Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our proprietary AI engine builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Monday, 28 September 2026 Forecast for: Tuesday, 29 September 2026 Plan window: Mon 23:00 – Tue 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-09-28

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The dollar is holding near two-month highs because firm oil prices and the US-Iran standoff keep bets on a Fed rate hike alive, while Tokyo's warnings about the weak yen give the yen a floor. Today's plans carry three themes: long USD (USDCHF, USDCAD, short gold), long JPY against the crosses (CHFJPY, CADJPY, NZDJPY), and a weak Swiss franc near a 16-month low. All Australian dollar pairs stay flat ahead of the RBA decision, and the NZD plans are lower confidence because the decision could spill over into the kiwi.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

AUD RBA Cash Rate and Rate Statement at 00:30 NY (hike to 4.60% expected), RBA Press Conference at 01:30 NY
EUR ECB President Lagarde speaks at 07:00 NY; CAD GDP m/m at 08:30 NY
USD CB Consumer Confidence and JOLTS Job Openings at 10:00 NY
JPY: intervention risk after Tokyo's top currency diplomat and the Katayama-Bessent call flagged concern over yen weakness

Best Opportunities

CADJPY Bearish

XAUUSD Bearish

USDCHF Bullish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (263 filled plans), 9% hit the target, 23% hit the stop and 68% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

CADJPY

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.35

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 111.170 Sell limit

Stop Loss 111.630 (46.0 pips)

Conservative Target 110.549 (62.1 pips)

Optimal Target 110.000 (117.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 111.520 112.591 112.930

Support: 110.803 110.549 110.000

Rationale

The Sep 18 bounce is fully retraced, 75% of retail is long, and Tokyo's warnings on yen weakness favour yen buyers. Stop beyond 111.52; CAD GDP at 08:30 NY is a medium-impact swing factor.

Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail

XAUUSD

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.90

Expected result +0.12 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 4125.00 Sell limit

Stop Loss 4180.00 (55.0 pts)

Conservative Target 4020.65 (104.4 pts)

Optimal Target 3996.10 (128.9 pts)

Key Levels

Resistance: 4120.44 4166.07 4202.72

Support: 4110.88 4020.65 3996.10

Rationale

Broke the 4235-4255 floor with MACD accelerating lower, 70% of retail long, and Fed hike bets and higher yields weighing on gold. Volatility stop about 0.56 ATR above 4166 resistance; Middle East headlines are the upside risk.

Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

USDCHF

Bullish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.23

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.83130 Buy limit

Stop Loss 0.82830 (30.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.83500 (37.0 pips)

Optimal Target 0.83500 (37.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.83276 0.83500

Support: 0.82872 0.82709 0.81833

Rationale

A clean staircase with 69% of retail short, the franc at a 16-month low and Fed hike bets lifting the dollar. Stop is beyond 0.82872 support; the 10:00 NY US data (JOLTS, CB Confidence) is the medium-impact risk.

Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
XAUUSD	Bearish	Medium	4115.44	4125.00Sell limit	4180.00	4020.65	+0.12R	1:1.90	-0.95RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R Analysis Price 4115.44 Entry Point 4125.00 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 4180.00 Conservative Target 4020.65 Risk:Reward 1:1.90 Optimal Target 3996.10 Stop Loss Distance 55.0 pts Target Distance 104.4 pts Key Levels Resistance: 4120.44 4166.07 4202.72 Support: 4110.88 4020.65 3996.10 Rationale Broke the 4235-4255 floor with MACD accelerating lower, 70% of retail long, and Fed hike bets and higher yields weighing on gold. Volatility stop about 0.56 ATR above 4166 resistance; Middle East headlines are the upside risk. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Bullish	Medium	1.41721	1.41670Buy limit	1.41280	1.42388	+0.11R	1:1.84	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R Analysis Price 1.41721 Entry Point 1.41670 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.41280 Conservative Target 1.42388 Risk:Reward 1:1.84 Optimal Target 1.42388 Stop Loss Distance 39.0 pips Target Distance 71.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.41778 1.42388 Support: 1.41501 1.41324 1.40905 Rationale The strongest trend on the list, with 85% of retail short; the stop goes beyond the 1.41324 higher low because 1.41501 is too close for a minimum stop. CAD GDP at 08:30 NY and US data at 10:00 NY keep confidence at medium. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Bullish	Low	0.94587	0.94530Buy limit	0.94320	0.94767	+0.11R	1:1.13	+0.14RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R Analysis Price 0.94587 Entry Point 0.94530 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.94320 Conservative Target 0.94767 Risk:Reward 1:1.13 Optimal Target 0.95000 Stop Loss Distance 21.0 pips Target Distance 23.7 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.94767 0.95000 Support: 0.94356 0.94222 0.93973 Rationale Franc weakness to a 16-month low and 76% retail short favour a retest of the 0.94767 range top, with the stop beyond 0.94356. Low confidence because MACD lags and Lagarde speaks at 07:00 NY. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Bearish	Low	89.232	89.330Sell limit	89.730	88.685	+0.11R	1:1.61	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R Analysis Price 89.232 Entry Point 89.330 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 89.730 Conservative Target 88.685 Risk:Reward 1:1.61 Optimal Target 88.000 Stop Loss Distance 40.0 pips Target Distance 64.5 pips Key Levels Resistance: 89.515 90.093 90.545 Support: 88.962 88.685 88.000 Rationale First trade below the 88.96 shelf with 80% retail long, while official yen warnings argue against buying the dip. Volatility stop 0.5 ATR above 89.515; low confidence because the 00:30 NY RBA decision can spill into NZD. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.83176	0.83130Buy limit	0.82830	0.83500	+0.10R	1:1.23	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 0.83176 Entry Point 0.83130 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.82830 Conservative Target 0.83500 Risk:Reward 1:1.23 Optimal Target 0.83500 Stop Loss Distance 30.0 pips Target Distance 37.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.83276 0.83500 Support: 0.82872 0.82709 0.81833 Rationale A clean staircase with 69% of retail short, the franc at a 16-month low and Fed hike bets lifting the dollar. Stop is beyond 0.82872 support; the 10:00 NY US data (JOLTS, CB Confidence) is the medium-impact risk. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Bearish	Medium	111.059	111.170Sell limit	111.630	110.549	+0.10R	1:1.35	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 111.059 Entry Point 111.170 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 111.630 Conservative Target 110.549 Risk:Reward 1:1.35 Optimal Target 110.000 Stop Loss Distance 46.0 pips Target Distance 62.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 111.520 112.591 112.930 Support: 110.803 110.549 110.000 Rationale The Sep 18 bounce is fully retraced, 75% of retail is long, and Tokyo's warnings on yen weakness favour yen buyers. Stop beyond 111.52; CAD GDP at 08:30 NY is a medium-impact swing factor. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Bullish	Low	2.00509	2.00350Buy limit	1.99750	2.01232	+0.09R	1:1.47	+1.47RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 2.00509 Entry Point 2.00350 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.99750 Conservative Target 2.01232 Risk:Reward 1:1.47 Optimal Target 2.01503 Stop Loss Distance 60.0 pips Target Distance 88.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 2.01232 2.01503 Support: 2.00197 2.00005 1.99403 Rationale A channel uptrend where dips keep getting bought, 72% retail short, and a short-NZD trade with no USD leg. Volatility stop under the 2.0000 handle because 1.99403 is too far for 1:1; RBA spillover and Lagarde keep confidence low. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Bullish	Low	1.87863	1.87780Buy limit	1.87380	1.88293	+0.09R	1:1.28	-0.39RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 1.87863 Entry Point 1.87780 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.87380 Conservative Target 1.88293 Risk:Reward 1:1.28 Optimal Target 1.88522 Stop Loss Distance 40.0 pips Target Distance 51.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.88048 1.88293 1.88522 Support: 1.87445 1.87170 1.86475 Rationale Strongest close since Sep 1 with MACD turning positive, 65% retail short and BoE hike warnings behind sterling. Stop beyond 1.87445 and target the 1.88293 range top; CAD GDP at 08:30 NY is the swing risk. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Bearish	Medium	189.234	189.500Sell limit	190.370	188.464	+0.09R	1:1.19	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 189.234 Entry Point 189.500 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 190.370 Conservative Target 188.464 Risk:Reward 1:1.19 Optimal Target 187.841 Stop Loss Distance 87.0 pips Target Distance 103.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 190.289 192.031 192.488 Support: 189.087 188.464 187.841 Rationale A lower high after the 192.49 retrace with 73% retail long, combining a franc at a 16-month low with a yen backed by intervention warnings. Entry sits near the top of the band because down days have pulled back toward 190.29; stop is beyond it. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.13691	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.13691 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.14111 1.14357 1.14777 Support: 1.13586 1.13530 1.13000 Rationale Redundant with the long-USD plans in USDCHF, USDCAD and XAUUSD. Price is also sitting on the 1.13586 pivot with Lagarde speaking at 07:00 NY, so chasing the short is not worth it. