0.58210 |
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—
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Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.58210
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
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Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58229
0.58644
0.58800
Support:
0.57974
0.57862
0.57725
Rationale
Price is pinned at the 0.58229 pivot after a week of 40-pip ranges with fading MACD momentum and 68% of retail long. Fade the pivot with a 0.5 ATR stop above; a clean break negates the plan.
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