| AUDUSD |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.71672 |
0.71591Buy limit |
0.71350 |
0.72082 |
55%
|
1:2.04 |
-0.65RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
55%
Analysis Price
0.71672
Entry Point
0.71591
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.71350
Conservative Target
0.72082
Risk:Reward
1:2.04
Optimal Target
0.72500
Expected Value
+0.67R
Stop Loss Distance
24.1 pips
Target Distance
49.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.71803
0.72082
0.72500
Support:
0.71540
0.71376
0.70668
Rationale
Higher lows, RSI 63 and rising MACD with 87% of retail short give a strong contrarian trend setup; buy the shallow dip toward 0.7154 support. Stop is a 0.6 ATR volatility stop just under the 0.71376 shelf.
|
| AUDNZD |
Bullish
|
High
|
1.21186 |
1.21075Buy limit |
1.20790 |
1.21711 |
50%
|
1:2.23 |
+0.74RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
50%
Analysis Price
1.21186
Entry Point
1.21075
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.20790
Conservative Target
1.21711
Risk:Reward
1:2.23
Optimal Target
1.22174
Expected Value
+0.62R
Stop Loss Distance
28.5 pips
Target Distance
63.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.21338
1.21711
1.22174
Support:
1.20944
1.20528
1.19965
Rationale
Bullish MACD cross and a break above the 1.2100 range top with 81% of retail short; long while 1.20944 holds. Stop is 0.5 ATR below entry, just under that support.
|
| EURAUD |
Bearish
|
High
|
1.62124 |
1.62265Sell limit |
1.62650 |
1.61660 |
56%
|
1:1.57 |
+0.05RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
56%
Analysis Price
1.62124
Entry Point
1.62265
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.62650
Conservative Target
1.61660
Risk:Reward
1:1.57
Optimal Target
1.61000
Expected Value
+0.44R
Stop Loss Distance
38.5 pips
Target Distance
60.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.62557
1.63133
1.63383
Support:
1.61660
1.61571
1.61000
Rationale
Clean lower highs/lower lows with negative MACD and 84% of retail long into the decline; sell the rally toward 1.6250 resistance. Stop just above that supply.
|
| AUDCAD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.99302 |
0.99232Buy limit |
0.98920 |
0.99786 |
51%
|
1:1.78 |
+0.11RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
51%
Analysis Price
0.99302
Entry Point
0.99232
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.98920
Conservative Target
0.99786
Risk:Reward
1:1.78
Optimal Target
1.00000
Expected Value
+0.42R
Stop Loss Distance
31.2 pips
Target Distance
55.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.99454
0.99786
1.00000
Support:
0.99248
0.98978
0.98722
Rationale
Impulsive rally off 0.9780 with expanding MACD and 83% retail short; pullbacks to 0.9925 are buyable with parity the magnet. Stop below the 0.98978 higher low.
|
| GBPNZD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
2.29087 |
2.29325Sell limit |
2.30000 |
2.28141 |
51%
|
1:1.75 |
-0.13RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
51%
Analysis Price
2.29087
Entry Point
2.29325
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
2.30000
Conservative Target
2.28141
Risk:Reward
1:1.75
Optimal Target
2.27991
Expected Value
+0.40R
Stop Loss Distance
67.5 pips
Target Distance
118.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.29282
2.29759
2.31071
Support:
2.28839
2.28141
2.27991
Rationale
Lower highs since 2.3150 and 81% retail long make the 2.2928-2.2976 zone solid supply. Stop above 2.29759, targeting the 2.2814 range base.
|
| EURCAD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
1.60996 |
1.61102Sell limit |
1.61450 |
1.60456 |
47%
|
1:1.86 |
+0.14RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
47%
Analysis Price
1.60996
Entry Point
1.61102
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.61450
Conservative Target
1.60456
Risk:Reward
1:1.86
Optimal Target
1.60076
Expected Value
+0.34R
Stop Loss Distance
34.8 pips
Target Distance
64.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.61362
1.61820
1.62431
Support:
1.60869
1.60456
1.60076
Rationale
Repeated failures at 1.6186 and a 62% retail long book argue for fading strength under 1.6136 within the range. EUR CPI at 05:00 NY adds headline risk.
