Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Wednesday, 02 September 2026 Forecast for: Thursday, 03 September 2026 Plan window: Wed 23:00 – Thu 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-09-02

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The board expresses four macro themes: long JPY against the weak-momentum crosses (BOJ's Ueda and Takata have hinted at a September hike and 160 remains an intervention-sensitive area), short NZD after the RBNZ hiked but guided cautiously and triggered a vertical liquidation with retail still trapped long, long AUD on the China PMI beat and extreme crowded retail shorts, and long CAD with WTI above $90 on the Strait of Hormuz escalation. Against that, hawkish Fed rhetoric keeps the dollar bid, so USD exposure is kept small and USD-leg plans are limited; CHF is used as the funding leg for the AUD/EUR/CAD longs. Redundant expressions of each theme (EURNZD, GBPNZD, AUDNZD, NZDCHF, EURJPY, CHFJPY, EURAUD, AUDCAD, USDCHF) are set neutral to avoid twenty names on the same trade.

Volatility Forecast

High

Key Events to Monitor

CHF CPI m/m at 02:30 NY (medium) — relevant to EURCHF, CADCHF, AUDCHF longs
USD Unemployment Claims at 08:30 NY and ISM Services PMI at 10:00 NY (medium) — the session's dollar risk windows
JPY: BOJ September hike speculation plus intervention sensitivity near 160 after officials' recent warnings
NZD: post-RBNZ liquidation continuation; oil/Hormuz headlines keeping CAD bid and yields volatile

Best Opportunities

AUDCHF Bullish

NZDCAD Bearish

GBPAUD Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record so far (357 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close.

AUDCHF

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.33

Expected result +0.30 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.58200 Buy limit

Stop Loss 0.57900 (30.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.58600 (40.0 pips)

Optimal Target 0.59000 (80.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58339 0.58600 0.59000

Support: 0.57956 0.57785 0.57454

Rationale

Uninterrupted uptrend to new highs with an extreme 96% retail short book, backed by the China PMI beat on the AUD leg. Stop sits below the 0.57956 support; entry kept shallow as the close was near the high.

Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

NZDCAD

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.45

Expected result +0.40 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.81110 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.81400 (29.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.80689 (42.1 pips)

Optimal Target 0.80567 (54.3 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.81192 0.81765 0.81895

Support: 0.80861 0.80689 0.80567

Rationale

Decisive break of 0.8190 with an extraordinary 92% retail long book to liquidate, and the CAD leg is supported by the Hormuz-driven oil spike. Stop sits just above the 0.81192 resistance.

Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

GBPAUD

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.48

Expected result +0.36 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.88450 Sell limit

Stop Loss 1.89090 (64.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.87500 (95.0 pips)

Optimal Target 1.86500 (195.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.89547 1.90004 1.91238

Support: 1.88053 1.87500 1.86500

Rationale

Relentless downtrend with RSI 32 and 85% of retail stubbornly long, aligned with the strong-AUD/weak-GBP macro split. Resistance at 1.8955 is beyond one ATR, so a 0.7-ATR volatility stop is used.

Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
NZDCAD	Bearish	High	0.81012	0.81110Sell limit	0.81400	0.80689	+0.40R	1:1.45	+0.07RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.40R Analysis Price 0.81012 Entry Point 0.81110 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.81400 Conservative Target 0.80689 Risk:Reward 1:1.45 Optimal Target 0.80567 Stop Loss Distance 29.0 pips Target Distance 42.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.81192 0.81765 0.81895 Support: 0.80861 0.80689 0.80567 Rationale Decisive break of 0.8190 with an extraordinary 92% retail long book to liquidate, and the CAD leg is supported by the Hormuz-driven oil spike. Stop sits just above the 0.81192 resistance. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Bearish	High	1.88222	1.88450Sell limit	1.89090	1.87500	+0.36R	1:1.48	+1.04RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.36R Analysis Price 1.88222 Entry Point 1.88450 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.89090 Conservative Target 1.87500 Risk:Reward 1:1.48 Optimal Target 1.86500 Stop Loss Distance 64.0 pips Target Distance 95.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.89547 1.90004 1.91238 Support: 1.88053 1.87500 1.86500 Rationale Relentless downtrend with RSI 32 and 85% of retail stubbornly long, aligned with the strong-AUD/weak-GBP macro split. Resistance at 1.8955 is beyond one ATR, so a 0.7-ATR volatility stop is used. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Bullish	High	0.94199	0.94130Buy limit	0.93960	0.94353	+0.34R	1:1.31	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.34R Analysis Price 0.94199 Entry Point 0.94130 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.93960 Conservative Target 0.94353 Risk:Reward 1:1.31 Optimal Target 0.94600 Stop Loss Distance 17.0 pips Target Distance 22.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.94353 0.94600 0.95000 Support: 0.94052 0.93910 0.93550 Rationale Consistent higher lows with RSI 65, a close near the day's high and an extreme 93% retail short book. Swiss CPI at 02:30 NY is the main risk to the CHF leg, so the entry is kept shallow. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Bullish	High	0.71636	0.71540Buy limit	0.71150	0.72082	+0.31R	1:1.39	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.31R Analysis Price 0.71636 Entry Point 0.71540 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.71150 Conservative Target 0.72082 Risk:Reward 1:1.39 Optimal Target 0.72500 Stop Loss Distance 39.0 pips Target Distance 54.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.71803 0.72082 0.72500 Support: 0.71214 0.70668 0.70223 Rationale Higher lows with RSI 61 and an extreme 87% retail short book, supported by the China PMI beat and firm Australian data. Stop sits below the 0.7121 session low and support. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Bearish	High	0.58470	0.58560Sell limit	0.58830	0.58214	+0.30R	1:1.28	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.30R Analysis Price 0.58470 Entry Point 0.58560 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.58830 Conservative Target 0.58214 Risk:Reward 1:1.28 Optimal Target 0.58020 Stop Loss Distance 27.0 pips Target Distance 34.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.58638 0.58972 0.59073 Support: 0.58214 0.58020 0.57832 Rationale Vertical break of the 0.5900 shelf after the RBNZ hiked with cautious guidance, and 68% of retail is trapped long. Stop sits above the 0.58638 resistance; USD data at 08:30/10:00 NY is the main fill risk. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Bearish	Medium	214.051	214.300Sell limit	215.300	212.931	+0.30R	1:1.37	+1.37RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.30R Analysis Price 214.051 Entry Point 214.300 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 215.300 Conservative Target 212.931 Risk:Reward 1:1.37 Optimal Target 211.467 Stop Loss Distance 100.0 pips Target Distance 136.9 pips Key Levels Resistance: 214.679 215.237 216.588 Support: 213.675 212.931 211.467 Rationale The 3-yen break of the 216.3 floor with RSI 39 pairs weak sterling against BOJ hike expectations, while 57% of retail buys the dip. Stop sits above the 215.24 resistance. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Bullish	High	0.58277	0.58200Buy limit	0.57900	0.58600	+0.30R	1:1.33	-0.15RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.30R Analysis Price 0.58277 Entry Point 0.58200 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.57900 Conservative Target 0.58600 Risk:Reward 1:1.33 Optimal Target 0.59000 Stop Loss Distance 30.0 pips Target Distance 40.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.58339 0.58600 0.59000 Support: 0.57956 0.57785 0.57454 Rationale Uninterrupted uptrend to new highs with an extreme 96% retail short book, backed by the China PMI beat on the AUD leg. Stop sits below the 0.57956 support; entry kept shallow as the close was near the high. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.58721	0.58650Buy limit	0.58400	0.59000	+0.30R	1:1.40	-0.33RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.30R Analysis Price 0.58721 Entry Point 0.58650 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.58400 Conservative Target 0.59000 Risk:Reward 1:1.40 Optimal Target 0.59200 Stop Loss Distance 25.0 pips Target Distance 35.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.58804 0.59000 0.59200 Support: 0.58451 0.58377 0.58111 Rationale Four higher closes with RSI 65 pushing the 0.5880 pivot, with CAD bid by WTI above $90 on the Iran/Hormuz escalation. Swiss CPI at 02:30 NY is the event risk, so confidence is medium. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Bearish	Medium	158.687	158.900Sell limit	159.650	158.026	+0.19R	1:1.17	+1.17RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.19R Analysis Price 158.687 Entry Point 158.900 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 159.650 Conservative Target 158.026 Risk:Reward 1:1.17 Optimal Target 156.673 Stop Loss Distance 75.0 pips Target Distance 87.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 159.780 160.395 160.598 Support: 158.211 158.026 156.673 Rationale The 2.2-yen outside-day broke the month-long floor and BOJ hike hints from Ueda and Takata keep yen bid, with 160 an intervention-sensitive zone; 60% retail long is fuel. Stop is a 0.75-ATR volatility stop as 159.78 resistance is too far to risk. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Bearish	High	92.786	92.950Sell limit	93.490	92.379	+0.19R	1:1.06	+1.06RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.19R Analysis Price 92.786 Entry Point 92.950 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 93.490 Conservative Target 92.379 Risk:Reward 1:1.06 Optimal Target 91.938 Stop Loss Distance 54.0 pips Target Distance 57.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 93.815 94.042 94.297 Support: 92.642 92.379 91.938 Rationale Cleanest double theme: post-RBNZ kiwi liquidation against yen strength on BOJ hike hints, with 77% of retail long into the fall. Resistance at 93.82 is too far, so a 0.7-ATR volatility stop is used. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Bearish	Medium	1.86698	1.86850Sell limit	1.87300	1.86347	+0.14R	1:1.12	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.14R Analysis Price 1.86698 Entry Point 1.86850 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.87300 Conservative Target 1.86347 Risk:Reward 1:1.12 Optimal Target 1.85654 Stop Loss Distance 45.0 pips Target Distance 50.