Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Tuesday, 08 September 2026 Forecast for: Wednesday, 09 September 2026 Plan window: Tue 23:00 – Wed 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-09-08

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The board expresses four themes: long JPY (the BOJ-hike repricing that has taken USDJPY from 160.40 to 152.89 with RSI 22-26 and no reversal candle yet, and retail 76-83% long the crosses), long AUD (four-month highs with copper at records and retail 79-86% short), short NZD (lower highs against USD, AUD and CAD) and long CAD on firm oil after the Aramco strikes. Dollar majors outside the yen are directionless — EURUSD boxed 1.1577-1.16411, cable 1.3475-1.3562, gold whipsawing 4283-4511 — so those stay neutral. EUR plans are held to two low-size expressions because the widely expected ECB hike lands the day after this window.

Volatility Forecast

High

Key Events to Monitor

No High- or Medium-impact release scheduled in the plan window: the yen repricing is headline- and flow-driven, so Tokyo and London hours carry the gap risk
JPY: BOJ tightening expectations into the 17-18 September meeting, plus official talk of yen-supportive intervention, keep the crosses offered — rallies into resistance are the sell reference
EUR: ECB decision on 10 September (consensus a 25bp hike to 2.50%) sits just beyond the window and caps conviction on both sides of the euro
AUDUSD acceptance above 0.72309 opens 0.7250 with copper at record highs; USDJPY reaction to the 154.43-155.30 shelf is the day's key technical trigger

Best Opportunities

USDJPY Bearish

AUDCHF Bullish

NZDJPY Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (181 filled plans), 9% hit the target, 21% hit the stop and 70% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

USDJPY

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.23

Expected result +0.14 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 154.300 Sell limit

Stop Loss 155.400 (110.0 pips)

Conservative Target 152.950 (135.0 pips)

Optimal Target 152.050 (225.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 154.430 155.299 156.752

Support: 152.887 152.000 150.500

Rationale

Vertical breakdown with MACD still accelerating and retail 78% long into it, while the news flow shows the move is driven by BOJ hike bets ahead of the 17-18 September meeting. Sell-limit into the 154.43 shelf with the stop beyond 155.299.

Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

AUDCHF

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.41

Expected result +0.13 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.58320 Buy limit

Stop Loss 0.58150 (17.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.58560 (24.0 pips)

Optimal Target 0.58690 (37.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58570 0.58700 0.58900

Support: 0.58281 0.58049 0.57938

Rationale

Fresh highs with a rising floor at 0.58281 and the board's most extreme positioning at 86% retail short. Stop 0.52 ATR below entry, under that floor, with no supply above 0.58570 until 0.5890.

Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

NZDJPY

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.55

Expected result +0.13 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 90.450 Sell limit

Stop Loss 90.920 (47.0 pips)

Conservative Target 89.720 (73.0 pips)

Optimal Target 89.050 (140.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 90.762 91.203 91.931

Support: 89.666 89.000 88.000

Rationale

The most one-sided book on the board at 83% retail long into a still-expanding downside impulse, and it stacks JPY strength on kiwi weakness. Sell limit under the 90.762 high with the stop just beyond it.

Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
USDJPY	Bearish	High	153.967	154.300Sell limit	155.400	152.950	+0.14R	1:1.23	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.14R Analysis Price 153.967 Entry Point 154.300 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 155.400 Conservative Target 152.950 Risk:Reward 1:1.23 Optimal Target 152.050 Stop Loss Distance 110.0 pips Target Distance 135.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 154.430 155.299 156.752 Support: 152.887 152.000 150.500 Rationale Vertical breakdown with MACD still accelerating and retail 78% long into it, while the news flow shows the move is driven by BOJ hike bets ahead of the 17-18 September meeting. Sell-limit into the 154.43 shelf with the stop beyond 155.299. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Bullish	High	0.72208	0.72120Buy limit	0.71915	0.72480	+0.13R	1:1.76	+0.23RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R Analysis Price 0.72208 Entry Point 0.72120 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.71915 Conservative Target 0.72480 Risk:Reward 1:1.76 Optimal Target 0.72780 Stop Loss Distance 20.5 pips Target Distance 36.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.72309 0.72500 0.72800 Support: 0.72046 0.71733 0.71214 Rationale Higher lows into 0.72309 with RSI 68.6 and retail 79% short, supported by record copper in the news flow. Stop just under the 0.72046 shelf at 0.5 ATR; shallow entry as the close sat near the highs. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Bullish	Medium	0.85850	0.85800Buy limit	0.85670	0.86060	+0.13R	1:2.00	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R Analysis Price 0.85850 Entry Point 0.85800 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.85670 Conservative Target 0.86060 Risk:Reward 1:2.00 Optimal Target 0.86490 Stop Loss Distance 13.0 pips Target Distance 26.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.86078 0.86515 0.86893 Support: 0.85707 0.85475 0.85318 Rationale Rising base from 0.85318 to 0.85707 with a positive MACD and retail 62% short, and the expected ECB hike the following day argues against selling the euro leg. Stop below 0.85707 at 0.65 ATR because the pair's ATR is only 0.0020. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Bearish	High	90.232	90.450Sell limit	90.920	89.720	+0.13R	1:1.55	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R Analysis Price 90.232 Entry Point 90.450 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 90.920 Conservative Target 89.720 Risk:Reward 1:1.55 Optimal Target 89.050 Stop Loss Distance 47.0 pips Target Distance 73.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 90.762 91.203 91.931 Support: 89.666 89.000 88.000 Rationale The most one-sided book on the board at 83% retail long into a still-expanding downside impulse, and it stacks JPY strength on kiwi weakness. Sell limit under the 90.762 high with the stop just beyond it. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Bullish	High	0.58400	0.58320Buy limit	0.58150	0.58560	+0.13R	1:1.41	+0.92RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R Analysis Price 0.58400 Entry Point 0.58320 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.58150 Conservative Target 0.58560 Risk:Reward 1:1.41 Optimal Target 0.58690 Stop Loss Distance 17.0 pips Target Distance 24.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.58570 0.58700 0.58900 Support: 0.58281 0.58049 0.57938 Rationale Fresh highs with a rising floor at 0.58281 and the board's most extreme positioning at 86% retail short. Stop 0.52 ATR below entry, under that floor, with no supply above 0.58570 until 0.5890. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.94088	0.94000Buy limit	0.93830	0.94260	+0.10R	1:1.53	+1.53RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 0.94088 Entry Point 0.94000 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.93830 Conservative Target 0.94260 Risk:Reward 1:1.53 Optimal Target 0.94340 Stop Loss Distance 17.0 pips Target Distance 26.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.94113 0.94280 0.94353 Support: 0.93984 0.93729 0.93554 Rationale Higher lows to 0.93984 pressing the 0.94280-0.94353 cap with retail 74% short, the cleanest euro-positive expression into the ECB. Stop 0.52 ATR below entry, just under the 0.93984 shelf. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Bearish	High	190.231	190.650Sell limit	192.200	189.100	+0.10R	1:1.00	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 190.231 Entry Point 190.650 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 192.200 Conservative Target 189.100 Risk:Reward 1:1.00 Optimal Target 188.100 Stop Loss Distance 155.0 pips Target Distance 155.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 190.807 192.121 192.914 Support: 189.087 188.000 186.500 Rationale MACD -1.54 under a -0.80 signal with retail 80% long means stops sit above the market, and the BOJ hike bets in the news flow drive the yen leg. Stop beyond the 192.121 bounce reference, roughly one ATR. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Bullish	Medium	1.23322	1.23180Buy limit	1.22620	1.23960	+0.10R	1:1.39	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 1.23322 Entry Point 1.23180 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.22620 Conservative Target 1.23960 Risk:Reward 1:1.39 Optimal Target 1.24460 Stop Loss Distance 56.0 pips Target Distance 78.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.23526 1.24000 1.24500 Support: 1.22699 1.22480 1.22139 Rationale Higher lows at 1.22139, 1.22480 and 1.22699 with MACD accelerating and retail 84% short; it expresses long AUD and short NZD in one trade. Confidence capped at medium because RSI 76.9 is overbought and the stop sits a full 0.9 ATR away under 1.22699. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Bearish	Medium	1.37865	1.38040Sell limit	1.38360	1.37690	+0.08R	1:1.09	-0.16RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 1.37865 Entry Point 1.38040 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.38360 Conservative Target 1.37690 Risk:Reward 1:1.09 Optimal Target 1.37360 Stop Loss Distance 32.0 pips Target Distance 35.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.38150 1.38722 1.39398 Support: 1.37652 1.37321 1.37000 Rationale Failing rallies from 1.39398 to 1.38150 with retail 67% long, and the oil surge after the Aramco strikes supports CAD. Volatility stop of 0.5 ATR beyond 1.3815 since the MACD histogram has ticked positive. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Bearish	Medium	0.80766	0.80900Sell limit	0.81230	0.80530	+0.08R	1:1.12	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 0.80766 Entry Point 0.80900 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.81230 Conservative Target 0.80530 Risk:Reward 1:1.12 Optimal Target 0.79960 Stop Loss Distance 33.0 pips Target Distance 37.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.81192 0.81256 0.81407 Support: 0.80536 0.80516 0.79936 Rationale Lower highs from 0.82762 with the bounce dying at 0.81555 and retail 80% long, plus CAD support from the oil surge in the news flow. Stop 0.66 ATR above entry, beyond the 0.81192 resistance. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Bearish	Medium	1.86625	1.86790Sell limit	1.87180	1.86370	+0.06R	1:1.08	-0.66RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.06R Analysis Price 1.86625 Entry Point 1.86790 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.87180 Conservative Target 1.86370 Risk:Reward 1:1.08 Optimal Target 1.86100 Stop Loss Distance 39.0 pips Target Distance 42.