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Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Monday, 31 August 2026 Forecast for: Tuesday, 01 September 2026 Plan window: Mon 23:00 – Tue 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

You are viewing an archived forecast

This is the forex forecast generated for 31 August 2026. View current forecast

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The Aussie remains the strongest currency on the board with extreme retail short positioning (AUDCHF 93% short, AUDJPY 88%, AUDUSD 87%) offering a contrarian tailwind, so AUD longs and EUR/GBP-AUD shorts stay the cleanest expressions. The dollar bloc is range-bound and directionless ahead of the 10:00 NY ISM Manufacturing print, which is the day's main gap risk for USD pairs and gold. Gold stays in a volatile corrective regime after the outside-day reversal from 4697, with ATR above 100 and retail still net long into the decline.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

  • EUR CPI Flash Estimate y/y at 05:00 NY (forecast 3.3% vs 2.9% prior) — EURUSD, EURGBP, EURJPY reaction risk
  • USD ISM Manufacturing PMI at 10:00 NY (HIGH impact, forecast 55.2) plus ISM Prices and JOLTS — gap risk for all USD pairs and XAUUSD
  • EURUSD reaction at the 1.16219 pivot; only a close above it revives the uptrend
  • AUDUSD test of 0.71803/0.72082 resistance and XAUUSD defence of 4396.54 support

Best Opportunities

AUDCHF Bullish
EURAUD Bearish
GBPAUD Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record so far (338 filled plans), 11% hit the target, 23% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close.

AUDCHF

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.09

Expected result +0.15 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.57816 Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.57620 (19.6 pips)
Conservative Target 0.58029 (21.3 pips)
Optimal Target 0.58250 (43.4 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58029 0.58250 0.58500
Support: 0.57820 0.57667 0.57290

Rationale

Fresh multi-week highs with RSI 63, rising MACD and an extreme 93% retail short — the strongest contrarian setup on the board. Buy the dip to 0.5782 with the stop below 0.57667.

Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

EURAUD

Bearish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.57

Expected result +0.44 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.62265 Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.62650 (38.5 pips)
Conservative Target 1.61660 (60.5 pips)
Optimal Target 1.61000 (126.5 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.62557 1.63133 1.63383
Support: 1.61660 1.61571 1.61000

Rationale

Clean lower highs/lower lows with negative MACD and 84% of retail long into the decline; sell the rally toward 1.6250 resistance. Stop just above that supply.

Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail

GBPAUD

Bearish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.32

Expected result +0.28 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.89265 Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.89800 (53.5 pips)
Conservative Target 1.88561 (70.4 pips)
Optimal Target 1.88069 (119.6 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.89625 1.90331 1.91238
Support: 1.88910 1.88561 1.88069

Rationale

Persistent lower highs, RSI 36.6 and accelerating negative MACD against an 83% retail long book; sell bounces into the 1.8930-1.8960 supply. Stop above 1.89625 resistance.

Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair Direction Confidence Analysis Price Entry Stop Loss Target Expected result Risk:Reward Result

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.67R
Analysis Price 0.71672
Entry Point 0.71591
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.71350
Conservative Target 0.72082
Risk:Reward 1:2.04
Optimal Target 0.72500
Stop Loss Distance 24.1 pips
Target Distance 49.1 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.71803 0.72082 0.72500
Support: 0.71540 0.71376 0.70668

Rationale

Higher lows, RSI 63 and rising MACD with 87% of retail short give a strong contrarian trend setup; buy the shallow dip toward 0.7154 support. Stop is a 0.6 ATR volatility stop just under the 0.71376 shelf.

Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.62R
Analysis Price 1.21186
Entry Point 1.21075
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.20790
Conservative Target 1.21711
Risk:Reward 1:2.23
Optimal Target 1.22174
Stop Loss Distance 28.5 pips
Target Distance 63.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.21338 1.21711 1.22174
Support: 1.20944 1.20528 1.19965

Rationale

Bullish MACD cross and a break above the 1.2100 range top with 81% of retail short; long while 1.20944 holds. Stop is 0.5 ATR below entry, just under that support.

Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.44R
Analysis Price 1.62124
Entry Point 1.62265
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.62650
Conservative Target 1.61660
Risk:Reward 1:1.57
Optimal Target 1.61000
Stop Loss Distance 38.5 pips
Target Distance 60.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.62557 1.63133 1.63383
Support: 1.61660 1.61571 1.61000

Rationale

Clean lower highs/lower lows with negative MACD and 84% of retail long into the decline; sell the rally toward 1.6250 resistance. Stop just above that supply.

Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.42R
Analysis Price 0.99302
Entry Point 0.99232
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.98920
Conservative Target 0.99786
Risk:Reward 1:1.78
Optimal Target 1.00000
Stop Loss Distance 31.2 pips
Target Distance 55.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.99454 0.99786 1.00000
Support: 0.99248 0.98978 0.98722

Rationale

Impulsive rally off 0.9780 with expanding MACD and 83% retail short; pullbacks to 0.9925 are buyable with parity the magnet. Stop below the 0.98978 higher low.

Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.40R
Analysis Price 2.29087
Entry Point 2.29325
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 2.30000
Conservative Target 2.28141
Risk:Reward 1:1.75
Optimal Target 2.27991
Stop Loss Distance 67.5 pips
Target Distance 118.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.29282 2.29759 2.31071
Support: 2.28839 2.28141 2.27991

Rationale

Lower highs since 2.3150 and 81% retail long make the 2.2928-2.2976 zone solid supply. Stop above 2.29759, targeting the 2.2814 range base.

Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.34R
Analysis Price 1.60996
Entry Point 1.61102
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.61450
Conservative Target 1.60456
Risk:Reward 1:1.86
Optimal Target 1.60076
Stop Loss Distance 34.8 pips
Target Distance 64.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.61362 1.61820 1.62431
Support: 1.60869 1.60456 1.60076

Rationale

Repeated failures at 1.6186 and a 62% retail long book argue for fading strength under 1.6136 within the range. EUR CPI at 05:00 NY adds headline risk.

Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.32R
Analysis Price 216.442
Entry Point 216.220
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 215.600
Conservative Target 217.175
Risk:Reward 1:1.54
Optimal Target 217.474
Stop Loss Distance 62.0 pips
Target Distance 95.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 217.175 217.474 218.014
Support: 216.085 214.835 212.931

Rationale

Grinding uptrend between 216.0 and 217.5 with positive MACD and 83% retail short underpinning dips. Stop is a 0.57 ATR volatility stop below the 216.085 shelf.

Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.28R
Analysis Price 1.38591
Entry Point 1.38710
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.39200
Conservative Target 1.37892
Risk:Reward 1:1.67
Optimal Target 1.37321
Stop Loss Distance 49.0 pips
Target Distance 81.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.39115 1.39584 1.40240
Support: 1.38428 1.37892 1.37321

Rationale

The corrective bounce keeps failing under 1.3911 within a broader downtrend, so rallies are sellable with the stop above that cap. USD ISM at 10:00 NY is the key risk.

Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.28R
Analysis Price 1.89093
Entry Point 1.89265
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.89800
Conservative Target 1.88561
Risk:Reward 1:1.32
Optimal Target 1.88069
Stop Loss Distance 53.5 pips
Target Distance 70.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.89625 1.90331 1.91238
Support: 1.88910 1.88561 1.88069

Rationale

Persistent lower highs, RSI 36.6 and accelerating negative MACD against an 83% retail long book; sell bounces into the 1.8930-1.8960 supply. Stop above 1.89625 resistance.

Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.25R
Analysis Price 114.484
Entry Point 114.340
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 113.850
Conservative Target 114.962
Risk:Reward 1:1.27
Optimal Target 115.500
Stop Loss Distance 49.0 pips
Target Distance 62.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 114.669 114.962 115.500
Support: 114.213 113.596 113.096

Rationale

Strong uptrend with RSI 62 and expanding MACD against an extreme 88% retail short; buy dips toward 114.21 support. Stop is a 0.7 ATR volatility stop below that shelf.

Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.22R
Analysis Price 115.289
Entry Point 115.191
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 114.633
Conservative Target 116.024
Risk:Reward 1:1.49
Optimal Target 116.582
Stop Loss Distance 55.8 pips
Target Distance 83.3 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 115.366 115.588 116.024
Support: 114.796 114.602 114.037

Rationale

Uptrend intact above 114.60 with improving MACD and 73% of retail short; a deeper dip entry keeps risk at 0.57 ATR below 114.796 support. Break of 115.59 opens 116.02. Entry and stop rebuilt on the analysis levels (115.191 / 114.633): the original plan was not reachable in the session.

Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.20R
Analysis Price 0.93899
Entry Point 0.93833
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.93610
Conservative Target 0.94113
Risk:Reward 1:1.26
Optimal Target 0.94450
Stop Loss Distance 22.3 pips
Target Distance 28.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.93942 0.94113 0.94450
Support: 0.93676 0.93449 0.93073

Rationale

Full recovery of the 19-Aug flush and a press on 0.9394/0.9411 with 86% retail short favours dip-buying above 0.93676. EUR CPI at 05:00 NY is the trigger risk.

Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.17R
Analysis Price 185.612
Entry Point 185.400
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 184.850
Conservative Target 186.044
Risk:Reward 1:1.17
Optimal Target 186.500
Stop Loss Distance 55.0 pips
Target Distance 64.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 186.044 186.500 187.471
Support: 185.349 184.923 184.342

Rationale

Uptrend consolidating below 186.0 with an expanding MACD histogram and 84% of retail short supports buying dips to the 185.35 shelf. Stop sits beyond 184.92 support.

Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.15R
Analysis Price 0.57888
Entry Point 0.57816
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.57620
Conservative Target 0.58029
Risk:Reward 1:1.09
Optimal Target 0.58250
Stop Loss Distance 19.6 pips
Target Distance 21.3 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58029 0.58250 0.58500
Support: 0.57820 0.57667 0.57290

Rationale

Fresh multi-week highs with RSI 63, rising MACD and an extreme 93% retail short — the strongest contrarian setup on the board. Buy the dip to 0.5782 with the stop below 0.57667.

Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R
Analysis Price 159.778
Entry Point 159.600
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 159.050
Conservative Target 160.203
Risk:Reward 1:1.10
Optimal Target 160.598
Stop Loss Distance 55.0 pips
Target Distance 60.3 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 160.203 160.598 161.927
Support: 159.473 159.034 158.026

Rationale

Two-week 158.0-160.2 range with MACD turning up and retail modestly short favours buying dips toward 159.47 support. USD ISM at 10:00 NY is the main risk to the range top.

Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R
Analysis Price 0.81950
Entry Point 0.82044
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.82360
Conservative Target 0.81649
Risk:Reward 1:1.25
Optimal Target 0.81431
Stop Loss Distance 31.6 pips
Target Distance 39.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.82121 0.82320 0.82657
Support: 0.81908 0.81649 0.81431

Rationale

Rejection at 0.8276 flipped momentum lower with RSI 48 and 57% of retail long; bearish while below 0.8232 resistance, which anchors the stop.

Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R
Analysis Price 1.09442
Entry Point 1.09343
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.09070
Conservative Target 1.09670
Risk:Reward 1:1.20
Optimal Target 1.10112
Stop Loss Distance 27.3 pips
Target Distance 32.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.09670 1.10112 1.10450
Support: 1.09136 1.08495 1.08105

Rationale

Coiling under 1.0967 after recovering the 19-Aug gap, with 74% of retail short supporting dips to 1.0914. A close above 1.0967 opens the 1.1011 swing high.

Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R
Analysis Price 4447.40
Entry Point 4468.00
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 4535.00
Conservative Target 4396.54
Risk:Reward 1:1.07
Optimal Target 4324.83
Stop Loss Distance 67.0 pts
Target Distance 71.5 pts

Key Levels

Resistance: 4472.16 4522.58 4600.70
Support: 4396.54 4324.83 4311.07

Rationale

The 28-Aug bearish engulfing from 4697 broke trend structure, MACD has crossed down and 59% of retail remains long; sell rallies into 4472 with the stop above 4522. USD ISM at 10:00 NY is a high-impact gap risk for gold.

Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R
Analysis Price 94.477
Entry Point 94.380
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 94.030
Conservative Target 94.788
Risk:Reward 1:1.17
Optimal Target 95.164
Stop Loss Distance 35.0 pips
Target Distance 40.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 94.788 95.164 95.274
Support: 94.440 94.329 93.317

Rationale

Trend is still up but momentum stalls below 95.20, so longs are only valid on a hold of the 94.33-94.44 support band. Stop beneath 94.329 where the 93.30 pivot comes into play.

Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R
Analysis Price 1.16178
Entry Point 1.16130
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.15700
Conservative Target 1.16595
Risk:Reward 1:1.08
Optimal Target 1.16794
Stop Loss Distance 43.0 pips
Target Distance 46.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.16219 1.16595 1.16794
Support: 1.15765 1.15448 1.15048

Rationale

The 1.1577 flush was bought back immediately, keeping the range intact with a mild bullish bias; stop sits below 1.15765 support. EUR CPI at 05:00 and USD ISM at 10:00 NY cap confidence.

Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.07R
Analysis Price 1.87722
Entry Point 1.87860
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.88200
Conservative Target 1.87445
Risk:Reward 1:1.22
Optimal Target 1.87127
Stop Loss Distance 34.0 pips
Target Distance 41.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.88049 1.88329 1.88522
Support: 1.87636 1.87445 1.87127

Rationale

The rally to 1.8913 has fully reversed and price is testing the lower edge of the 1.8740-1.8910 range; bearish while below 1.8805. Stop just above the 1.88049 pivot.

Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.80798
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.80996 0.81081 0.81436
Support: 0.80566 0.80255 0.80099

Rationale

Recovery has stalled exactly under 0.8100 with flat momentum, so fading the upper range edge is the only edge available. ISM at 10:00 NY can break the 0.8050-0.8100 box either way.

Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.59141
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.59435 0.59658 0.59880
Support: 0.59014 0.58601 0.58214

Rationale

Price is pinned at the 0.5900 range floor with MACD rolling over; only a bounce off support toward 0.5944 offers acceptable odds. Break of 0.5900 invalidates the plan.

Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.35492
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.35581 1.35994 1.36756
Support: 1.35265 1.34743 1.34344

Rationale

Price holds the 1.3527 range floor but momentum is fading, so only a dip-buy into support inside the 1.3527/1.3600 box is justified. Volatility stop near 0.9 ATR since 1.34743 is more than an ATR away.

Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.96456
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.96873 1.97321 1.97569
Support: 1.95750 1.95502 1.95157

Rationale

Choppy 1.9515-1.9757 range with RSI at 50 and crowded retail longs argues against chasing the bounce into 1.9687 resistance. Stop above the 1.9732 pivot.

Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.47773
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.47939 0.48002 0.48175
Support: 0.47733 0.47408 0.47269

Rationale

Two-week compression between 0.4773 and 0.4800 with flat momentum; only a bounce from the floor toward the 0.4800 breakout trigger is tradable. Volatility stop of 0.6 ATR since 0.47408 is far below.

Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.85719
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.85831 0.85851 0.86539
Support: 0.85537 0.85444 0.85318

Rationale

Tight 0.8532-0.8585 coil with a mild MACD upturn and very low ATR; buy the lower half toward the 0.8585 breakout trigger. EUR CPI at 05:00 NY is the likely catalyst out of the coil.

Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 197.600
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 197.970 198.781 199.079
Support: 197.307 195.472 194.233

Rationale

Two-week 197.3-199.1 range with RSI 48 and MACD below zero; the only acceptable trade is buying the lower edge with a stop beneath 197.307. A close under that level targets 195.47 instead.

Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.58295
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58366 0.58644 0.58900
Support: 0.58113 0.57862 0.57725

Rationale

Price is recovering inside the 0.5772-0.5864 range but MACD is fading and retail is 63% long, so only a dip toward 0.58113 support is worth buying. Upside is capped until 0.5864 breaks.

Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$6 average per $100 risked

84 of 123 picks filled, over 41 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

338 plans over 41 verified days · target hit 11%

41 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 84 picks the honest range around the +$6 runs from −$10 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 123 picks published, 84 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 21 of the 84 picks lost the full $100, against 49 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 58% of the Top 3 result, and 27 of the 84 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$13 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 338 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 14 Oct 2026)

  • Target hit 11% (36)
  • Stop hit 23% (79)
  • Timed out 66% (223)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 159 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown
31% Win rate 36 of 115 plans closed at target or stop
-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one
+0.08R Timed-out average how those 223 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

21%
14 of 66 plans

Bearish

45%
22 of 49 plans

Win rate by pair

PairWin ratePlans
EURJPY
75%
3 / 4
NZDJPY
75%
3 / 4
GBPJPY
75%
3 / 4
AUDCHF
50%
3 / 6
NZDCAD
50%
2 / 4
AUDUSD
43%
3 / 7
EURUSD
40%
2 / 5
NZDUSD
40%
2 / 5
USDCAD
40%
2 / 5
XAUUSD
33%
1 / 3
GBPUSD
33%
1 / 3
CHFJPY
33%
1 / 3
EURCHF
30%
3 / 10
EURGBP
25%
1 / 4
GBPAUD
25%
1 / 4
EURNZD
25%
1 / 4
USDCHF
25%
1 / 4
USDJPY
25%
1 / 4
AUDJPY
20%
1 / 5
GBPCAD
0%
0 / 7
NZDCHF
0%
0 / 4
AUDCAD
0%
0 / 3
GBPNZD
0%
0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit
Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit
Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out
The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled
Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken
Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

14 Oct 2026 2 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $137
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84525 → 0.84378 Timed out -0.30R
EURJPY Bearish 177.500 → 176.516 Target hit +1.54R
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59330 → 1.58963 Not filled –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88350 → 1.88971 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Bullish 2.36000 → 2.36667 Timed out -0.10R
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.980 → 88.389 Target hit +1.69R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
13 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 8 timed out $100 → $91
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.11680 → 1.11000 Timed out -0.55R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83410 → 0.83822 Timed out -0.35R
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84500 → 0.84250 Timed out +0.01R
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Bearish 1.60430 → 1.60000 Timed out +0.18R
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.720 → 88.244 Timed out -0.38R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46680 → 0.46433 Timed out -0.31R
NZDCAD Bearish 0.79860 → 0.79581 Timed out +0.28R
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Bearish 4183.00 → 4110.89 Timed out +0.38R
12 Oct 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $185
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12070 → 1.11612 Target hit +1.12R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.42470 → 1.42980 Timed out +0.85R
NZDUSD Bearish 0.56170 → 0.55930 Target hit +1.09R
EURGBP Bearish 0.84680 → 0.84474 Not filled –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Bearish 1.60480 → 1.60000 Timed out +0.36R
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35680 → 2.36646 Not filled –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Bullish 1.24300 → 1.24650 Not filled –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
9 Oct 2026 1 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $84
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12210 → 1.11612 Timed out +0.61R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83060 → 0.83464 Timed out -0.23R
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84790 → 0.84613 Target hit +1.04R
EURJPY Bearish 177.250 → 176.516 Timed out -0.04R
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90000 → 1.90693 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35920 → 2.36646 Timed out -0.18R
AUDJPY Bearish 110.000 → 109.233 Stop hit -1.00R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46650 → 0.46357 Timed out +0.35R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Bearish 4147.00 → 4066.46 Stop hit -1.00R
8 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 7 timed out $100 → $125
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12100 → 1.11612 Timed out -0.08R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83200 → 0.83615 Timed out -0.21R
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69710 → 0.69426 Timed out +0.45R
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93360 → 0.92951 Timed out +0.35R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59730 → 1.59058 Timed out +0.82R
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Bullish 1.24270 → 1.24650 Timed out -0.18R
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46690 → 0.46515 Timed out +0.61R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

  1. Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
  2. Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
  3. AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
  4. Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

  • Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
  • Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
  • Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
  • Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
  • Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it: probability × reward/risk − (1 − probability). Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. Only plans with a positive expected result are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
  • Target odds: the model's chance of reaching the conservative target before the stop, once the order fills. These plans were written under the two-outcome model, where the no-edge baseline is 1/(1+RR) — 50% at 1:1, 33% at 1:2 — never 50% flat. The figure is not shown next to each plan: a farther target is worth more but is reached less often, so on its own it says nothing about whether a plan is worth taking. It is already accounted for in the expected result
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

  • Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
  • Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
  • Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
  • Adjust position size based on expected volatility
  • Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
  • Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the articleForex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the articleForex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article
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