|
| GBPJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
216.442 |
216.220Buy limit |
215.600 |
217.175 |
52%
|
1:1.54 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
216.442
Entry Point
216.220
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
215.600
Conservative Target
217.175
Risk:Reward
1:1.54
Optimal Target
217.474
Expected Value
+0.32R
Stop Loss Distance
62.0 pips
Target Distance
95.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
217.175
217.474
218.014
Support:
216.085
214.835
212.931
Rationale
Grinding uptrend between 216.0 and 217.5 with positive MACD and 83% retail short underpinning dips. Stop is a 0.57 ATR volatility stop below the 216.085 shelf.
|
| USDCAD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
1.38591 |
1.38710Sell limit |
1.39200 |
1.37892 |
48%
|
1:1.67 |
-0.53RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
48%
Analysis Price
1.38591
Entry Point
1.38710
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.39200
Conservative Target
1.37892
Risk:Reward
1:1.67
Optimal Target
1.37321
Expected Value
+0.28R
Stop Loss Distance
49.0 pips
Target Distance
81.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.39115
1.39584
1.40240
Support:
1.38428
1.37892
1.37321
Rationale
The corrective bounce keeps failing under 1.3911 within a broader downtrend, so rallies are sellable with the stop above that cap. USD ISM at 10:00 NY is the key risk.
|
| GBPAUD |
Bearish
|
High
|
1.89093 |
1.89265Sell limit |
1.89800 |
1.88561 |
55%
|
1:1.32 |
+0.21RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
55%
Analysis Price
1.89093
Entry Point
1.89265
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.89800
Conservative Target
1.88561
Risk:Reward
1:1.32
Optimal Target
1.88069
Expected Value
+0.28R
Stop Loss Distance
53.5 pips
Target Distance
70.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.89625
1.90331
1.91238
Support:
1.88910
1.88561
1.88069
Rationale
Persistent lower highs, RSI 36.6 and accelerating negative MACD against an 83% retail long book; sell bounces into the 1.8930-1.8960 supply. Stop above 1.89625 resistance.
|
| AUDJPY |
Bullish
|
High
|
114.484 |
114.340Buy limit |
113.850 |
114.962 |
55%
|
1:1.27 |
+0.24RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
55%
Analysis Price
114.484
Entry Point
114.340
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
113.850
Conservative Target
114.962
Risk:Reward
1:1.27
Optimal Target
115.500
Expected Value
+0.25R
Stop Loss Distance
49.0 pips
Target Distance
62.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
114.669
114.962
115.500
Support:
114.213
113.596
113.096
Rationale
Strong uptrend with RSI 62 and expanding MACD against an extreme 88% retail short; buy dips toward 114.21 support. Stop is a 0.7 ATR volatility stop below that shelf.
|
| CADJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
115.289 |
115.191Buy limit |
114.633 |
116.024 |
49%
|
1:1.49 |
+0.20RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
49%
Analysis Price
115.289
Entry Point
115.191
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
114.633
Conservative Target
116.024
Risk:Reward
1:1.49
Optimal Target
116.582
Expected Value
+0.22R
Stop Loss Distance
55.8 pips
Target Distance
83.3 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
115.366
115.588
116.024
Support:
114.796
114.602
114.037
Rationale
Uptrend intact above 114.60 with improving MACD and 73% of retail short; a deeper dip entry keeps risk at 0.57 ATR below 114.796 support. Break of 115.59 opens 116.02. Entry and stop rebuilt on the analysis levels (115.191 / 114.633): the original plan was not reachable in the session.
|
| EURCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.93899 |
0.93833Buy limit |
0.93610 |
0.94113 |
53%
|
1:1.26 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
53%
Analysis Price
0.93899
Entry Point
0.93833
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.93610
Conservative Target
0.94113
Risk:Reward
1:1.26
Optimal Target
0.94450
Expected Value
+0.20R
Stop Loss Distance
22.3 pips
Target Distance
28.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.93942
0.94113
0.94450
Support:
0.93676
0.93449
0.93073
Rationale
Full recovery of the 19-Aug flush and a press on 0.9394/0.9411 with 86% retail short favours dip-buying above 0.93676. EUR CPI at 05:00 NY is the trigger risk.