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.87106 1.87293 1.88049 Support: 1.86500 1.86347 1.86074 Rationale Recovery stalled precisely at 1.87293 with RSI 36.5 and retail 66% long, while firm oil after the Aramco strikes supports the CAD leg. Stop 0.54 ATR above entry, beyond the 1.87106 pivot. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.16282	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.16282 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.16411 1.17114 Support: 1.16072 1.15765 1.15662 Rationale Range 1.1577-1.16411 with RSI 57 but a negative MACD histogram gives no edge. The ECB decision the day after the window makes a purely technical euro bet unattractive. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.35358	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.35358 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.35620 1.35994 1.36756 Support: 1.35215 1.34801 1.34744 Rationale RSI 51.97 and a 1.3475-1.3562 box leave no directional edge. Sterling risk is already expressed via EURGBP and GBPCAD. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.80923	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.80923 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.81081 0.81206 0.81462 Support: 0.80776 0.80545 0.80345 Rationale Six overlapping candles around 0.8090 with RSI 51 describe balance, not trend. Franc weakness is already expressed in AUDCHF and CHFJPY. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.58587	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58587 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58638 0.58725 0.59056 Support: 0.58358 0.58214 0.58020 Rationale Range read with a 54/46 retail split offers no edge. Kiwi weakness is already carried by NZDJPY, AUDNZD and NZDCAD. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	179.052	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 179.052 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 179.476 181.481 181.962 Support: 177.856 177.000 175.500 Rationale Trend is intact but redundant with the short-JPY-cross plans in USDJPY, CHFJPY and NZDJPY. The ECB decision the day after the window adds two-way risk to the euro leg. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.61003	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.61003 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.61324 1.61615 1.62523 Support: 1.60813 1.60000 1.59500 Rationale Downtrend is real but redundant with the long-AUD plans in AUDUSD, AUDCHF and AUDNZD. Euro leg also faces the ECB decision immediately after the window. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.60222	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.60222 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.60584 1.60977 1.61365 Support: 1.60076 1.60006 1.59500 Rationale Redundant with the long-CAD plans in USDCAD, NZDCAD and GBPCAD. Price sits directly on the 1.60006/1.60076 double floor with the ECB the next day. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Neutral	Low	1.98438	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.98438 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.98986 1.99486 1.99743 Support: 1.97977 1.97617 1.97036 Rationale Redundant with the short-NZD plans in AUDNZD, NZDJPY and NZDCAD. Retail 41/59 adds nothing and ATR 0.0110 makes the stop expensive. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	208.458	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 208.458 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 209.059 211.221 211.817 Support: 207.103 206.000 204.500 Rationale RSI 24 with a widening histogram, but redundant with the short-JPY-cross plans already held in USDJPY, CHFJPY and NZDJPY. ATR 1.57 makes it the most expensive of the group to stop. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.09537	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.09537 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.09674 1.09986 1.10096 Support: 1.09472 1.09136 1.08961 Rationale Textbook rejection from 1.09986 back to mid-range with a neutral RSI and negative histogram. No edge worth a franc slot already used by AUDCHF and EURCHF. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.87456	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.87456 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.87848 1.88087 1.88516 Support: 1.87320 1.87000 1.86500 Rationale Clean downtrend but redundant with the long-AUD plans in AUDUSD, AUDCHF and AUDNZD. Three closes clustered under 1.8760 also leave little room to the 1.8732 base. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.31318	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 2.31318 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.31982 2.32544 2.34732 Support: 2.30198 2.29628 2.29129 Rationale Momentum has turned up but this is redundant with the short-NZD plans in AUDNZD, NZDJPY and NZDCAD. Retail 50/50 and ATR 0.0130 give no extra reason to pay for the slot. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Neutral	Low	111.210	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 111.210 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 111.508 112.630 112.810 Support: 111.198 110.764 110.278 Rationale The cross sits between the long-AUD and long-JPY themes the board already holds, so it nets exposure rather than adding it. Tuesday's recovery from 110.278 was the first real sign of demand in the leg. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	111.712	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 111.712 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 112.016 113.045 113.455 Support: 110.833 110.773 109.500 Rationale Opposes the long-CAD theme in USDCAD, NZDCAD and GBPCAD while duplicating the long-JPY theme. Firmer oil argues against selling the CAD leg here. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.99533	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.99533 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.99786 0.99911 1.00000 Support: 0.99420 0.99014 0.98786 Rationale Redundant with the long-AUD plans in AUDUSD, AUDCHF and AUDNZD, and it fights the long-CAD theme. Parity has capped the last four sessions. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.47411	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.47411 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.47586 0.47660 0.47736 Support: 0.47332 0.47285 0.47100 Rationale Three weeks of chop between 0.47269 and 0.48002 with a fading MACD and no retail signal. Both legs are already used elsewhere on the board. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58695	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58695 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58805 0.58841 0.59000 Support: 0.58540 0.58412 0.58111 Rationale Slow uptrend but redundant with the short-CHF plans in AUDCHF, EURCHF and CHFJPY. Neutral retail and ATR 0.0030 make it a low-energy, low-edge grind into 0.58841. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	4355.69	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 4355.69 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4382.27 4443.22 4510.95 Support: 4345.85 4324.83 4282.78 Rationale ATR 104 with a 4283-4511 whipsaw is volatility without direction, and MACD far below signal marks deterioration rather than reversal. Rising yields in the news flow cut both ways for gold. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$5 average per $100 risked