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.32558	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.32558 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.32802 1.33484 1.34517 Support: 1.32236 1.32047 1.32000 Rationale Redundant with the long-USD plans in USDCHF, USDCAD and XAUUSD. Two higher closes and the BoE's repeated rate-hike warning argue against a short from here. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	157.394	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 157.394 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 157.850 158.048 159.033 Support: 156.673 156.512 155.227 Rationale The technical bias is neutral, and Fed hike bets are pulling against Tokyo's fresh warnings on yen weakness. That leaves two-sided intervention risk and no edge. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.70215	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.70215 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.70240 0.70451 0.70779 Support: 0.70039 0.69631 0.69223 Rationale High-impact RBA Cash Rate decision and Rate Statement at 00:30 NY. No directional plan. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.56707	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.56707 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.56872 0.57271 0.57487 Support: 0.56490 0.56000 Rationale Redundant with the long-USD plans (USDCHF, USDCAD, XAUUSD) and the short-NZD plans in NZDJPY and EURNZD. The 0.5649 floor has held four sessions and RBA spillover adds gap risk. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Neutral	Low	0.85771	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.85771 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.85831 0.86048 0.86122 Support: 0.85696 0.85639 0.85527 Rationale Boxed between 0.85527 and 0.86122 with flat momentum and balanced retail positioning. No edge either way. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	178.941	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 178.941 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 179.540 180.857 181.552 Support: 178.196 177.853 Rationale Redundant with the long-JPY plans in CHFJPY, CADJPY and NZDJPY. Retail at 56/44 gives no contrarian push and Lagarde speaks at 07:00 NY. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.61923	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.61923 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.62275 1.62523 1.63383 Support: 1.61721 1.61571 1.60819 Rationale High-impact RBA Cash Rate decision at 00:30 NY. No directional plan. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.61129	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.61129 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.61365 1.61864 1.62484 Support: 1.60819 1.60327 1.60230 Rationale Pressing the top of a month-long 1.600-1.614 range with no breakout confirmation and no retail signal. CAD GDP at 08:30 NY adds noise. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	208.650	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 208.650 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 208.992 210.183 211.283 Support: 207.871 207.680 207.103 Rationale Redundant with the long-JPY plans in CHFJPY, CADJPY and NZDJPY. BoE hike talk also cushions sterling. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.10252	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.10252 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.10386 1.10667 Support: 1.09728 1.09364 1.09136 Rationale A stop beyond 1.09728 is about 0.9 ATR away, more than the room up to the 1.10667 range top, so there is no 1:1. The short-CHF theme is already in USDCHF, CHFJPY and EURCHF. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.88783	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.88783 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.89177 1.89510 1.89713 Support: 1.88561 1.88444 1.87352 Rationale High-impact RBA Cash Rate decision at 00:30 NY. No directional plan. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.33767	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 2.33767 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.34433 2.34897 2.35412 Support: 2.33445 2.32545 2.31428 Rationale Redundant with the short-NZD plans in EURNZD and NZDJPY, and the reward for the risk is thinner here. RBA spillover also adds gap risk. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Neutral	Low	110.519	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 110.519 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 110.892 111.649 112.620 Support: 109.905 109.671 109.235 Rationale High-impact RBA Cash Rate decision at 00:30 NY. No directional plan. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58397	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58397 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58469 0.58583 0.58825 Support: 0.58142 0.57910 0.57805 Rationale High-impact RBA Cash Rate decision at 00:30 NY. No directional plan. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.99513	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.99513 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.99660 0.99786 0.99911 Support: 0.99174 0.98984 0.98918 Rationale High-impact RBA Cash Rate decision at 00:30 NY. No directional plan. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Low	1.23833	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.23833 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.24165 1.24583 1.24910 Support: 1.23734 1.23569 1.22781 Rationale High-impact RBA Cash Rate decision at 00:30 NY. No directional plan. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.47165	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.47165 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.47236 0.47377 0.47534 Support: 0.47097 0.46871 0.46727 Rationale The bearish bias means buying the franc, against the news of a 16-month CHF low and the short-CHF plans. Retail at 61% long gives only a faint signal. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.80358	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.80358 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.80401 0.80524 0.80667 Support: 0.79958 0.79823 Rationale A long-CAD plan would offset the short-CAD plans in USDCAD, CADJPY and GBPCAD, and NZD already has two short plans. RBA spillover and CAD GDP add two-way risk. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58689	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58689 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58787 0.58805 0.59078 Support: 0.58578 0.58294 Rationale Range-bound under the 0.58805 cap with MACD below signal and no retail signal. No edge. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$5 average per $100 risked