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.87805 1.88293 1.88522 Support: 1.86575 1.86347 1.85654 Rationale Sharp break of the 1.8760 shelf with RSI 35, weak sterling against a CAD bid by WTI above $90 on Hormuz escalation. Resistance is over an ATR away so a 0.6-ATR volatility stop is used. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Medium	1.22509	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.22509 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.22863 1.23500 1.24000 Support: 1.21508 1.21320 1.21164 Rationale Redundant with the long-AUD plans (AUDUSD, AUDCHF, GBPAUD) and the short-NZD plans (NZDUSD, NZDJPY, NZDCAD). RSI 72 after a vertical breakout also warns of a pullback first. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.34881	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.34881 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.35064 1.35581 1.36756 Support: 1.34745 1.34344 1.33423 Rationale Bearish bias is valid but redundant with the short-GBP expressions in GBPAUD, GBPJPY and GBPCAD. USD data risk at 08:30 and 10:00 NY cuts both ways on this leg. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.81276	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.81276 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.81436 0.81567 0.82069 Support: 0.80836 0.80566 0.80099 Rationale Uptrend intact but redundant with the short-CHF book already carried in EURCHF, AUDCHF and CADCHF. CHF CPI at 02:30 NY adds event risk to a fourth CHF leg. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	183.902	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 183.902 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 185.485 185.751 185.944 Support: 183.645 183.169 181.313 Rationale Bearish while below 185.50 but MACD is still marginally positive and 68% retail is already short. Long-JPY exposure is capped and expressed in USDJPY, GBPJPY and NZDJPY. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.61736	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.61736 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.62523 1.63383 1.64130 Support: 1.61571 1.61000 1.60500 Rationale Downtrend and 86% trapped retail longs are attractive but redundant with the long-AUD plans in AUDUSD, AUDCHF and GBPAUD. Kept flat to cap AUD concentration. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.60370	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.60370 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.60922 1.61362 1.61864 Support: 1.60284 1.60076 1.59500 Rationale Break of the 1.6095 base is genuine but the long-CAD oil theme is already carried by NZDCAD, GBPCAD and CADCHF. Neutral to avoid a fourth CAD leg. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Neutral	Low	1.98051	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.98051 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.98321 1.99102 1.99486 Support: 1.97977 1.97541 1.96746 Rationale Explosive breakout on NZD weakness, but redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDUSD, NZDJPY and NZDCAD. Price closed far off the 1.9949 spike high, so continuation is less clean here. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	195.278	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 195.278 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 196.702 197.418 198.781 Support: 194.839 194.233 192.657 Rationale Valid break of the 197.0 floor but the long-JPY book is already full with USDJPY, GBPJPY and NZDJPY. Swiss CPI at 02:30 NY adds an extra unrewarded risk on the CHF leg. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.99140	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.99140 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.99257 0.99454 0.99786 Support: 0.99022 0.98722 0.98198 Rationale Long AUD is already expressed three times, and this leg shorts a CAD that oil above $90 is supporting. Consolidation under 0.9979 offers no clean edge. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Neutral	Low	1.38413	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.38413 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.39398 1.39584 1.40240 Support: 1.38350 1.37565 1.37321 Rationale Two-week 1.3735-1.3940 range with price mid-range and no MACD conviction. Long-CAD theme is already expressed in NZDCAD, GBPCAD and CADCHF. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.30444	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 2.30444 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.31071 2.31500 2.32545 Support: 2.29628 2.29129 2.28839 Rationale Long here is both short-NZD and long-GBP, which fights the weak-sterling theme the board already trades. Redundant with NZDUSD, NZDJPY and NZDCAD shorts. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Neutral	Low	113.674	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 113.674 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 114.164 114.676 114.962 Support: 113.380 113.096 112.474 Rationale Long AUD is attractive but this leg is short JPY straight into BOJ September hike speculation and intervention-sensitive yen headlines. Neutral rather than buying the dip against the macro tape. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.47472	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.47472 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.47586 0.47736 0.47942 Support: 0.47408 0.47301 0.47269 Rationale Downside read is purely technical with neutral retail and thin room between listed supports. Short-NZD exposure is already capped by NZDUSD, NZDJPY and NZDCAD. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.15893	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.15893 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.16241 1.16792 1.17114 Support: 1.15662 1.15048 1.14500 Rationale Mid-range between 1.1566 and 1.1624 with a flat RSI and no directional edge. Claims and ISM Services in the NY morning argue against pre-positioning a range trade. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Neutral	Low	0.85899	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.85899 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.85941 0.86515 0.86893 Support: 0.85678 0.85475 0.85318 Rationale Breakout is fresh but the next real resistance at 0.8651 is beyond 2 ATR, so no 1:1 target exists near the entry. Adding a fourth short-GBP leg would also double the book's sterling risk. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.09603	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.09603 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.09674 1.10080 1.10112 Support: 1.09367 1.09136 1.08495 Rationale Two-week 1.0910-1.1010 range with price in the middle; the analyst's own trigger is above 1.1012. CHF CPI at 02:30 NY adds noise to a low-conviction range trade. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	114.672	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 114.672 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 115.103 115.366 115.588 Support: 114.602 114.037 113.818 Rationale Spike low at 113.82 was fully bought back leaving RSI 49 and no edge, with two strong currencies on either leg (oil-bid CAD versus hawkish-BOJ JPY). Stand aside until 114.60 or 115.37 gives way. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	4388.34	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 4388.34 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4397.62 4449.63 4472.16 Support: 4322.98 4282.78 4021.76 Rationale ATR above 105 after a 400-dollar correction and a 100-dollar reversal candle leaves genuine two-way risk. USD Claims and ISM Services in the NY session add gap risk; stay flat until 4450 is reclaimed or 4283 lost. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$3 average per $100 risked