78 of 117 picks filled, over 39 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

325 plans over 39 verified days · target hit 10%

39 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 78 picks the honest range around the +$5 runs from −$12 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 117 picks published, 78 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 20 of the 78 picks lost the full $100, against 45 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 69% of the Top 3 result, and 26 of the 78 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$14 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 325 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 12 Oct 2026)

Target hit 10% (34)
Stop hit 24% (78)
Timed out 66% (213)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 158 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

30% Win rate 34 of 112 plans closed at target or stop

-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.09R Timed-out average how those 213 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%

14 of 65 plans

Bearish

43%

20 of 47 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
EURJPY	67%	2 / 3
NZDJPY	67%	2 / 3
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDUSD	43%	3 / 7
EURUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
USDCAD	40%	2 / 5
XAUUSD	33%	1 / 3
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	30%	3 / 10
EURGBP	25%	1 / 4
GBPAUD	25%	1 / 4
EURNZD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
AUDJPY	20%	1 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 6
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 4
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 3
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

12 Oct 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $185

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12070 → 1.11612	Target hit	+1.12R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42470 → 1.42980	Timed out	+0.85R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56170 → 0.55930	Target hit	+1.09R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84680 → 0.84474	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.60480 → 1.60000	Timed out	+0.36R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35680 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24300 → 1.24650	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

9 Oct 2026 1 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $84

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12210 → 1.11612	Timed out	+0.61R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83060 → 0.83464	Timed out	-0.23R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84790 → 0.84613	Target hit	+1.04R
EURJPY	Bearish	177.250 → 176.516	Timed out	-0.04R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.90000 → 1.90693	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35920 → 2.36646	Timed out	-0.18R
AUDJPY	Bearish	110.000 → 109.233	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46650 → 0.46357	Timed out	+0.35R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4147.00 → 4066.46	Stop hit	-1.00R

8 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 7 timed out $100 → $125

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12100 → 1.11612	Timed out	-0.08R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83200 → 0.83615	Timed out	-0.21R
AUDUSD	Bearish	0.69710 → 0.69426	Timed out	+0.45R
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93360 → 0.92951	Timed out	+0.35R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59730 → 1.59058	Timed out	+0.82R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24270 → 1.24650	Timed out	-0.18R
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46690 → 0.46515	Timed out	+0.61R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

7 Oct 2026 1 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $106

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84862 → 0.84547	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Bearish	178.280 → 177.029	Target hit	+1.12R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88480 → 1.89118	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35780 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.080 → 88.329	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80000 → 0.79711	Not filled	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

6 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $49

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12290 → 1.11612	Timed out	-0.50R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42500 → 1.42931	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56080 → 0.55798	Timed out	-0.67R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84890 → 0.84547	Timed out	+0.35R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93290 → 0.93018	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88400 → 1.88934	Not filled	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35880 → 2.36646	Timed out	+0.25R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46580 → 0.46330	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 15%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

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Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

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