Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Thursday, 03 September 2026 Forecast for: Friday, 04 September 2026 Plan window: Thu 23:00 – Fri 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-09-03

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Two themes dominate the board: a violent yen repricing driven by BoJ September-hike pricing and intervention speculation (long JPY via the crosses), and a firm commodity-dollar complex where AUD trends up against an extremely short retail book (long AUD, expressed against CHF, EUR and GBP). The dollar is soft after dovish Waller remarks and a weak ADP print, but Friday's US payrolls at 08:30 NY make every USD leg gap risk, so the board holds no directional USD plan and keeps GBP short into Bailey and CAD exposure to a single name ahead of Canadian jobs. Everything else is redundant with those themes or sits in a range and is left neutral.

Volatility Forecast

High

Key Events to Monitor

USD Non-Farm Employment Change, Average Hourly Earnings and Unemployment Rate at 08:30 NY - gap risk on every USD and gold leg
CAD Employment Change and Unemployment Rate at 08:30 NY, with Ivey PMI at 10:00 NY, into oil strength from Hormuz supply disruption
GBP BOE Gov Bailey speaks at 04:50 NY - London-session risk for GBPJPY, GBPAUD and EURGBP
JPY: BoJ September hike pricing plus intervention speculation keeps yen crosses offered; USDJPY near the post-July-intervention yen high around 155.2

Best Opportunities

GBPJPY Bearish

AUDCHF Bullish

EURAUD Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record so far (357 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close.

GBPJPY

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.03

Expected result +0.22 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 211.150 Sell limit

Stop Loss 212.300 (115.0 pips)

Conservative Target 209.970 (118.0 pips)

Optimal Target 208.000 (315.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 212.000 213.680 214.320

Support: 209.970 209.570 208.000

Rationale

Vertical break of the 216 shelf with 92% of retail long providing liquidation fuel, and BoJ hike pricing keeps the yen bid; stop sits above the 212.00 resistance. Bailey at 04:50 NY can supply the rally to sell into.

Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail

AUDCHF

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.13

Expected result +0.24 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.58085 Buy limit

Stop Loss 0.57860 (22.5 pips)

Conservative Target 0.58340 (25.5 pips)

Optimal Target 0.58500 (41.5 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58340 0.58500 0.58800

Support: 0.57940 0.57790 0.57450

Rationale

Higher lows since 0.5669, MACD above signal and an extreme 98% retail short book; stop sits below the 0.5794 support. Neither leg carries a scheduled release in the window.

Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

EURAUD

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.00

Expected result +0.16 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.61560 Sell limit

Stop Loss 1.62120 (56.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.61000 (56.0 pips)

Optimal Target 1.60500 (106.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.62030 1.62520 1.63380

Support: 1.61340 1.61000 1.60500

Rationale

Lower highs, RSI 35 and 85% retail long align with the strong-AUD complex supported by the China services PMI beat. Sell-limit into 1.6156 with the stop beyond the 1.6203 resistance.

Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
EURCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.93890	0.93815Buy limit	0.93630	0.94210	+0.44R	1:2.14	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.44R Analysis Price 0.93890 Entry Point 0.93815 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.93630 Conservative Target 0.94210 Risk:Reward 1:2.14 Optimal Target 0.94350 Stop Loss Distance 18.5 pips Target Distance 39.5 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.93940 0.94210 0.94350 Support: 0.93730 0.93550 0.93070 Rationale Higher lows since 0.9307 with 90% of retail short providing a contrarian floor; stop sits below the 0.9373 support. No euro or franc event on the calendar makes this the cleanest non-USD long. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Bullish	Medium	0.85934	0.85890Buy limit	0.85770	0.86080	+0.42R	1:1.58	+0.19RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.42R Analysis Price 0.85934 Entry Point 0.85890 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.85770 Conservative Target 0.86080 Risk:Reward 1:1.58 Optimal Target 0.86520 Stop Loss Distance 12.0 pips Target Distance 19.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.86080 0.86520 0.86890 Support: 0.85850 0.85580 0.85480 Rationale Grinding uptrend with MACD turning up and 76% of retail short into the breakout; stop sits just under the 0.8585 support. Bailey at 04:50 NY is the main risk, hence a shallow entry and medium confidence. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Bearish	High	1.87808	1.88000Sell limit	1.88680	1.87050	+0.34R	1:1.40	+0.62RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.34R Analysis Price 1.87808 Entry Point 1.88000 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.88680 Conservative Target 1.87050 Risk:Reward 1:1.40 Optimal Target 1.86550 Stop Loss Distance 68.0 pips Target Distance 95.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.88520 1.89180 1.89710 Support: 1.87500 1.87000 1.86500 Rationale Relentless lower highs, RSI 29 and 86% retail long make rallies sellable into the strongest currency on the board. Stop above the 1.8852 resistance; Bailey at 04:50 NY is the two-way risk. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Bearish	Medium	193.012	193.300Sell limit	194.100	192.120	+0.29R	1:1.48	+1.48RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.29R Analysis Price 193.012 Entry Point 193.300 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 194.100 Conservative Target 192.120 Risk:Reward 1:1.48 Optimal Target 191.000 Stop Loss Distance 80.0 pips Target Distance 118.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 194.840 195.570 196.700 Support: 192.660 192.120 191.000 Rationale Break below the 197 base with 77% of retail long and yen demand fed by BoJ hike talk; the 194.84 resistance is beyond 1 ATR so a 0.6 ATR volatility stop is used. RSI 28 argues for the shallow entry. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Bullish	High	0.58159	0.58085Buy limit	0.57860	0.58340	+0.24R	1:1.13	+1.13RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.24R Analysis Price 0.58159 Entry Point 0.58085 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.57860 Conservative Target 0.58340 Risk:Reward 1:1.13 Optimal Target 0.58500 Stop Loss Distance 22.5 pips Target Distance 25.5 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.58340 0.58500 0.58800 Support: 0.57940 0.57790 0.57450 Rationale Higher lows since 0.5669, MACD above signal and an extreme 98% retail short book; stop sits below the 0.5794 support. Neither leg carries a scheduled release in the window. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Bearish	High	210.823	211.150Sell limit	212.300	209.970	+0.22R	1:1.03	+1.03RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.22R Analysis Price 210.823 Entry Point 211.150 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 212.300 Conservative Target 209.970 Risk:Reward 1:1.03 Optimal Target 208.000 Stop Loss Distance 115.0 pips Target Distance 118.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 212.000 213.680 214.320 Support: 209.970 209.570 208.000 Rationale Vertical break of the 216 shelf with 92% of retail long providing liquidation fuel, and BoJ hike pricing keeps the yen bid; stop sits above the 212.00 resistance. Bailey at 04:50 NY can supply the rally to sell into. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Bearish	High	1.61377	1.61560Sell limit	1.62120	1.61000	+0.16R	1:1.00	+0.73RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.16R Analysis Price 1.61377 Entry Point 1.61560 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.62120 Conservative Target 1.61000 Risk:Reward 1:1.00 Optimal Target 1.60500 Stop Loss Distance 56.0 pips Target Distance 56.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.62030 1.62520 1.63380 Support: 1.61340 1.61000 1.60500 Rationale Lower highs, RSI 35 and 85% retail long align with the strong-AUD complex supported by the China services PMI beat. Sell-limit into 1.6156 with the stop beyond the 1.6203 resistance. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Bearish	High	91.621	91.800Sell limit	92.550	91.040	+0.15R	1:1.01	-0.18RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.15R Analysis Price 91.621 Entry Point 91.800 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 92.550 Conservative Target 91.040 Risk:Reward 1:1.01 Optimal Target 90.500 Stop Loss Distance 75.0 pips Target Distance 76.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 92.380 92.850 93.050 Support: 91.270 91.040 90.500 Rationale Two-day three-figure slide with 87% of retail trapped long into BoJ hike pricing; stop sits above the 92.38 resistance. No scheduled NZD or JPY event in the window. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Bearish	Medium	0.81104	0.81200Sell limit	0.81500	0.80900	+0.12R	1:1.00	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R Analysis Price 0.81104 Entry Point 0.81200 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.81500 Conservative Target 0.80900 Risk:Reward 1:1.00 Optimal Target 0.80690 Stop Loss Distance 30.0 pips Target Distance 30.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.81190 0.81770 0.81900 Support: 0.80900 0.80690 0.80540 Rationale Sharp break under 0.8190 with RSI 37 and 93% of retail long, while oil strength from Hormuz supports CAD; the 0.8177 resistance is beyond 1 ATR so a 0.6 ATR volatility stop is used. Canadian employment at 08:30 NY caps confidence at medium. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Medium	155.853	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 155.853 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 157.000 158.210 158.970 Support: 155.300 155.230 154.500 Rationale The yen trend is right but the first supports at 155.30/155.23 sit under 1R from any sell-limit, and price is at the post-July-intervention yen high into NFP. The long-JPY theme is carried by GBPJPY, NZDJPY and CHFJPY. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Medium	0.72035	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.72035 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.72080 0.72300 0.72500 Support: 0.71590 0.71390 0.71120 Rationale Trend and the 88% short retail book are bullish, but resistances at 0.7208/0.7230 are under 1R from a pullback entry and the pair is the direct NFP expression. Redundant with the long-AUD plans in AUDCHF, EURAUD and GBPAUD. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Medium	181.251	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 181.251 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 182.500 183.920 184.180 Support: 180.530 179.370 178.500 Rationale The bearish break is real but the long-JPY theme is already fully expressed by GBPJPY, NZDJPY and CHFJPY. Kept flat to avoid four versions of the same yen trade. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.86603	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.86603 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.86800 1.87700 1.88050 Support: 1.86350 1.86070 1.85600 Rationale Trend is down after the 1.8757 break, but Bailey at 04:50 NY and Canadian jobs at 08:30 NY stack two high-impact events on one pair. Redundant with the short-GBP plans in GBPJPY and GBPAUD. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Medium	1.22443	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.22443 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.22570 1.22860 1.23120 Support: 1.22140 1.21510 1.21160 Rationale Breakout is powerful but RSI 71 warns of overextension after a 130-pip day. Redundant with the long-AUD plans already on the book. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Neutral	Low	1.37919	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.37919 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.38450 1.38980 1.39400 Support: 1.37650 1.37320 1.37000 Rationale Downtrend and oil strength favour shorts, but US and Canadian jobs land in the same minute at 08:30 NY - double gap risk. Long-CAD is carried by NZDCAD. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.60344	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.60344 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.60540 1.60920 1.61370 Support: 1.60130 1.59850 1.59500 Rationale Bearish structure below 1.6137, but Canadian employment at 08:30 NY is direct gap risk and NZDCAD already carries the long-CAD theme. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	112.994	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 112.994 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 113.820 114.650 114.880 Support: 112.610 112.000 110.830 Rationale Clean break of the 114.6-115.5 range, but Canadian employment at 08:30 NY plus BoJ headline risk on the other leg is too much for one plan. Long-JPY is already expressed three times. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.99360	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.99360 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.99450 0.99790 1.00000 Support: 0.99010 0.98800 0.98250 Rationale Uptrend intact under 0.9979, but Canadian jobs at 08:30 NY with firm oil is direct gap risk. Redundant with the long-AUD plans in AUDCHF, EURAUD and GBPAUD. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Neutral	Low	112.262	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 112.262 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 112.630 112.810 113.580 Support: 112.040 111.700 111.200 Rationale MACD is still marginally positive and retail is balanced, so conviction is low, and the pair pits the long-AUD theme against the long-JPY theme. Neutral by design. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.16268	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.16268 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.16410 1.16790 1.17110 Support: 1.15870 1.15660 1.15070 Rationale Rangebound 1.1566-1.1711 with flat retail and a fading MACD, and the pair sits directly in front of the 08:30 NY payrolls block. No edge worth the gap risk. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	4473.31	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 4473.31 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4511.00 4593.00 4632.00 Support: 4381.00 4325.00 4283.00 Rationale ATR above 100 with a still-negative MACD histogram after the swing from 4697 to 4283, and US payrolls at 08:30 NY is the single largest gap risk for gold. Trend is up but the odds do not clear the 4593 target's baseline. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.47471	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.47471 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.47590 0.47640 0.47740 Support: 0.47410 0.47340 0.47270 Rationale The 0.4780-0.4800 shelf broke but momentum is only mildly negative and sentiment is flat. Levels are too tight for a 1:1 plan; 0.4727 is the trigger to watch. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58539	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58539 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58640 0.58780 0.59000 Support: 0.58420 0.58350 0.57860 Rationale Yesterday's rejection at 0.5878 shows supply and Canadian jobs at 08:30 NY is direct event risk on a low-confidence trend. Short-CHF is already carried by AUDCHF, EURCHF and CHFJPY. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.35274	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.35274 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.35480 1.35590 1.36010 Support: 1.34800 1.34740 1.34340 Rationale Lower highs but a bullish outside-day at 1.3480 stalls the downside, and both Bailey at 04:50 NY and US payrolls hit this pair. Stand aside until 1.3474 or 1.3548 breaks. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.80734	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.80734 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.81080 0.81200 0.81440 Support: 0.80570 0.80350 0.80100 Rationale Choppy 0.7950-0.8157 range with RSI near 49 and no sentiment edge after the Waller-driven drop. Payrolls at 08:30 NY makes a range fade poor value. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.58787	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58787 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58920 0.59070 0.59440 Support: 0.58600 0.58480 0.58020 Rationale Mid-range after the flush to 0.5802 with a negative MACD histogram; needs a close outside 0.5848-0.5907. NFP risk argues against a coin-flip range trade. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Neutral	Low	1.97880	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.97880 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.98320 1.99490 2.01210 Support: 1.97540 1.97420 1.96750 Rationale A 300-pip spike day left ATR elevated and price consolidating just under 1.9832 with no directional read. Wait for the range to resolve. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.09216	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.09216 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.09680 1.10080 1.10110 Support: 1.09140 1.08960 1.08500 Rationale Contained between 1.0844 and 1.1011 with RSI at 50 and only mild contrarian support. No edge until the range breaks, and Bailey speaks at 04:50 NY. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.30178	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 2.30178 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.30610 2.31070 2.31500 Support: 2.29690 2.29130 2.28840 Rationale The 2.3254 spike was fully retraced, leaving a wide volatile range with RSI at 54. Stand aside until price settles outside 2.2969-2.3107. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$3 average per $100 risked

