| USDJPY |
Bearish
|
High
|
154.379 |
154.550Sell limit |
155.400 |
153.000 |
+0.11R |
1:1.82 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
154.379
Entry Point
154.550
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
155.400
Conservative Target
153.000
Risk:Reward
1:1.82
Optimal Target
152.000
Stop Loss Distance
85.0 pips
Target Distance
155.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
155.292
156.286
158.210
Support:
154.058
153.000
152.000
Rationale
Downtrend with RSI 27 and widening MACD, 78% retail long supplying fuel, and news flow attributing the break to hawkish BOJ hike bets and carry unwinding. Stop sits beyond 155.292 resistance; shallow entry because the pair closed near its low.
|
| AUDCHF |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.58431 |
0.58391Buy limit |
0.58191 |
0.58800 |
+0.10R |
1:2.04 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.58431
Entry Point
0.58391
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.58191
Conservative Target
0.58800
Risk:Reward
1:2.04
Optimal Target
0.59000
Stop Loss Distance
20.0 pips
Target Distance
40.9 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58538
0.58800
0.59000
Support:
0.58332
0.58049
0.57938
Rationale
Unbroken chain of higher lows to a new high with 87% retail short, the most lopsided book in the set, and copper-led AUD strength in the news flow. Stop of 0.6 ATR sits below the 0.58332 higher low.
|
| AUDUSD |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.72168 |
0.72118Buy limit |
0.71893 |
0.72500 |
+0.09R |
1:1.70 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.72168
Entry Point
0.72118
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.71893
Conservative Target
0.72500
Risk:Reward
1:1.70
Optimal Target
0.72800
Stop Loss Distance
22.5 pips
Target Distance
38.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.72248
0.72500
0.72800
Support:
0.71979
0.71733
0.71214
Rationale
New swing high with re-accelerating MACD and 79% retail short, backed by the record copper print cited in the news flow. Close on the high argues for a shallow entry; volatility stop of 0.55 ATR sits under 0.71979 support.
|
| EURGBP |
Bullish
|
Low
|
0.85851 |
0.85827Buy limit |
0.85726 |
0.85982 |
+0.09R |
1:1.53 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.85851
Entry Point
0.85827
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.85726
Conservative Target
0.85982
Risk:Reward
1:1.53
Optimal Target
0.86078
Stop Loss Distance
10.1 pips
Target Distance
15.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.85982
0.86078
0.86515
Support:
0.85818
0.85679
0.85475
Rationale
Persistent grind of higher lows with MACD expanding and 65% retail short against it; 0.5 ATR volatility stop just under 0.85818 support since ATR is only 0.0020. Confidence kept low because the GBP Monetary Policy Report Hearings at 09:15 NY can swing this cross either way.
|
| NZDJPY |
Bearish
|
High
|
90.665 |
90.770Sell limit |
91.390 |
90.000 |
+0.08R |
1:1.24 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
90.665
Entry Point
90.770
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
91.390
Conservative Target
90.000
Risk:Reward
1:1.24
Optimal Target
89.300
Stop Loss Distance
62.0 pips
Target Distance
77.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
91.931
92.285
92.852
Support:
90.624
90.000
89.300
Rationale
Fresh bearish regime with RSI 27.6 and the most crowded book on the board at 82% retail long, in line with the BOJ hike bets driving the yen complex. Volatility stop of 0.7 ATR since 91.931 resistance is over an ATR away.
|
| EURAUD |
Bearish
|
High
|
1.61037 |
1.61117Sell limit |
1.61517 |
1.60500 |
+0.07R |
1:1.54 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
1.61037
Entry Point
1.61117
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.61517
Conservative Target
1.60500
Risk:Reward
1:1.54
Optimal Target
1.60000
Stop Loss Distance
40.0 pips
Target Distance
61.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.61286
1.61615
1.62523
Support:
1.60885
1.60500
1.60000
Rationale
Unbroken staircase of lower highs into a new cycle low with 76% retail long catching the falling market, and the news flow's copper-driven AUD strength argues for continuation. Volatility stop of 0.6 ATR sits above the 1.61286 pivot.