|
| EURJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
185.612 |
185.400Buy limit |
184.850 |
186.044 |
54%
|
1:1.17 |
+0.55RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
54%
Analysis Price
185.612
Entry Point
185.400
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
184.850
Conservative Target
186.044
Risk:Reward
1:1.17
Optimal Target
186.500
Expected Value
+0.17R
Stop Loss Distance
55.0 pips
Target Distance
64.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
186.044
186.500
187.471
Support:
185.349
184.923
184.342
Rationale
Uptrend consolidating below 186.0 with an expanding MACD histogram and 84% of retail short supports buying dips to the 185.35 shelf. Stop sits beyond 184.92 support.
|
| AUDCHF |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.57888 |
0.57816Buy limit |
0.57620 |
0.58029 |
55%
|
1:1.09 |
+1.09RTarget hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Probability
55%
Analysis Price
0.57888
Entry Point
0.57816
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.57620
Conservative Target
0.58029
Risk:Reward
1:1.09
Optimal Target
0.58250
Expected Value
+0.15R
Stop Loss Distance
19.6 pips
Target Distance
21.3 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58029
0.58250
0.58500
Support:
0.57820
0.57667
0.57290
Rationale
Fresh multi-week highs with RSI 63, rising MACD and an extreme 93% retail short — the strongest contrarian setup on the board. Buy the dip to 0.5782 with the stop below 0.57667.
|
| USDJPY |
Bullish
|
Low
|
159.778 |
159.600Buy limit |
159.050 |
160.203 |
54%
|
1:1.10 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
54%
Analysis Price
159.778
Entry Point
159.600
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
159.050
Conservative Target
160.203
Risk:Reward
1:1.10
Optimal Target
160.598
Expected Value
+0.13R
Stop Loss Distance
55.0 pips
Target Distance
60.3 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
160.203
160.598
161.927
Support:
159.473
159.034
158.026
Rationale
Two-week 158.0-160.2 range with MACD turning up and retail modestly short favours buying dips toward 159.47 support. USD ISM at 10:00 NY is the main risk to the range top.
|
| NZDCAD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
0.81950 |
0.82044Sell limit |
0.82360 |
0.81649 |
50%
|
1:1.25 |
+0.65RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
50%
Analysis Price
0.81950
Entry Point
0.82044
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.82360
Conservative Target
0.81649
Risk:Reward
1:1.25
Optimal Target
0.81431
Expected Value
+0.13R
Stop Loss Distance
31.6 pips
Target Distance
39.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.82121
0.82320
0.82657
Support:
0.81908
0.81649
0.81431
Rationale
Rejection at 0.8276 flipped momentum lower with RSI 48 and 57% of retail long; bearish while below 0.8232 resistance, which anchors the stop.
|
| GBPCHF |
Bullish
|
Low
|
1.09442 |
1.09343Buy limit |
1.09070 |
1.09670 |
51%
|
1:1.20 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
51%
Analysis Price
1.09442
Entry Point
1.09343
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.09070
Conservative Target
1.09670
Risk:Reward
1:1.20
Optimal Target
1.10112
Expected Value
+0.12R
Stop Loss Distance
27.3 pips
Target Distance
32.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.09670
1.10112
1.10450
Support:
1.09136
1.08495
1.08105
Rationale
Coiling under 1.0967 after recovering the 19-Aug gap, with 74% of retail short supporting dips to 1.0914. A close above 1.0967 opens the 1.1011 swing high.
|
| XAUUSD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
4447.40 |
4468.00Sell limit |
4535.00 |
4396.54 |
54%
|
1:1.07 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Probability
54%
Analysis Price
4447.40
Entry Point
4468.00
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
4535.00
Conservative Target
4396.54
Risk:Reward
1:1.07
Optimal Target
4324.83
Expected Value
+0.12R
Stop Loss Distance
67.0 pts
Target Distance
71.5 pts
Key Levels
Resistance:
4472.16
4522.58
4600.70
Support:
4396.54
4324.83
4311.07
Rationale
The 28-Aug bearish engulfing from 4697 broke trend structure, MACD has crossed down and 59% of retail remains long; sell rallies into 4472 with the stop above 4522. USD ISM at 10:00 NY is a high-impact gap risk for gold.
|
| NZDJPY |
Bullish
|
Low
|
94.477 |
94.380Buy limit |
94.030 |
94.788 |
51%
|
1:1.17 |
-0.05RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
51%
Analysis Price
94.477
Entry Point
94.380
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
94.030
Conservative Target
94.788
Risk:Reward
1:1.17
Optimal Target
95.164
Expected Value
+0.11R
Stop Loss Distance
35.0 pips
Target Distance
40.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
94.788
95.164
95.274
Support:
94.440
94.329
93.317
Rationale
Trend is still up but momentum stalls below 95.20, so longs are only valid on a hold of the 94.33-94.44 support band. Stop beneath 94.329 where the 93.30 pivot comes into play.