59 of 90 picks filled, over 30 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

273 plans over 30 verified days · target hit 10%

30 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 59 picks the honest range around the +$5 runs from −$16 to +$26 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 90 picks published, 59 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 17 of the 59 picks lost the full $100, against 35 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 100% of the Top 3 result, and 25 of the 59 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$14 to +$3, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 273 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 29 Sep 2026)

Target hit 10% (26)
Stop hit 23% (62)
Timed out 68% (185)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 141 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

30% Win rate 26 of 88 plans closed at target or stop

-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.08R Timed-out average how those 185 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

23%

13 of 56 plans

Bearish

41%

13 of 32 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
GBPJPY	67%	2 / 3
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
USDCAD	50%	2 / 4
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDJPY	33%	1 / 3
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
AUDUSD	33%	2 / 6
EURCHF	29%	2 / 7
EURNZD	25%	1 / 4
EURUSD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
NZDUSD	25%	1 / 4
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 3
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 3
EURGBP	0%	0 / 3
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the hourly candles confirm it happened after the order filled. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the hourly candles say which one came first — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same hour, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

29 Sep 2026 1 target · 0 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $107

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83130 → 0.83500	Not filled	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.41670 → 1.42388	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.94530 → 0.94767	Timed out	+0.14R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.00350 → 2.01232	Target hit	+1.47R
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.87780 → 1.88293	Timed out	-0.39R
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Bearish	111.170 → 110.549	Not filled	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.330 → 88.685	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Bearish	189.500 → 188.464	Not filled	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4125.00 → 4020.65	Timed out	-0.95R

28 Sep 2026 1 target · 2 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $91

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.13965 → 1.13593	Not filled	–
GBPUSD	Bearish	1.32510 → 1.32094	Timed out	-0.01R
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.41360 → 1.42000	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.01100 → 2.02000	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Bearish	110.570 → 110.029	Target hit	+1.23R
CADJPY	Bearish	111.310 → 110.549	Timed out	+0.42R
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.140 → 88.500	Timed out	-0.17R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46945 → 0.46727	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

25 Sep 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $85

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.13830 → 1.13500	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.82720 → 0.83000	Timed out	+0.49R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.94130 → 0.94353	Not filled	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.00640 → 2.01372	Not filled	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	90.130 → 89.498	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80130 → 0.79803	Timed out	-0.03R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4288.00 → 4234.83	Timed out	-0.07R

24 Sep 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $157

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Bearish	1.32480 → 1.32000	Timed out	+0.72R
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.41000 → 1.41500	Timed out	+0.88R
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.00450 → 2.01162	Timed out	+0.98R
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.900 → 89.267	Timed out	-0.05R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4300.00 → 4200.00	Timed out	+0.35R

23 Sep 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $56

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.14545 → 1.14292	Not filled	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.40540 → 1.41289	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.57340 → 0.56942	Not filled	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93970 → 0.93729	Timed out	+0.38R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Bearish	1.09570 → 1.09136	Not filled	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58350 → 0.58583	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDCAD	Bullish	1.00000 → 1.00500	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24130 → 1.24777	Timed out	-0.16R
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.47055 → 0.46799	Not filled	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Bearish	0.58400 → 0.57862	Timed out	-0.41R
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels across multiple timeframes.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 16%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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The AI plan of the day on your chart: entry, stop and two targets for every market our AI reads as directional. The Trade Panel runs the whole account from one chart — five-factor signals, orders prefilled from the plan with automatic lot sizing, close-only account protection. The new Chart Panel sits beside each chart you trade: retail positioning, our signal and the AI plan for that market, levels drawn on the chart, stop and target you can drag. Available now: one license, both panels.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

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