|
| GBPCAD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.87058 |
1.87145Sell limit |
1.87615 |
1.86347 |
+0.06R |
1:1.70 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.87058
Entry Point
1.87145
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.87615
Conservative Target
1.86347
Risk:Reward
1:1.70
Optimal Target
1.86074
Stop Loss Distance
47.0 pips
Target Distance
79.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.87293
1.88049
1.88522
Support:
1.86883
1.86347
1.86074
Rationale
Bounce into the broken shelf has stalled at 1.87293 with MACD widening negatively and 63% retail long, while oil supply risk supports CAD. Volatility stop of 0.65 ATR because 1.88049 is over an ATR away; GBP hearings at 09:15 NY cap confidence.
|
| CHFJPY |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
190.683 |
190.860Sell limit |
191.900 |
189.500 |
+0.06R |
1:1.31 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
190.683
Entry Point
190.860
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
191.900
Conservative Target
189.500
Risk:Reward
1:1.31
Optimal Target
188.000
Stop Loss Distance
104.0 pips
Target Distance
136.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
192.914
193.705
195.236
Support:
190.509
189.500
188.000
Rationale
Closed on the low after the 197-199 shelf broke, with MACD histogram at -0.62 and 81% retail long into it; news flow has the yen firm versus the franc on BOJ hike bets. RSI 22.8 is extreme, so confidence is medium and the stop is a 0.7 ATR volatility stop.
|
| USDCAD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.38160 |
1.38243Sell limit |
1.38790 |
1.37652 |
+0.05R |
1:1.08 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.38160
Entry Point
1.38243
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.38790
Conservative Target
1.37652
Risk:Reward
1:1.08
Optimal Target
1.37321
Stop Loss Distance
54.7 pips
Target Distance
59.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.38722
1.39100
1.39398
Support:
1.38050
1.37652
1.37321
Rationale
Descending highs cap every rally and 61% retail long leans against the dollar, while the Aramco supply shock in the news flow supports oil-linked CAD. Stop is beyond the 1.38722 lower high, roughly 0.85 ATR away.
|
| EURUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.16221 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.16221
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.16411
1.16595
1.17114
Support:
1.16072
1.15847
1.15662
Rationale
Range regime between 1.15662 and 1.16411 with balanced 41/59 retail and a rolled-over MACD. No edge worth a directional bet.
|
| GBPUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.35407 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.35407
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.35581
1.35994
1.36756
Support:
1.35056
1.34744
1.34344
Rationale
Cable ranges under a lower-high sequence with neutral RSI and no sentiment signal. GBP Monetary Policy Report Hearings at 09:15 NY add event risk to a flat setup.
|
| USDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.80944 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.80944
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.81081
0.81201
0.81462
Support:
0.80846
0.80658
0.80545
Rationale
Balanced 0.8050-0.8157 band, RSI 51.7 and flat retail describe no direction. CHF exposure is already carried by the AUDCHF and CHFJPY plans.
|
| NZDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58730 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.58730
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58888
0.59022
0.59073
Support:
0.58662
0.58415
0.58214
Rationale
Kiwi is stuck on a tight 0.5856-0.5902 shelf with neutral retail and no thrust. NZD is already expressed short via NZDJPY.
|
| EURJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
179.422 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
179.422
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
180.224
181.478
183.645
Support:
179.231
178.500
177.500
Rationale
Bearish trend intact but redundant with the long-JPY plans already taken in USDJPY, NZDJPY and CHFJPY. Keeping the yen theme capped at three names.
|
| EURCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.94094 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.94094
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.94113
0.94182
0.94353
Support:
0.93986
0.93729
0.93550
Rationale
Advance is stalling with a flat MACD right under the 0.94113-0.94182 ceiling and no listed level beyond 0.94353 for a second target. Short-CHF exposure is already carried by AUDCHF and CHFJPY.