93 of 133 picks filled, over 45 verified days · target hit 15%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

357 plans over 45 verified days · target hit 10%

45 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 93 picks the honest range around the +$3 runs from −$13 to +$19 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 133 picks published, 93 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 24 of the 93 picks lost the full $100, against 53 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 97% of the Top 3 result, and 27 of the 93 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$13 to +$1, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 357 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 20 Oct 2026)

Target hit 10% (36)
Stop hit 24% (85)
Timed out 66% (236)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 162 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

30% Win rate 36 of 121 plans closed at target or stop

-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.08R Timed-out average how those 236 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

21%

14 of 68 plans

Bearish

42%

22 of 53 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
EURJPY	75%	3 / 4
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
NZDJPY	60%	3 / 5
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDUSD	43%	3 / 7
EURUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
USDCAD	40%	2 / 5
XAUUSD	33%	1 / 3
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	30%	3 / 10
EURGBP	25%	1 / 4
EURNZD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
GBPAUD	20%	1 / 5
AUDJPY	17%	1 / 6
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 4
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 7
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

20 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $148

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bearish	1.41160 → 1.40701	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84310 → 0.83979	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.92760 → 0.92228	Timed out	+0.42R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.58270 → 1.57727	Not filled	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Bullish	210.800 → 212.000	Timed out	+1.16R
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Bullish	191.620 → 192.478	Timed out	+0.41R
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.23180 → 1.23697	Timed out	+0.10R
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.79950 → 0.79518	Timed out	+0.31R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

19 Oct 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $57

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Bullish	1.33270 → 1.33999	Timed out	-0.41R
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Bearish	0.69750 → 0.69326	Timed out	-0.11R
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.92550 → 0.92000	Timed out	-0.35R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.91240 → 1.92142	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35370 → 2.36179	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Bullish	191.450 → 192.478	Timed out	+0.44R
AUDCHF	Bearish	0.57460 → 0.57043	Timed out	-0.62R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

16 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $70

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59220 → 1.58614	Timed out	+0.70R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Bearish	109.520 → 108.703	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.950 → 88.283	Stop hit	-1.00R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Bearish	0.57290 → 0.56728	Timed out	+0.19R
AUDCAD	Bearish	0.98300 → 0.97906	Timed out	+0.30R
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46535 → 0.46330	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

15 Oct 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $0

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.58980 → 1.58614	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

14 Oct 2026 2 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $137

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84525 → 0.84378	Timed out	-0.30R
EURJPY	Bearish	177.500 → 176.516	Target hit	+1.54R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59330 → 1.58963	Not filled	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88350 → 1.88971	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.36000 → 2.36667	Timed out	-0.10R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.980 → 88.389	Target hit	+1.69R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it: probability × reward/risk − (1 − probability). Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. Only plans with a positive expected result are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance of reaching the conservative target before the stop, once the order fills. These plans were written under the two-outcome model, where the no-edge baseline is 1/(1+RR) — 50% at 1:1, 33% at 1:2 — never 50% flat. The figure is not shown next to each plan: a farther target is worth more but is reached less often, so on its own it says nothing about whether a plan is worth taking. It is already accounted for in the expected result
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

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Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

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Key Events to Monitor

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