|
| EURUSD |
Bullish
|
Low
|
1.16178 |
1.16130Buy limit |
1.15700 |
1.16595 |
52%
|
1:1.08 |
-0.54RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
52%
Analysis Price
1.16178
Entry Point
1.16130
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.15700
Conservative Target
1.16595
Risk:Reward
1:1.08
Optimal Target
1.16794
Expected Value
+0.08R
Stop Loss Distance
43.0 pips
Target Distance
46.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.16219
1.16595
1.16794
Support:
1.15765
1.15448
1.15048
Rationale
The 1.1577 flush was bought back immediately, keeping the range intact with a mild bullish bias; stop sits below 1.15765 support. EUR CPI at 05:00 and USD ISM at 10:00 NY cap confidence.
|
| GBPCAD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
1.87722 |
1.87860Sell limit |
1.88200 |
1.87445 |
48%
|
1:1.22 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
48%
Analysis Price
1.87722
Entry Point
1.87860
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.88200
Conservative Target
1.87445
Risk:Reward
1:1.22
Optimal Target
1.87127
Expected Value
+0.07R
Stop Loss Distance
34.0 pips
Target Distance
41.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.88049
1.88329
1.88522
Support:
1.87636
1.87445
1.87127
Rationale
The rally to 1.8913 has fully reversed and price is testing the lower edge of the 1.8740-1.8910 range; bearish while below 1.8805. Stop just above the 1.88049 pivot.
|
| USDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.80798 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
0.80798
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.80996
0.81081
0.81436
Support:
0.80566
0.80255
0.80099
Rationale
Recovery has stalled exactly under 0.8100 with flat momentum, so fading the upper range edge is the only edge available. ISM at 10:00 NY can break the 0.8050-0.8100 box either way.
|
| NZDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.59141 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
0.59141
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.59435
0.59658
0.59880
Support:
0.59014
0.58601
0.58214
Rationale
Price is pinned at the 0.5900 range floor with MACD rolling over; only a bounce off support toward 0.5944 offers acceptable odds. Break of 0.5900 invalidates the plan.
|
| GBPUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.35492 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
1.35492
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.35581
1.35994
1.36756
Support:
1.35265
1.34743
1.34344
Rationale
Price holds the 1.3527 range floor but momentum is fading, so only a dip-buy into support inside the 1.3527/1.3600 box is justified. Volatility stop near 0.9 ATR since 1.34743 is more than an ATR away.
|
| EURNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.96456 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
1.96456
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.96873
1.97321
1.97569
Support:
1.95750
1.95502
1.95157
Rationale
Choppy 1.9515-1.9757 range with RSI at 50 and crowded retail longs argues against chasing the bounce into 1.9687 resistance. Stop above the 1.9732 pivot.
|
| NZDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.47773 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
0.47773
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.47939
0.48002
0.48175
Support:
0.47733
0.47408
0.47269
Rationale
Two-week compression between 0.4773 and 0.4800 with flat momentum; only a bounce from the floor toward the 0.4800 breakout trigger is tradable. Volatility stop of 0.6 ATR since 0.47408 is far below.
|
| EURGBP |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.85719 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
0.85719
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.85831
0.85851
0.86539
Support:
0.85537
0.85444
0.85318
Rationale
Tight 0.8532-0.8585 coil with a mild MACD upturn and very low ATR; buy the lower half toward the 0.8585 breakout trigger. EUR CPI at 05:00 NY is the likely catalyst out of the coil.
|
| CHFJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
197.600 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
197.600
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
197.970
198.781
199.079
Support:
197.307
195.472
194.233
Rationale
Two-week 197.3-199.1 range with RSI 48 and MACD below zero; the only acceptable trade is buying the lower edge with a stop beneath 197.307. A close under that level targets 195.47 instead.
|
| CADCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58295 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Probability
—
Analysis Price
0.58295
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58366
0.58644
0.58900
Support:
0.58113
0.57862
0.57725
Rationale
Price is recovering inside the 0.5772-0.5864 range but MACD is fading and retail is 63% long, so only a dip toward 0.58113 support is worth buying. Upside is capped until 0.5864 breaks.
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