|
| EURCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.60542 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.60542
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.60822
1.60977
1.61365
Support:
1.60471
1.60134
1.60085
Rationale
Last four candles overlap heavily inside a broken shelf, and the analyst confidence is low. CAD-long exposure is already taken in USDCAD and GBPCAD.
|
| EURNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.97849 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.97849
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.98321
1.99486
2.01205
Support:
1.97364
1.97036
1.95750
Rationale
Low-confidence uptrend that is only holding the upper half of a spike candle. Redundant with the short-NZD expression in NZDJPY.
|
| GBPJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
209.065 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
209.065
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
211.221
211.817
214.324
Support:
208.651
207.500
206.000
Rationale
Strong downtrend but redundant with the three long-JPY plans already on the board, and GBP hearings at 09:15 NY add two-way risk. Neutral by exposure choice, not by technicals.
|
| GBPCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.09618 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.09618
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.09674
1.09953
1.10096
Support:
1.09443
1.09136
1.08961
Rationale
Rebound losing drive at the 1.09674 pivot inside a flat 1.0896-1.1008 range. GBP Monetary Policy Report Hearings make a coin-flip setup worse.
|
| GBPAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.87594 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.87594
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.88087
1.88516
1.89713
Support:
1.87320
1.87000
1.86500
Rationale
Trend is down but redundant with the long-AUD plans in AUDUSD, AUDCHF and EURAUD. RSI 28 also warns of pause risk after the cycle low.
|
| GBPNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
2.30317 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
2.30317
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.30450
2.31071
2.31500
Support:
2.29726
2.29628
2.29129
Rationale
Three sessions of oscillation after a failed spike leave overhead supply at 2.31071-2.315 and no resolution. GBP event risk at 09:15 NY on a directionless chart.
|
| AUDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
111.411 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
111.411
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
112.608
112.793
113.578
Support:
111.262
111.198
110.765
Rationale
The cross fights both board themes at once: long JPY says sell, long AUD says buy, and retail at 51/49 offers no cushion. Neutral is the honest answer.
|
| CADJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
111.744 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
111.744
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
112.962
113.455
114.651
Support:
111.458
110.833
110.000
Rationale
Clean breakdown but redundant with the long-JPY plans in USDJPY, NZDJPY and CHFJPY, and it conflicts with the CAD-long plans. Kept flat for book balance.
|
| AUDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.99700 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.99700
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.99786
0.99912
1.00000
Support:
0.99618
0.99123
0.99014
Rationale
Constructive base but redundant with the long-AUD plans in AUDUSD, AUDCHF and EURAUD, and it opposes the CAD-long plans. Parity is also obvious resistance.
|
| AUDNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.22886 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.22886
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.22940
1.23000
1.23500
Support:
1.22480
1.22160
1.21508
Rationale
RSI 74.4 and the widest MACD histogram of the sample point to a sharp pause, and 1.2300 is too close to the stop for a 1:1 plan. Redundant with the existing AUD longs.
|
| NZDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.47537 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.47537
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.47586
0.47660
0.47736
Support:
0.47408
0.47341
0.47285
Rationale
Narrow 0.4734-0.4769 band with ATR of only 0.0029 and no thrust either way. No edge.
|
| NZDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.81155 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.81155
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.81192
0.81407
0.81555
Support:
0.81116
0.80861
0.80689
Rationale
Valid downtrend but redundant: NZD is already sold in NZDJPY and CAD already bought in USDCAD and GBPCAD. Kept flat to avoid stacking one trade three times.
|
| CADCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58575 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.58575
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58644
0.58780
0.58805
Support:
0.58475
0.58412
0.57862
Rationale
Last four candles compress under 0.58780 with retail exactly 50/50, so sentiment is silent and the ratio to the next level is thin. Neutral.
|
| XAUUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
4406.52 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
4406.52
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
4435.23
4490.57
4510.95
Support:
4381.39
4365.48
4324.83
Rationale
ATR above 100 points in a directionless, volatile regime with RSI exactly neutral and MACD below signal. No edge in either direction at these levels.
|