93 of 133 picks filled, over 45 verified days · target hit 15%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

357 plans over 45 verified days · target hit 10%

45 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 93 picks the honest range around the +$3 runs from −$13 to +$19 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 133 picks published, 93 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 24 of the 93 picks lost the full $100, against 53 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 97% of the Top 3 result, and 27 of the 93 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$13 to +$1, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 357 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 20 Oct 2026)

Target hit 10% (36)
Stop hit 24% (85)
Timed out 66% (236)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 162 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

30% Win rate 36 of 121 plans closed at target or stop

-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.08R Timed-out average how those 236 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

21%

14 of 68 plans

Bearish

42%

22 of 53 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
EURJPY	75%	3 / 4
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
NZDJPY	60%	3 / 5
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDUSD	43%	3 / 7
EURUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
USDCAD	40%	2 / 5
XAUUSD	33%	1 / 3
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	30%	3 / 10
EURGBP	25%	1 / 4
EURNZD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
GBPAUD	20%	1 / 5
AUDJPY	17%	1 / 6
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 4
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 7
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

20 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $148

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bearish	1.41160 → 1.40701	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84310 → 0.83979	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.92760 → 0.92228	Timed out	+0.42R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.58270 → 1.57727	Not filled	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Bullish	210.800 → 212.000	Timed out	+1.16R
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Bullish	191.620 → 192.478	Timed out	+0.41R
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.23180 → 1.23697	Timed out	+0.10R
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.79950 → 0.79518	Timed out	+0.31R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

19 Oct 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $57

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Bullish	1.33270 → 1.33999	Timed out	-0.41R
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Bearish	0.69750 → 0.69326	Timed out	-0.11R
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.92550 → 0.92000	Timed out	-0.35R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.91240 → 1.92142	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35370 → 2.36179	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Bullish	191.450 → 192.478	Timed out	+0.44R
AUDCHF	Bearish	0.57460 → 0.57043	Timed out	-0.62R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

16 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $70

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59220 → 1.58614	Timed out	+0.70R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Bearish	109.520 → 108.703	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.950 → 88.283	Stop hit	-1.00R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Bearish	0.57290 → 0.56728	Timed out	+0.19R
AUDCAD	Bearish	0.98300 → 0.97906	Timed out	+0.30R
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46535 → 0.46330	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

15 Oct 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $0

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.58980 → 1.58614	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

14 Oct 2026 2 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $137

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84525 → 0.84378	Timed out	-0.30R
EURJPY	Bearish	177.500 → 176.516	Target hit	+1.54R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59330 → 1.58963	Not filled	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88350 → 1.88971	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.36000 → 2.36667	Timed out	-0.10R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.980 → 88.389	Target hit	+1.69R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it: probability × reward/risk − (1 − probability). Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. Only plans with a positive expected result are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance of reaching the conservative target before the stop, once the order fills. These plans were written under the two-outcome model, where the no-edge baseline is 1/(1+RR) — 50% at 1:1, 33% at 1:2 — never 50% flat. The figure is not shown next to each plan: a farther target is worth more but is reached less often, so on its own it says nothing about whether a plan is worth taking. It is already accounted for in the expected result
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

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AUDCHF

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